Tearsheet

Carlsmed (CARL)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $13.71 | Market Cap: $289.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Technology

Carlsmed (CARL)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $13.71
Market Cap: $289.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Technology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -58%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -65%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%
3   Key risks
CARL key risks include [1] its current lack of profitability and high operating losses, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -58%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -65%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%
6 Key risks
CARL key risks include [1] its current lack of profitability and high operating losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CARL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the movement of Carlsmed (CARL) stock from August 31, 2025, to today:

<b>1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Raised Guidance.</b> Carlsmed reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 6, 2025, with revenue reaching $13.1 million, representing a 98% year-over-year growth. Following this strong performance, the company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to between $49 million and $50 million, signaling a positive outlook to investors.

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<b>2. U.S. Commercial Launch of aprevo® Cervical Technology Platform.</b> In early December 2025, Carlsmed announced the U.S. commercial launch of its aprevo® Technology Platform for cervical fusion surgeries. This expansion into the cervical spine market, following FDA 510(k) clearance in December 2024, represents a significant growth opportunity for the company.

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<b>3. Inclusion in the Russell 2000® Index.</b> Around September 2025, Carlsmed was selected for inclusion in the Russell 2000® Index. Inclusion in such a prominent index can increase a company's visibility to institutional investors and potentially lead to higher trading volumes and demand for its stock.

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<b>4. Positive Analyst Ratings and Price Targets.</b> As of November 2025, financial analysts maintained a consensus "Strong Buy" rating for CARL stock. The average 12-month price target was set at $20.25, suggesting a significant potential upside of approximately 47.70% from recent prices, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future performance.

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<b>5. Positive Technical Momentum.</b> Technical analysis indicated a positive shift in momentum for CARL stock during the period, with its Momentum Indicator moving above the 0 level on December 22, 2025, suggesting a new upward trend. This technical signal, along with the stock reaching a 52-week high on December 3, 2025, typically attracts investor interest and can contribute to upward price movements.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.3% change in CARL stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
927202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)13.6713.710.29%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)
Net Income Margin (%)
P/E Multiple
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4.594.590.00%
Cumulative Contribution

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CARL0.3% 
Market (SPY)4.3%21.9%
Sector (XLV)15.2%20.5%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CARL  
Market (SPY)12.6%18.1%
Sector (XLV)17.0%13.8%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CARL  
Market (SPY)17.0%18.1%
Sector (XLV)13.8%13.8%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CARL  
Market (SPY)48.0%18.1%
Sector (XLV)17.9%13.8%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CARL Return------5%-5%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CARL Win Rate-----33% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CARL Max Drawdown------18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CARL has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,100 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Carlsmed (CARL)

