Tearsheet

Cogent Communications (CCOI)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $18.84 | Market Cap: $896.8 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Alternative Carriers

Cogent Communications (CCOI)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $18.84
Market Cap: $896.8 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Alternative Carriers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -13%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 11%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 137%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Data Centers & Infrastructure.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 184x
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.9%
4   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Data Centers & Infrastructure.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -13%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 137%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 184x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.9%
9 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%
10 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CCOI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -50.9% stock movement for Cogent Communications (CCOI) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Significant Dividend Cut and Missed Revenue Expectations: Cogent Communications announced a drastic 98% cut in its quarterly dividend to $0.02 for Q4 2025, ending a 12-year streak of dividend increases. This decision, aimed at accelerating deleveraging, was a major blow to income investors. Concurrently, the company reported Q3 2025 service revenue of $241.9 million, which missed analyst estimates and represented a 1.7% sequential and 5.9% year-over-year decline.

2. Widespread Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions: Following the Q3 2025 earnings release and the dividend cut in early November, numerous prominent investment firms downgraded CCOI's rating and substantially lowered their price targets. Analysts from Wells Fargo, UBS, Keybanc, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup, among others, reduced their price targets by significant percentages (ranging from 24% to over 50%), contributing to a less favorable market outlook and investor sentiment. The consensus rating for the stock shifted towards "Hold" or "Reduce."

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CCOI Return-5%28%-17%41%7%-74%-61%
Peers Return18%19%-36%3%46%-1%34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CCOI Win Rate67%58%50%50%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate52%47%38%50%48%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CCOI Max Drawdown-16%-5%-30%0%-30%-77% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-5%-49%-34%-40%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSAT, LUMN, IRDM, UNIT, CCOI. See CCOI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCCOIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven504 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven107 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven886.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1793 days1480 days

Compare to TSAT, LUMN, IRDM, UNIT, CCOI


In The Past

Cogent Communications's stock fell -38.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -38.7% loss requires a 63.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cogent Communications (CCOI)

Better Bets than Cogent Communications (CCOI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CCOI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-25.1%-25.1%-25.6%
CCOI_5312020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312020CCOICogent CommunicationsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.3%3.4%-28.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-25.1%-25.1%-25.6%
CCOI_5312020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312020CCOICogent CommunicationsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.3%3.4%-28.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cogent Communications

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CCOITSATLUMNIRDMUNITMedian
NameCogent C.Telesat Lumen Te.Iridium .Uniti  
Mkt Price18.7528.008.7817.546.5717.54
Mkt Cap0.90.48.71.91.61.6
Rev LTM98845212,6908721,180988
Op Inc LTM-12690170233619170
FCF LTM-187-221,2263053838
FCF 3Y Avg-15159541279-4459
CFO LTM10954,864396376376
CFO 3Y Avg131363,837358376358

Growth & Margins

CCOITSATLUMNIRDMUNITMedian
NameCogent C.Telesat Lumen Te.Iridium .Uniti  
Rev Chg LTM-6.5%-25.8%-4.6%7.3%1.9%-4.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.1%-14.5%-11.6%8.6%1.7%1.7%
Rev Chg Q-5.9%-27.0%-4.2%6.7%2.0%-4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.5%-7.6%-1.0%1.7%0.5%-1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-12.7%19.9%1.3%26.7%52.4%19.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-11.8%49.9%5.2%19.2%51.9%19.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.5%-9.1%-1.9%1.3%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM1.0%21.1%38.3%45.5%31.8%31.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.2%21.8%28.9%43.3%32.5%28.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.9%-4.9%9.7%35.0%3.2%3.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.8%7.4%4.4%33.7%-3.9%4.4%

Valuation

CCOITSATLUMNIRDMUNITMedian
NameCogent C.Telesat Lumen Te.Iridium .Uniti  
Mkt Cap0.90.48.71.91.61.6
P/S1.80.90.52.10.90.9
P/EBIT-19.4-1.0-6.38.01.9-1.0
P/E-9.4-2.5-3.714.729.2-2.5
P/CFO183.64.11.34.72.74.1
Total Yield0.1%-39.8%-27.1%10.2%3.4%0.1%
Dividend Yield10.7%0.0%0.0%3.4%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.9%32.5%-8.5%9.6%-5.8%-5.8%
D/E1.58.42.91.06.02.9
Net D/E1.47.22.60.95.82.6

Returns

CCOITSATLUMNIRDMUNITMedian
NameCogent C.Telesat Lumen Te.Iridium .Uniti  
1M Rtn-53.0%5.3%-16.7%-1.6%9.5%-1.6%
3M Rtn-48.8%28.8%76.7%-28.2%5.1%5.1%
6M Rtn-59.3%73.8%121.7%-33.0%-8.1%-8.1%
12M Rtn-74.9%111.0%33.4%-41.4%-34.0%-34.0%
3Y Rtn-61.2%240.6%68.8%-63.6%-31.3%-31.3%
1M Excs Rtn-54.3%4.0%-18.0%-2.8%8.2%-2.8%
3M Excs Rtn-54.9%15.4%79.0%-35.4%-3.8%-3.8%
6M Excs Rtn-74.8%58.4%106.3%-48.4%-23.5%-23.5%
12M Excs Rtn-89.4%87.6%12.2%-54.6%-46.5%-46.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-133.6%155.8%-12.8%-137.5%-105.4%-105.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
On-net IP513453443419397
Off-net IP393146146148149
Non-core291110
Wavelength6    
Total941600590568546


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,676,850
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.5%
Average Daily Volume2,748,994
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.43
Basic Shares Quantity47,603,287
Short % of Basic Shares14.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021