Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -31 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -61%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -57%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -60%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%

Key risks
CARL key risks include [1] its current lack of profitability and high operating losses, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -31 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -61%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -57%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -60%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
7 Key risks
CARL key risks include [1] its current lack of profitability and high operating losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Carlsmed (CARL) stock has lost about 25% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Persistent Unprofitability Despite Strong Revenue Growth. Carlsmed reported robust revenue growth, with Q4 2025 revenue increasing by 61.2% year-over-year to $15.2 million, surpassing analyst estimates. Full-year 2025 revenue also grew significantly by 86% to $50.5 million. However, the company remained unprofitable, reporting a net loss of ($29.6) million for the full year 2025. This continued unprofitability, despite strong top-line expansion and rising operating expenses, likely contributed to investor concerns regarding the company's path to sustainable earnings.

2. 2026 Revenue Guidance Aligned with Expectations, Lacking Upside Surprise. Carlsmed provided 2026 revenue guidance in the range of $70 million to $75 million, which at its midpoint represents a 44% growth over 2025. While this indicates continued growth, the guidance was largely in line with existing analyst consensus estimates of approximately $71.7 million. This lack of a significant upside surprise in the forward-looking guidance may have led to a "sell the news" reaction, as the stock experienced a 3.83% drop with 6.8 times higher volume on the day of the Q4 2025 earnings report despite beating revenue and EPS estimates.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -23.7% change in CARL stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -82.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120265032026Change
Stock Price ($)12.429.48-23.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)510.0%
P/S Multiple5.00.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)527-82.8%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARL-23.7% 
Market (SPY)3.6%38.1%
Sector (XLV)-5.8%28.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.5% change in CARL stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -82.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120255032026Change
Stock Price ($)12.899.48-26.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)510.0%
P/S Multiple5.00.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)527-82.8%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARL-26.5% 
Market (SPY)5.5%29.9%
Sector (XLV)1.5%25.4%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARL  
Market (SPY)30.4%26.4%
Sector (XLV)5.2%18.8%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARL  
Market (SPY)78.7%26.4%
Sector (XLV)14.3%18.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CARL Return-----15%-28%-39%
Peers Return-8%-11%-1%13%29%-20%-4%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%5%92%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CARL Win Rate----33%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%53%52%53%45%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CARL Max Drawdown-----18%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-36%-26%-18%-17%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GMED, ATEC, OFIX, MDT, SYK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CARL has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

EventXLVS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven142 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-13.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven166 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-27.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.6%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven191 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.9%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven165 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-15.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven153 days123 days

Compare to GMED, ATEC, OFIX, MDT, SYK

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

CARL has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

EventXLVS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-27.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-37.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven767 days1085 days

Compare to GMED, ATEC, OFIX, MDT, SYK

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Carlsmed (CARL)