We are a commercial-stage medical technology company pioneering AI-enabled personalized spine surgery solutions with a mission to improve outcomes and decrease the cost of healthcare for spine surgery and beyond. We are focused on becoming the standard of care for spine fusion surgery. The aprevo Technology Platform consists of artificial intelligence (“AI”)-enabled software solutions, and interbody implants that we custom design for each patient’s unique pathology and vertebral bone topography, and single-use surgical instruments (the “aprevo Technology Platform”). The aprevo Technology Platform was designed to address the limitations of traditional spine fusion surgery and aims to optimize patient outcomes and reduce the need for revision surgeries. By providing personalized surgical plans and interbody implants for custom vertebral fit that are powered by AI-enabled, outcomes-based algorithms, the aprevo Technology Platform supports surgeons in achieving proper spinal alignment for patients with degenerative disc disease (“DDD”), which can improve clinical outcomes and reduce the likelihood of revision surgeries. We currently market the aprevo Technology Platform for lumbar spine fusion surgery, and we are further developing the aprevo Technology Platform for use in cervical spine fusion surgeries, which we expect to commercialize in 2026. DDD is the progressive breakdown of spinal discs that are interposed between vertebrae to provide mobility and shock absorption. The disease occurs naturally with age and can be accelerated by factors such as injury, repetitive loading, obesity, or genetic predisposition. Adult spinal deformity (“ASD”) is a more severe form of DDD and is a condition where the spine has systematic structural abnormalities and/or abnormal curvature often affecting multiple levels of the spine. These conditions often cause a loss of disc height and spine function, and lead to chronic pain, disability, and other chronic spinal pathologies, significantly impacting patients’ lives. As the conditions progress and patients experience debilitating pain or disabilities, surgical intervention may become necessary. One study estimated that the overall prevalence of diagnosed DDD was 27.3% for individuals over the age of 65, and increased with age (Parenteau et al., 2021). Non-surgical interventions are typically the first line of treatment for DDD and are aimed at managing symptoms and slowing disease progression without invasive procedures. When non-surgical treatments fail to alleviate debilitating symptoms or disabilities, surgical interventions may become necessary. The most common surgical intervention and current standard of care is traditional spine fusion, which we define as a spine fusion procedure with stock implants that are fixed in size and shape. According to the SmartTRAK Report, there will be approximately 445,200 lumbar fusion surgeries and approximately 372,600 cervical fusion surgeries performed in the United States in 2025. Despite its wide adoption, we believe traditional spine fusion surgery has several limitations and can lead to poor clinical outcomes. First, traditional spine fusion often lacks robust pre-operative planning, relying on two-dimensional (“2D”) imaging without advanced tools, such as three-dimensional (“3D”) modeling. This limits the surgeon’s ability to plan for optimal correction. Second, the stock implants that are used during surgery are largely symmetric in shape and only come in pre-defined dimensions, which often fail to match the unique anatomy of each patient and can lead to unpredictable alignment. During the surgery, the surgeon must visually choose the correct stock implant from dozens of options, which involves a prolonged trialing process, and which we believe elevates the risk of secondary complications. Finally, post-operatively, there is no integrated means for reconciling achieved outcomes against surgical objectives and utilizing these insights systematically to improve future surgical plans. As a result of these limitations, traditional spine fusion surgery can fail to achieve proper alignment, leading to post-operative complications and increasing the likelihood of revision surgery. Recent publications on traditional spine fusion report rates of revision surgery for mechanical complications between 14% and 32% over a mean postoperative period of one to two years in ASD patients (Kent et al., 2024). We believe that these limitations and poor clinical outcomes not only impair patients’ health and quality of life but also impose a significant economic burden on the healthcare system with the direct and indirect costs of a revision surgery frequently exceeding $100,000 (Raman et al., 2018). The aprevo Technology Platform represents an end-to-end, integrated digital technology platform designed to deliver better surgical results, reduce the need for revision surgery, and improve long-term outcomes. The aprevo Technology Platform is the first available solution to provide personalized digital surgical plans and the accompanying aprevo interbody implants that are tailored to each patient’s unique pathology and vertebral bone topography. Our pre-operative planning software utilizes standard-of-care diagnostic imaging in combination with our AI-enabled algorithms to develop personalized digital surgical plans, allowing us to design aprevo interbody implants for each patient’s unique pathology and anatomy. Additionally, the aprevo Technology Platform supports the collection of post-operative data to inform our digital surgical planning process. The aprevo Technology Platform is 510(k) cleared by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) and commercially available in the United States for lumbar interbody fusion surgeries. Procedures using our aprevo interbody implants are covered by Medicare, Medicare Advantage, and commercial payors; these are generally mapped to MS-DRG codes that provide for premium reimbursement for most spine fusion surgeries that utilize aprevo interbody implants relative to those that use stock implants. We believe this also helps drive surgeon adoption while also supporting patient access to our patient-centric technology. While our current commercial focus is on the U.S. market, we plan to engage in market access initiatives for strategic international regions. We are also developing our aprevo Technology Platform for use in cervical spine fusion surgeries, and in July 2025 successfully completed the first in-human personalized cervical procedure in the United States using our aprevo Technology Platform. In November 2024, we received FDA 510(k) clearance for our aprevo interbody implants for cervical interbody fusion surgeries after previously receiving FDA Breakthrough Device Designation for this technology. In 2025, we plan to continue to build our aprevo Technology Platform for cervical fusion procedures by pursuing additional clearances for advancements to our cervical software platform and our personalized plating solutions. However, there is no guarantee that our cervical software platform and our personalized plating solutions will obtain FDA clearance on the expected timeline, or at all. Assuming we get the necessary additional clearances, we expect to commercialize the aprevo Technology Platform for cervical fusion surgery in 2026. In April 2025, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (“CMS”) announced proposed ICD-10-PCS (“X-codes”) for the use of custom-made anatomically designed fusion devices for cervical spine fusion surgeries. While there is no guarantee that this proposal will be approved in its current form, if approved in the CMS Final Rule, these X-codes will identify claims that are eligible for hospitals to receive NTAP of up to $21,125 per cervical spine fusion procedure. We estimate there is a total addressable market of approximately $13.4 billion for our aprevo Technology Platform in the United States, based on our current average selling price and the approximately 445,200 lumbar fusion surgeries that are expected to be performed in the United States in 2025, according to the SmartTRAK Report. Our total addressable market is the total overall revenue opportunity that we believe is available for the aprevo Technology Platform in the United States if we achieve 100% market share for lumbar fusion surgeries and is not a representation that we will achieve such market share. We estimate there are approximately 4,000 surgeons across the United States whose patients could benefit from using the aprevo Technology Platform (Moore et al., 2021). As of March 31, 2025, 177 surgeon users had completed one or more procedures using the aprevo Technology Platform, compared to 103 surgeon users as of March 31, 2024. As of June 30, 2025, 199 surgeon users had completed one or more procedures using the aprevo Technology Platform, compared to 116 surgeon users as of June 30, 2024. We believe this suggests ample opportunity to grow our surgeon user base and further penetrate the market by capturing more surgeons across the United States. --- We market and sell the aprevo Technology Platform to hospitals through a combination of our direct sales team and independent sales agents. Our direct sales team consists of Area Business Directors, Regional Sales Directors, Account Managers, and Strategic and National Account leadership, who are primarily responsible for selling the aprevo Technology Platform to surgeons and working with hospitals to secure product approval. They are also responsible for recruiting independent sales agents that cover each surgery, generating leads, and training clinics. We plan to grow our commercial infrastructure, including both our direct sales team and our number of independent sales agents, and expand various market access initiatives, including utilizing medical education programs and surgeon training at top academic institutions. A large body of evidence supports the clinical benefits of the aprevo Technology Platform for spine fusion, including seven peer-reviewed clinical data publications and 12 peer-reviewed clinical data abstracts. Across the various studies and publications, the aprevo Technology Platform has shown favorable results in two of the most critical success measures in spine fusion surgery: (1) achieving proper post-operative alignment and (2) obviating the need for revision surgery due to implant related complications. We continue to develop our growing base of clinical and patient reported outcomes to serve as evidence of the aprevo Technology Platform’s value to all key stakeholders, including patients, clinicians, hospitals, and payors. For example, we are currently conducting a 338-patient study, our COMPASS Registry, to track clinical outcomes from procedures using the aprevo Technology Platform in both DDD and ASD patients. Based on interim data from the first 67 ASD patients in our COMPASS Registry, these patients demonstrated improved alignment and reduced mechanical complications post-operatively, with a revision rate of 1.5% at one-year follow-up that were attributable to mechanical complications unrelated to the aprevo interbody implant (Kent et al., 2024). We have experienced sequential quarterly and annual revenue growth driven primarily by growth in our surgeon user base and increased utilization by our existing surgeon users. Our principal executive offices are located in Carlsbad, CA.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Carlsmed:

