BlueLinx (BXC)
Market Price (4/22/2026): $55.985 | Market Cap: $439.8 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors
BlueLinx (BXC)
Market Price (4/22/2026): $55.985Market Cap: $439.8 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.5% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Housing & Construction Trends. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65% Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 2,009x Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% Key risksBXC key risks include [1] significant earnings volatility and margin compression and [2] elevated debt and credit risk, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.5% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Housing & Construction Trends. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 2,009x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% |
| Key risksBXC key risks include [1] significant earnings volatility and margin compression and [2] elevated debt and credit risk, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. BlueLinx reported a wider-than-expected adjusted net loss for the fourth quarter of 2025. The company announced an adjusted loss per share of $(0.47), missing the consensus analyst estimate of approximately $(0.42) to $(0.43). This earnings miss, despite a revenue beat, contributed to a 4.23% decline in pre-market trading following the announcement on February 24, 2026.
2. The company experienced declining gross margins and a notable decrease in structural product sales due to commodity price drops. While overall net sales saw a modest increase of 0.7% to $716 million, driven by specialty products, structural product sales decreased by 7%. This was primarily attributed to average composite pricing for lumber decreasing 12% and panel prices decreasing 20% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, leading to a 20 basis point contraction in consolidated gross margin to 15.7% and a 36% year-over-year decrease in Adjusted EBITDA to $14 million.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.8% change in BXC stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -98.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 61.43 | 56.01 | -8.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,949 | 2,954 | 0.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.5% | 0.0% | -98.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 34.5 | 2,009.3 | 5722.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.8% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BXC | -8.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 45.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 10.5% | 61.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.4% change in BXC stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -99.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 73.08 | 56.01 | -23.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,947 | 2,954 | 0.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.0% | 0.0% | -99.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.4 | 2,009.3 | 9741.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | 1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.4% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BXC | -23.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 43.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 11.5% | 57.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.3% change in BXC stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -99.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 74.98 | 56.01 | -25.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,953 | 2,954 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.8% | 0.0% | -99.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.7 | 2,009.3 | 17140.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | 5.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BXC | -25.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 43.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 32.2% | 53.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.6% change in BXC stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -99.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 67.96 | 56.01 | -17.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,450 | 2,954 | -33.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.7% | 0.0% | -99.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 2.1 | 2,009.3 | 96796.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 8 | 15.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BXC | -17.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 46.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 76.7% | 57.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BXC Return | 227% | -26% | 59% | -10% | -40% | -3% | 104% |
| Peers Return | 66% | -3% | 31% | 26% | 5% | 28% | 254% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 4% | 89% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BXC Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 45% | 57% | 50% | 52% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BXC Max Drawdown | -4% | -40% | -12% | -22% | -48% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -31% | -13% | -17% | -18% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DXPE, TRNS, TITN, FAST, URI. See BXC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BXC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -80.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 421.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 136 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -78.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 373.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 445 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -91.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1063.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5,475 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to DXPE, TRNS, TITN, FAST, URI
In The Past
BlueLinx's stock fell -44.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -44.8% loss requires a 81.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About BlueLinx (BXC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for BlueLinx (BXC):
- The Sysco for building materials.
- Like a wholesale version of Home Depot or Lowe's, supplying other businesses rather than individual consumers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Engineered Wood: Manufactured wood products designed for specific structural or aesthetic applications.
- Industrial Products: Specialized materials and components used in various industrial building and construction applications.
- Cedar: Durable and attractive wood, often used for exterior applications like siding and decking.
- Moulding: Decorative and functional strips used to finish and adorn architectural details in buildings.
- Siding: Exterior materials applied to buildings for protection and aesthetic appeal.
- Metal Products: Various metal components and materials used in construction projects.
- Insulation Products: Materials designed to reduce heat and sound transfer in buildings.
- Lumber: Processed wood in beams and planks, forming the primary framework of structures.
- Plywood: Multi-layered wood panels used for sheathing, subflooring, and other structural purposes.
- Oriented Strand Boards (OSB): Engineered wood panels made from compressed wood strands, commonly used for structural sheathing.
- Rebars and Remesh: Steel reinforcement products used to strengthen concrete in construction.
- Spruce: A type of softwood commonly used for framing and construction lumber.
- Value-Added Services and Solutions: Ancillary services provided to customers and suppliers, enhancing product utility and business operations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
BlueLinx (BXC) primarily sells its residential and commercial building products to other companies. Its major customers include:
- The Home Depot (NYSE: HD)
- Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW)
- Various independent dealers and lumberyards
- Specialty distributors
- Manufactured housing customers
AI Analysis | Feedback
- LP Building Solutions (LPX)
- West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG)
- James Hardie Building Products (subsidiary of James Hardie Industries plc, JHX)
- UFP-Edge (a brand of UFP Industries, Inc., UFPI)
- CertainTeed (a subsidiary of Saint-Gobain, SGO)
- GAF
- Huber Engineered Woods
AI Analysis | Feedback
Shyam Reddy, President & CEO
Shyam K. Reddy has served as BlueLinx's President and Chief Executive Officer and a member of its Board since March 2023. Prior to this role, he was the company's Senior Vice President, Chief Legal and Sustainability Officer and Corporate Secretary from March 2022 to March 2023. He also held positions as Senior Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer, and Corporate Secretary from May 2019 to March 2022, and Senior Vice President and Chief Transformation Officer from April 2018 to May 2019, where he was responsible for Corporate Development. Mr. Reddy holds a BA in Political Science and an MPH from Emory University, and a JD from the University of Georgia.
