Celcuity (CELC)
Market Price (4/19/2026): $122.5 | Market Cap: $6.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Celcuity (CELC)
Market Price (4/19/2026): $122.5Market Cap: $6.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.2%, Dist 3Y High is -2.2% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.06, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -172 Mil Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 136%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 1096% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.0% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 179% Key risksCELC key risks include [1] a singular dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its lead drug candidate, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.2%, Dist 3Y High is -2.2% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.06, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -172 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 136%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 1096% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.0% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 179% |
| Key risksCELC key risks include [1] a singular dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its lead drug candidate, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. FDA Regulatory Milestones and Strong Clinical Data.
Celcuity experienced a significant boost after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) accepted its New Drug Application (NDA) for gedatolisib in HR+/HER2-/PIK3CA wild-type advanced breast cancer, granting it Priority Review with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal date of July 17, 2026. This regulatory progress was underpinned by the publication of "unprecedented efficacy data" from the Phase 3 VIKTORIA-1 trial's PIK3CA wild-type cohort in the Journal of Clinical Oncology in March 2026. The trial demonstrated a median progression-free survival (PFS) of 16.6 months for patients treated with the gedatolisib triplet, compared to 1.9 months for fulvestrant alone, among those enrolled in the U.S., Canada, Western Europe, and Asia Pacific.
2. Exceeding Q4 2025 Earnings Estimates.
The company's stock reacted positively to its Q4 2025 earnings report, released on March 25, 2026. Celcuity reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.97, which notably beat analyst estimates of -$1.06 by $0.09. This positive earnings surprise led to a 12.55% increase in Celcuity's stock price within 48 hours of the announcement.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 22.8% change in CELC stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 99.74 | 122.46 | 22.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 53 | -9.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CELC | 22.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 23.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | -3.9% | 32.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 147.9% change in CELC stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 49.40 | 122.46 | 147.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 44 | 53 | -17.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CELC | 147.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 24.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.4% | 21.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1111.3% change in CELC stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.11 | 122.46 | 1111.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 53 | -18.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CELC | 1111.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 10.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 3.3% | 5.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1094.7% change in CELC stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.25 | 122.46 | 1094.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 17 | 53 | -67.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CELC | 1094.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 12.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 20.3% | 8.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CELC Return | 44% | 6% | 4% | -10% | 662% | 26% | 1267% |
| Peers Return | 18% | -25% | 94% | -6% | 53% | -12% | 117% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 3% | 87% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CELC Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 45% | 48% | 38% | 45% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CELC Max Drawdown | 0% | -59% | -38% | -18% | -37% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -43% | -30% | -26% | -43% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PFE, LLY, OLMA, ATOS, VERU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CELC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 478.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,172 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 166.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -69.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 224.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 560 days | 120 days |
Compare to PFE, LLY, OLMA, ATOS, VERU
In The Past
Celcuity's stock fell -82.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/28/2021. A -82.7% loss requires a 478.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Celcuity (CELC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Celcuity is like a **Foundation Medicine** for live tumor cells, using its CELsignia platform to identify the specific cellular processes driving a patient's cancer and match them with the most effective targeted therapy.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- CELsignia Diagnostic Platform: A diagnostic platform that analyzes living tumor cells to identify specific abnormal cellular processes and guide targeted therapy selection for cancer patients.
- Gedatolisib: A drug candidate, a PI3K/mTOR inhibitor, in development for the treatment of advanced or metastatic breast cancer.
- CELsignia MP Test: A qualitative laboratory developed test measuring HER2, c-Met, and PI3K signaling activity in breast and ovarian tumor cells.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Celcuity (CELC) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing molecularly targeted therapies and diagnostic tests for cancer patients. Given its stage of development, the company's products are not yet widely commercialized for direct sales to individual patients. Instead, its major customers would typically be other companies, strategic partners, or healthcare institutions for licensing, development, or future commercialization.
