Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -30%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 75%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -60%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -60%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -62%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%

Key risks
CARL key risks include [1] its current lack of profitability and high operating losses, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -30%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 75%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -60%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -60%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -62%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
8 Key risks
CARL key risks include [1] its current lack of profitability and high operating losses, Show more.

CARL in ETFs

Weight = CARL's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.00%
IWO0.00%
VTWO0.00%
IWN0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/17/2026

Carlsmed (CARL) stock has lost about 30% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Carlsmed experienced widening net losses and significantly increased operating expenses during the period, despite strong revenue growth. For fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, the company reported a net loss of $8.7 million, a substantial increase compared to the $5.7 million net loss in fiscal Q1 2025. This widening loss occurred even as revenue grew by 58.2% year-over-year to $16.1 million. The increased unprofitability was primarily driven by a rise in operating expenses, which surged to $21.7 million in fiscal Q1 2026 from $13.4 million in fiscal Q1 2025, reflecting heightened investments in research and development, sales and marketing, and general and administrative activities.

2. The company demonstrated continued high cash burn. Carlsmed's cash and short-term investments decreased from $109.9 million at the end of fiscal 2025 (December 31, 2025) to $97.1 million by the close of fiscal Q1 2026 (March 31, 2026). This reduction of approximately $12.8 million in a single quarter, alongside persistent net losses, raised investor concerns regarding the company's path to profitability and the longevity of its liquidity runway.

Show more
Updated on 6/17/2026

Carlsmed (CARL) stock has lost about 30% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Carlsmed experienced widening net losses and significantly increased operating expenses during the period, despite strong revenue growth. For fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, the company reported a net loss of $8.7 million, a substantial increase compared to the $5.7 million net loss in fiscal Q1 2025. This widening loss occurred even as revenue grew by 58.2% year-over-year to $16.1 million. The increased unprofitability was primarily driven by a rise in operating expenses, which surged to $21.7 million in fiscal Q1 2026 from $13.4 million in fiscal Q1 2025, reflecting heightened investments in research and development, sales and marketing, and general and administrative activities.

2. The company demonstrated continued high cash burn. Carlsmed's cash and short-term investments decreased from $109.9 million at the end of fiscal 2025 (December 31, 2025) to $97.1 million by the close of fiscal Q1 2026 (March 31, 2026). This reduction of approximately $12.8 million in a single quarter, alongside persistent net losses, raised investor concerns regarding the company's path to profitability and the longevity of its liquidity runway.

3. Market skepticism persisted despite positive operational and guidance updates. Although Carlsmed reported better-than-expected fiscal Q1 2026 earnings per share and revenue, and subsequently raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $72 million to $77 million (up from the prior guidance of $70 million to $75 million), the stock's overall trend since February 28, 2026, was a decline of approximately 30%. While the stock initially saw a 10.31% gain on the day Q1 2026 results were published, this positive reaction was short-lived, with the shares reportedly declining by 1.9% the following day. This indicates that despite positive company-specific developments like robust revenue growth, clinical data, and new product launches, the market remained cautious, likely weighing the benefits of growth against the backdrop of increasing losses and cash consumption.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -32.5% change in CARL stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820266222026Change
Stock Price ($)14.579.84-32.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)515611.7%
P/S Multiple7.74.7-38.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-1.9%
Cumulative Contribution-32.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARL-32.5% 
Market (SPY)8.8%38.8%
Sector (XLV)-5.9%42.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -39.6% change in CARL stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -83.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)113020256222026Change
Stock Price ($)16.289.84-39.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)560.0%
P/S Multiple4.70.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)527-83.1%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARL-39.6% 
Market (SPY)9.5%29.9%
Sector (XLV)-4.0%31.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARL  
Market (SPY)27.7%25.8%
Sector (XLV)15.2%22.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARL  
Market (SPY)85.1%25.8%
Sector (XLV)23.4%22.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CARL Return-----15%-18%-31%
Peers Return-8%-11%-1%13%29%-27%-13%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%100%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CARL Win Rate----33%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%53%52%53%45%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CARL Max Drawdown------39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-42%-39%-25%-29%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GMED, ATEC, OFIX, MDT, SYK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CARL has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

