Tearsheet

Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.085 | Market Cap: $216.0 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.085
Market Cap: $216.0 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 804%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -45 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -338%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -94%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -182%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -188%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Edge AI, AI Chips, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -76%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 150%
4   Key risks
BZAI key risks include [1] a substantial going concern risk due to significant financial losses and a high cash burn rate, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 804%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -94%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Edge AI, AI Chips, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -45 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -338%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -182%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -188%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -76%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 150%
8 Key risks
BZAI key risks include [1] a substantial going concern risk due to significant financial losses and a high cash burn rate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BZAI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -42% stock movement for Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Substantial Net Losses and Cash Burn: Blaize Holdings Inc. continued to report significant net losses, with the GAAP net loss widening to $29.6 million in Q2 2025 and remaining high at $26.3 million in Q3 2025. The company's cash position declined in the first half of 2025, and analysts noted a high cash burn rate, raising concerns about the company's financial runway despite management's assertions of extending it.

2. Significant Decline in Gross Margin: Despite a substantial increase in revenue in Q3 2025, the company experienced a significant drop in its GAAP gross margin to 15% from 59% in Q2 2025. This decrease was attributed to a higher component of third-party hardware in the initial shipments for the Starshine contract, indicating reduced profitability on key strategic deals.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BZAI Return6%40%-85%
Peers Return67%66%-50%94%24%42%375%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BZAI Win Rate64%92%92%33% 
Peers Win Rate62%57%35%62%48%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BZAI Max Drawdown-0%-0%-87% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-12%-58%-12%-25%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, QCOM, INTC, AMD, AMBA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBZAIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-1.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven84 days464 days

Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC


In The Past

Blaize Holdings Inc's stock fell -1.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/2/2023. A -1.6% loss requires a 1.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI)

Better Bets than Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BZAI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Blaize Holdings Inc

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BZAINVDAQCOMINTCAMDAMBAMedian
NameBlaize H.NVIDIA Qualcomm Intel Advanced.Ambarella 
Mkt Price2.07170.94172.3436.05198.1169.98120.46
Mkt Cap0.24,538.9185.8162.7322.13.5174.3
Rev LTM13187,14244,28453,43932,02737438,156
Op Inc LTM-45110,12212,394-1042,999-891,477
FCF LTM-2577,32412,820-8,4185,448642,756
FCF 3Y Avg-50,46211,277-11,2272,775262,775
CFO LTM-2483,15914,0128,5746,408807,491
CFO 3Y Avg-53,65212,50410,9573,4613810,957

Growth & Margins

BZAINVDAQCOMINTCAMDAMBAMedian
NameBlaize H.NVIDIA Qualcomm Intel Advanced.Ambarella 
Rev Chg LTM804.2%65.2%13.7%-1.5%31.8%48.1%40.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-91.6%1.2%-7.6%12.9%6.9%6.9%
Rev Chg Q1,419.5%62.5%10.0%2.8%35.6%31.2%33.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM500.0%13.3%2.4%0.7%8.2%7.4%7.8%
Op Mgn LTM-337.9%58.8%28.0%-0.2%9.4%-23.9%4.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-55.8%25.9%-3.7%4.9%-44.4%4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1,180.3%0.8%-0.2%8.1%1.1%4.4%2.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-182.5%44.4%31.6%16.0%20.0%21.4%20.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-46.2%31.5%20.5%12.4%11.3%20.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-187.8%41.3%28.9%-15.8%17.0%17.2%17.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-43.4%28.4%-20.9%9.8%7.3%9.8%

Valuation

BZAINVDAQCOMINTCAMDAMBAMedian
NameBlaize H.NVIDIA Qualcomm Intel Advanced.Ambarella 
Mkt Cap0.24,538.9185.8162.7322.13.5174.3
P/S16.124.34.02.88.29.58.8
P/EBIT-6.5-13.553.085.7-33.2
P/E-1.445.832.4764.979.6-44.439.1
P/CFO-8.854.612.817.741.144.229.4
Total Yield-71.5%2.2%5.2%0.1%1.3%-2.3%0.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--7.0%-9.1%1.2%-1.2%
D/E0.0-0.10.30.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.1-0.0-0.0

Returns

BZAINVDAQCOMINTCAMDAMBAMedian
NameBlaize H.NVIDIA Qualcomm Intel Advanced.Ambarella 
1M Rtn-11.7%-8.4%3.9%3.9%-17.6%-16.7%-10.1%
3M Rtn-39.1%0.4%4.8%44.8%24.5%-12.2%2.6%
6M Rtn-19.8%17.5%13.4%67.8%56.3%32.4%24.9%
12M Rtn-82.2%31.1%11.6%76.4%58.5%-5.2%21.4%
3Y Rtn-79.7%932.6%61.1%38.9%202.9%-15.3%50.0%
1M Excs Rtn-12.5%-9.1%3.1%3.1%-18.4%-17.5%-10.8%
3M Excs Rtn-41.0%-4.4%1.7%16.6%24.1%-16.7%-1.3%
6M Excs Rtn-32.1%5.1%1.0%55.4%43.9%20.0%12.6%
12M Excs Rtn-93.2%16.3%0.1%66.2%45.0%-14.6%8.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-148.1%807.4%-16.2%-38.1%111.9%-80.9%-27.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Single Segment 4
Total 4


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Single Segment73 
Total73 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,029,406
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202537.6%
Average Daily Volume2,116,315
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.74
Basic Shares Quantity103,585,681
Short % of Basic Shares9.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-8.7%-19.6%-20.3%
8/14/2025-3.4%-3.4%-14.3%
3/27/2025-17.1%-26.6%-13.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative333
Median Positive   
Median Negative-8.7%-19.6%-14.3%
Max Positive   
Max Negative-17.1%-26.6%-20.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
63020249092024S-4/A 6/30/2024
33120247192024S-4 3/31/2024
1231202312022024424B3 12/31/2023