Bobs Discount Furniture (BOBS)


Market Price (11/3/2026): $17.46 | Market Cap: $2.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Bobs Discount Furniture (BOBS)


Market Price (11/3/2026): $17.46
Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 5.1%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.79

Key risks
BOBS key risks include [1] significant tariff exposure due to a heavy supply chain concentration in Vietnam and [2] potential financial impacts related to its former private equity ownership.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 5.1%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.79
4 Key risks
BOBS key risks include [1] significant tariff exposure due to a heavy supply chain concentration in Vietnam and [2] potential financial impacts related to its former private equity ownership.

BOBS in ETFs

Weight = BOBS's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.02%
VB0.00%
IWO0.02%
AVUV0.02%
VTWO0.01%
IWN0.01%
SCHA0.01%
+2 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

Bobs Discount Furniture (BOBS) stock has gained about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance.

Bob's Discount Furniture (BOBS) reported mixed results for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended on June 28, 2026, with earnings released on August 6, 2026. While net revenue increased by 8.8% to $619.6 million and comparable sales grew by 2.3%, adjusted diluted net income per share decreased by 31% to $0.20 from $0.29 in fiscal Q2 2025. This decline in profitability, along with adjusted EBITDA margin compressing to 9.8% from 11.0%, led to an initial stock drop of 3.9% to 6.54% the day following the announcement, settling around $17.57 to $18.06. However, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting net revenue between $2.6 billion and $2.625 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $255 million and $265 million, which likely provided a floor for the stock, aligning with its long-term growth algorithm and mitigating further decline.

2. Persistent Macroeconomic Headwinds in the Furniture Retail Sector.

The broader furniture retail market continued to face challenges during the period, contributing to BOBS's stable but unexciting stock performance. A 25% U.S. import tariff on upholstered furniture remained in effect, posing ongoing structural trade risk for the industry. Furthermore, data for July 2026 showed that Canadian furniture-store sales were down 2.0% year-over-year, and other home-furnishing retailers experienced a 5.7% nominal decline, indicating selective consumer demand. While Bob's "Everyday Low Price" model aimed to be resilient in this demanding environment, the overall cautious consumer sentiment and industry-wide pressures limited significant upward movement for the stock.

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Updated on 11/1/2026

Bobs Discount Furniture (BOBS) stock has gained about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance.

Bob's Discount Furniture (BOBS) reported mixed results for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended on June 28, 2026, with earnings released on August 6, 2026. While net revenue increased by 8.8% to $619.6 million and comparable sales grew by 2.3%, adjusted diluted net income per share decreased by 31% to $0.20 from $0.29 in fiscal Q2 2025. This decline in profitability, along with adjusted EBITDA margin compressing to 9.8% from 11.0%, led to an initial stock drop of 3.9% to 6.54% the day following the announcement, settling around $17.57 to $18.06. However, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting net revenue between $2.6 billion and $2.625 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $255 million and $265 million, which likely provided a floor for the stock, aligning with its long-term growth algorithm and mitigating further decline.

2. Persistent Macroeconomic Headwinds in the Furniture Retail Sector.

The broader furniture retail market continued to face challenges during the period, contributing to BOBS's stable but unexciting stock performance. A 25% U.S. import tariff on upholstered furniture remained in effect, posing ongoing structural trade risk for the industry. Furthermore, data for July 2026 showed that Canadian furniture-store sales were down 2.0% year-over-year, and other home-furnishing retailers experienced a 5.7% nominal decline, indicating selective consumer demand. While Bob's "Everyday Low Price" model aimed to be resilient in this demanding environment, the overall cautious consumer sentiment and industry-wide pressures limited significant upward movement for the stock.

3. Strategic Growth Investments and Expansion Plans.

Bob's Discount Furniture continued its strategic expansion initiatives, which involved significant capital allocation. In fiscal Q2 2026, the company opened 4 new stores, reaching 218 locations across 27 states. The company has a target of opening approximately 20 stores in 2026, representing 10% unit growth, and aims for a long-term goal of over 500 stores by 2035. Expected net capital expenditures for 2026 were approximately $110 million to $115 million, primarily for store growth and infrastructure, including a new distribution center in Georgia. These investments, while compressing near-term margins, signal long-term growth potential, balancing immediate financial performance with future expansion and contributing to the stock's relatively stable valuation as the market weighed growth prospects against investment costs.

