Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX)
Market Price (4/11/2026): $0.9049 | Market Cap: $80.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX)
Market Price (4/11/2026): $0.9049Market Cap: $80.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -45% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 183% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 154% Key risksCGTX key risks include [1] a precarious financial position with a short cash runway and high risk of shareholder dilution, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 183% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 154% |
| Key risksCGTX key risks include [1] a precarious financial position with a short cash runway and high risk of shareholder dilution, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strategic Shift to Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB) Psychosis.
Cognition Therapeutics announced a shift in its near-term clinical development priority to focus on zervimesine for Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB) psychosis, following positive FDA Type C meeting minutes from January 21, 2026. This was confirmed during the Q4 2025 earnings call on March 26, 2026, with plans for a mid-2026 meeting with the FDA Division of Psychiatry to align on a registrational pathway. This pivot from the broader Alzheimer's disease (AD) program introduced investor uncertainty regarding the immediate market opportunity and development path.
2. Extended Timeline for Alzheimer's Disease (AD) Trial Results.
The Phase 2 START study for early Alzheimer's disease completed enrollment in December 2025 with 545 participants; however, topline results are not anticipated until 2027. This extended waiting period for data from a potentially larger market indication, coupled with the company's shift in near-term focus to DLB psychosis, likely reduced investor confidence and created a prolonged period of uncertainty regarding the company's AD pipeline.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -33.0% change in CGTX stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.35 | 0.90 | -33.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 78 | 89 | -12.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CGTX | -33.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 38.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.8% | 36.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -33.0% change in CGTX stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.35 | 0.90 | -33.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 64 | 89 | -28.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CGTX | -33.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 32.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.3% | 33.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 115.0% change in CGTX stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.42 | 0.90 | 115.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 45 | 89 | -49.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CGTX | 115.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 17.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 2.3% | 24.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -54.3% change in CGTX stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -70.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.98 | 0.90 | -54.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 27 | 89 | -70.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CGTX | -54.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 17.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 19.1% | 18.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CGTX Return | -51% | -67% | -12% | -62% | 92% | -36% | -93% |
| Peers Return | 16% | -28% | 15% | -51% | -24% | 0% | -64% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CGTX Win Rate | 0% | 25% | 25% | 42% | 50% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 37% | 45% | 33% | 43% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CGTX Max Drawdown | -60% | -81% | -54% | -80% | -66% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -48% | -37% | -58% | -53% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ANVS, INMB, DNLI, ALEC, BIIB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CGTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -92.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1252.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ANVS, INMB, DNLI, ALEC, BIIB
In The Past
Cognition Therapeutics's stock fell -92.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -92.6% loss requires a 1252.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX):
- A clinical-stage Biogen, but laser-focused on small molecule treatments for Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, and related brain diseases.
- An emerging Eli Lilly, but specializing in therapies for neurodegenerative conditions and age-related eye diseases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- CT1812: A lead sigma-2 receptor antagonist in clinical trials for Alzheimer's disease and Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB), and in preclinical development for dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD).
- CT2168: A therapeutic candidate being developed for synucleinopathies, including Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB) and Parkinson's disease.
- CT2074: A therapeutic candidate in development to treat dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD).
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cognition Therapeutics, Inc. (CGTX) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of small molecule therapeutics. As such, the company does not currently have approved products on the market and therefore does not have major customers in the traditional sense, selling products to other companies or individuals.
However, if its product candidates successfully complete clinical trials and receive regulatory approval, the company's ultimate end-users would be individuals suffering from the age-related degenerative diseases and disorders that its therapeutics are designed to treat. Based on its current pipeline, the primary categories of future customers would include:
- Individuals with Alzheimer's Disease: Patients suffering from mild-to-moderate or early-stage Alzheimer's disease, for whom CT1812 is being developed.
- Individuals with Synucleinopathies: Patients diagnosed with conditions such as Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB) or Parkinson's disease, targeted by CT1812 and CT2168.