EventXLVS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven142 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-13.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven166 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-27.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven191 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.9%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven165 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-15.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven153 days123 days

Compare to GMED, ATEC, OFIX, MDT, SYK

In The Past

State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

CARL has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

EventXLVS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-27.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-37.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven767 days1085 days

Compare to GMED, ATEC, OFIX, MDT, SYK

In The Past

State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Carlsmed (CARL)

Carlsmed (CARL) is a commercial-stage medical technology company that pioneers AI-enabled personalized solutions for spine fusion surgery. The company aims to become the standard of care by addressing the limitations of traditional spine fusion, such as inadequate pre-operative planning, generic stock implants that don't fit individual patient anatomy, and high rates of revision surgeries. Carlsmed's mission is to improve patient outcomes, reduce the need for repeat surgeries, and ultimately decrease healthcare costs associated with spinal conditions like degenerative disc disease and adult spinal deformity.

The company's core offering is the aprevo Technology Platform, an integrated system comprising AI-enabled software for personalized digital surgical planning, custom-designed interbody implants tailored to each patient's unique pathology and vertebral bone topography, and single-use surgical instruments. This platform supports surgeons in achieving optimal spinal alignment, a critical factor for successful outcomes. Currently, the aprevo Technology Platform is commercially available in the United States for lumbar spine fusion surgery, with plans to commercialize for cervical spine fusion surgeries in 2026, following recent FDA clearances and successful in-human procedures.

Carlsmed markets and sells its aprevo Technology Platform primarily to hospitals and surgeons in the United States through a combination of direct sales and independent agents. Its procedures are covered by major payors like Medicare and commercial insurers, often receiving premium reimbursement due to the advanced nature of the personalized implants. With a total estimated addressable market of approximately $13.4 billion in the U.S. for lumbar fusion alone, and strong clinical evidence demonstrating improved alignment and significantly reduced revision rates compared to traditional methods, Carlsmed focuses on growing its surgeon user base and expanding its market penetration.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Carlsmed:

  • Invisalign for spine implants
  • Warby Parker for spine implants

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • aprevo AI-enabled Software Solutions: This software utilizes AI algorithms and diagnostic imaging to develop personalized digital surgical plans for spine fusion procedures.
  • aprevo Interbody Implants: These are custom-designed interbody implants tailored to each patient's unique pathology and vertebral bone topography for optimal spine fusion.
  • aprevo Single-Use Surgical Instruments: These specialized instruments are provided as part of the aprevo Technology Platform to facilitate precise spine fusion surgeries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Carlsmed (CARL) primarily sells its aprevo Technology Platform to hospitals.

The provided company description does not list the names of specific hospital systems or individual hospitals that are its major customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Mike Cordonnier, Co-Founder, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board

Mike Cordonnier co-founded Carlsmed in 2018. He has over two decades of leadership experience introducing groundbreaking medical technologies across both private and public organizations, including NuVasive, Ellipse Technologies, Zimmer Biomet, Orchid Orthopedics, and X-Spine Systems. He led the commercialization of the PRECICE deformity correction technology for Ellipse Technologies, which was subsequently acquired by NuVasive. Before Ellipse, he was responsible for the development and successful launch of the patient-specific digital dentistry business at Zimmer Biomet.

Leo Greenstein, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Leo Greenstein brings over two decades of strategic financial leadership experience from the surgical device, biotechnology, and oncology diagnostics sectors. Prior to joining Carlsmed, he served as CFO of Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., where he was instrumental in guiding the company through significant growth and its IPO in October 2020. He is a Certified Public Accountant and a member of the California State Bar.

Niall Casey, Co-Founder, Chief Intellectual Property Officer, and Director

Niall Casey co-founded Carlsmed with Mike Cordonnier in 2018. He possesses extensive expertise in the spine industry, having held technology leadership roles at companies such as Alphatec Spine, Ellipse Technologies, NuVasive, and Johnson & Johnson DePuy Synthes Spine.