4. Sustained Positive Analyst Sentiment.

Despite the stock largely remaining at the same level, analyst sentiment for BOBS remained predominantly positive throughout the period. The average 12-month price target from analysts was $22.77 USD, indicating a +37.41% upside potential from current levels. Notably, 11 analysts recommended buying the stock, with no "Sell" recommendations. In October 2026, major firms like UBS and RBC reiterated their "Buy" and "Outperform" ratings, with price targets of $24 and $22, respectively. This consistent analyst support likely helped to establish a psychological floor for the stock price, preventing further significant declines and contributing to its contained movement.

5. Absence of Significant Insider Trading Activity.

During the period from August 1, 2026, to October 31, 2026, there were no reported insider buying or selling transactions that exceeded the specified threshold of USD 5 million. The insider trading activity recorded for Bob's Discount Furniture was considerably smaller, with the largest reported transaction being a $356k option exercise in May 2026. The lack of substantial insider activity, which often signals strong shifts in management confidence, contributed to the absence of significant directional momentum in the stock price, thus reinforcing its largely stable trend.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.4% change in BOBS stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611022026Change
Stock Price ($)16.6717.414.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)��0.0%
Net Income Margin (%)��0.0%
P/E Multiple��0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)130130-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BOBS4.4% 
Market (SPY)0.7%22.9%
Sector (XLY)1.8%41.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 62.1% change in BOBS stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611022026Change
Stock Price ($)10.7417.4162.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,368�0.0%
Net Income Margin (%)5.1%�0.0%
P/E Multiple11.5�0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1301300.5%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BOBS62.1% 
Market (SPY)4.9%18.1%
Sector (XLY)0.0%42.2%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BOBS  
Market (SPY)11.2%29.7%
Sector (XLY)-0.9%45.4%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BOBS  
Market (SPY)86.0%29.7%
Sector (XLY)58.9%45.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BOBS Return-----2%2%
Peers Return17%-39%54%16%14%13%64%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BOBS Win Rate-----70% 
Peers Win Rate52%30%57%50%50%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%36% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BOBS Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-49%-36%-32%-44%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: W, WSM, RH, LZB, HVT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

BOBS has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

EventXLYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven105 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-11.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven37 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-13.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven42 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-35.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven874 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven82 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-19.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven98 days105 days

Compare to W, WSM, RH, LZB, HVT

In The Past

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

BOBS has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

EventXLYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven105 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-35.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven874 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven82 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-51.0%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven104.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven372 days1085 days

Compare to W, WSM, RH, LZB, HVT

In The Past

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Bobs Discount Furniture (BOBS)

N/A

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Bobs Discount Furniture:

  • Walmart for furniture
  • Southwest Airlines of furniture

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Living Room Furniture: Offers a variety of sofas, sectionals, recliners, coffee tables, and entertainment centers for living spaces.
  • Bedroom Furniture: Provides beds, mattresses, dressers, nightstands, and complete bedroom sets for sleeping areas.
  • Dining Room Furniture: Sells dining tables, chairs, bar stools, and buffets for various dining arrangements.
  • Home Office Furniture: Includes desks, office chairs, and bookshelves to furnish home workspaces.
  • Mattresses: A selection of mattresses in different sizes and comfort levels to suit individual sleep preferences.
  • Home Accents and Decor: Offers rugs, lamps, wall art, and other decorative items to complement home interiors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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Bill Barton, Chief Executive Officer

Bill Barton was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Bob's Discount Furniture in October 2020. Before joining Bob's, Mr. Barton spent 11 years as CEO of California Closets, a prominent company in home organization solutions and a unit of FirstService Brands. During his leadership at California Closets, he significantly contributed to its growth by introducing new products, establishing the company's first two U.S. manufacturing plants, launching its e-commerce platform, and developing collaborations with major lifestyle brands. He brings over three decades of experience in developing and leading high-growth businesses. Bob's Discount Furniture has been backed by private equity firm Bain Capital since 2014, which remained the majority shareholder after the company's IPO in February 2026.

Carl Lukach, Chief Financial Officer

Carl Lukach serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Bob's Discount Furniture. In his role as CFO, he was instrumental in the company's initial public offering on the New York Stock Exchange in February 2026. The IPO's proceeds are intended to reduce debt and support the company's expansion plans, with a goal to grow to over 500 stores by 2035. His tenure as CFO has occurred while Bob's Discount Furniture has been supported by the private equity firm Bain Capital.

Edmond English, Executive Chairman

Edmond English holds the position of Executive Chairman at Bob's Discount Furniture. He previously served as interim CEO until Bill Barton's appointment in October 2020, and prior to that, was the CEO of Bob's Discount Furniture from 2006. Mr. English is also a former president and CEO of TJX Companies.

Ramesh Murthy, Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President

Ramesh Murthy is the Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President for Bob's Discount Furniture.

