Cerebras Systems (CBRS)
Market Price (9/19/2026): $198.65 | Market Cap: $30.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Cerebras Systems (CBRS)
Market Price (9/19/2026): $198.65Market Cap: $30.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include AI Chips. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -578 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -100% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 52x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -157% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 122% Key risksCBRS key risks include [1] an over-dependence on strategic partners for distribution and growth, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include AI Chips. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -578 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -100% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 52x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -157% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 122% |
| Key risksCBRS key risks include [1] an over-dependence on strategic partners for distribution and growth, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cerebras Systems (CBRS) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant GAAP Net Loss Primarily Driven by Stock-Based Compensation. Cerebras Systems reported a substantial GAAP net loss of $450.5 million in fiscal Q2 2026, a reversal from a profit in the prior year. This loss was largely attributed to $386.6 million in stock-based compensation. This overshadowed the company's strong core revenue performance, which more than doubled year-over-year to $210 million in the same quarter, exceeding analyst expectations. The company also reported a GAAP net loss of $14.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026.
2. Margin Pressure and Unimpressive Sequential Revenue Growth Guidance. The company experienced a decline in core gross margin, falling to 40.6% in fiscal Q2 2026 from 46.5% in fiscal Q1 2026. This pressure was partly due to Cerebras temporarily renting its own systems back from customers to meet high inference demand. Furthermore, the fiscal Q3 2026 core revenue guidance of $214 million to $216 million, implying only 2-3% sequential growth from fiscal Q2 2026, failed to impress investors and contributed to the stock's decline.
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Cerebras Systems (CBRS) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant GAAP Net Loss Primarily Driven by Stock-Based Compensation. Cerebras Systems reported a substantial GAAP net loss of $450.5 million in fiscal Q2 2026, a reversal from a profit in the prior year. This loss was largely attributed to $386.6 million in stock-based compensation. This overshadowed the company's strong core revenue performance, which more than doubled year-over-year to $210 million in the same quarter, exceeding analyst expectations. The company also reported a GAAP net loss of $14.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026.
2. Margin Pressure and Unimpressive Sequential Revenue Growth Guidance. The company experienced a decline in core gross margin, falling to 40.6% in fiscal Q2 2026 from 46.5% in fiscal Q1 2026. This pressure was partly due to Cerebras temporarily renting its own systems back from customers to meet high inference demand. Furthermore, the fiscal Q3 2026 core revenue guidance of $214 million to $216 million, implying only 2-3% sequential growth from fiscal Q2 2026, failed to impress investors and contributed to the stock's decline.
3. Substantial Insider Selling and IPO Lockup Expirations. Executives, including the CEO and CTO, engaged in significant insider trading activity, with sales totaling over $578 million. Notably, COO Dhiraj Mallick sold 38,889 shares for over $8.6 million on August 18, 2026. This, combined with the release of 14.6 million shares from an IPO lockup on September 16, 2026, and the eligibility of up to 84 million Class B shares for conversion and sale by the end of August 2026, created significant selling pressure and increased the tradable supply of the stock.
4. Securities Fraud Investigation. On July 2, 2026, Cerebras Systems became subject to a securities fraud investigation following allegations of potential violations of federal securities laws during its IPO process. This investigation stemmed from concerns raised after the company's fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, specifically regarding a strategy to lease its systems back from customers, which was projected to temporarily decrease core cloud service profit margins by 10 to 15 percentage points.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CBRS | -16.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.9% | 34.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | -0.7% | 50.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CBRS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 11.6% | 29.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 36.8% | 40.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CBRS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 19.4% | 29.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 45.1% | 40.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CBRS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 29.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 119.9% | 40.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CBRS Return | - | - | - | - | - | -38% | -38% |
| Peers Return | 66% | -45% | 126% | 58% | 46% | 110% | 903% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CBRS Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 40% | 70% | 62% | 55% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 44% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CBRS Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -55% | -21% | -38% | -42% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NVDA, AMD, INTC, AVGO, MRVL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
CBRS has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -17.0% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 100 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
CBRS has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 100 days | 105 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 106.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 797 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Cerebras Systems (CBRS)
Cerebras Systems (CBRS) builds high-speed AI infrastructure, focusing on accelerating both AI model training and inference. The company's core innovation is the Wafer-Scale Engine (WSE), a processor significantly larger and with vastly more memory bandwidth than conventional GPU-based solutions, enabling performance breakthroughs. Cerebras claims its technology delivers AI inference up to 15 times faster and training time-to-solution over 10 times faster than leading GPU systems.