Scott Durall, Chief Commercial Officer

Scott Durall has more than 30 years of experience in the medical device industry, with a background that includes leadership positions in sales, marketing, and corporate strategy at companies such as U.S. Surgical.

Jennifer Kamocsay, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary

Jennifer Kamocsay serves as the Chief Legal Officer at Carlsmed and is also the Secretary of the Carlsmed Board of Directors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The key risks to Carlsmed's business include:

  1. Failure to Obtain Timely FDA Clearances for Cervical Products: Carlsmed's planned commercialization of its aprevo Technology Platform for cervical fusion surgery in 2026 is contingent upon obtaining additional FDA clearances for its cervical software platform and personalized plating solutions. The company explicitly states there is "no guarantee that our cervical software platform and our personalized plating solutions will obtain FDA clearance on the expected timeline, or at all." Failure to secure these clearances could significantly delay or prevent entry into the cervical spine fusion market, a key growth area for the company.

  2. Uncertainty of CMS X-code Approval for Cervical Procedures: Carlsmed's potential for enhanced reimbursement and market adoption for its cervical spine fusion technology is linked to the proposed CMS ICD-10-PCS ("X-codes") for custom-made anatomically designed fusion devices. These X-codes, if approved, could enable hospitals to receive additional New Technology Add-on Payments (NTAP) of up to $21,125 per procedure. However, the company notes, "there is no guarantee that this proposal will be approved in its current form." Without this premium reimbursement, the financial incentive for hospitals to adopt the aprevo Technology Platform for cervical fusions might be reduced, potentially hindering market penetration and revenue growth in this segment.

  3. Challenges in Expanding Surgeon Adoption and Market Penetration: Despite the perceived benefits of the aprevo Technology Platform over traditional spine fusion surgery, Carlsmed faces the ongoing challenge of expanding its surgeon user base. As of June 30, 2025, the company had 199 surgeon users compared to an estimated 4,000 surgeons across the United States whose patients could benefit from the technology. Successfully growing this user base and overcoming the inertia associated with established traditional surgical methods is crucial for achieving its estimated $13.4 billion total addressable market in the United States and driving sustained revenue growth.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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The total addressable market for Carlsmed's aprevo Technology Platform in the United States is approximately $13.4 billion. This estimate is based on the projected 445,200 lumbar fusion surgeries in the United States in 2025 and the company's current average selling price.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The following are expected drivers of future revenue growth for Carlsmed over the next 2-3 years:
  • Commercialization of the aprevo Technology Platform for cervical spine fusion surgeries: Carlsmed expects to commercialize its aprevo Technology Platform for cervical spine fusion surgeries in 2026, following successful completion of the first in-human personalized cervical procedure in July 2025 and FDA 510(k) clearance for its aprevo interbody implants for cervical interbody fusion surgeries in November 2024.
  • Expansion of the surgeon user base and increased utilization in lumbar spine fusion: The company sees ample opportunity to grow its surgeon user base, noting an increase from 103 surgeon users as of March 31, 2024, to 177 as of March 31, 2025, and from 116 to 199 surgeon users as of June 30, 2025. This indicates continued market penetration and adoption of their aprevo Technology Platform for lumbar spine fusion.
  • Potential favorable reimbursement for cervical spine fusion surgeries through CMS X-codes: In April 2025, CMS announced proposed ICD-10-PCS (X-codes) for custom-made anatomically designed fusion devices for cervical spine fusion surgeries. If approved, these X-codes could make hospitals eligible for NTAP of up to $21,125 per cervical spine fusion procedure, which is expected to drive surgeon adoption and patient access.
  • Expansion into strategic international markets: While currently focused on the U.S. market, Carlsmed plans to engage in market access initiatives for strategic international regions, opening up new geographical markets for its aprevo Technology Platform.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Carlsmed has no history of share buybacks.

Share Issuance

  • Carlsmed completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in July 2025, offering 6,700,000 shares of common stock at an initial public offering price of $15.00 per share.
  • The gross proceeds from the IPO were approximately $100.5 million, before deducting underwriting discounts, commissions, and other offering expenses.
  • Underwriters were granted a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,005,000 shares of common stock at the initial public offering price.