Christopher Kelly Wall, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Christopher Kelly Wall joined BlueLinx as Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, effective May 19, 2025. In this role, he oversees the company's financial strategy, capital markets activity, investor relations, and financial operations. With 30 years of experience in finance, Mr. Wall previously served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of The Aaron's Company, Inc. During his tenure at Aaron's, he notably led the company through a public spin-off, the acquisition and integration of BrandsMart USA, and a successful take-private transaction in 2024. His career also includes senior financial leadership roles at CNG Holdings and TMX Finance, and a 17-year tenure at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, where he was a Managing Director and executed over two hundred capital markets and leveraged finance transactions.
Leo Oei, Chief Commercial Officer
Leo Oei serves as the Chief Commercial Officer, a role he assumed effective January 5, 2026, succeeding Mike Wilson. Before this appointment, he was BlueLinx's Vice President of National Accounts. Mr. Oei brings over 25 years of experience in commercial, procurement, supply chain, and operations leadership. He has been instrumental in leading the National Accounts and Multi-Family team and has played a significant role in expanding BlueLinx's geographic footprint and product offerings.
Keisha Duck, Chief Human Resources Officer
Keisha Duck is the Chief Human Resources Officer for BlueLinx. She previously held the title of Vice President, Human Resources at the company.
Praveen Gautam, Chief Information Officer
Praveen Gautam holds the position of Chief Information Officer at BlueLinx.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to BlueLinx's business:
- Dependence on the Housing Market and Cyclicality: BlueLinx's business is highly correlated with and heavily dependent on the new residential construction market, particularly single-family home construction in the United States. Factors such as mortgage rates, overall economic conditions, housing affordability, consumer confidence, and the supply of new and existing homes significantly influence the demand for building products. Adverse conditions, such as persistent housing market challenges, high mortgage rates, and affordability issues, can negatively impact demand, pricing, revenue, and ultimately the company's financial results, leading to cyclical fluctuations in its performance.
- Margin Compression and Commodity Price Volatility: The company faces significant risks related to margin compression, largely driven by volatility and potential deflation in commodity prices, especially for structural products like Engineered Wood Products (EWP) and panels. This pressure on pricing power directly impacts BlueLinx's gross margin and overall profitability, as demonstrated by notable declines in gross margins in recent periods. While the company is strategically shifting towards higher-margin specialty products, the impact of commodity price fluctuations remains a substantial risk to its financial performance.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: BlueLinx is exposed to risks associated with supply chain disruptions. These disruptions can arise from various factors, including geopolitical events, tariffs, and changes in trade policies. Such events can affect the cost and availability of the products the company distributes, potentially leading to increased operational costs and impacting financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for BlueLinx's main products and services in the United States are detailed below: * **Lumber:** The demand for lumber in the U.S. is forecast to reach approximately $51.0 billion in 2025. * **Plywood:** The U.S. plywood market was valued at an estimated $32.75 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach $34.54 billion in 2025. * **Oriented Strand Board (OSB):** The U.S. Oriented Strand Board (OSB) market is valued at $15 billion. * **Rebars and Remesh (Reinforcing Steel):** The U.S. steel rebar market size was estimated at $6.50 billion in 2024 and is expected to be $6.45 billion in 2025. * **Engineered Wood:** The U.S. timber construction market, which includes engineered wood products, was estimated at $4.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $9.08 billion by 2033. * **Siding:** The United States siding industry had an estimated revenue of $28.5 billion in 2024. * **Metal (Structural Metal):** The U.S. structural metal market size was $92.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $146.9 billion by 2032. The U.S. pre-engineered metal building market, a segment of metal products, was estimated at $12.98 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $14.03 billion in 2025. * **Insulation Products:** The U.S. insulation market was valued at $13.52 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach $14.13 billion in 2025. The addressable markets for the following products could not be specifically identified with precise market size figures and are therefore returned as null: * Industrial Products: null * Cedar Products: null * Moulding and Millwork: nullAI Analysis | Feedback
For BlueLinx (symbol: BXC), the following are expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
- Expansion of Specialty Product Sales: BlueLinx is strategically focusing on increasing its revenue mix weighted towards higher-margin specialty product categories such as engineered wood, siding, millwork, outdoor living products, and industrial products. This strategic shift is consistently highlighted as a core driver for profitable growth and has been bolstered by acquisitions, such as Disdero Lumber Co., LLC, which expanded its specialty product offerings and geographic reach.
- Growth in Multifamily and National Accounts Channels: The company has demonstrated significant volume growth in its multifamily (19% volume increase) and national accounts (17% volume growth) channels during 2025, with management emphasizing these as key long-term growth drivers. BlueLinx aims to continue expanding its product lines and service offerings to these key customer segments.