Carol Glaser, Chief Merchandising Officer & Executive Vice President

Carol Glaser is the Chief Merchandising Officer and Executive Vice President at Bob's Discount Furniture. She is recognized for her extensive experience in merchandising within the furniture and home furnishings industries, encompassing skills in trend analysis, sales, management, global sourcing, product development, and inventory control.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Bob's Discount Furniture (symbol: BOBS):
  1. Sensitivity to Macroeconomic Conditions: Bob's Discount Furniture's performance is highly susceptible to broader economic trends, particularly consumer discretionary spending, interest rate fluctuations, and the health of the housing market. Furniture purchases are often deferrable and considered big-ticket discretionary items, making demand sensitive to economic slowdowns, inflation, and reduced consumer confidence. Higher interest rates, including mortgage rates, increase the cost of borrowing for consumers and can lead to a slowdown in home sales and new construction, directly impacting the demand for new furniture and home furnishings.
  2. Supply Chain Disruptions and Tariff Exposure: The company faces risks associated with global supply chain disruptions and changes in trade policy, including tariffs. Geopolitical tensions and conflicts, such as those impacting key shipping routes, can lead to increased freight rates, extended transit times, and supply volatility, directly affecting the cost and availability of inventory. Bob's Discount Furniture, like many in the industry, may have significant sourcing from countries like Vietnam, exposing it to potential tariff changes and trade policy uncertainties that can increase operational costs.
  3. Intense Competition: The retail furniture market is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for consumer spending. While Bob's Discount Furniture operates as a value-oriented retailer, the challenging retail environment and shifting consumer behaviors, including increased price sensitivity, intensify this competition. Companies must constantly adapt to changing preferences and economic conditions, and failure to effectively compete on price, product assortment, or customer experience could negatively impact market share and profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Bob's Discount Furniture (symbol: BOBS) operates in the U.S. furniture and mattress markets.

Addressable Market Sizes (U.S. Region):

  • U.S. Furniture Market: The addressable market for furniture in the United States was valued at approximately USD 195.7 billion in 2025. This market is projected to grow to about USD 256.9 billion by 2034, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.07% from 2026 to 2034. Other estimates place the U.S. furniture market at USD 178.9 billion in 2025, with projections to reach USD 345.5 billion by 2035 at a CAGR of 6.8%.
  • U.S. Mattress Market: The addressable market for mattresses in the United States was valued at approximately USD 11.03 billion in 2025. This market is expected to reach USD 17.49 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.96% over the forecast period of 2026-2033. Other data suggests the U.S. mattress market was valued at USD 12.93 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 18.65 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.4% from 2025 to 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Bob's Discount Furniture (symbol: BOBS) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Aggressive Store Expansion: Bob's Discount Furniture plans significant physical expansion, particularly targeting the Southeast region. The company aims to grow its footprint to over 500 locations by 2035 from its current 209 showrooms across 26 states. This substantial increase in store count is expected to be a primary driver of revenue growth by reaching new markets and customers.
  2. Growth of Omni-channel Retail Strategy: As a "leading omni-channel retailer," Bob's Discount Furniture is positioned to drive revenue by continuing to optimize and grow sales through both its physical store network and its online platforms.
  3. Customer Growth Driven by Value Proposition: The company's focus on offering "affordable home furnishings, mattresses, bedding, and accessories" provides a strong value proposition, which can attract and retain a broader customer base, especially in a market where consumers have faced increased prices.
  4. Strategic Investments from IPO Proceeds: The initial public offering (IPO) raised $331 million, which Bob's Discount Furniture intends to utilize to pay off debt and fund its expansion strategy. This access to public capital will enable the company to finance its ambitious growth plans and invest in initiatives that will lead to increased revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback


Share Issuance

  • Bob's Discount Furniture completed its initial public offering (IPO) on February 5, 2026, by selling 19.45 million shares at $17.00 per share.
  • The IPO generated approximately $331 million in gross proceeds.
  • The company intends to use the net proceeds from the IPO to repay the majority of a $350 million term loan, which was incurred to fund a $423.3 million pre-IPO dividend to Bain Capital and other shareholders in October 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Bain Capital acquired a majority stake in Bob's Discount Furniture in 2014.
  • Following the IPO, investment funds advised by Bain Capital and its affiliates are expected to retain approximately 75% of the outstanding common stock.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the last 12 months (prior to February 2026) amounted to -$76.07 million.
  • The company has an aggressive expansion plan to grow its store count from over 200 locations to more than 500 by 2035.
  • Approximately 100 new stores are planned for the Southeast region, where the company currently has a minor presence.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BOBSWWSMRHLZBHVTMedian
NameBobs Dis.Wayfair Williams.RH La-Z-Boy Haverty . 
Mkt Price17.15113.00259.44145.3531.7030.4972.35
Mkt Cap2.214.930.6-1.30.52.2
Rev LTM2,46312,9048,005-2,1107802,463
Op Inc LTM2172291,537-12526217
FCF LTM1164331,343-10240116
FCF 3Y Avg-2371,214-10837173
CFO LTM2216651,609-18361221
CFO 3Y Avg-4791,445-18063330