  • Align Technology (Invisalign) for spinal implants: Carlsmed uses AI-enabled technology and advanced manufacturing to create patient-specific spinal implants, much like Align Technology creates customized clear aligners for teeth using digital planning and 3D printing.
  • A specialized, AI-driven Medtronic or Stryker for personalized spinal implants: Carlsmed operates in the medical device space for orthopedics, similar to giants like Medtronic or Stryker, but focuses specifically on hyper-personalized, AI-designed implants for spine surgery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Aide® Platform: This AI-enabled personalized surgery platform is designed to improve outcomes for patients undergoing spinal deformity surgery by creating individualized surgical plans and patient-specific implant devices.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

Carlsmed (NASDAQ: CARL) is a medical technology company that designs and manufactures patient-specific spinal implants. As such, the company primarily sells to other companies (B2B).

Carlsmed's major customers are healthcare providers that perform spinal surgeries. These primarily include:

  • Hospitals: Public, private, and university-affiliated hospitals where complex spinal deformity surgeries are performed.
  • Ambulatory Surgical Centers (ASCs): Specialized outpatient facilities that conduct a range of surgical procedures, including some spinal interventions.
  • Healthcare Systems: Large organizations that own and operate multiple hospitals and surgical centers, which serve as the ultimate purchasing entities for medical devices.

Carlsmed works directly with spine surgeons within these facilities to implement their personalized Aprevo® devices. Additionally, the company utilizes third-party distributors for sales in certain international markets.

