Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -161%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -49 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -120%
1   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 195%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -240%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
7   Key risks
CELU key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to a severe cash shortage and financing difficulties, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -161%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -49 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -120%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 195%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -240%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
9 Key risks
CELU key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to a severe cash shortage and financing difficulties, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CELU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Nasdaq Non-Compliance and Delisting Concerns
Celularity faced significant investor apprehension due to repeated non-compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements. On August 21, 2025, the company received a notice from Nasdaq for failing to file its Q2 2025 Form 10-Q. This followed a similar notice on November 21, 2024, for its Q3 2024 Form 10-Q, which resulted in a stock drop of over 27% in the preceding week and raised potential delisting risks. Such ongoing failures to meet regulatory filing deadlines severely erode investor confidence and signal underlying operational and financial instability.

2. Balance Sheet Restructuring Involving Intellectual Property Sale
Celularity completed a major balance sheet restructuring to retire $41.6 million in senior secured debt, including principal and unpaid interest. This was achieved through an Asset Purchase Agreement with Celeniv Pte. Ltd., involving the sale of its intellectual property assets, while Celularity maintained exclusive licensing rights for 5 years with renewal options. While addressing debt, the divestiture of core intellectual property could be perceived negatively by investors, suggesting financial distress and potentially limiting long-term innovation and growth prospects.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CELU Return11%-53%-75%-81%-16%-35%-99%
Peers Return-65%29%-35%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CELU Win Rate58%25%33%17%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate44%28%40%40%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CELU Max Drawdown-5%-58%-79%-87%-44%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-68%-44%-51%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDXG, ORGO, FATE, ALLO, CRBU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCELUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7561.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-8.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven9.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven200 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Celularity's stock fell -98.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2022. A -98.7% loss requires a 7561.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Celularity (CELU)

Better Bets than Celularity (CELU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CELU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Celularity

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CELUMDXGORGOFATEALLOCRBUMedian
NameCelulari.MiMedx Organoge.Fate The.Allogene.Caribou . 
Mkt Price1.307.095.271.051.421.621.52
Mkt Cap0.01.00.70.10.30.20.2
Rev LTM4139346570925
Op Inc LTM-49541-160-225-147-98
FCF LTM-763-52-115-159-128-84
FCF 3Y Avg-2941-17-144-209-123-76
CFO LTM-768-39-111-158-126-75
CFO 3Y Avg-28451-138-207-116-72

Growth & Margins

CELUMDXGORGOFATEALLOCRBUMedian
NameCelulari.MiMedx Organoge.Fate The.Allogene.Caribou . 
Rev Chg LTM-15.8%14.8%2.1%-46.9%-100.0%-19.0%-17.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg63.1%17.4%0.1%-26.8%-57.8%28.8%8.8%
Rev Chg Q-43.2%35.3%30.7%-43.4%-8.6%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-9.0%8.2%8.2%-15.7%-1.9%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-120.1%13.7%0.2%-2,241.8%--1,577.4%-120.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-287.1%14.3%2.5%-1,299.5%--1,110.8%-287.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-13.9%1.8%3.6%-144.5%-127.0%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-16.2%17.2%-8.3%-1,549.2%--1,351.7%-16.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-158.0%12.5%0.3%-896.6%--904.5%-158.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-16.4%16.1%-11.1%-1,617.3%--1,374.2%-16.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-168.1%11.2%-3.7%-925.3%--946.9%-168.1%

Valuation

CELUMDXGORGOFATEALLOCRBUMedian
NameCelulari.MiMedx Organoge.Fate The.Allogene.Caribou . 
Mkt Cap0.01.00.70.10.30.20.2
P/S0.82.61.217.5-16.32.6
P/EBIT-0.519.0643.6-0.8--1.0-0.5
P/E-0.425.3532.8-0.8-1.3-1.0-0.6
P/CFO-5.215.2-13.8-1.1-1.7-1.2-1.5
Total Yield-235.5%4.0%0.2%-124.9%-77.0%-104.0%-90.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-65.0%4.3%-3.2%-65.7%--53.5%-53.5%
D/E1.90.00.10.6-0.20.2
Net D/E1.9-0.1-0.0-1.1--0.8-0.1

Returns

CELUMDXGORGOFATEALLOCRBUMedian
NameCelulari.MiMedx Organoge.Fate The.Allogene.Caribou . 
1M Rtn-14.5%-0.1%-12.0%7.9%15.4%-14.3%-6.1%
3M Rtn-39.5%2.2%14.1%10.5%25.7%-5.8%6.3%
6M Rtn-27.4%20.2%61.2%-13.2%10.1%26.6%15.1%
12M Rtn-40.9%-25.6%47.6%-44.1%-31.4%-16.5%-28.5%
3Y Rtn-91.2%140.3%105.1%-92.0%-79.5%-79.1%-79.3%
1M Excs Rtn-15.2%-0.9%-12.8%7.2%14.7%-15.0%-6.8%
3M Excs Rtn-42.0%-2.2%9.6%3.7%16.0%-10.3%0.7%
6M Excs Rtn-39.8%7.8%48.8%-25.6%-2.3%14.2%2.7%
12M Excs Rtn-52.5%-33.7%43.9%-53.7%-35.9%-26.3%-34.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-160.5%55.9%32.7%-162.0%-150.8%-148.6%-149.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Degenerative Disease1712169
BioBanking5666
Cell Therapy00  
Other 0  
Total23182114


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
BioBanking20-02
Degenerative Disease-7-151-4
Cell Therapy-29-75-85-51
Other general and administrative expenses-41   
Indirect expenses-11812039-77
Other -56-64-21
Total-192-26-109-152


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity507,957
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-17.2%
Average Daily Volume53,103
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.57
Basic Shares Quantity26,347,818
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/9/2025-9.0%22.2%20.4%
10/25/2024-8.1%-22.6%61.3%
5/21/2024-3.8%7.3%-2.9%
1/9/2024-0.1%-24.7%60.0%
11/10/2022-4.7%-17.4%-23.0%
8/10/2022-1.8%-9.2%-24.3%
3/31/20222.0%9.1%33.6%
11/12/2021-4.2%-1.8%-30.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive245
# Negative754
Median Positive6.7%8.2%33.6%
Median Negative-4.2%-17.4%-23.7%
Max Positive11.4%22.2%61.3%
Max Negative-9.0%-24.7%-30.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025829202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025829202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024508202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241206202410-Q 9/30/2024
63020241107202410-Q 6/30/2024
33120241016202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023730202410-K 12/31/2023
9302023103202410-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023522202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021