We are a commercial-stage medical technology company pioneering AI-enabled personalized spine surgery solutions with a mission to improve outcomes and decrease the cost of healthcare for spine surgery and beyond. We are focused on becoming the standard of care for spine fusion surgery. The aprevo Technology Platform consists of artificial intelligence (“AI”)-enabled software solutions, and interbody implants that we custom design for each patient’s unique pathology and vertebral bone topography, and single-use surgical instruments (the “aprevo Technology Platform”). The aprevo Technology Platform was designed to address the limitations of traditional spine fusion surgery and aims to optimize patient outcomes and reduce the need for revision surgeries. By providing personalized surgical plans and interbody implants for custom vertebral fit that are powered by AI-enabled, outcomes-based algorithms, the aprevo Technology Platform supports surgeons in achieving proper spinal alignment for patients with degenerative disc disease (“DDD”), which can improve clinical outcomes and reduce the likelihood of revision surgeries. We currently market the aprevo Technology Platform for lumbar spine fusion surgery, and we are further developing the aprevo Technology Platform for use in cervical spine fusion surgeries, which we expect to commercialize in 2026. DDD is the progressive breakdown of spinal discs that are interposed between vertebrae to provide mobility and shock absorption. The disease occurs naturally with age and can be accelerated by factors such as injury, repetitive loading, obesity, or genetic predisposition. Adult spinal deformity (“ASD”) is a more severe form of DDD and is a condition where the spine has systematic structural abnormalities and/or abnormal curvature often affecting multiple levels of the spine. These conditions often cause a loss of disc height and spine function, and lead to chronic pain, disability, and other chronic spinal pathologies, significantly impacting patients’ lives. As the conditions progress and patients experience debilitating pain or disabilities, surgical intervention may become necessary. One study estimated that the overall prevalence of diagnosed DDD was 27.3% for individuals over the age of 65, and increased with age (Parenteau et al., 2021). Non-surgical interventions are typically the first line of treatment for DDD and are aimed at managing symptoms and slowing disease progression without invasive procedures. When non-surgical treatments fail to alleviate debilitating symptoms or disabilities, surgical interventions may become necessary. The most common surgical intervention and current standard of care is traditional spine fusion, which we define as a spine fusion procedure with stock implants that are fixed in size and shape. According to the SmartTRAK Report, there will be approximately 445,200 lumbar fusion surgeries and approximately 372,600 cervical fusion surgeries performed in the United States in 2025. Despite its wide adoption, we believe traditional spine fusion surgery has several limitations and can lead to poor clinical outcomes. First, traditional spine fusion often lacks robust pre-operative planning, relying on two-dimensional (“2D”) imaging without advanced tools, such as three-dimensional (“3D”) modeling. This limits the surgeon’s ability to plan for optimal correction. Second, the stock implants that are used during surgery are largely symmetric in shape and only come in pre-defined dimensions, which often fail to match the unique anatomy of each patient and can lead to unpredictable alignment. During the surgery, the surgeon must visually choose the correct stock implant from dozens of options, which involves a prolonged trialing process, and which we believe elevates the risk of secondary complications. Finally, post-operatively, there is no integrated means for reconciling achieved outcomes against surgical objectives and utilizing these insights systematically to improve future surgical plans. As a result of these limitations, traditional spine fusion surgery can fail to achieve proper alignment, leading to post-operative complications and increasing the likelihood of revision surgery. Recent publications on traditional spine fusion report rates of revision surgery for mechanical complications between 14% and 32% over a mean postoperative period of one to two years in ASD patients (Kent et al., 2024). We believe that these limitations and poor clinical outcomes not only impair patients’ health and quality of life but also impose a significant economic burden on the healthcare system with the direct and indirect costs of a revision surgery frequently exceeding $100,000 (Raman et al., 2018). The aprevo Technology Platform represents an end-to-end, integrated digital technology platform designed to deliver better surgical results, reduce the need for revision surgery, and improve long-term outcomes. The aprevo Technology Platform is the first available solution to provide personalized digital surgical plans and the accompanying aprevo interbody implants that are tailored to each patient’s unique pathology and vertebral bone topography. Our pre-operative planning software utilizes standard-of-care diagnostic imaging in combination with our AI-enabled algorithms to develop personalized digital surgical plans, allowing us to design aprevo interbody implants for each patient’s unique pathology and anatomy. Additionally, the aprevo Technology Platform supports the collection of post-operative data to inform our digital surgical planning process. The aprevo Technology Platform is 510(k) cleared by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) and commercially available in the United States for lumbar