Based on the provided information, the company has had a significant customer relationship with:
- Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) - Celcuity had a license agreement with Pfizer for the development and commercialization rights to its drug candidate, Gedatolisib. This type of licensing arrangement signifies that Pfizer was a major customer, acquiring rights to Celcuity's intellectual property and drug candidate.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Catalent, Inc. (CTLT)
- Pfizer Inc. (PFE)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Brian Sullivan, Chief Executive Officer and Co-founder
Brian Sullivan has over 25 years of experience founding and building successful technology companies. He was Chairman and CEO of Sterilmed, a medical device company, from 2003 until its sale to Johnson & Johnson for $330 million in 2011. Previously, he co-founded and served as CEO of Recovery Engineering, a filtration company that he took public and subsequently sold to Procter & Gamble for $265 million in 1999. He has received 11 U.S. patents.
Vicky Hahne, Chief Financial Officer
Vicky Hahne brings over 20 years of financial leadership experience, including extensive work in the healthcare industry.
Lance Laing, PhD, Chief Science Officer and Co-founder
Lance Laing is a co-founder of Celcuity and has a career spanning more than 30 years in drug discovery research and technology development. He received his doctorate in biophysics and biochemistry from Johns Hopkins University. He has received multiple U.S. and international patents. His drug discovery research career began at Scriptgen/Anadys Pharmaceuticals (purchased by Novartis).
Igor Gorbatchevsky, MD, Chief Medical Officer
Igor Gorbatchevsky has over two decades of hands-on oncology drug development experience, including successful regulatory IND and NDA/BLA filings across several drug classes. Prior to joining Celcuity, he held leadership roles in clinical development at MEI Pharma, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Bayer Pharmaceuticals, and Daiichi-Sankyo. He received his MD and PhD in cell biology from Baylor College of Medicine.
Eldon Mayer, Chief Commercial Officer
Eldon Mayer serves as the Chief Commercial Officer for Celcuity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Celcuity (CELC), a clinical-stage biotechnology company, primarily revolve around the successful development, regulatory approval, and commercialization of its lead drug candidate, gedatolisib.
- Regulatory Approval and Commercialization Challenges: Celcuity's immediate future and valuation are heavily dependent on the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) approval of gedatolisib, particularly with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) target date of July 17, 2026. The company's stock is currently "priced for perfection," meaning any delays, additional clinical requirements, or a denial of approval could lead to a substantial decrease in share value. Even if gedatolisib receives regulatory approval, successful commercialization and broad market acceptance are not guaranteed, especially within the highly competitive oncology market where numerous existing treatment options are available to physicians and patients. There is also a risk that post-marketing trials might not confirm clinical benefits, potentially leading to a withdrawal of approval.
- Single-Asset Dependency: Celcuity's financial health and overall prospects are almost entirely tied to the success of its lead drug candidate, gedatolisib. While the company has other pipeline initiatives, such as the PIK3CA mutant cohort of the VIKTORIA-1 trial and prostate cancer trials, gedatolisib for HR+/HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer represents the most advanced and significant near-term catalyst. A failure of gedatolisib to secure approval or achieve market penetration would severely impact the company's outlook and stock performance.
- Financial Sustainability and Cash Burn: As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Celcuity currently generates no revenue and incurs a high cash burn rate to fund its research and development (R&D) activities and prepare for potential commercialization. Although Celcuity reported a strong cash position of approximately $455 million as of the third quarter of 2025, which has mitigated short-term financing risks, the increasing costs associated with transitioning to commercial operations are notable. Long-term financial sustainability hinges on generating significant revenue from gedatolisib; a failure to do so could necessitate future dilutive equity raises.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Celcuity Inc. (CELC) focuses on molecularly targeted therapies and diagnostics for cancer patients. The addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:
Gedatolisib
Celcuity's drug candidate, Gedatolisib, targets hormone receptor-positive (HR+), HER2-negative (HER2-), advanced or metastatic breast cancer, particularly in the second-line setting after patients have progressed on a CDK4/6 inhibitor.
- The estimated addressable market for Gedatolisib in the second-line setting for HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer is between $5 billion to $6 billion in the U.S.
- Celcuity projects potential peak revenues for Gedatolisib in this indication to be $2.5 billion to $3 billion.
- Approximately 37,000 patients in the U.S. with HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer who have progressed after treatment with a CDK4/6 inhibitor constitute the estimated addressable patient population for Gedatolisib.
