Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $10.81 | Market Cap: $788.1 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $10.81Market Cap: $788.1 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 18% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 187% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.8x Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -253%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -253% Key risksCGBD key risks include [1] vulnerability to margin compression from rapid rate cuts due to its highly floating-rate loan portfolio and [2] persistent pressure on its declining Net Asset Value (NAV). |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 187% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.8x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -253%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -253% |
| Key risksCGBD key risks include [1] vulnerability to margin compression from rapid rate cuts due to its highly floating-rate loan portfolio and [2] persistent pressure on its declining Net Asset Value (NAV). |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Carlyle Secured Lending reported Q4 2025 earnings that significantly missed analyst expectations. The company's non-GAAP net investment income per share was $0.33, falling short of the consensus estimate of $0.3825. Additionally, total investment income for the quarter reached $41.46 million, which was below the analyst forecast of approximately $69.35 million. This earnings miss was a primary driver of negative investor sentiment and a notable stock decline following the announcement on February 24, 2026.
2. The company experienced a decline in its Net Asset Value (NAV) per share. As of December 31, 2025, NAV per share decreased by 0.6% to $16.26 from $16.36 at the end of the previous quarter. This reduction included $7 million, or $0.09 per share, in aggregate net realized and unrealized losses, primarily from select underperforming investments.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.3% change in CGBD stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.05 | 10.93 | -9.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 84 | 81 | -3.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 87.9% | 86.4% | -1.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.9 | 11.4 | -4.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 73 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.3% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CGBD | -9.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 31.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | -7.3% | 40.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.4% change in CGBD stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -6.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.68 | 10.93 | -6.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 80 | 81 | 1.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 87.3% | 86.4% | -1.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.2 | 11.4 | -6.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 73 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.4% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CGBD | -6.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 34.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | -5.4% | 41.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.2% change in CGBD stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.23 | 10.93 | -23.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 99 | 81 | -18.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 89.6% | 86.4% | -3.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.1 | 11.4 | 39.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 51 | 73 | -30.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CGBD | -23.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 54.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.0% | 55.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.1% change in CGBD stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 98.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.58 | 10.93 | 14.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 95 | 81 | -14.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 90.5% | 86.4% | -4.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.7 | 11.4 | 98.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 51 | 73 | -29.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CGBD | 14.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 47.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 64.9% | 49.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CGBD Return | 49% | 18% | 18% | 33% | -22% | -10% | 95% |
| Peers Return | 28% | -10% | 32% | 21% | -7% | -12% | 49% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CGBD Win Rate | 75% | 75% | 67% | 83% | 58% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 80% | 45% | 72% | 72% | 48% | 15% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CGBD Max Drawdown | -0% | -9% | -6% | -1% | -29% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -1% | -19% | -2% | -2% | -17% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ARCC, OBDC, FSK, BXSL, GBDC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CGBD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 209.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 507 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to ARCC, OBDC, FSK, BXSL, GBDC
In The Past
Carlyle Secured Lending's stock fell -21.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/12/2022. A -21.6% loss requires a 27.6% gain to breakeven.
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About Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD)
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Here are a few analogies to describe Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD):
It's like Goldman Sachs' or Blackstone's private credit division, but solely focused on lending secured debt to middle-market businesses.
Think of it as a private equity firm (like KKR), but instead of buying companies, it primarily lends them money (mostly secured debt).
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- First Lien Debt / Senior Secured Loans: These are loans that have the highest claim on a company's assets and are typically the safest form of debt for lenders.
- Second Lien Senior Secured Loans: These loans are secured by a company's assets but are subordinate to first lien debt in claim priority.
- Unsecured Debt: This refers to loans that are not backed by specific collateral, relying instead on the borrower's creditworthiness.
- Mezzanine Debt: This is a hybrid form of financing that combines elements of both debt and equity, often featuring embedded equity instruments.
- Investments in Equities: This involves purchasing ownership stakes in companies, typically for capital appreciation or dividend income.
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Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) is a business development company (BDC) that specializes in providing debt and equity financing to other companies. Therefore, its "customers" are the companies in which it invests or lends money.
Based on the provided information, CGBD's customers are:
- Middle-market companies with EBITDA between $25 million and $100 million.
