Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -147 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 799%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 733%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 182%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -147 Mil
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 799%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 733%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 182%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CELC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Celcuity's (CELC) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Celcuity reported statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvements in primary endpoints from the PIK3CA wild-type cohort of its Phase 3 VIKTORIA-1 trial, with hazard ratios and improvements in median progression-free survival for its lead therapeutic candidate, gedatolisib, being described as unprecedented in HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer. 2. The company announced the completion of its New Drug Application (NDA) submission to the U.S. FDA for gedatolisib in HR+/HER2-/PIK3CA wild-type advanced breast cancer, with the FDA accepting the submission under the Real-Time Oncology Review (RTOR) program.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CELC Return-14%44%6%4%-10%709%895%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%3%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CELC Win Rate42%42%42%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CELC Max Drawdown-58%0%-59%-38%-18%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCELCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven478.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1172 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven166.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven270 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-69.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven224.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven560 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Celcuity's stock fell -82.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/28/2021. A -82.7% loss requires a 478.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Celcuity (CELC)

Better Bets than Celcuity (CELC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CELC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Celcuity

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CELCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameCelcuity Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price105.87457.362.631.1711.5421.9316.73
Mkt Cap4.6116.9----60.8
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-147-92-5--93-70-92
FCF LTM-1213,337-6--60-64-60
FCF 3Y Avg-762,064-10----10
CFO LTM-1203,718-6--60-64-60
CFO 3Y Avg-762,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

CELCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameCelcuity Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

CELCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameCelcuity Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap4.6116.9----60.8
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-4.322.4----9.1
P/E-3.927.2----11.7
P/CFO-4.826.9----11.0
Total Yield-25.5%3.7%-----10.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-16.2%2.3%-----6.9%
D/E0.20.0----0.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-----0.1

Returns

CELCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameCelcuity Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn45.0%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-15.8%
3M Rtn94.4%15.2%--14.5%-15.2%
6M Rtn798.7%3.1%----400.9%
12M Rtn733.0%-1.4%----365.8%
3Y Rtn1,213.5%44.0%----628.8%
1M Excs Rtn43.8%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-14.6%
3M Excs Rtn84.3%9.7%--10.8%-10.8%
6M Excs Rtn783.3%-12.4%----385.4%
12M Excs Rtn724.8%-15.2%----354.8%
3Y Excs Rtn1,028.4%-28.7%----499.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment191176861320
Total191176861320


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,709,486
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202513.4%
Average Daily Volume806,551
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.32
Basic Shares Quantity43,663,364
Short % of Basic Shares15.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021323202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021