CELsignia Diagnostic Platform / CELsignia MP Test
The CELsignia diagnostic platform and CELsignia MP test are designed to identify abnormal cellular processes and measure HER2, c-Met, and PI3K signaling activity in breast and ovarian tumor cells.
- The global breast cancer diagnostics market size was valued at approximately USD 20.14 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 40.71 billion by 2034. North America held the largest share of this market, at 45.77% in 2024.
- The global ovarian cancer diagnostics market size was valued at approximately USD 1.54 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 2.71 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the global market at USD 1.74 billion in 2024, expected to grow to USD 3.11 billion by 2033. North America accounted for the largest revenue share in the ovarian cancer diagnostics market, at 41.2% in 2023.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Celcuity (CELC) over the next 2-3 years:
- Commercialization of Gedatolisib for HR+/HER2- Advanced Breast Cancer: The primary driver of revenue growth is the anticipated commercial launch of Gedatolisib for hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative, PIK3CA wild-type advanced breast cancer. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has granted Priority Review for Celcuity's New Drug Application (NDA) for Gedatolisib, with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) decision date set for July 2026. This follows positive efficacy and safety results from the Phase 3 VIKTORIA-1 trial, which showed a substantial reduction in the risk of disease progression or death for patients. Management has projected potential peak revenues of $2.5 billion to $3 billion for this indication.
- Expansion of Gedatolisib into Additional Indications: Celcuity is actively pursuing the expansion of Gedatolisib into new patient populations and cancer types. This includes the ongoing Phase 3 VIKTORIA-2 clinical trial, evaluating Gedatolisib as a first-line treatment for patients with HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer. Additionally, a Phase 1/2 clinical trial (CELC-G-201) is evaluating Gedatolisib in combination with darolutamide for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. Successful development and regulatory approval for these expanded indications would significantly broaden the addressable market and drive subsequent revenue growth.
- International Market Expansion for Gedatolisib: Beyond the U.S. market, Celcuity plans to expand the commercialization of Gedatolisib internationally. The company is pursuing regulatory approvals in Europe and Japan, with a potential European Union (EU) approval anticipated by late 2027. This strategic geographic expansion will allow Celcuity to tap into larger global patient populations and generate additional revenue streams from these new markets.
- Leveraging the CELsignia Diagnostic Platform: Celcuity's proprietary CELsignia diagnostic platform, which identifies specific abnormal cellular processes driving a patient's cancer, is integral to its targeted therapy approach. While current revenue from diagnostic technology is minimal, the CELsignia platform is crucial for identifying patient populations for therapies like Gedatolisib and other pipeline candidates. Future revenue growth could stem from the broader adoption and commercialization of CELsignia tests, such as the CELsignia MP test for breast and ovarian tumor cells, potentially as companion diagnostics or through collaborations that demonstrate its value in personalizing cancer treatment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
Celcuity has not made any share repurchases over the last 3-5 years.
Share Issuance
- In July 2025, Celcuity announced proposed public offerings for $150 million in convertible senior notes due 2031 and $75 million in common stock, with options for underwriters to purchase additional amounts.
- In May 2024, the company priced an underwritten offering of 3,871,000 shares of common stock at $15.50 per share, raising $60 million.
- In June 2021, Celcuity completed an underwritten public offering of 2,250,000 shares of common stock at $25.00 per share, generating approximately $56.25 million in gross proceeds.
Inbound Investments
- In September 2025, Celcuity amended its senior secured credit facility with Innovatus Capital Partners, LLC and Oxford Finance LLC, increasing the total term loan facility to $500 million, with $350 million committed and an initial funding of $30 million received.
- Institutional investors, including BVF Partners L.P., Vivo Capital, and Eventide Asset Management, participated in the $60 million common stock offering in May 2024.
- As of November 2025, Avoro Capital Advisors LLC beneficially owned 6.72% of Celcuity's common stock, and Perceptive disclosed a 6.8% stake in February 2026.
Capital Expenditures
- Celcuity's capital expenditures are primarily directed towards research and development (R&D) and clinical trial activities for its lead therapeutic candidate, gedatolisib.
- R&D expenses increased from $60.6 million in 2023 to $104.2 million for the full year 2024.