Cerebras offers its solutions through multiple channels. Customers can purchase Cerebras AI supercomputers for on-premises deployment, access compute services via the Cerebras Cloud, or utilize their offerings through strategic cloud partners such as Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Marketplace, and IBM watsonx. They serve a diverse clientele including hyperscalers like AWS, leading foundation model labs such as OpenAI (who selected Cerebras for fast inference), AI-native businesses, enterprises, and Sovereign AI initiatives. Beyond infrastructure, Cerebras also provides AI services, co-developing advanced solutions with customers.
Operating within the rapidly expanding AI market, Cerebras is strategically positioned to capture growth in both AI training infrastructure and the even faster-growing AI inference market. Their differentiated speed and performance, powered by the unique WSE technology, provide a competitive advantage, leading to increased adoption and expanded spend from their existing customer base. The company aims to capitalize on the projected multi-hundred-billion-dollar AI market, which is experiencing significant annual growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Cerebras is like NVIDIA, but they've pioneered much larger 'wafer-scale' processors to make AI dramatically faster than traditional GPUs.
2. Think of Cerebras as a specialized high-performance engine builder for AI, designing groundbreaking 'wafer-scale' processors to deliver unprecedented speed for demanding AI tasks.
3. Cerebras is like a super-specialized Intel or NVIDIA, but they've developed a radically different 'wafer-scale' chip design to achieve extreme speed for AI.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Cerebras AI Supercomputers: On-premises hardware solutions for customers requiring full data and infrastructure control.
- Cerebras Cloud Compute: Cloud-based access to Cerebras's high-speed AI compute, available through consumption-based models on Cerebras Cloud or partner clouds.
- Cerebras High-Speed Inference Services: Services providing accelerated AI inference, accessible through various partner marketplaces and gateways for seamless integration into existing workflows.
- AI Co-development Services: Expert AI services to partner with customers in developing and optimizing solutions for complex AI challenges.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cerebras Systems primarily sells its AI infrastructure and services to other companies. Its major identified customers include:
- OpenAI
- Amazon Web Services (AWS), a subsidiary of Amazon (AMZN)
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Andrew Feldman, Co-Founder & CEO
Andrew Feldman is a distinguished entrepreneur and technology executive, currently serving as the co-founder and CEO of Cerebras Systems, which he co-founded in 2015. Prior to Cerebras, he co-founded and was CEO of SeaMicro, a pioneering company that developed energy-efficient, high-density microservers. He successfully led SeaMicro through its acquisition by AMD in 2012 for $334 million (or $355 million according to some sources). Following the acquisition, he served as Corporate Vice President at AMD, leading the Data Center Server Solutions group. His career also includes significant roles at Force10 Networks (acquired by Dell for $800 million) and Riverstone Networks, which went public in 2001. Feldman is known for his vision in challenging industry conventions and has been involved in selling multiple companies.
Bob Komin, Senior Vice President & CFO
Bob Komin serves as the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Cerebras Systems, an appointment announced in August 2024. His career spans over 30 years across all aspects of global finance, accounting, treasury, and investor relations at both growth-stage and public companies. From 2015 until 2020, Komin was CFO of Sunrun, where he led their IPO and oversaw significant growth. He also served as CFO of Flurry, which was acquired by Yahoo, and CFO of Tellme Networks, which was acquired by Microsoft for $800 million. Komin was also interim CEO, COO & CFO of Linden Lab/Second Life and CFO of Solexel.
Gary Lauterbach, Co-Founder & CTO
Gary Lauterbach is the co-founder and CTO of Cerebras Systems. He is widely recognized as one of the industry's leading computer architects and is renowned for pioneering AI-optimized hardware. Prior to Cerebras, Gary was co-founder and CTO of SeaMicro, where his inventions helped pioneer the microserver category. Following SeaMicro's acquisition by AMD in 2012, he was a Corporate Fellow and CTO for the server and server-CPU business units. Earlier in his career, he was a Distinguished Engineer at Sun Microsystems, where he was Chief Microprocessor Architect for the UltraSPARC III and UltraSPARC IV microprocessors. He holds more than 50 patents.
