Tearsheet

Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $1.755 | Market Cap: $111.8 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $1.755
Market Cap: $111.8 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -52%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 507%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 363%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -171%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 152%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -52%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 507%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 363%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -171%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 152%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CGTX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -27.6% movement in Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Dilutive Registered Direct Offering: In late August 2025, Cognition Therapeutics announced a $30 million registered direct offering of 14,700,000 shares of common stock. This significant issuance of new shares diluted the ownership of existing shareholders and was a primary driver of stock declines, including a reported 17% fall on August 28, 2025.

2. Reduced Analyst Price Targets: Leading into the period, analysts significantly re-evaluated Cognition Therapeutics, with the average price target decreasing from $5.51 to $3.32 between April and July 2025. This downward adjustment in expectations, sometimes citing anticipated equity dilution, reflected a less optimistic outlook for the company's future valuation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CGTX Return---67%-12%-62%151%-72%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%3%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CGTX Win Rate-0%25%25%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CGTX Max Drawdown---81%-54%-80%-66% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCGTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1252.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Cognition Therapeutics's stock fell -92.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -92.6% loss requires a 1252.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX)

Better Bets than Cognition Therapeutics (CGTX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CGTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cognition Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CGTXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameCognitio.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price1.76457.362.631.1711.5421.937.08
Mkt Cap0.1116.9----58.5
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-33-92-5--93-70-70
FCF LTM-313,337-6--60-64-31
FCF 3Y Avg-232,064-10----10
CFO LTM-313,718-6--60-64-31
CFO 3Y Avg-232,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

CGTXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameCognitio.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

CGTXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameCognitio.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.1116.9----58.5
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-0.622.4----10.9
P/E-0.627.2----13.3
P/CFO-0.626.9----13.1
Total Yield-167.2%3.7%-----81.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-73.7%2.3%-----35.7%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.5-0.0-----0.3

Returns

CGTXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameCognitio.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn12.1%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-10.3%
3M Rtn-32.0%15.2%--14.5%-14.5%
6M Rtn506.7%3.1%----254.9%
12M Rtn363.2%-1.4%----180.9%
3Y Rtn-34.1%44.0%----5.0%
1M Excs Rtn10.8%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-9.0%
3M Excs Rtn-38.4%9.7%--10.8%-9.7%
6M Excs Rtn491.2%-12.4%----239.4%
12M Excs Rtn326.6%-15.2%----155.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-102.3%-28.7%-----65.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,336,255
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.0%
Average Daily Volume1,066,988
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.88
Basic Shares Quantity63,690,945
Short % of Basic Shares11.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023326202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021330202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211117202110-Q 9/30/2021