Growth & Margins

BOBSWWSMRHLZBHVTMedian
NameBobs Dis.Wayfair Williams.RH La-Z-Boy Haverty . 
Rev Chg LTM-7.5%2.2%-0.2%8.0%4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.8%-0.9%--1.7%-6.8%-1.3%
Rev Chg Q8.8%7.5%6.7%--3.4%7.7%7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%1.9%1.6%--0.8%1.8%1.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM-233.1%5.7%--14.3%30.4%18.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-117.4%6.3%--13.1%-25.6%-3.4%
Op Mgn LTM8.8%1.8%19.2%-5.9%3.3%5.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--1.3%18.6%-6.7%3.9%5.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%0.6%1.2%--1.1%0.4%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM9.0%5.2%20.1%-8.7%7.8%8.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3.9%18.5%-8.6%8.2%8.4%
FCF/Rev LTM4.7%3.4%16.8%-4.8%5.1%4.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.9%15.6%-5.2%4.9%5.0%

Valuation

BOBSWWSMRHLZBHVTMedian
NameBobs Dis.Wayfair Williams.RH La-Z-Boy Haverty . 
Mkt Cap2.214.930.6-1.30.52.2
P/S0.91.23.8-0.60.60.9
P/Op Inc10.365.119.9-10.117.417.4
P/EBIT11.1-88.819.9-11.417.411.4
P/E16.8-46.525.9-15.619.816.8
P/CFO10.122.419.0-6.97.510.1
Total Yield5.9%-2.1%5.0%-9.5%9.7%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.1%-3.0%4.7%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.6%5.7%-6.9%10.4%6.3%
D/E0.40.20.1-0.40.50.4
Net D/E0.40.20.0-0.20.30.2

Returns

BOBSWWSMRHLZBHVTMedian
NameBobs Dis.Wayfair Williams.RH La-Z-Boy Haverty . 
1M Rtn20.9%11.6%12.0%20.7%5.9%10.9%11.8%
3M Rtn-2.2%26.5%8.5%-16.3%-22.1%19.5%3.1%
6M Rtn72.0%74.2%48.6%18.8%-4.2%52.0%50.3%
12M Rtn0.8%9.2%35.3%-15.7%2.7%47.8%6.0%
3Y Rtn0.8%127.7%251.7%-39.5%10.2%24.9%17.6%
1M Excs Rtn23.2%13.9%14.4%23.0%8.2%13.2%14.2%
3M Excs Rtn-4.9%-0.1%7.1%-20.3%-20.9%11.7%-2.5%
6M Excs Rtn67.4%69.5%43.9%14.1%-8.9%47.3%45.6%
12M Excs Rtn-9.6%-0.2%22.1%-27.6%-9.4%38.3%-4.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-80.3%105.4%194.0%-114.2%-63.0%-43.0%-53.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment2,3682,0282,106
Total2,3682,0282,106


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment1228828
Total1228828


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$17.41 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.3 
First Trading Date02/23/2007 
Distance from 52W High-22.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$15.41 
DMA Trenddown 
Distance from DMA12.9% 
 3M1YR
Volatility57.7%74.5%
Downside Capture127.85 
Upside Capture108.26 
Correlation (S&P 500)14.6% 
BOBS Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.020.831.351.130.040.71
Up Beta-5.27-3.051.490.80-0.03-0.25
Down Beta-0.810.971.122.36-0.91-0.23
Up Capture234%146%141%142%95%8%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days122433669292
Down Capture-71%134%144%41%110%64%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days101930589090