- These companies operate across various sectors, including healthcare and pharmaceutical, aerospace and defense, high tech industries, business services, software, beverage food and tobacco, hotel gaming and leisure, banking finance insurance, and real estate.
- Geographically, these customer companies are located across the United States of America, Luxembourg, Cayman Islands, Cyprus, and the United Kingdom.
The specific names of the individual customer companies (portfolio companies) that Carlyle Secured Lending invests in or lends to are not provided in the background description.
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Alex Chi
Chief Executive Officer and Interested Director
Alex Chi was appointed Chief Executive Officer and a Class II Director of Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. on February 18, 2026. He joined Carlyle in January 2026 and also serves as the Deputy Chief Investment Officer of Carlyle Global Credit and Head of Direct Lending. Mr. Chi brings over 30 years of experience from Goldman Sachs, where he spent six years in Goldman Sachs Asset Management as Co-Head of Private Credit in the Americas and as Co-Chief Executive Officer and Co-President of the firm's business development companies from August 2022 to August 2025. Prior to that, he spent 25 years in Goldman Sachs' Investment Banking Division.
Thomas Hennigan
President, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Risk Officer and Interested Director
Thomas Hennigan was appointed President of Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. on February 18, 2026, while continuing his roles as Chief Financial Officer, Chief Risk Officer, and a director. He has served as Chief Financial Officer since March 2018 and Chief Risk Officer since 2016. Mr. Hennigan is also a Managing Director at Carlyle and has been a Class II Director on CGBD's board since April 2025. He also serves on the board of Carlyle Credit Solutions, Inc. and previously held CFO and CRO roles for Carlyle Secured Lending III until its merger into CGBD in March 2025.
Michael Hadley
Chief Investment Officer, Vice President and Head of Underwriting
Michael Hadley serves as Chief Investment Officer, Vice President, and Head of Underwriting at Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. He was elected as an officer of the company on April 11, 2022.
Joshua Lefkowitz
Chief Compliance Officer and Secretary
Joshua Lefkowitz holds the positions of Chief Compliance Officer and Secretary at Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.
Frank Taylor
Treasurer
Frank Taylor was appointed as the Treasurer of Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. on February 18, 2026.
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The key risks to Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) primarily stem from its business model as a business development company (BDC) specializing in lending to middle-market companies, making it susceptible to credit quality fluctuations, interest rate movements, and the sustainability of its dividend payouts.
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Credit Risk and Economic Downturns: Carlyle Secured Lending's core business involves providing debt and equity financing to middle-market companies, which are often considered higher risk than larger, more established corporations. Consequently, the company is highly exposed to the credit risk of its portfolio companies. During economic downturns or periods of financial stress, these smaller businesses are more vulnerable to default on their loans or even go out of business, leading to potential credit losses and impairment of CGBD's investments. The presence of "covenant-lite" loan structures in the broader BDC market can further exacerbate this risk by reducing early warning signs of borrower distress. Any materialization of significant credit losses could directly impact CGBD's profitability and its net asset value (NAV) per share.
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Interest Rate Risk: As a financial institution that uses borrowed money to fund its lending activities, Carlyle Secured Lending is sensitive to changes in interest rates. While many of its loans to portfolio companies are floating-rate, a mismatch with its own fixed-rate liabilities could compress profit margins if interest rates rise rapidly. Conversely, in a declining interest rate environment, the net investment income (NII) of CGBD can shrink, potentially impacting its ability to cover dividend payments, especially given that a large portion of its portfolio consists of floating-rate loans. Lower investment yields due to reduced base rates and tighter spreads on new originations have already been noted as factors impacting CGBD's NII.
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Dividend Sustainability and Net Asset Value (NAV) Erosion: The attractiveness of BDCs like Carlyle Secured Lending often lies in their high dividend yields. However, the sustainability of these dividends is a key risk. If the company pays out more in dividends than it earns in net investment income, or if it incurs losses on its loan portfolio, it can lead to the erosion of its Net Asset Value (NAV) per share. For instance, CGBD's declared dividend of $0.40 per share for Q1 2026 exceeded its GAAP NII of $0.33 per share in Q4 2025, suggesting that the dividend may rely on spillover income or consume capital. A persistent dividend payout exceeding earnings is unsustainable without NAV erosion, which can undermine long-term shareholder returns despite an attractive yield. Declines in NAV per share are considered a significant "watch trigger" for the company.