It is important to note that Carlsmed's latest annual report (10-K) does not disclose any single customer accounting for 10% or more of its total revenue. This indicates a broad and diversified customer base across numerous healthcare facilities and systems rather than reliance on a few named "major customer companies" that contribute a disproportionately large share of revenue. Therefore, specific public customer companies, like large hospital chains (e.g., HCA Healthcare, symbol: HCA; Tenet Healthcare, symbol: THC), are not explicitly identified by Carlsmed in their public filings as major customers in a way that would allow for listing them with their symbols as individual entities responsible for a significant percentage of revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Mike Cordonnier, Chief Executive Officer

Mike Cordonnier is the Co-Founder, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Carlsmed, also serving as the Chair of the Board of Directors. He co-founded Carlsmed with Niall Casey in 2018. With over two decades of leadership experience, he has introduced groundbreaking medical technologies and guided teams across both private and public organizations, including NuVasive, Ellipse Technologies, Zimmer Biomet, Orchid Orthopedics, and X-Spine Systems. Ellipse Technologies, where he served as R&D Director, was acquired by NuVasive.

Leo Greenstein, Chief Financial Officer

Leo Greenstein is the Chief Financial Officer at Carlsmed. He possesses over two decades of experience in business and finance, with expertise in the surgical device, pharmaceutical, and oncology diagnostics sectors. His leadership journey includes significant roles at Spectrum Pharmaceuticals, Endologix, and Tarsus Pharmaceuticals.

Jennifer Kamocsay, Chief Legal Officer

Jennifer Kamocsay is the Chief Legal Officer and Secretary at Carlsmed. She brings over two decades of corporate legal experience from various in-house counsel roles in the life science and technology sectors. Prior to joining Carlsmed, she served as the Chief Legal Officer of Akoya Biosciences and held senior legal roles at Rubius Therapeutics and Progress Software Corporation. She began her legal career at Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP, where she counseled biotechnology, pharmaceutical, and technology clients on M&A, securities law, and corporate governance matters.

Scott Durall, Chief Commercial Officer

Scott Durall is the Chief Commercial Officer at Carlsmed. He has more than 30 years of experience in the medical device industry, holding leadership roles across sales, marketing, and corporate strategy. His career includes successful tenures at U.S. Surgical Corporation, Boston Scientific Corporation, and NuVasive.

Sharon Schulzki, Chief Clinical & Market Access Officer

Sharon Schulzki is the Chief Clinical & Market Access Officer at Carlsmed. Her extensive professional journey includes senior leadership roles in marketing and surgical affairs at prominent companies such as Johnson & Johnson and Stryker. She has also played crucial C-suite roles at successful startup ventures, namely Micropore Biosurgery, N-Spine, and Tissue Regeneration Systems, all of which achieved successful exits.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Carlsmed's business include:
  1. Lack of Profitability and High Operating Losses: Carlsmed is not yet profitable, reporting significant net losses as it continues to invest heavily in research and development, sales expansion, and marketing. The company expects these losses to continue and there is no guarantee of achieving profitability in the future.
  2. Market Adoption, Competition, and Regulatory Hurdles: The success of Carlsmed's aprevo® platform is contingent on its adoption by surgeons and hospitals, and the company faces the challenge of convincing medical professionals to switch to personalized implants. Furthermore, Carlsmed operates in a competitive landscape with larger, well-established medical device companies like Medtronic and Johnson & Johnson. The company is also subject to stringent FDA regulations, and any delays or failures in obtaining additional clearances for its devices could impede growth.
  3. Reliance on a Single Product and Third-Party Manufacturers: Carlsmed's business model is heavily reliant on its single product category, the aprevo® platform for spinal fusion. Additionally, the company depends on third-party contract manufacturers for the production of its devices, which exposes it to risks such as supply chain disruptions and potential quality control issues.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Carlsmed (CARL) focuses on AI-enabled personalized spine surgery solutions, primarily with its aprevo® Technology Platform. The company's main products address two key market segments in spine fusion surgery:

  • Lumbar Spine Fusion: For lumbar spine fusion procedures, Carlsmed estimates an addressable market of approximately $13 billion to $13.4 billion in the U.S. This estimate is based on nearly 500,000 patients undergoing lumbar spine fusion procedures annually.

  • Cervical Spine Fusion: Carlsmed is expanding its aprevo platform to include cervical spine fusion, with commercialization anticipated in 2026. This segment represents an addressable market of $4.6 billion, specifically within the U.S.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Carlsmed (NASDAQ: CARL) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors highlighted in recent earnings reports and company statements.