Inbound Investments

  • In March 2024, Carlsmed raised $52.5 million in venture capital funding through a Series C round co-led by B Capital and U.S. Venture Partners.
  • The company's Initial Public Offering in July 2025 also served as a significant inbound investment, raising over $100 million and materially strengthening its financial position for growth investments.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Carlsmed Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CARLGMEDATECOFIXMDTSYKMedian
NameCarlsmed Globus M.Alphatec Orthofix.MedtronicStryker  
Mkt Price9.8479.198.558.9579.27304.6944.52
Mkt Cap0.310.71.30.4101.5116.76.0
Rev LTM563,10178782536,36325,2701,963
Op Inc LTM-34601-48-476,8275,123283
FCF LTM-35601-1-45,4264,571300
FCF 3Y Avg-425-95-345,2703,669425
CFO LTM-3477952347,3305,375415
CFO 3Y Avg-556-19107,0544,378556

Growth & Margins

CARLGMEDATECOFIXMDTSYKMedian
NameCarlsmed Globus M.Alphatec Orthofix.MedtronicStryker  
Rev Chg LTM74.9%23.5%22.5%2.6%8.4%8.8%15.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-44.4%26.5%17.3%5.2%10.1%17.3%
Rev Chg Q58.2%27.0%13.6%1.6%9.9%2.6%11.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.7%5.5%3.0%0.4%2.5%0.6%2.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM-39.2%108.8%58.5%52.8%4.4%12.3%32.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-48.5%20.6%5.9%5.8%15.0%15.0%
Op Mgn LTM-60.5%19.4%-6.1%-5.7%18.8%20.3%6.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.3%-17.8%-10.8%18.4%19.9%13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%1.1%1.4%4.4%0.1%0.1%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-59.9%25.1%6.6%4.1%20.2%21.3%13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-21.2%-4.8%1.1%20.7%18.8%18.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-62.3%19.4%-0.1%-0.5%14.9%18.1%7.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-16.1%-17.5%-4.4%15.5%15.7%15.5%

Valuation

CARLGMEDATECOFIXMDTSYKMedian
NameCarlsmed Globus M.Alphatec Orthofix.MedtronicStryker  
Mkt Cap0.310.71.30.4101.5116.76.0
P/S4.73.51.70.42.84.63.1
P/Op Inc-7.817.8-27.3-7.714.922.83.6
P/EBIT-8.617.8-17.4-8.914.822.23.1
P/E-8.218.3-10.5-6.021.135.06.1
P/CFO-7.913.825.510.613.921.713.8
Total Yield-12.2%5.5%-9.5%-16.6%8.3%4.0%-2.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%1.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.2%-5.3%-6.1%4.6%2.7%2.7%
D/E0.10.00.50.70.30.10.2
Net D/E-0.3-0.00.40.40.20.10.1

Returns

CARLGMEDATECOFIXMDTSYKMedian
NameCarlsmed Globus M.Alphatec Orthofix.MedtronicStryker  
1M Rtn-18.7%-6.6%3.4%-16.7%0.9%-3.7%-5.2%
3M Rtn-5.4%-9.2%-29.6%-24.6%-9.1%-8.1%-9.1%
6M Rtn-24.2%-11.4%-58.7%-42.2%-17.6%-14.1%-20.9%
12M Rtn-32.1%36.8%-21.8%-13.4%-5.3%-18.1%-15.7%
3Y Rtn-32.1%35.5%-47.4%-51.3%-0.9%5.3%-16.5%
1M Excs Rtn-16.9%-6.3%3.2%-26.9%0.9%-5.8%-6.0%
3M Excs Rtn-16.4%-23.0%-45.7%-38.0%-22.8%-23.8%-23.4%
6M Excs Rtn-33.1%-18.1%-67.5%-53.3%-29.3%-24.3%-31.2%
12M Excs Rtn-57.1%13.1%-46.4%-38.5%-29.5%-42.5%-40.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-103.0%-30.6%-118.5%-122.9%-71.5%-64.0%-87.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Designing, manufacturing, and marketing of aprevo, a comprehensive technology platform for spine512714
Total512714