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Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) specializes in providing flexible financing solutions, including various forms of secured and unsecured debt, mezzanine debt, and equity investments, primarily to middle-market companies. These activities fall under the broader categories of private credit and direct lending. Carlyle Secured Lending targets companies with EBITDA between $25 million and $100 million in regions such as the United States, Luxembourg, Cayman Islands, Cyprus, and the United Kingdom.
The addressable markets for Carlyle Secured Lending's main products and services, focusing on the middle-market segment, are substantial in both the United States and Europe.
- United States Market:
- The U.S. private credit market is estimated to be approximately $1.3 trillion as of February 2026, having expanded to $1.6 trillion by 2024 and nearly $1.7 trillion as of 2023. Projections indicate significant growth, with the market expected to reach $3 trillion by 2028 (a 70% growth). Some analyses suggest the broader addressable market for private credit in the U.S. could exceed $30 trillion.
- Direct lending, a core strategy for Carlyle Secured Lending, constitutes a substantial portion of the private credit market, representing about 46% of the asset class globally. The U.S. middle-market direct lending loans alone were estimated at $1.0 trillion as of March 31, 2022. The U.S. direct lending market has been rapidly growing, tripling in size between 2010 and 2024, to an estimated $1.5 trillion, and is expected to reach nearly $2 trillion by the end of the decade.
- The U.S. corporate middle market, comprising nearly 200,000 individual businesses with annual revenues typically ranging from $10 million to $1 billion (with EBITDA ranging from approximately $15 million to $100 million), represents over one-third of the private sector GDP and employs around 50 million people. These companies generate $15 trillion in revenue.
- European Market:
- Europe's private credit industry controls more than €1.7 trillion (approximately $1.85 trillion USD) in assets as of January 2026. Other estimates place the European private credit assets at around $500 billion (as of September 2025) or between $500 billion and $1 trillion for the direct lending market (as of June 2025). The European private credit market has shown significant growth, with assets under management (AUM) increasing from $93 billion in 2013 to $505 billion by 2023.
- Direct lending in the European middle market is surging, with its share of financing for middle-market buyouts more than doubling from 27% in 2020 to 56% in 2023. Approximately 50% of all middle-market transactions in Europe are financed by private credit, indicating significant growth potential relative to the U.S.
- The European middle market is broadly defined to include companies with EBITDA between €10 million and €100 million. This segment is a significant driver of the European economy, with over 25,000 companies in Europe having an EBITDA between €15 million and €75 million.
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```htmlCarlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Formation and Ramp-up of New Joint Ventures: The company recently announced the formation of a new joint venture, Structured Credit Partners (SCP), which is expected to significantly enhance diversification and portfolio yield. This new venture is projected to be highly accretive to return on equity and manage approximately $6 billion to $7 billion in assets, thereby boosting future earnings as it scales up. Management explicitly anticipates an increase in earnings after the first half of 2026 as the portfolios of both existing and new joint ventures are ramped up.
- Increased M&A Activity and Origination Capabilities: Carlyle Secured Lending expects 2026 to be an active year for mergers and acquisitions, which is projected to lead to increased deal flow and investment opportunities. The company achieved record origination volumes in 2025, deploying over $1.2 billion, a direct result of enhanced origination capabilities and leveraging the Carlyle platform. This robust origination engine is expected to continue contributing to portfolio growth.
- Strategic Focus on High-Performing and Resilient Sectors: CGBD maintains a disciplined investment strategy with a continued focus on sectors such as software, healthcare and pharmaceutical, aerospace and defense, and high-tech industries. The company highlights its strong track record in the software sector, having originated over $6 billion in commitments with zero defaults over the last five years, indicating a strategy to capitalize on resilient industries. This targeted approach aims to generate stable and growing interest income.
- Leveraging the Broader Carlyle Platform: A consistent driver of growth is CGBD's ability to harness the full power and scale of The Carlyle Group's platform. This includes leveraging Carlyle's extensive deal-sourcing capabilities and deep industry expertise to identify and execute strategic investment opportunities. This platform advantage is expected to continue supporting the growth of its global credit business and direct lending initiatives.
