Orthofix Medical (OFIX)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $15.55 | Market Cap: $618.4 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Orthofix Medical (OFIX)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $15.55Market Cap: $618.4 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -95 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Geriatric Care, and Orthopedic Biologics. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Geriatric Care, and Orthopedic Biologics. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -95 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OFIX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting the movement of Orthofix Medical (OFIX) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 14, 2025:
1. Orthofix Medical's Q3 2025 Financial Results Exceeded Profitability Estimates, Yet the Stock Declined. The company reported non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.20, significantly surpassing the analyst estimate of a $(0.41) loss per share for the third quarter of 2025. Net sales also exceeded consensus estimates, reaching $205.6 million. Despite these strong beats on both earnings and revenue, the stock was indicated down approximately 4.3% in pre-market trading following the earnings release on November 4, 2025.
2. Continued Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion and Positive Free Cash Flow in Q3 2025. Orthofix Medical achieved its seventh consecutive quarter of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, with pro forma adjusted EBITDA margin improving by approximately 233 basis points to 12.1% of net sales in Q3 2025. The company also generated positive free cash flow during this period, indicating improved operational efficiency and financial strength.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OFIX Return | -7% | -28% | -34% | -34% | 30% | -10% | -66% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 1% | -3% | -1% | 12% | 14% | 35% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OFIX Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 52% | 55% | 48% | 50% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OFIX Max Drawdown | -51% | -33% | -54% | -53% | -8% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -11% | -21% | -17% | -7% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SYK, MDT, ZBH, GMED, JNJ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OFIX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 394.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 343 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -38.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 570.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3468 days | 1480 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN
In The Past
Orthofix Medical's stock fell -79.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -79.8% loss requires a 394.0% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OFIX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Orthofix Medical
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 95.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 73.1 |
| Rev LTM | 16,196 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,141 |
| FCF LTM | 2,741 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,219 |
| CFO LTM | 3,259 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,727 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 73.1 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 16.4 |
| P/E | 21.2 |
| P/CFO | 18.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 22.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -46.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -7.4% | -6.4% | -1.0% |
| 8/5/2025 | 13.5% | 19.3% | 35.9% |
| 5/6/2025 | -10.9% | -8.2% | -19.5% |
| 2/25/2025 | -3.5% | -6.4% | -9.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | -1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| 8/6/2024 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 13.8% |
| 3/5/2024 | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% |
| 11/8/2023 | -10.4% | -9.6% | -0.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 8.7% | 4.6% | 10.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -7.3% | -11.8% |
| Max Positive | 19.5% | 19.3% | 35.9% |
| Max Negative | -10.9% | -14.8% | -27.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3062023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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