Sean Lie, Co-Founder & CTO
Sean Lie is a co-founder and CTO of Cerebras Systems. Prior to Cerebras, Sean was the Lead Hardware Architect of the IO virtualization fabric ASIC at SeaMicro. After SeaMicro was acquired by AMD, Sean was made an AMD Fellow and Chief Data Center Architect. He spent five years at AMD in their advanced architecture team earlier in his career. Sean is a computer architect specializing in hardware/software co-design and machine learning and has authored 16 patents in computer architecture.
Jean-Philippe Fricker, Co-Founder & Chief System Architect
Jean-Philippe (J.P.) Fricker is a co-founder and Chief System Architect at Cerebras Systems. Before co-founding Cerebras, J.P. was a Senior Hardware Architect at the rack-scale flash array startup DSSD (acquired by EMC). Prior to DSSD, J.P. was the Lead System Architect at SeaMicro, where he designed three generations of fabric-based computer systems. Earlier in his career, he was Director of Hardware Engineering at Alcatel-Lucent and Director of Hardware Engineering at Riverstone Networks. He has authored 24 patents.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
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Intense Competition from Established GPU Manufacturers and Hyperscalers
Cerebras Systems operates in a highly competitive market, directly challenging established players like NVIDIA, whose B200 chip is explicitly mentioned as a point of comparison for Cerebras's Wafer-Scale Engine. The company's success relies on its "incredible AI speeds" and performance breakthroughs compared to GPU-based solutions. While Cerebras highlights its speed advantages, the continuous innovation and market dominance of GPU manufacturers, alongside the significant resources and control of hyperscale cloud providers (some of whom are also Cerebras partners, like AWS), pose a constant threat. The company's ability to maintain its competitive edge in speed and efficiency against these well-entrenched and rapidly evolving competitors is a critical risk to its sustained growth and market share.
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Dependence on Strategic Partnerships and Customer Adoption for Growth and Distribution
Cerebras Systems relies heavily on strategic partnerships for both distribution and customer adoption. The background mentions key partners and customers like OpenAI, Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Marketplace, IBM watsonx Model Gateway, Vercel AI Gateway, OpenRouter, and Hugging Face. While these partnerships provide significant reach and validation, they also introduce a dependency. The loss of a major partner, a change in their strategic direction, or a failure to effectively integrate and scale through these channels could significantly impact Cerebras's ability to reach a broad customer base and achieve its growth targets. Furthermore, the rapid adoption of its "fast inference" solution by customers is crucial, and any slowdown in this adoption could hinder revenue expansion.
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Challenges in Sustaining Technological Lead and Wafer-Scale Integration Advantages
Cerebras's core innovation is the Wafer-Scale Engine (WSE), which is described as solving a "75-year-old compute industry problem." This technological breakthrough is the foundation of its performance claims. However, maintaining this significant technological lead is a continuous challenge in the fast-paced AI hardware industry. Competitors are constantly innovating, and there's a risk that other companies could develop alternative architectures or fabrication techniques that diminish Cerebras's unique advantages. The complexities associated with producing, yielding, powering, and cooling a chip of the WSE's size also present ongoing engineering and operational challenges that must be consistently overcome to ensure product reliability and cost-effectiveness.
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- Accelerated Adoption of AI and Overall Market Expansion: The AI solutions and services market is projected for significant growth, with investments expected to yield a global cumulative impact of $22.3 trillion by 2030, and the combined market for AI training infrastructure and inference estimated to grow from $251 billion in 2025 to $672 billion by 2029. Cerebras believes increased AI penetration, more frequent usage, and more complex applications will rapidly expand its addressable market.
- Expansion Through Strategic Partnerships and Cloud Deployments: Cerebras is strategically partnering with major industry players to broaden its reach. Notably, OpenAI selected Cerebras for fast inference, and Amazon Web Services (AWS) has committed to deploying Cerebras in its data centers, providing massive distribution to enterprises. Additionally, Cerebras's high-speed inference services are available through various partner clouds and marketplaces, including AWS Marketplace, Microsoft Marketplace, IBM watsonx Model Gateway, Vercel AI Gateway, OpenRouter, and Hugging Face, enabling seamless adoption within existing customer workflows.
- Continued Customer Growth and Increased Spend from Existing Clients: Cerebras demonstrates strong customer retention and expansion, with its top ten customers by year-to-date revenue through December 31, 2025, increasing their aggregate spend by approximately 80% within 12 months of their initial purchase, often including contracts for co-development. The company's ability to attract and grow revenue from existing customers, along with attracting new ones, signals strong product value and potential for sustained revenue growth.