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Designing, manufacturing, and marketing of aprevo, a comprehensive technology platform for spine-30-24-19
Total-30-24-19


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$9.84 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date07/23/2025 
Distance from 52W High-42.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$12.17$12.17
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA-19.1%-19.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility65.3%71.8%
Downside Capture288.33237.95
Upside Capture143.43137.63
Correlation (SPY)30.7% 
CARL Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.862.792.091.980.710.09
Up Beta4.952.841.671.570.570.69
Down Beta-3.18-3.470.640.460.14-0.62
Up Capture345%298%173%229%157%14%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days112124559797
Down Capture0%521%313%249%168%85%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days9203866112112

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CARL
CARL-32.2%71.8%-0.30-
Sector ETF (XLV)14.7%15.0%0.7022.7%
Equity (SPY)26.1%12.4%1.5925.8%
Gold (GLD)24.1%27.5%0.7714.8%
Commodities (DBC)18.5%18.8%0.77-4.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.8%13.8%0.5722.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-40.2%42.5%-1.0917.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CARL
CARL-7.5%71.8%-0.30-
Sector ETF (XLV)5.5%14.7%0.1922.7%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6125.8%
Gold (GLD)17.1%18.3%0.7614.8%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%19.4%0.28-4.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.1%18.9%0.0122.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.4%54.1%0.3717.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CARL
CARL-3.8%71.8%-0.30-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.5%16.6%0.4622.7%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.7325.8%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.1%0.6214.8%
Commodities (DBC)6.0%18.0%0.26-4.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2322.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.9%66.8%1.0017.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date5292026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 5152026101.3%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity27.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/202610.3%10.2%24.9%
2/25/202615.9%3.4%-21.5%
11/6/202514.9%7.0%8.8%
8/28/2025-2.8%-6.9%-1.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive332
# Negative112
Median Positive14.9%7.0%16.9%
Median Negative-2.8%-6.9%-11.6%
Max Positive15.9%10.2%24.9%
Max Negative-2.8%-6.9%-21.5%
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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/202610.3%10.2%24.9%
2/25/202615.9%3.4%-21.5%
11/6/202514.9%7.0%8.8%
8/28/2025-2.8%-6.9%-1.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive332
# Negative112
Median Positive14.9%7.0%16.9%
Median Negative-2.8%-6.9%-11.6%
Max Positive15.9%10.2%24.9%
Max Negative-2.8%-6.9%-21.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/28/202510-Q
03/31/202507/24/2025424B4
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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/28/202510-Q
03/31/202507/24/2025424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/31/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue72.00 Mil74.50 Mil77.00 Mil2.8% RaisedGuidance: 72.50 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue70.00 Mil72.50 Mil75.00 Mil46.5% Higher NewActual: 49.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Revenue Growth 44.0% -46.3%-38.0%LoweredGuidance: 82.0% for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 4/26/2026
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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Cordonnier, MichaelCEO, PresidentDirectSell304202613.29197,8552,629,88918,032,539Form
2B, Capital Group Management, LP B Capital Global Growth III, L.P.Buy724202515.001,333,33319,999,99575,207,585Form
3Sidow, Kevin DirectBuy724202515.0013,333199,995893,490Form
4Mittendorff, Robert II See footnotesBuy724202515.001,333,33319,999,99575,207,585Form
5Root, Jonathan D DirectBuy724202515.00466,6666,999,9907,259,985Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Cordonnier, MichaelCEO, PresidentDirectSell304202613.29197,8552,629,88918,032,539Form
2B, Capital Group Management, LP B Capital Global Growth III, L.P.Buy724202515.001,333,33319,999,99575,207,585Form
3Sidow, Kevin DirectBuy724202515.0013,333199,995893,490Form
4Mittendorff, Robert II See footnotesBuy724202515.001,333,33319,999,99575,207,585Form
5Root, Jonathan D DirectBuy724202515.00466,6666,999,9907,259,985Form
6Young, Philip M See FootnotesBuy724202515.0059,999899,985799,995Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/22/2026