interbody fusion surgeries. Procedures using our aprevo interbody implants are covered by Medicare, Medicare Advantage, and commercial payors; these are generally mapped to MS-DRG codes that provide for premium reimbursement for most spine fusion surgeries that utilize aprevo interbody implants relative to those that use stock implants. We believe this also helps drive surgeon adoption while also supporting patient access to our patient-centric technology. While our current commercial focus is on the U.S. market, we plan to engage in market access initiatives for strategic international regions. We are also developing our aprevo Technology Platform for use in cervical spine fusion surgeries, and in July 2025 successfully completed the first in-human personalized cervical procedure in the United States using our aprevo Technology Platform. In November 2024, we received FDA 510(k) clearance for our aprevo interbody implants for cervical interbody fusion surgeries after previously receiving FDA Breakthrough Device Designation for this technology. In 2025, we plan to continue to build our aprevo Technology Platform for cervical fusion procedures by pursuing additional clearances for advancements to our cervical software platform and our personalized plating solutions. However, there is no guarantee that our cervical software platform and our personalized plating solutions will obtain FDA clearance on the expected timeline, or at all. Assuming we get the necessary additional clearances, we expect to commercialize the aprevo Technology Platform for cervical fusion surgery in 2026. In April 2025, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (“CMS”) announced proposed ICD-10-PCS (“X-codes”) for the use of custom-made anatomically designed fusion devices for cervical spine fusion surgeries. While there is no guarantee that this proposal will be approved in its current form, if approved in the CMS Final Rule, these X-codes will identify claims that are eligible for hospitals to receive NTAP of up to $21,125 per cervical spine fusion procedure. We estimate there is a total addressable market of approximately $13.4 billion for our aprevo Technology Platform in the United States, based on our current average selling price and the approximately 445,200 lumbar fusion surgeries that are expected to be performed in the United States in 2025, according to the SmartTRAK Report. Our total addressable market is the total overall revenue opportunity that we believe is available for the aprevo Technology Platform in the United States if we achieve 100% market share for lumbar fusion surgeries and is not a representation that we will achieve such market share. We estimate there are approximately 4,000 surgeons across the United States whose patients could benefit from using the aprevo Technology Platform (Moore et al., 2021). As of March 31, 2025, 177 surgeon users had completed one or more procedures using the aprevo Technology Platform, compared to 103 surgeon users as of March 31, 2024. As of June 30, 2025, 199 surgeon users had completed one or more procedures using the aprevo Technology Platform, compared to 116 surgeon users as of June 30, 2024. We believe this suggests ample opportunity to grow our surgeon user base and further penetrate the market by capturing more surgeons across the United States. --- We market and sell the aprevo Technology Platform to hospitals through a combination of our direct sales team and independent sales agents. Our direct sales team consists of Area Business Directors, Regional Sales Directors, Account Managers, and Strategic and National Account leadership, who are primarily responsible for selling the aprevo Technology Platform to surgeons and working with hospitals to secure product approval. They are also responsible for recruiting independent sales agents that cover each surgery, generating leads, and training clinics. We plan to grow our commercial infrastructure, including both our direct sales team and our number of independent sales agents, and expand various market access initiatives, including utilizing medical education programs and surgeon training at top academic institutions. A large body of evidence supports the clinical benefits of the aprevo Technology Platform for spine fusion, including seven peer-reviewed clinical data publications and 12 peer-reviewed clinical data abstracts. Across the various studies and publications, the aprevo Technology Platform has shown favorable results in two of the most critical success measures in spine fusion surgery: (1) achieving proper post-operative alignment and (2) obviating the need for revision surgery due to implant related complications. We continue to develop our growing base of clinical and patient reported outcomes to serve as evidence of the aprevo Technology Platform’s value to all key stakeholders, including patients, clinicians, hospitals, and payors. For example, we are currently conducting a 338-patient study, our COMPASS Registry, to track clinical outcomes from procedures using the aprevo Technology Platform in both DDD and ASD patients. Based on interim data from the first 67 ASD patients in our COMPASS Registry, these patients demonstrated improved alignment and reduced mechanical complications post-operatively, with a revision rate of 1.5% at one-year follow-up that were attributable to mechanical complications unrelated to the aprevo interbody implant (Kent et al., 2024). We have experienced sequential quarterly and annual revenue growth driven primarily by growth in our surgeon user base and increased utilization by our existing surgeon users. Our principal executive offices are located in Carlsbad, CA.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Carlsmed:

