Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 188%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -155%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -156%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
4  Key risks
CDZI key risks include [1] substantial legal, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 188%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -155%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -156%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
6 Key risks
CDZI key risks include [1] substantial legal, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CDZI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock movement for Cadiz (CDZI) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments. During this period, the stock saw a significant increase, with a closing price of $5.43 on December 16, 2025, up from $4.81 on November 13, 2025.

1. Significant Investment for Mojave Groundwater Bank Project: Cadiz secured a $51 million investment from the Lytton Rancheria of California for the Mojave Groundwater Bank Project. This investment, announced in October 2025 and highlighted in the Q3 2025 investor update on November 13, 2025, is the initial phase of construction financing and will convert into an ownership interest in Mojave Water Infrastructure Company (MWI).

2. Progress in Project Financing and Partnerships: The company is finalizing deals with public and private partners to fund projects and reach key milestones, and is in the final stages of securing up to an additional $400 million in equity capital from private infrastructure investors for the Mojave Groundwater Bank.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CDZI Return-3%-64%-35%12%86%4%-51%
Peers Return14%26%-16%5%8%8%49%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CDZI Win Rate42%25%58%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate60%67%38%48%52%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CDZI Max Drawdown-21%-67%-59%0%-23%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-9%-35%-18%-10%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AWK, XYL, WTRG, PNR, AWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCDZIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-89.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven826.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven245 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven360.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to CWT, MSEX, CWCO, AWK, WTRG


In The Past

Cadiz's stock fell -89.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/17/2021. A -89.2% loss requires a 826.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cadiz (CDZI)

Better Bets than Cadiz (CDZI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CDZI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cadiz

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CDZIAWKXYLWTRGPNRAWRMedian
NameCadiz American.Xylem Essentia.Pentair American. 
Mkt Price5.28134.01136.8839.01103.6674.1288.89
Mkt Cap0.426.133.311.017.02.914.0
Rev LTM165,0708,8942,3804,1286373,254
Op Inc LTM-251,8741,232921864197892
FCF LTM-25-1,097925-428783355
FCF 3Y Avg-25-1,006753-422675-47-36
CFO LTM-182,0351,273952850267901
CFO 3Y Avg-201,8861,053863748165805

Growth & Margins

CDZIAWKXYLWTRGPNRAWRMedian
NameCadiz American.Xylem Essentia.Pentair American. 
Rev Chg LTM188.3%12.3%5.6%21.4%0.8%10.3%11.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg153.0%10.0%18.9%5.0%0.2%10.2%10.1%
Rev Chg Q28.7%9.7%7.8%9.6%2.9%12.9%9.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.1%2.6%1.9%1.8%0.7%3.4%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-155.4%37.0%13.9%38.7%20.9%30.9%25.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-546.7%36.1%12.1%34.9%18.8%31.3%25.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM8.7%0.5%0.6%-0.1%0.5%0.0%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-114.0%40.1%14.3%40.0%20.6%41.8%30.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-528.9%41.3%13.0%39.1%18.2%27.1%22.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-155.7%-21.6%10.4%-18.0%19.0%5.5%-6.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-642.1%-22.0%9.2%-19.4%16.4%-8.2%-13.8%

Valuation

CDZIAWKXYLWTRGPNRAWRMedian
NameCadiz American.Xylem Essentia.Pentair American. 
Mkt Cap0.426.133.311.017.02.914.0
P/S27.15.44.04.74.44.44.6
P/EBIT-17.913.429.411.822.013.413.4
P/E-13.124.437.916.827.721.723.1
P/CFO-23.813.328.211.821.310.612.6
Total Yield-7.6%5.8%3.7%9.2%4.5%7.2%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.7%1.1%3.3%0.9%2.6%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.8%-3.8%2.5%-4.1%4.5%-1.5%-2.7%
D/E0.20.60.10.70.10.30.3
Net D/E0.20.60.00.70.10.30.3

Returns

CDZIAWKXYLWTRGPNRAWRMedian
NameCadiz American.Xylem Essentia.Pentair American. 
1M Rtn-6.9%1.0%-2.6%-2.3%1.8%0.4%-0.9%
3M Rtn31.3%-0.9%-2.6%5.5%-5.1%4.0%1.6%
6M Rtn76.0%-3.9%10.0%6.2%7.4%-3.6%6.8%
12M Rtn29.7%6.3%14.7%6.4%-0.7%-7.7%6.3%
3Y Rtn99.2%-6.0%29.1%-7.5%147.6%-14.7%11.5%
1M Excs Rtn-7.6%0.3%-3.4%-3.1%1.1%-0.3%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn23.8%-1.7%-4.8%4.4%-8.2%2.4%0.3%
6M Excs Rtn63.6%-16.3%-2.4%-6.2%-5.0%-16.0%-5.6%
12M Excs Rtn19.0%-5.1%3.8%-6.6%-13.4%-19.7%-5.9%
3Y Excs Rtn84.2%-77.2%-43.2%-79.9%65.4%-86.8%-60.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment  110
Total  110


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Land and Water Resources102107   
Water Filtration Technology53   
Total107111   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,126,305
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.7%
Average Daily Volume1,737,521
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.10
Basic Shares Quantity82,127,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024328202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021