- Individuals with Dry Age-Related Macular Degeneration (AMD): Patients experiencing dry AMD, for whom CT1812 and CT2074 are in development.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Lisa Ricciardi, Chief Executive Officer and President
Ms. Ricciardi has served as Cognition Therapeutics' Chief Executive Officer and President since March 2020 and as a member of its board of directors since March 2019. She possesses extensive experience in leadership roles at both startup and established biopharmaceutical companies. Prior to Cognition Therapeutics, she served as CEO of Suono Bio, a biotech company based on MIT technology, which she successfully led through a Series A fundraising round. Ms. Ricciardi also has a track record of selling companies she was involved with, having led deal teams for the sale of Foundation Medicine and Express Scripts, including brokering the $29 billion acquisition of Medco by Express Scripts. She also served as an entrepreneur in residence at Essex Woodlands Health Ventures, indicating experience with venture capital-backed life science companies.
John Doyle, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Doyle joined Cognition Therapeutics as Chief Financial Officer in 2023. He is noted for his significant experience in raising capital, particularly in challenging market conditions, and in guiding companies through the stages leading to commercialization.
Anthony O. Caggiano, M.D., Ph.D., Chief Medical Officer, Head of R&D
Dr. Caggiano was appointed Chief Medical Officer and Head of R&D at Cognition Therapeutics in 2021. In this role, he is responsible for overseeing the ongoing and planned clinical trials of the company's lead product candidate, CT1812, for indications such as Alzheimer's disease, dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB). He also guides the identification and optimization of preclinical candidates.
Mary Hamby, Ph.D., Vice President, Research
Dr. Hamby was promoted to Vice President of Research in 2021. She focuses on the discovery and development of disease-modifying therapeutics designed to treat age-related neurodegenerative diseases, including Parkinson's disease, dementia with Lewy bodies, and Alzheimer's disease. Dr. Hamby joined Cognition Therapeutics in 2019 as director of biology and brings over 20 years of experience in neurodegenerative diseases and drug discovery from both academic and pharmaceutical/biotech settings.
Steven A. Weissman, Ph.D., Vice President and Head of Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Controls (CMC)
Dr. Weissman is responsible for the process development and manufacturing oversight of Cognition Therapeutics' lead candidate, zervimesine (CT1812). Before his tenure at Cognition Therapeutics, Dr. Weissman served as the director of chemical development at Lexicon Pharmaceuticals, where he was responsible for the clinical supply and eventual global commercial manufacturing of telotristat etiprate.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX) are primarily associated with the inherent challenges of clinical-stage biopharmaceutical development:
- Clinical Trial Success and Efficacy: As a clinical-stage company, Cognition Therapeutics' viability is heavily dependent on the successful outcome of its ongoing clinical trials. Its lead product candidate, CT1812, is in Phase II trials for Alzheimer's disease and dementia with Lewy bodies, which are critical and often high-failure stages of drug development. The failure of CT1812 or other product candidates to demonstrate sufficient efficacy and safety in clinical trials would significantly jeopardize the company's future.
- Regulatory Approval: Even if clinical trials demonstrate positive results, there is no guarantee that regulatory authorities, such as the FDA, will approve the company's product candidates for commercialization. The process for obtaining regulatory approval for novel therapies in complex neurological diseases like Alzheimer's and DLB is stringent, lengthy, and subject to evolving standards and interpretations.
- Funding and Capital Availability: Developing pharmaceutical products through multiple clinical phases and eventual commercialization is extremely costly. As a company without approved products generating revenue, Cognition Therapeutics is reliant on securing additional funding through equity offerings, debt financing, or strategic partnerships to continue its research and development efforts. A failure to obtain sufficient capital could delay or halt the development of its product pipeline.
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- The recent FDA approvals of SYFOVRE (pegcetacoplan injection) from Apellis Pharmaceuticals and IZERVAY (avacincaptad pegol) from Iveric Bio for geographic atrophy secondary to dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD). These are the first approved treatments for a condition that Cognition Therapeutics is targeting with CT1812 (in preclinical trials) and CT2074 (in development), establishing a new standard of care and significantly raising the competitive bar for CGTX's preclinical programs in dry AMD.