  • Invisalign for spine implants
  • Warby Parker for spine implants

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • aprevo AI-enabled Software Solutions: This software utilizes AI algorithms and diagnostic imaging to develop personalized digital surgical plans for spine fusion procedures.
  • aprevo Interbody Implants: These are custom-designed interbody implants tailored to each patient's unique pathology and vertebral bone topography for optimal spine fusion.
  • aprevo Single-Use Surgical Instruments: These specialized instruments are provided as part of the aprevo Technology Platform to facilitate precise spine fusion surgeries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Carlsmed (CARL) primarily sells its aprevo Technology Platform to hospitals.

The provided company description does not list the names of specific hospital systems or individual hospitals that are its major customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Mike Cordonnier, Co-Founder, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board

Mike Cordonnier co-founded Carlsmed in 2018. He has over two decades of leadership experience introducing groundbreaking medical technologies across both private and public organizations, including NuVasive, Ellipse Technologies, Zimmer Biomet, Orchid Orthopedics, and X-Spine Systems. He led the commercialization of the PRECICE deformity correction technology for Ellipse Technologies, which was subsequently acquired by NuVasive. Before Ellipse, he was responsible for the development and successful launch of the patient-specific digital dentistry business at Zimmer Biomet.

Leo Greenstein, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Leo Greenstein brings over two decades of strategic financial leadership experience from the surgical device, biotechnology, and oncology diagnostics sectors. Prior to joining Carlsmed, he served as CFO of Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., where he was instrumental in guiding the company through significant growth and its IPO in October 2020. He is a Certified Public Accountant and a member of the California State Bar.

Niall Casey, Co-Founder, Chief Intellectual Property Officer, and Director

Niall Casey co-founded Carlsmed with Mike Cordonnier in 2018. He possesses extensive expertise in the spine industry, having held technology leadership roles at companies such as Alphatec Spine, Ellipse Technologies, NuVasive, and Johnson & Johnson DePuy Synthes Spine.

Scott Durall, Chief Commercial Officer

Scott Durall has more than 30 years of experience in the medical device industry, with a background that includes leadership positions in sales, marketing, and corporate strategy at companies such as U.S. Surgical.

Jennifer Kamocsay, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary

Jennifer Kamocsay serves as the Chief Legal Officer at Carlsmed and is also the Secretary of the Carlsmed Board of Directors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The key risks to Carlsmed's business include:

  1. Failure to Obtain Timely FDA Clearances for Cervical Products: Carlsmed's planned commercialization of its aprevo Technology Platform for cervical fusion surgery in 2026 is contingent upon obtaining additional FDA clearances for its cervical software platform and personalized plating solutions. The company explicitly states there is "no guarantee that our cervical software platform and our personalized plating solutions will obtain FDA clearance on the expected timeline, or at all." Failure to secure these clearances could significantly delay or prevent entry into the cervical spine fusion market, a key growth area for the company.

  2. Uncertainty of CMS X-code Approval for Cervical Procedures: Carlsmed's potential for enhanced reimbursement and market adoption for its cervical spine fusion technology is linked to the proposed CMS ICD-10-PCS ("X-codes") for custom-made anatomically designed fusion devices. These X-codes, if approved, could enable hospitals to receive additional New Technology Add-on Payments (NTAP) of up to $21,125 per procedure. However, the company notes, "there is no guarantee that this proposal will be approved in its current form." Without this premium reimbursement, the financial incentive for hospitals to adopt the aprevo Technology Platform for cervical fusions might be reduced, potentially hindering market penetration and revenue growth in this segment.

