Tearsheet

Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $3.93 | Market Cap: $411.0 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $3.93
Market Cap: $411.0 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 206%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1518%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 180x
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -610%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -689%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -43%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 147%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 206%
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1518%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 180x
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -610%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -689%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -43%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 147%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

BZAI Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BZAI Return---6%40%-75%-53%
Peers Return13%-2%-7%6%52%-19%35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BZAI Win Rate--64%92%92%33% 
Peers Win Rate13%10%5%21%33%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BZAI Max Drawdown----0%-0%-87% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-4%-8%-1%-4%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BIYA, BLIV, BMR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBZAIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-1.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven84 days464 days

Compare to ADSK, HIT, BIYA, BLIV, BMR


In The Past

Blaize Holdings Inc's stock fell -1.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/2/2023. A -1.6% loss requires a 1.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI)

Better Bets than Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BZAI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.2%-4.2%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.1%6.1%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
18.8%18.8%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.5%-10.5%-10.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.2%-4.2%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.1%6.1%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
18.8%18.8%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.5%-10.5%-10.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Blaize Holdings Inc

Financials

BZAIADSKHITBIYABLIVBMRMedian
NameBlaize H.Autodesk Health I.Baiya In.BeLive Beamr Im. 
Mkt Price3.82300.772.610.303.602.593.10
Mkt Cap0.464.10.1---0.4
Rev LTM26,60527---27
Op Inc LTM-341,5151---1
FCF LTM-151,8471---1
FCF 3Y Avg-1,704----1,704
CFO LTM-141,9254---4
CFO 3Y Avg-1,775----1,775

Growth & Margins

BZAIADSKHITBIYABLIVBMRMedian
NameBlaize H.Autodesk Health I.Baiya In.BeLive Beamr Im. 
Rev Chg LTM205.6%13.8%29.7%---29.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.7%----11.7%
Rev Chg Q788.8%17.1%86.2%---86.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM384.1%4.1%19.3%---19.3%
Op Mgn LTM-1,518.2%22.9%5.0%---5.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-21.5%----21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3,475.3%0.8%-0.1%---0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-609.7%29.1%13.5%---13.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-30.7%----30.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-689.4%28.0%4.9%---4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-29.5%----29.5%

Valuation

BZAIADSKHITBIYABLIVBMRMedian
NameBlaize H.Autodesk Health I.Baiya In.BeLive Beamr Im. 
Mkt Cap0.464.10.1---0.4
P/S180.29.75.4---9.7
P/EBIT-12.345.373.1---45.3
P/E-2.661.4106.2---61.4
P/CFO-29.633.340.2---33.3
Total Yield-38.2%1.6%0.9%---0.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.3%----3.3%
D/E0.00.00.0---0.0
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.1----0.1

Returns

BZAIADSKHITBIYABLIVBMRMedian
NameBlaize H.Autodesk Health I.Baiya In.BeLive Beamr Im. 
1M Rtn10.7%-5.3%-18.7%-48.0%-1.1%-15.4%-10.3%
3M Rtn-2.1%-0.8%26.1%-56.5%36.4%-14.8%-1.4%
6M Rtn55.3%10.0%328.6%-93.3%-18.0%5.3%7.6%
12M Rtn-66.4%4.1%----20.2%-20.2%
3Y Rtn-62.0%40.3%-----10.8%
1M Excs Rtn9.7%-6.4%-21.8%-50.8%-4.9%-16.7%-11.6%
3M Excs Rtn-8.3%-8.1%21.1%-65.8%43.8%-23.6%-8.2%
6M Excs Rtn33.5%-11.8%306.8%-115.1%-39.7%-16.5%-14.1%
12M Excs Rtn-83.6%-12.2%----41.0%-41.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-138.6%-37.4%-----88.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,278,105
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-28.6%
Average Daily Volume4,625,163
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity104,588,373
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/14/2025-3.4%-3.4%-14.3%
3/27/2025-17.1%-26.6%-13.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative222
Median Positive   
Median Negative-10.3%-15.0%-14.0%
Max Positive   
Max Negative-17.1%-26.6%-14.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
63020249092024S-4/A 6/30/2024
33120247192024S-4 3/31/2024
1231202312022024424B3 12/31/2023

Insider Activity

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