- The recent FDA approval of Leqembi (lecanemab) from Eisai/Biogen and the anticipated approval of Donanemab from Eli Lilly, both disease-modifying monoclonal antibodies targeting amyloid-beta plaques in early Alzheimer's disease. These approvals introduce new treatments that establish a higher efficacy standard for early Alzheimer's disease, creating significant competition for Cognition Therapeutics' lead product candidate CT1812, which is in Phase II for mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's and has completed Phase I for early-stage Alzheimer's.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX) is focused on developing small molecule therapeutics for age-related degenerative diseases and disorders of the central nervous system and retina. The addressable markets for their main product candidates are substantial:
Alzheimer's Disease
The global Alzheimer's disease market is estimated to reach approximately USD 29.4 billion by 2035. Another report projects the Alzheimer's disease market across the 7 major markets (7MM: U.S., Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan) to grow from approximately USD 3,610 million in 2023 to USD 34,335 million by 2034. The U.S. market for Alzheimer's drugs was valued at USD 1.62 billion in 2022. In 2023, the United States accounted for approximately 54% of the total Alzheimer's disease market size in the 7MM.
Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB)
The global Lewy body dementia treatment market is expected to reach USD 13.32 billion by 2034. Other estimates indicate the global market size was valued at USD 5,972 million in 2024 and is projected to be worth USD 13,208 million by 2033. North America dominated the Lewy body dementia treatment market with a 41.3% revenue share in 2024. Within North America, the U.S. Lewy body dementia treatment market captured the largest share of 75% in 2024.
Parkinson's Disease
The global Parkinson's disease drugs market size is projected to grow from USD 7.75 billion in 2025 to USD 15.77 billion by 2034. The global Parkinson's disease therapeutics market was valued at USD 6.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 13.3 billion by 2034. The U.S. Parkinson's disease market was approximately USD 1,883 million in 2023. The U.S. market for Parkinson's disease therapeutics was valued at USD 2.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2.45 billion by 2026.
Dry Age-related Macular Degeneration (AMD)
The global dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD) market, valued at USD 4.83 billion in 2023, is expected to reach USD 10.57 billion by the end of 2032. Another source reports the market was valued at USD 5.27 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 10.58 billion by 2032. For the U.S. market, the total Dry Age-related Macular Degeneration market size was estimated to be approximately USD 800 million in 2023. North America dominated the Dry Age-Related Macular Degeneration market in 2024 with a 46.3% share.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years are intrinsically tied to the advancement and potential commercialization of its lead drug candidate, zervimesine (CT1812), and the strategic partnerships it may form. While direct product sales are likely beyond this immediate timeframe, key milestones and collaborations are expected to generate revenue.
- Advancement and Positive Data from CT1812 in Alzheimer's Disease (AD) Program: Cognition Therapeutics has aligned with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) on a registrational path for zervimesine in mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's disease and has presented plans for Phase 3 studies. The ongoing Phase 2 START study for early AD is actively enrolling patients. Positive outcomes from the START study, successful initiation, and significant progression of Phase 3 trials would be critical catalysts. Such progress could lead to substantial milestone payments from existing or new partnerships, or enhance the company's valuation for future non-dilutive funding opportunities, well before commercialization.
- Progression of CT1812 in Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB) Program: Following positive Phase 2 SHIMMER trial data and receipt of final FDA Type C meeting minutes, Cognition Therapeutics plans to advance zervimesine toward a registrational program for DLB psychosis. The initiation of an Expanded Access Program (EAP) for DLB, substantially funded by a philanthropic donation, also signals promising results and patient interest. Continued successful advancement through clinical development and toward regulatory approval in this indication would generate similar revenue-driving opportunities through partnerships and milestone payments.
- Securing Strategic Partnerships and Non-Dilutive Funding: As a clinical-stage company, Cognition Therapeutics actively seeks and relies on strategic partnerships for late-stage development and potential commercialization of its drug candidates. Tier 1 strategic partners are a primary focus for securing non-dilutive funding. Such collaborations typically involve upfront payments upon signing, milestone payments contingent on achieving specific clinical or regulatory goals, and future royalties on sales. Additionally, continued receipt of government grants, such as those from the National Institute of Aging (NIA), which have significantly supported their AD and DLB trials, will continue to contribute to revenue.