- Differentiated Performance and Speed Advantage in AI Inference and Training: Cerebras's core innovation, the Wafer-Scale Engine (WSE), enables its AI solutions to deliver answers up to 15 times faster for inference and achieve more than 10 times faster training time-to-solution compared to leading GPU-based solutions. This superior speed and performance are critical for demanding AI applications, improve user engagement, lower operating costs, and open new markets, making it difficult for customers to revert to slower inference solutions once adopted.
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Peer Outperformance in Semiconductors
null| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electronic Manufacturing Services | 9 | 52.1% | 181.3% | 268.8% | TTMI 801% · FLEX 705% · SANM 419% |
| Technology Distributors | 9 | 28.9% | 72.0% | 93.7% | CLMB 332% · AVT 193% · SNX 146% |
| Semiconductor Materials & Equipment | 26 | 89.8% | 82.2% | 93.2% | AXTI 784% · AEHR 741% · KLAC 402% |
| Communications Equipment | 36 | 16.8% | 84.8% | 75.0% | AAOI 1310% · LITE 990% · FEIM 981% |
| Electronic Components | 26 | 32.0% | 62.1% | 64.5% | CLS 3836% · BELFA 1302% · COHR 425% |
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals | 20 | 33.3% | 77.5% | 50.2% | DELL 1135% · STX 1090% · SMCI 949% |
| Semiconductors ← | 55 | 20.4% | 28.8% | 38.4% | POET 1815% · MU 1302% · NVDA 919% |
| Internet Services & Infrastructure | 6 | 7.4% | 46.2% | 23.4% | DOCN 58% · VRSN 41% · GDDY 35% |
| Electronic Equipment & Instruments | 26 | -13.1% | 6.0% | -11.4% | PI 216% · ACFN 114% · OSIS 112% |
| IT Consulting & Other Services | 28 | -24.5% | -19.3% | -28.5% | CHRN 537268% · APLD 1258% · TSSI 669% |
| Application Software | 122 | -30.3% | -16.0% | -46.5% | VIDA 176264% · INLX 5435% · PLTR 519% |
| Systems Software | 68 | -17.7% | 7.9% | -55.7% | QNC 457% · ZETA 379% · PANW 358% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| The Biggest Risk To Cerebras Systems Stock Is Sitting Inside Its Backlog | 08/29/2026 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 233.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 554.3 |
| Rev LTM | 41,305 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,308 |
| FCF LTM | 2,831 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,076 |
| CFO LTM | 10,080 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,901 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 35.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 22.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 43.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 9.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 181.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 151.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 24.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.6% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.07 | 4.78 | 3.22 | 0.70 | -0.16 | 1.31 |
| Up Beta | 3.52 | 8.61 | 5.74 | 4.59 | -1.09 | 0.09 |
| Down Beta | 3.11 | 3.54 | -0.12 | -1.00 | -2.92 | 1.12 |
| Up Capture | 172% | 253% | 343% | 45% | 20% | 2% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 30 | 33 | 33 | 33 |
| Down Capture | 457% | 400% | 318% | 174% | 109% | 61% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 24 | 34 | 41 | 41 | 41 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CBRS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBRS | -36.3% | 121.6% | -0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 40.5% | 26.4% | 1.25 | 40.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.9% | 12.9% | 0.94 | 29.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 29.3% | 0.60 | 19.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.9% | 20.6% | 1.76 | 2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 13.6% | 0.10 | -17.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -34.5% | 43.9% | -0.84 | 14.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CBRS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBRS | -8.6% | 121.6% | -0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 20.2% | 25.9% | 0.69 | 40.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 29.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 19.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.3% | 19.5% | 0.45 | 2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.1% | 18.8% | -0.05 | -17.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.2% | 52.5% | 0.39 | 14.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CBRS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBRS | -4.4% | 121.6% | -0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 24.4% | 25.0% | 0.88 | 40.