Bitcoin Depot (BTM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.285 | Market Cap: $87.2 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
Bitcoin Depot (BTM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.285Market Cap: $87.2 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 39%, Dividend Yield is 28%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 35%, FCF Yield is 38% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 566% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, and Digital Payments. | Key risksBTM key risks include [1] regulatory headwinds threatening transaction volumes and revenue through mandates like transaction and fee caps, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 39%, Dividend Yield is 28%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 35%, FCF Yield is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, and Digital Payments. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 566% |
| Key risksBTM key risks include [1] regulatory headwinds threatening transaction volumes and revenue through mandates like transaction and fee caps, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BTM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the public company Bitcoin Depot (BTM), a significant stock movement such as a -64.9% decline can be attributed to several factors that have historically impacted the company or are identified as key risks.
1. Arbitration Loss. An $18.5 million arbitration loss contributed to a notable stock decline.
2. Tempered Q4 Guidance. Weakened guidance for future quarterly performance, specifically a tempered Q4 outlook, has led to stock weakness.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BTM Return | � | � | � | -68% | -50% | -19% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -79% | 366% | 31% | 49% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BTM Win Rate | � | � | 75% | 50% | 33% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 36% | 37% | 63% | 45% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BTM Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -80% | -56% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -81% | -2% | -38% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COIN, HOOD, MARA, RIOT, CLSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BTM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -80.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 405.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE
In The Past
Bitcoin Depot's stock fell -80.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/24/2023. A -80.2% loss requires a 405.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Bitcoin Depot Earnings Notes | ||
| Bitcoin Depot Stock 10-Day Losing Spree: Stock Falls -46% | Notification | |
| Bitcoin Depot Stock Plummets -48% With 11-Day Losing Streak | Notification | |
| Bitcoin Depot Stock Slides -45% With A 9-Day Losing Spree | Notification | |
| null |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Bitcoin Depot
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| Rev LTM | 843 |
| Op Inc LTM | -26 |
| FCF LTM | -496 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -353 |
| CFO LTM | -211 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -97 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 64.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 47.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 95.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 16.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -16.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -27.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -18.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -64.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -59.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| P/S | 8.9 |
| P/EBIT | 16.0 |
| P/E | 19.8 |
| P/CFO | -2.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.8% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -25.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -14.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 374.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -28.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 236.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 689 | 647 | ||
| BD Checkout | 0 | |||
| Bitcoin ATM (BTM) revenue | 538 | 244 | ||
| Company Website | 0 | |||
| Hardware Revenue | 1 | 0 | ||
| Over-the-counter (OTC) | 7 | |||
| Software Services | 2 | 0 | ||
| Over-the-counter (OTC) and other revenue | 1 | |||
| Total | 689 | 647 | 549 | 245 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 1 | |||
| Total | 1 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -17.5% | -33.5% | -47.4% |
| 8/12/2025 | -12.4% | -16.2% | -21.4% |
| 3/18/2025 | 1.4% | 6.5% | -5.8% |
| 11/13/2024 | -1.2% | -18.7% | -23.5% |
| 8/13/2024 | -4.8% | 6.1% | -4.2% |
| 3/25/2024 | -17.2% | -36.2% | -29.1% |
| 11/13/2023 | -7.1% | -19.7% | 4.2% |
| 7/21/2023 | 18.3% | 27.1% | 4.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| # Negative | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Median Negative | -9.8% | -19.7% | -22.4% |
| Max Positive | 18.3% | 27.1% | 4.9% |
| Max Negative | -17.5% | -36.2% | -47.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8152024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6202023 | DEFM14A 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 9012023 | 424B3 12/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 10052022 | PREM14A 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |