Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.7%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 114x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.5%
2 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 13%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.12
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  Uninsured deposits are high
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 81%
4   Key risks
CLBK key risks include [1] a history of weak revenue growth and poor profitability, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
2 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 13%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.7%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.12
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 114x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.5%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
10 Uninsured deposits are high
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 81%
11 Key risks
CLBK key risks include [1] a history of weak revenue growth and poor profitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CLBK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, is in the future. As such, information regarding specific stock movements and their underlying causes for Columbia Financial (CLBK) during this future timeframe is not yet available. However, recent performance and analyst outlooks for CLBK are accessible.

1. No information on a 9.9% stock movement for the specified future period is available.

2. Recent stock performance shows a 0.7% increase on December 18, 2025, closing at $16.86.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CLBK Return-8%34%4%-11%-18%7%-0%
Peers Return-21%47%-8%-9%4%19%20%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CLBK Win Rate33%58%58%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%73%43%45%48%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CLBK Max Drawdown-37%-1%-10%-32%-28%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-1%-22%-40%-27%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VLY, PFS, OCFC, CNOB, PGC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCLBKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven166 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven640 days120 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Columbia Financial's stock fell -36.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/27/2022. A -36.0% loss requires a 56.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Columbia Financial (CLBK)

Better Bets than Columbia Financial (CLBK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CLBK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
CLBK_7312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312022CLBKColumbia FinancialQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.0%-14.1%-28.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
CLBK_7312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312022CLBKColumbia FinancialQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.0%-14.1%-28.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Columbia Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CLBKVLYPFSOCFCCNOBPGCMedian
NameColumbia.Valley N.Providen.OceanFir.ConnectO.Peapack . 
Mkt Price16.5212.0220.9120.1227.5829.6320.52
Mkt Cap1.76.72.71.11.40.51.5
Rev LTM2131,959851391344262368
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM6453960690855587
FCF 3Y Avg4142433295935894
CFO LTM7353961396917193
CFO 3Y Avg494243391039866100

Growth & Margins

CLBKVLYPFSOCFCCNOBPGCMedian
NameColumbia.Valley N.Providen.OceanFir.ConnectO.Peapack . 
Rev Chg LTM-0.5%7.7%40.9%1.8%31.5%21.1%14.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.5%5.3%21.4%0.7%5.3%5.1%5.2%
Rev Chg Q24.0%10.2%5.3%6.3%85.0%25.3%17.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.5%2.5%1.3%1.6%19.4%5.7%4.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM34.3%27.5%72.0%24.5%26.4%27.0%27.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.7%21.6%48.3%24.7%33.2%27.8%26.2%
FCF/Rev LTM30.0%27.5%71.2%22.9%24.7%20.9%26.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.0%21.6%47.3%22.9%31.4%24.5%23.7%

Valuation

CLBKVLYPFSOCFCCNOBPGCMedian
NameColumbia.Valley N.Providen.OceanFir.ConnectO.Peapack . 
Mkt Cap1.76.72.71.11.40.51.5
P/S7.93.43.22.94.02.03.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E113.513.010.614.422.615.114.8
P/CFO23.112.54.512.015.27.412.2
Total Yield0.9%11.3%14.0%7.0%6.6%7.3%7.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.6%4.7%0.0%2.2%0.7%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%8.7%15.9%10.5%10.9%12.3%10.7%
D/E0.70.50.91.70.80.30.8
Net D/E0.10.3-0.30.3-0.1-0.50.0

Returns

CLBKVLYPFSOCFCCNOBPGCMedian
NameColumbia.Valley N.Providen.OceanFir.ConnectO.Peapack . 
1M Rtn12.1%15.3%15.3%14.0%17.6%17.1%15.3%
3M Rtn6.5%10.8%6.4%11.5%7.7%2.2%7.1%
6M Rtn18.8%41.4%32.5%23.7%27.3%11.9%25.5%
12M Rtn3.8%39.5%18.1%18.4%22.4%-8.6%18.3%
3Y Rtn-22.2%24.0%16.5%8.6%27.8%-17.5%12.6%
1M Excs Rtn9.2%12.4%12.4%11.1%14.7%14.2%12.4%
3M Excs Rtn5.3%11.0%5.1%10.2%6.6%0.0%5.9%
6M Excs Rtn1.7%25.1%15.0%6.9%9.8%-4.8%8.4%
12M Excs Rtn-13.7%13.8%-3.9%-0.9%-2.0%-27.1%-2.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-93.3%-47.4%-55.1%-63.2%-45.2%-88.7%-59.2%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment233297272253204
Total233297272253204


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,576,064
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.2%
Average Daily Volume120,125
Days-to-Cover Short Interest13.12
Basic Shares Quantity102,031,221
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/20/20257.1%8.5%3.9%
7/30/20253.2%2.3%8.2%
4/30/20259.1%13.5%6.2%
1/28/2025-3.6%-4.3%-1.0%
10/24/2024-0.8%1.5%6.3%
7/31/20241.5%-6.5%-1.3%
4/30/2024-11.3%-6.5%-12.2%
1/25/2024-0.6%-9.2%-14.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101210
# Negative141214
Median Positive2.4%2.2%5.7%
Median Negative-6.1%-6.5%-4.4%
Max Positive9.1%13.5%11.2%
Max Negative-13.8%-19.8%-14.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021