  3. Challenges in Expanding Surgeon Adoption and Market Penetration: Despite the perceived benefits of the aprevo Technology Platform over traditional spine fusion surgery, Carlsmed faces the ongoing challenge of expanding its surgeon user base. As of June 30, 2025, the company had 199 surgeon users compared to an estimated 4,000 surgeons across the United States whose patients could benefit from the technology. Successfully growing this user base and overcoming the inertia associated with established traditional surgical methods is crucial for achieving its estimated $13.4 billion total addressable market in the United States and driving sustained revenue growth.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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The total addressable market for Carlsmed's aprevo Technology Platform in the United States is approximately $13.4 billion. This estimate is based on the projected 445,200 lumbar fusion surgeries in the United States in 2025 and the company's current average selling price.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The following are expected drivers of future revenue growth for Carlsmed over the next 2-3 years:
  • Commercialization of the aprevo Technology Platform for cervical spine fusion surgeries: Carlsmed expects to commercialize its aprevo Technology Platform for cervical spine fusion surgeries in 2026, following successful completion of the first in-human personalized cervical procedure in July 2025 and FDA 510(k) clearance for its aprevo interbody implants for cervical interbody fusion surgeries in November 2024.
  • Expansion of the surgeon user base and increased utilization in lumbar spine fusion: The company sees ample opportunity to grow its surgeon user base, noting an increase from 103 surgeon users as of March 31, 2024, to 177 as of March 31, 2025, and from 116 to 199 surgeon users as of June 30, 2025. This indicates continued market penetration and adoption of their aprevo Technology Platform for lumbar spine fusion.
  • Potential favorable reimbursement for cervical spine fusion surgeries through CMS X-codes: In April 2025, CMS announced proposed ICD-10-PCS (X-codes) for custom-made anatomically designed fusion devices for cervical spine fusion surgeries. If approved, these X-codes could make hospitals eligible for NTAP of up to $21,125 per cervical spine fusion procedure, which is expected to drive surgeon adoption and patient access.
  • Expansion into strategic international markets: While currently focused on the U.S. market, Carlsmed plans to engage in market access initiatives for strategic international regions, opening up new geographical markets for its aprevo Technology Platform.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Carlsmed has no history of share buybacks.

Share Issuance

  • Carlsmed completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in July 2025, offering 6,700,000 shares of common stock at an initial public offering price of $15.00 per share.
  • The gross proceeds from the IPO were approximately $100.5 million, before deducting underwriting discounts, commissions, and other offering expenses.
  • Underwriters were granted a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,005,000 shares of common stock at the initial public offering price.

Inbound Investments

  • In March 2024, Carlsmed raised $52.5 million in venture capital funding through a Series C round co-led by B Capital and U.S. Venture Partners.
  • The company's Initial Public Offering in July 2025 also served as a significant inbound investment, raising over $100 million and materially strengthening its financial position for growth investments.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Carlsmed Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to CARL.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEHC_4302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302026GEHCGE HealthCare TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
IQV_4302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
UHS_4302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302026UHSUniversal Health ServicesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ABT_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302026ABTAbbott LaboratoriesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ZBIO_4302026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K04302026ZBIOZenas BioPharmaInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CARLGMEDATECOFIXMDTSYKMedian
NameCarlsmed Globus M.Alphatec Orthofix.MedtronicStryker  
Mkt Price9.4891.3410.4311.9180.00294.7345.95
Mkt Cap0.312.31.60.5102.6112.76.9
Rev LTM512,93976482235,48325,1161,881
Op Inc LTM-31537-58-836,6115,059253
FCF LTM-30579-4-15,4104,283289
FCF 3Y Avg-383-103-395,2693,635383
CFO LTM-2975345337,2855,044399
CFO 3Y Avg-506-2647,0164,332506

Growth & Margins

CARLGMEDATECOFIXMDTSYKMedian
NameCarlsmed Globus M.Alphatec Orthofix.MedtronicStryker  
Rev Chg LTM85.9%16.7%25.0%2.9%6.9%11.2%13.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-43.5%29.7%24.0%4.9%10.8%24.0%
Rev Chg Q61.2%25.7%20.4%2.0%8.7%11.4%15.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.9%6.1%5.0%0.5%2.1%3.0%4.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM-26.7%144.9%52.8%-6.2%11.1%8.4%9.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-46.3%15.8%-113.2%5.3%17.8%15.8%
Op Mgn LTM-60.5%18.3%-7.6%-10.0%18.6%20.1%5.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.3%-19.5%-12.7%18.5%20.0%13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.5%2.6%2.5%1.5%-0.7%0.5%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-57.4%25.6%5.9%4.1%20.5%20.1%13.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-20.6%-5.9%0.4%20.8%19.0%19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-60.1%19.7%-0.6%-0.2%15.2%17.1%7.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15.4%-19.1%-5.2%15.7%15.9%15.4%