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Share Repurchases
- Carlyle Secured Lending authorized an upsized $300 million share repurchase program in February 2026.
- In the fourth quarter of 2025, the company repurchased $14 million of its shares at an average discount of nearly 23%, which resulted in an accretion of $0.06 to NAV per share.
- Quarterly share buybacks over the last few years include $13.88 million as of December 31, 2025, $7.34 million as of December 31, 2022, and $7.94 million as of December 31, 2021.
Share Issuance
- On March 27, 2025, in connection with the merger with Carlyle Secured Lending III (CSL III), CSL III shareholders received an aggregate of 18,935,108 shares of CGBD common stock.
- Prior to the CSL III merger, Carlyle Investment Management L.L.C. exchanged its CGBD convertible preferred stock for 3,004,808 shares of CGBD common stock.
Outbound Investments
- CGBD achieved a record year of originations in 2025, deploying over $1.2 billion in investments.
- In the fourth quarter of 2025, the company funded over $400 million in investments, resulting in net investment activity of $193 million after repayments.
- Carlyle Secured Lending launched a new joint venture, Structured Credit Partners (SCP), in Q4 2025, committing $150 million to this vehicle.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.4 |
| Rev LTM | 485 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 134 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 119 |
| CFO LTM | 134 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 119 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -15.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 27.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | -21.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -5.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 40.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 27.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 40.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.4 |
| P/S | 9.1 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 10.0 |
| P/CFO | -0.4 |
| Total Yield | 22.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 12.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| D/E | 1.6 |
| Net D/E | 1.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -10.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 23.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -39.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -38.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $10.93 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/14/2017 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $11.07 | $11.82 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.3% | -7.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 26.9% | 22.3% |
| Downside Capture | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| Upside Capture | 33.58 | 43.74 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 29.4% | 34.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.86 | 0.73 | 0.63 | 0.65 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| Up Beta | -1.38 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0.59 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| Down Beta | 1.78 | 1.41 | 1.11 | 0.75 | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| Up Capture | 150% | 57% | 38% | 54% | 31% | 28% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 17 | 26 | 60 | 115 | 391 |
| Down Capture | 23% | 70% | 55% | 70% | 89% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 24 | 36 | 64 | 127 | 331 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CGBD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGBD | -8.5% | 23.9% | -0.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 16.9% | 17.3% | 0.74 | 51.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 50.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | -7.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 13.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 44.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -4.3% | 43.7% | 0.02 | 21.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CGBD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGBD | 7.9% | 21.4% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.7% | 18.7% | 0.40 | 50.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 47.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 5.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 18.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 43.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 17.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CGBD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGBD | 6.0% | 34.9% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.7% | 22.2% | 0.53 | 46.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 40.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 0.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 20.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 42.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.6% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 14.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/24/2026 | -0.7% | -2.9% | -1.4% |
| 11/4/2025 | -2.7% | -3.3% | 4.0% |
| 8/5/2025 | -1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| 5/6/2025 | -4.2% | -0.4% | -2.4% |
| 2/25/2025 | 1.9% | -1.2% | -1.3% |
| 11/5/2024 | -2.3% | -2.5% | 3.8% |
| 8/5/2024 | -3.7% | -3.0% | 1.0% |
| 5/7/2024 | 0.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 13 | 18 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -2.5% | -1.9% |
| Max Positive | 10.8% | 18.8% | 36.4% |
| Max Negative | -4.2% | -3.9% | -11.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/24/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Dividends | 0.4 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.4 for Q4 2025 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Dividends | 0.4 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.4 for Q3 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nestor, John G | Direct | Sell | 12012025 | 11.87 | 7,085 | 84,099 | 89,120 | Form | |
| 2 | Hennigan, Thomas M | CFO | Direct | Buy | 11172025 | 12.04 | 8,400 | 101,136 | 1,166,611 | Form |
| 3 | Joseph, Nelson | PAO | Direct | Buy | 11122025 | 11.84 | 1,500 | 17,760 | 17,760 | Form |
| 4 | Nestor, John G | Direct | Sell | 8212025 | 13.49 | 13,238 | 178,581 | 196,860 | Form | |
| 5 | Hennigan, Thomas M | CFO | Direct | Buy | 8212025 | 13.75 | 7,285 | 100,169 | 1,216,801 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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