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Carlsmed:

  1. Expansion of Surgeon User Base and Increased Aprivo Utilization: Carlsmed's revenue growth has been consistently fueled by the increasing number of surgeons adopting their AI-enabled aprevo® technology platform and the higher utilization of the platform by both new and existing surgeons. For instance, the company reported a 70% year-over-year growth in its surgeon user base in Q3 2025. This trend is expected to continue as the company invests in sales and marketing and surgeon education programs to expand its commercial footprint.
  2. Launch and Commercialization of Cervical Spine Platform: A significant driver for future revenue is the anticipated commercial launch of Carlsmed's personalized cervical spine platform in early 2026. The company successfully completed its first personalized cervical spine surgery using the aprevo® technology platform in July 2025 and has already completed over 50 cervical aprevo procedures as part of its clinical evaluation program. This expansion into cervical fusion procedures represents a new market segment for Carlsmed's innovative technology.
  3. Positive Reimbursement Developments: The securing of CMS New Technology Add-On Payment (NTAP) reimbursement for aprevo® cervical procedures, which went into effect on October 1, 2025, is expected to positively impact revenue. This reimbursement provides favorable payment for the company's cervical procedures, making them more accessible and attractive to healthcare providers.
  4. Operational Efficiencies and Reduced Production Lead Times: While not a direct revenue driver, Carlsmed's focus on operational excellence, particularly the reduction of production lead times for its aprevo® interbody implants to within eight business days, from 20 business days in Q3 2024, supports its ability to scale and meet growing demand. This efficiency allows the company to process more procedures and onboard new surgeons effectively, indirectly contributing to revenue growth.

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Share Issuance

  • Carlsmed completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in July 2025, offering 6,700,000 shares of common stock at an initial public offering price of $15.00 per share.
  • The IPO generated approximately $100.5 million in gross proceeds and $93.5 million in net proceeds for the company.
  • Underwriters were granted a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,005,000 shares of common stock.

Inbound Investments

  • In March 2024, Carlsmed raised $52.5 million in Series C funding, co-led by B Capital and U.S. Venture Partners.
  • The company announced a $64.5 million funding round in an amended filing in February 2025.
  • Carlsmed received $93.5 million in net proceeds from its Initial Public Offering in July 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Research and development expenses were $4.2 million in Q2 2025 and $4.4 million in Q3 2025, primarily allocated to personnel costs for product development and AI initiatives, including the aprevo® Technology Platform for cervical spine fusion surgeries.
  • Sales and marketing expenses, reflecting investments in commercial infrastructure, were $7.9 million in Q2 2025 and $9.6 million in Q3 2025, driven by personnel additions and growth-related sales and marketing efforts.
  • The company launched its digital production system in November 2024 to enhance delivery of aprevo interbody implants, indicating investment in operational capabilities.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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1Carlsmed Earnings Notes 
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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to CARL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

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CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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21.4%21.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.4%-7.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
18.0%18.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.9%3.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-5.1%

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Peer Comparisons for Carlsmed

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CARLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCarlsmed HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price13.7123.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap0.321.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM4555,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-263,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM-292,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg-2,9781,40011,75313,879100,50311,753
CFO LTM-283,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg-3,6723,89613,49814,736111,55913,498

Growth & Margins

CARLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCarlsmed HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM-3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%6.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.6%
Rev Chg Q98.4%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM16.9%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-58.0%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6.5%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-62.2%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-64.9%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%18.6%

Valuation

CARLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCarlsmed HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap0.321.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S6.50.41.04.45.410.04.9
P/EBIT-11.96.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E-11.28.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO-10.45.911.221.122.537.516.2
Total Yield-8.9%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.0%
D/E0.10.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.30.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

CARLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCarlsmed HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-15.4%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%-0.4%
3M Rtn0.3%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn-5.4%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn-5.4%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%11.8%
3Y Rtn-5.4%-1.9%71.1%143.1%81.3%120.2%76.2%
1M Excs Rtn-9.5%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-4.0%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-17.7%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-21.4%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-86.8%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2024
Designing, manufacturing, and marketing of aprevo, a comprehensive technology platform for spine14
Total14


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024
Designing, manufacturing, and marketing of aprevo, a comprehensive technology platform for spine-19
Total-19


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity583,046
Short Interest: % Change Since 1130202513.0%
Average Daily Volume97,770
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.96
Basic Shares Quantity21,081,330
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/202514.9%7.0%8.8%
8/28/2025-2.8%-6.9%-1.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative111
Median Positive14.9%7.0%8.8%
Median Negative-2.8%-6.9%-1.8%
Max Positive14.9%7.0%8.8%
Max Negative-2.8%-6.9%-1.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025828202510-Q 6/30/2025
123120247242025424B4 12/31/2024