Valuation

CARLGMEDATECOFIXMDTSYKMedian
NameCarlsmed Globus M.Alphatec Orthofix.MedtronicStryker  
Mkt Cap0.312.31.60.5102.6112.76.9
P/S5.04.22.10.62.94.53.5
P/Op Inc-8.322.9-27.4-5.815.522.34.9
P/EBIT-9.022.9-16.3-6.516.322.04.9
P/E-8.522.8-11.1-5.222.234.78.5
P/CFO-8.716.335.114.314.122.415.3
Total Yield-11.7%4.4%-9.0%-19.3%8.0%4.0%-2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.5%1.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.6%-6.2%-7.7%4.7%2.8%2.8%
D/E0.10.00.40.40.30.10.2
Net D/E-0.4-0.00.30.20.20.10.1

Returns

CARLGMEDATECOFIXMDTSYKMedian
NameCarlsmed Globus M.Alphatec Orthofix.MedtronicStryker  
1M Rtn-2.6%3.9%-3.7%3.3%-7.7%-11.1%-3.1%
3M Rtn-23.7%0.7%-29.7%-10.0%-21.7%-20.0%-20.8%
6M Rtn-26.5%51.3%-45.1%-22.9%-10.4%-16.8%-19.8%
12M Rtn-34.6%27.0%-13.1%-13.6%-2.7%-21.3%-13.4%
3Y Rtn-34.6%61.4%-28.9%-34.1%-1.2%6.6%-15.0%
1M Excs Rtn-11.5%-5.9%-17.3%-7.4%-17.0%-20.5%-14.3%
3M Excs Rtn-27.9%-3.5%-33.9%-14.2%-25.9%-24.2%-25.0%
6M Excs Rtn-29.1%43.6%-41.7%-27.2%-16.4%-24.8%-26.0%
12M Excs Rtn-64.4%-2.6%-34.8%-44.2%-32.4%-50.2%-39.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-112.9%-19.8%-108.2%-113.6%-80.2%-76.7%-94.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Designing, manufacturing, and marketing of aprevo, a comprehensive technology platform for spine2714
Total2714


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Designing, manufacturing, and marketing of aprevo, a comprehensive technology platform for spine-24-19
Total-24-19


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-26.4%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity26.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/25/202615.9%3.4%-21.5%
11/6/202514.9%7.0%8.8%
8/28/2025-2.8%-6.9%-1.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive221
# Negative112
Median Positive15.4%5.2%8.8%
Median Negative-2.8%-6.9%-11.6%
Max Positive15.9%7.0%8.8%
Max Negative-2.8%-6.9%-21.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/28/202510-Q
03/31/202507/24/2025424B4

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue70.00 Mil72.50 Mil75.00 Mil46.5% Higher NewActual: 49.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Revenue Growth 44.0% -46.3%-38.0%LoweredGuidance: 82.0% for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Revenue49.00 Mil49.50 Mil50.00 Mil6.5% RaisedGuidance: 46.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Revenue Growth80.0%82.0%84.0%15.5%11.0%RaisedGuidance: 71.0% for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Cordonnier, MichaelCEO, PresidentDirectSell304202613.29197,8552,629,88918,032,539Form
2B, Capital Group Management, LP B Capital Global Growth III, L.P.Buy724202515.001,333,33319,999,99575,207,585Form
3Sidow, Kevin DirectBuy724202515.0013,333199,995893,490Form
4Mittendorff, Robert II See footnotesBuy724202515.001,333,33319,999,99575,207,585Form
5Root, Jonathan D DirectBuy724202515.00466,6666,999,9907,259,985Form