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 29.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.61 | 19.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 20.7% | 0.18 | -17.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 61.7% | 66.1% | 1.02 | 14.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/13/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Core Revenue | Reported | 214.00 Mil | 215.00 Mil | 216.00 Mil | 10.8% | Higher New | Actual: 194.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 Gross Profit | Calculated | 81.32 Mil | 83.85 Mil | 86.40 Mil | Rev x Gross Margin | |||
| Q3 2026 Core Gross Margin | Reported | 38.0% | 39.0% | 40.0% | 2.0% | Higher New | Actual: 37.0% for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 Core Operating Margin | Reported | -25.0% | -24.0% | -23.0% | 7.0% | Higher New | Actual: -31.0% for Q2 2026 | |
| 2026 Core Revenue | Reported | 880.00 Mil | 885.00 Mil | 890.00 Mil | 2.9% | Raised | Guidance: 860.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Gross Profit | Calculated | 360.80 Mil | 371.70 Mil | 382.70 Mil | Rev x Gross Margin | |||
| 2026 Core Gross Margin | Reported | 41.0% | 42.0% | 43.0% | 2.5% | Raised | Guidance: 39.5% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Core Operating Margin | Reported | -19.0% | -18.0% | -17.0% | 12.0% | Raised | Guidance: -30.0% for 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 9/10/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vassallo, Steven | Revocable Trust | Sell | 9082026 | 210.30 | 50,000 | 10,515,135 | 36,167,229 | Form | |
| 2 | Lie, Sean | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 9082026 | 210.16 | 53,460 | 11,235,154 | 72,624,781 | Form |
| 3 | Feldman, Andrew D | CEO, President | Direct | Sell | 9082026 | 210.46 | 37,441 | 7,879,687 | 3,546,817 | Form |
| 4 | Feldman, Andrew D | CEO, President | Direct | Sell | 8252026 | 199.27 | 237,559 | 47,338,835 | 3,358,329 | Form |
| 5 | Patel, Yagnesh | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 8202026 | 222.22 | 4,574 | 1,016,445 | 3,705,780 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vassallo, Steven | Revocable Trust | Sell | 9082026 | 210.30 | 50,000 | 10,515,135 | 36,167,229 | Form | |
| 2 | Lie, Sean | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 9082026 | 210.16 | 53,460 | 11,235,154 | 72,624,781 | Form |
| 3 | Feldman, Andrew D | CEO, President | Direct | Sell | 9082026 | 210.46 | 37,441 | 7,879,687 | 3,546,817 | Form |
| 4 | Feldman, Andrew D | CEO, President | Direct | Sell | 8252026 | 199.27 | 237,559 | 47,338,835 | 3,358,329 | Form |
| 5 | Patel, Yagnesh | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 8202026 | 222.22 | 4,574 | 1,016,445 | 3,705,780 | Form |
| 6 | Mallick, Dhiraj | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8202026 | 222.22 | 38,889 | 8,642,077 | 26,666,905 | Form |
| 7 | Lie, Sean | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 8202026 | 222.22 | 21,257 | 4,723,765 | 132,321,653 | Form |
| 8 | Feldman, Andrew D | CEO, President | Direct | Sell | 8192026 | 222.22 | 26,644 | 5,920,937 | 14,856,342 | Form |
| 9 | Vishria, Eric | See Footnote | Sell | 8192026 | 229.77 | 68,268 | 15,685,957 | 7,210,881 | Form | |
| 10 | Vassallo, Steven | Revocable Trust | Sell | 8182026 | 218.18 | 50,000 | 10,909,101 | 10,821,610 | Form | |
| 11 | Mallick, Dhiraj | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 7012026 | 206.51 | 10,000 | Form | ||
| 12 | Mallick, Dhiraj | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 6292026 | 173.73 | 20,000 | Form | ||
| 13 | Patel, Yagnesh | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 6292026 | 174.03 | 3,954 | Form | ||
| 14 | Mallick, Dhiraj | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 6292026 | 184.89 | 13,314 | 2,461,593 | 3,697,752 | Form |
| 15 | Patel, Yagnesh | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 6292026 | 189.36 | 46 | 8,711 | 748,729 | Form |
| 16 | Patel, Yagnesh | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 6292026 | 171.53 | 6,079 | 1,042,704 | 686,102 | Form |
| 17 | Feldman, Andrew D | CEO, President | Direct | Sell | 6292026 | 173.06 | 17,990 | Form | ||
| 18 | Lie, Sean | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 6292026 | 170.07 | 10,033 | Form | ||
| 19 | Mallick, Dhiraj | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 6242026 | 169.28 | 36,131 | 6,116,197 | 5,639,339 | Form |
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