Capstone (CAPS)
Market Price (5/2/2026): $0.4189 | Market Cap: $3.7 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Construction Materials
Capstone (CAPS)
Market Price (5/2/2026): $0.4189Market Cap: $3.7 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Construction Materials
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Distributed Energy Resources, Grid Automation, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -177% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 763% Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.7% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -580% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 122% Key risksCAPS key risks include [1] poor financial health and a significant risk of bankruptcy, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Distributed Energy Resources, Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -177% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 763% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.7% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -580% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 122% |
| Key risksCAPS key risks include [1] poor financial health and a significant risk of bankruptcy, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.6% change in CAPS stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -35.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.60 | 0.42 | -29.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 45 | 47 | 4.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 9 | -35.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAPS | -29.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 11.8% |
| Sector (XLB) | 4.7% | -4.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -58.6% change in CAPS stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.02 | 0.42 | -58.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 43 | 47 | 8.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | -37.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5 | 9 | -38.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -58.6% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAPS | -58.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 9.8% |
| Sector (XLB) | 21.0% | -6.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -76.0% change in CAPS stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -98.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.76 | 0.42 | -76.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 45 | 47 | 4.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1177.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 0 | 9 | -98.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -76.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAPS | -76.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 11.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 24.8% | 5.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -98.9% change in CAPS stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -98.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.00 | 0.42 | -98.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 62 | 47 | -23.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | -16.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 0 | 9 | -98.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -98.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAPS | -98.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 12.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 35.2% | 6.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAPS Return | -49% | 114% | -86% | -57% | -68% | -46% | -99% |
| Peers Return | -25% | -21% | -24% | 9% | 122% | 73% | 88% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 92% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAPS Win Rate | 17% | 25% | 0% | 8% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 40% | 42% | 38% | 63% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAPS Max Drawdown | -82% | 0% | -86% | -57% | -71% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -39% | -40% | -44% | -29% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TGEN, BE, FCEL, BLDP, CMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CAPS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 11 days | 6 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -15.9% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Capstone's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | CAPS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 11 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Capstone's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Capstone (CAPS)
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Capstone (CAPS):
A tiny, early-stage version of a major biotech like Amgen or Biogen, specializing in developing novel peptide drugs.
Think of it as a pre-commercial Vertex Pharmaceuticals or Gilead Sciences, but focused on advancing a specific novel peptide for metabolic conditions through clinical trials.
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- AEM-28 and its analogs: A novel Apo E mimetic peptide molecule developed for lipoprotein metabolism.
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Capstone Therapeutics Corp. (CAPS) is a biotechnology company focused on the research and development of novel peptides and other molecules for medical conditions. Based on the provided information, the company is currently in the early to mid-stages of clinical development, with its lead candidate AEM-28 having completed Phase Ia and Phase Ib/IIa clinical trials.
As a development-stage biotechnology company, Capstone Therapeutics Corp. does not currently have commercialized products or services available for sale. Consequently, the company does not have major customers, either other companies or individual consumers, purchasing its products in the traditional sense.
Biotechnology companies at this stage are primarily engaged in research, preclinical studies, and clinical trials. Their future business model often involves licensing their drug candidates to larger pharmaceutical companies or bringing products to market themselves after successful completion of all clinical phases and regulatory approval. Therefore, at present, Capstone Therapeutics Corp. does not have a customer base generating significant revenue from product sales.
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The key risks to Capstone Holding Corp. (CAPS) primarily stem from its current business model as a holding company focused on building materials and consumer wellness, following its exit from pharmaceutical development in December 2021.
- Financial Instability and Shareholder Dilution: Capstone Holding Corp. faces significant financial risks, including elevated leverage and continued operating losses. The company has engaged in substantial financing activities, such as issuing senior secured convertible notes and utilizing lines of credit. These financing strategies, particularly those involving convertible notes, carry a risk of accelerating dilution and exerting downward pressure on trading, as more shares can be issued below market value to meet working capital needs.
- Nasdaq Delisting Risk: The company has received a notice of Nasdaq deficiency due to its failure to meet the minimum bid price requirement. This poses a direct threat to its listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market, which could negatively impact investor confidence and access to capital.