- Capital expenditures were -$240,878 in the last 12 months, with the company expecting existing cash and borrowings to fund operating and capital expenditure requirements through at least the second half of 2026.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to CELC.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | PGNY | Progyny | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | CNC | Centene | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -0.6% |
| 03272026 | OSCR | Oscar Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.0% | 3.0% | -2.6% |
| 03202026 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.4% | -0.4% | -3.3% |
| 03202026 | GILD | Gilead Sciences | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.19 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -34 |
| FCF LTM | -27 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -31 |
| CFO LTM | -27 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -31 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 20.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -4.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 36.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 28.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| P/S | 7.6 |
| P/Op Inc | -1.5 |
| P/EBIT | -1.5 |
| P/E | -2.0 |
| P/CFO | -1.8 |
| Total Yield | -6.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -11.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 22.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 69.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -5.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $122.46 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 6.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/20/2017 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $111.62 | $79.43 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 9.7% | 54.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 47.5% | 180.6% |
| Downside Capture | 0.28 | -0.45 |
| Upside Capture | 192.98 | 245.57 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 27.7% | 9.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.18 | 0.95 | 0.91 | 1.40 | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| Up Beta | 2.08 | 1.13 | 2.04 | 3.39 | 0.89 | 1.22 |
| Down Beta | 1.38 | 0.76 | 0.56 | 0.70 | 1.74 | 1.48 |
| Up Capture | 186% | 141% | 144% | 317% | 420% | 146% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 34 | 66 | 140 | 382 |
| Down Capture | 53% | 70% | 45% | 24% | -85% | 49% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 19 | 29 | 60 | 109 | 360 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CELC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CELC | 1,095.8% | 179.9% | 1.87 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.6% | 16.0% | 0.39 | 2.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.1% | 12.9% | 1.32 | 9.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.9% | 27.5% | 1.49 | 1.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.2% | 16.2% | 1.40 | 7.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.5% | 13.7% | 0.93 | -4.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -7.8% | 42.6% | -0.08 | 9.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CELC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CELC | 33.8% | 100.7% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.4% | 14.6% | 0.25 | 11.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.8% | 17.1% | 0.49 | 15.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.6% | 17.8% | 1.04 | 3.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 5.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 18.8% | 0.14 | 8.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.2% | 56.5% | 0.31 | 9.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CELC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CELC | 23.7% | 91.4% | 0.60 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.8% | 16.5% | 0.48 | 13.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 17.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 2.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 6.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 12.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 9.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/25/2026 | 4.2% | 2.5% | |
| 11/12/2025 | 1.0% | 10.7% | 20.0% |
| 8/14/2025 | -0.2% | -2.9% | 6.1% |
| 3/31/2025 | -8.1% | -9.4% | 10.2% |
| 11/14/2024 | -10.3% | -9.8% | -11.1% |
| 8/14/2024 | -3.4% | 4.0% | -8.3% |
| 3/27/2024 | 18.9% | 9.6% | -12.3% |
| 11/13/2023 | 1.1% | 18.7% | 33.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -6.6% | -10.8% |
| Max Positive | 18.9% | 57.9% | 89.7% |
| Max Negative | -10.3% | -11.1% | -26.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Topline Data Availability | |||||||
| Q4 2025 NDA Submission | |||||||
| 2027 Cash Runway | |||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/12/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 NDA Submission | |||||||
| Q1 2026 Topline Data Availability | |||||||
| 2027 Cash Runway | |||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buller, Richard E | Trust | Sell | 12092025 | 105.69 | 3,000 | 317,070 | 714,464 | Form | |
| 2 | Buller, Richard E | Trust | Sell | 12032025 | 98.13 | 1,100 | 107,948 | 712,459 | Form | |
| 3 | Dalvey, David | Brightstone Venture Capital Fund, LP | Sell | 11242025 | 100.00 | 15,000 | 1,500,016 | 11,000,121 | Form | |
| 4 | Buller, Richard E | Trust | Sell | 11212025 | 96.73 | 3,900 | 377,255 | 702,274 | Form | |
| 5 | Baker, Bros. Advisors Lp | See Footnotes | Buy | 9102025 | 56.27 | 170,100 | 9,571,319 | 405,781,368 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.