- Digital Transformation and AI Initiatives: BlueLinx is undertaking a multi-year digital transformation, including investments in rearchitecting its master data, implementing a new transportation management system, and exploring AI-driven operational improvements and potential for future AI-driven commerce. These initiatives are designed to enhance pricing, customer engagement, and supply chain efficiency, thereby supporting future sales growth.
- Greenfield Expansions: BlueLinx is actively pursuing greenfield opportunities to expand its geographic footprint. The company opened its first greenfield branch in Portland, Oregon, in November 2024, and anticipates additional greenfield locations throughout 2025, which are strategically chosen to support the growth of higher-margin specialty products and market share.
- Opportunistic Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): Strategic and opportunistic mergers and acquisitions are an ongoing part of BlueLinx's expansion strategy. The acquisition of Disdero Lumber Co., LLC in October 2025, which contributed to specialty product growth, serves as a recent example of this driver.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- BlueLinx repurchased $45 million in shares during the full year 2024.
- The company repurchased approximately $37.7 million in fiscal year 2025.
- As of July 2025, BlueLinx had a total of $61.5 million available under share repurchase authorizations, including a new $50 million program approved in July 2025 and $11.5 million remaining from a previous $100 million authorization from October 2023.
Outbound Investments
- BlueLinx acquired Disdero Lumber Company, which has contributed positively to the company's specialty product sales and expanded its geographic reach.
Capital Expenditures
- BlueLinx invested $40.1 million in capital expenditures during 2024, focusing on improving and upgrading distribution facilities, technology infrastructure, and its fleet.
- In fiscal year 2025, the company invested $26.9 million in property and equipment, primarily for distribution facility improvements and digital transformation initiatives.
- For 2026, planned capital investments will focus on facility improvements, truck and trailer replacement, and technology enhancements, reflecting a prudent management approach.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to BXC.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | NSP | Insperity | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | TNC | Tennant | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | HURN | Huron Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TRU | TransUnion | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,691 |
| Op Inc LTM | 105 |
| FCF LTM | 85 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 97 |
| CFO LTM | 116 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 126 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -11.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 13.8 |
| P/EBIT | 13.7 |
| P/E | 34.3 |
| P/CFO | 14.6 |
| Total Yield | 2.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 19.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 40.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -28.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $56.01 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/14/2004 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -35.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $59.64 | $68.51 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.1% | -18.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 53.6% | 50.8% |
| Downside Capture | 0.75 | 0.87 |
| Upside Capture | 31.33 | 100.32 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 42.1% | 43.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.58 | 1.99 | 2.04 | 1.71 | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| Up Beta | 5.79 | 2.94 | 2.66 | 2.03 | 1.10 | 1.36 |
| Down Beta | 1.57 | 2.65 | 2.51 | 2.16 | 0.98 | 1.14 |
| Up Capture | 220% | 98% | 161% | 101% | 102% | 292% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 17 | 28 | 51 | 111 | 366 |
| Down Capture | 271% | 189% | 168% | 156% | 135% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 15 | 25 | 35 | 75 | 140 | 384 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BXC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BXC | -18.7% | 50.7% | -0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 38.5% | 15.4% | 1.91 | 56.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.7% | 12.7% | 1.52 | 44.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.4% | 27.5% | 1.25 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.4% | 16.2% | 1.25 | 0.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 42.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.4% | 42.7% | -0.14 | 19.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BXC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BXC | 4.5% | 55.3% | 0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.9% | 17.3% | 0.59 | 56.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.8% | 17.1% | 0.49 | 50.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 17.8% | 0.99 | 5.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 18.8% | 0.47 | 12.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.1% | 18.8% | 0.12 | 44.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.8% | 56.4% | 0.29 | 21.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BXC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BXC | 23.5% | 69.8% | 0.60 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.0% | 19.9% | 0.62 | 40.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 37.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.7% | 15.9% | 0.71 | 3.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 13.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 35.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.0% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 13.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 1.9% | -8.8% | -5.2% |
| 7/29/2025 | -2.8% | -4.0% | 7.9% |
| 4/29/2025 | -9.9% | -10.7% | -6.0% |
| 2/18/2025 | -7.7% | -15.8% | -18.1% |
| 10/29/2024 | 9.1% | 12.6% | 21.0% |
| 7/30/2024 | -0.2% | -18.4% | -17.9% |
| 4/30/2024 | -8.3% | -8.9% | -7.8% |
| 2/20/2024 | -1.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -8.8% | -11.2% |
| Max Positive | 31.5% | 49.6% | 68.2% |
| Max Negative | -16.0% | -18.4% | -23.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Specialty product gross margin | 17.0% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 17.5% for Q3 2025 |
| Q4 2025 Structural product gross margin | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 8.5% for Q3 2025 |
Prior: Q2 2025 Earnings Reported 7/29/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2025 Specialty Product Gross Margin | 17.0% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 17.5% for Q2 2025 |
| Q3 2025 Structural Product Gross Margin | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | -10.5% | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 9.5% for Q2 2025 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.