- Acquisition and Integration Challenges: As Capstone Holding Corp. is pursuing growth through a strategy of "tuck-in acquisitions" in the specialty construction materials sector, there is an inherent risk in successfully integrating newly acquired companies. Challenges in integrating operations, managing diverse business units, and realizing anticipated synergies from these acquisitions could hinder the company's growth objectives and overall financial performance.
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null
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The addressable market for Capstone Therapeutics Corp.'s main products, specifically their Apo E mimetic peptide molecule AEM-28 and its analogs, which target lipoprotein metabolism, falls within the broader market for lipid disorder treatments.
The global lipid disorder treatment market was valued at approximately USD 30.08 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to approximately USD 45.98 billion by 2031.
For the North American region, which is a significant market for lipid disorder treatments, the market share was approximately 35.98% of the global revenue in 2025, translating to an estimated USD 10.82 billion.
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nullTrade Ideas
Select ideas related to CAPS.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.7% |
| 03272026 | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.1% | -1.1% | -3.0% |
| 03132026 | IP | International Paper | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.3% | -18.3% | -18.3% |
| 03062026 | ARIS | Aris Mining | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.4% | -7.4% | -16.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 135 |
| Op Inc LTM | -4 |
| FCF LTM | -3 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -0 |
| CFO LTM | -2 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -0 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 26.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 45.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 19.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -11.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -10.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -4.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -5.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| P/S | 4.3 |
| P/Op Inc | -3.3 |
| P/EBIT | -2.0 |
| P/E | -1.8 |
| P/CFO | 12.1 |
| Total Yield | -6.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 59.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 38.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 151.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 94.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 49.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 34.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 18.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 123.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 15.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.42 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/21/2011 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -82.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $0.91 | $2.27 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -53.8% | -81.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 105.8% | 122.7% |
| Downside Capture | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Upside Capture | 17.90 | -12.42 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.70 | 0.77 | 0.88 | 0.74 | 1.15 | 0.71 |
| Up Beta | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.13 | 0.48 | 1.75 | 0.86 |
| Down Beta | 12.50 | 1.44 | 0.44 | -0.97 | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| Up Capture | -185% | -53% | 16% | 14% | -6% | -4% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 47 | 88 | 106 |
| Down Capture | 761% | 178% | 206% | 199% | 170% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 35 | 76 | 150 | 196 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CAPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPS | -74.5% | 122.8% | -0.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 24.9% | 16.4% | 1.18 | 4.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 30.6% | 12.5% | 1.88 | 11.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.5% | 27.2% | 1.20 | -1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 51.5% | 17.9% | 2.20 | 5.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.67 | 6.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -18.2% | 42.1% | -0.36 | 5.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CAPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPS | -15.3% | 216.5% | 0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 6.4% | 18.9% | 0.23 | 5.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 8.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.5% | 17.9% | 0.94 | -1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.3% | 19.1% | 0.61 | 2.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.5% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 13.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.4% | 56.1% | 0.35 | 4.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CAPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPS | -20.9% | 191.8% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.3% | 20.6% | 0.44 | 3.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 7.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.6% | 15.9% | 0.71 | -2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 1.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 9.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 4.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/17/2025 | 6.9% | -25.9% | -22.4% |
| 4/1/2025 | 0.9% | 8.1% | -18.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 3.9% | 8.1% | |
| Median Negative | -25.9% | -20.6% | |
| Max Positive | 6.9% | 8.1% | |
| Max Negative | -25.9% | -22.4% | |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 04/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/18/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/13/2019 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2019 | 05/13/2019 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2018 | 03/22/2019 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2018 | 11/06/2018 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2018 | 08/13/2018 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2018 | 05/11/2018 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2017 | 02/28/2018 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2017 | 11/13/2017 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2017 | 08/14/2017 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2017 | 05/04/2017 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2016 | 03/15/2017 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/17/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Run-rate | 100.00 Mil | 0 | Same New | Guidance: 100.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Strategic Acquisitions | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | ||||
Prior: Q4 2024 Earnings Reported 4/1/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue Run Rate | 100.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2025 Adjusted Instone EBITDA | 10.00 Mil | ||||||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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