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BOBS
BOBS2.3%74.5%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLY)1.7%19.3%-0.0545.4%
Equity (SPY)11.6%12.8%0.5729.7%
Gold (GLD)-2.3%28.6%-0.0921.5%
Commodities (DBC)43.1%20.9%1.60-38.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.0%13.7%0.5031.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.8%43.6%-0.66-1.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BOBS
BOBS0.5%74.5%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.5%24.1%0.1445.4%
Equity (SPY)12.0%17.1%0.5229.7%
Gold (GLD)16.5%19.0%0.6921.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%19.6%0.31-38.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.1%18.9%-0.0531.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.1%51.6%0.26-1.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BOBS
BOBS0.2%74.5%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.6%22.2%0.5245.4%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7229.7%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.5%0.5721.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%18.1%0.34-38.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2231.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.7%66.3%1.01-1.1%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202620.8%
Average Daily Volume0.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity130.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2026-3.9%-2.4%-12.6%
5/7/202628.6%24.3%24.8%
3/17/2026-0.2%-18.8%-18.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative222
Median Positive28.6%24.3%24.8%
Median Negative-2.1%-10.6%-15.7%
Max Positive28.6%24.3%24.8%
Max Negative-3.9%-18.8%-18.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2026-3.9%-2.4%-12.6%
5/7/202628.6%24.3%24.8%
3/17/2026-0.2%-18.8%-18.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative222
Median Positive28.6%24.3%24.8%
Median Negative-2.1%-10.6%-15.7%
Max Positive28.6%24.3%24.8%
Max Negative-3.9%-18.8%-18.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202503/18/202610-K
09/30/202502/05/2026424B4
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202503/18/202610-K
09/30/202502/05/2026424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/2/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Comparable sales growthReported1.5%2.0%2.5% 0AffirmedGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2026 Pre-opening expensesReported 26.00 Mil 10.6% RaisedGuidance: 23.50 Mil for 2026
2026 New store countReported 20 0 AffirmedGuidance: 20 for 2026
2026 Net revenuesReported2.60 Bil2.61 Bil2.62 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 2.61 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported255.00 Mil260.00 Mil265.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 260.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Effective tax rateReported 27.0%  0AffirmedGuidance: 27.0% for 2026
2026 Net incomeReported152.00 Mil156.00 Mil160.00 Mil33.3% RaisedGuidance: 117.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted net incomeReported121.00 Mil125.00 Mil129.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 125.00 Mil for 2026
2026 FD shares outstandingReported 135.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 135.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net capital expendituresReported110.00 Mil112.50 Mil115.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 112.50 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Comparable sales growthReported1.5%2.0%2.5% 0AffirmedGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2026 Pre-opening expensesReported23.00 Mil23.50 Mil24.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 23.50 Mil for 2026
2026 New store countReported 20    
2026 Net revenuesReported2.60 Bil2.61 Bil2.62 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 2.61 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported255.00 Mil260.00 Mil265.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 260.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Effective tax rateReported 27.0%    
2026 Net incomeReported113.00 Mil117.00 Mil121.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 117.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted net incomeReported121.00 Mil125.00 Mil129.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 125.00 Mil for 2026
2026 FD shares outstandingReported 135.00 Mil    
2026 Net capital expendituresReported110.00 Mil112.50 Mil115.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 112.50 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 5/20/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Barton, William GSee RemarksSpouseBuy512202612.172002,4348,519Form
2Barton, William GSee RemarksDirectBuy512202613.5622,150300,354300,354Form
3Kilgallon, John Thomas See Footnotes.Sell213202615.942,917,50046,497,6561,519,971,344Form
4Bain, Capital Investors Llc See Footnotes.Sell213202615.942,917,50046,497,6561,519,971,344Form
5Davis, Jennifer Lynn See Footnotes.Sell213202615.942,917,50046,497,6561,519,971,344Form
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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Barton, William GSee RemarksSpouseBuy512202612.172002,4348,519Form
2Barton, William GSee RemarksDirectBuy512202613.5622,150300,354300,354Form
3Kilgallon, John Thomas See Footnotes.Sell213202615.942,917,50046,497,6561,519,971,344Form
4Bain, Capital Investors Llc See Footnotes.Sell213202615.942,917,50046,497,6561,519,971,344Form
5Davis, Jennifer Lynn See Footnotes.Sell213202615.942,917,50046,497,6561,519,971,344Form
6Moeller, StephenSee RemarksDirectBuy206202617.0015,000255,000255,000Form
7Schaffer, Ryan GregorySee RemarksDirectBuy206202617.001,25021,25021,250Form
8Lang, Trevor DirectBuy206202617.001,84531,36531,365Form
9Carbone, Barbara DirectBuy206202617.001,20020,40020,400Form
10Williams, Scott K DirectBuy206202617.0012,000204,000204,000Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 3, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sunriver Management LLC$17.8 Mil3.0%18New13F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$12.3 Mil1.1%39New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sunriver Management LLC$17.8 Mil3.0%18New13F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$12.3 Mil1.1%39New13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sunriver Management LLC$17.8 Mil3.0%18New13F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$12.3 Mil1.1%39New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/2/2026