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Share Issuance
- Cognition Therapeutics completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in October 2021, generating approximately $52 million in gross proceeds by issuing around 5.5 million shares, including an overallotment.
- In September 2025, the company closed a $30 million registered direct offering, selling 14.7 million shares of common stock at $2.05 per share to two new institutional investors.
- In March 2024, Cognition Therapeutics conducted a public offering of 6,571,428 shares of common stock at $1.75 per share, expecting to receive net proceeds of approximately $10.4 million.
Inbound Investments
- The company has secured over $170 million in non-dilutive grant funding from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and National Institute on Aging (NIA) to support its research and clinical programs.
- Notable grants include an $81 million grant for the START Alzheimer's disease trial, $30 million for the SHINE AD trial, and $30 million for the SHIMMER DLB trial.
- As of the third quarter of 2025, the company reported $36.3 million in remaining obligated NIA grant funds.
Capital Expenditures
- Cognition Therapeutics' annual capital expenditure showed a decreasing trend with a 5-year growth rate of -51.2%.
- Capital expenditures were reported as $1,000 in Q3 2024.
- Research and development expenses, a primary focus for the company, were $3.8 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, a decrease from $11.4 million in the comparable period of 2024, largely due to the completion of the SHINE and SHIMMER clinical trials.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Cognition Therapeutics Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| 03312026 | PGNY | Progyny | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | CNC | Centene | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -0.6% |
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| 03202026 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.4% | -0.4% | -3.3% |
| 03202026 | GILD | Gilead Sciences | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.2% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.02 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -30 |
| FCF LTM | -25 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -26 |
| CFO LTM | -25 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -26 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -47.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -741.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -347.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -874.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -430.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -874.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -432.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| P/S | 12.8 |
| P/EBIT | -1.5 |
| P/E | -1.6 |
| P/CFO | -1.5 |
| Total Yield | -41.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -30.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -14.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -12.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 53.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -54.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 22.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -121.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.90 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/08/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -71.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.03 | $1.35 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -12.4% | -32.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 120.6% | 155.3% |
| Downside Capture | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| Upside Capture | 214.89 | 394.31 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 22.5% | 18.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.52 | 2.41 | 2.03 | 2.06 | 1.40 | 1.42 |
| Up Beta | 4.33 | 3.06 | 2.33 | 2.61 | 0.73 | 1.09 |
| Down Beta | 2.10 | 1.31 | 1.39 | 2.03 | 0.89 | 1.05 |
| Up Capture | 514% | 361% | 222% | 181% | 874% | 351% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 24 | 51 | 111 | 325 |
| Down Capture | 197% | 232% | 224% | 180% | 151% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 128 | 391 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CGTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGTX | 63.6% | 137.0% | 0.99 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 12.3% | 16.8% | 0.52 | 29.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 20.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 6.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | -0.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 23.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -5.7% | 43.7% | -0.01 | 20.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CGTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGTX | -47.2% | 118.0% | -0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.3% | 14.6% | 0.25 | 17.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 19.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 3.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 11.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 11.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CGTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGTX | -27.3% | 118.0% | -0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.8% | 16.5% | 0.48 | 17.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 19.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 3.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 11.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 11.5% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/26/2026 | -2.7% | -19.7% | |
| 11/6/2025 | -1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% |
| 8/7/2025 | 11.4% | 145.2% | 254.5% |
| 3/20/2025 | -5.2% | -1.9% | -17.2% |
| 11/13/2024 | -10.2% | -25.8% | -15.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 0.5% | 5.8% | -2.1% |
| 3/26/2024 | 0.5% | -0.5% | 9.3% |
| 11/2/2023 | -6.4% | 4.6% | 10.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| # Negative | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 0.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.2% | -17.6% | -15.0% |
| Max Positive | 11.4% | 145.2% | 254.5% |
| Max Negative | -10.4% | -27.8% | -51.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2027 Cash Runway | |||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Cash Runway | |||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricciardi, Lisa | CEO & President | Spouse | Buy | 2042025 | 0.77 | 38,851 | 30,001 | 30,001 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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