Tearsheet

TopBuild (BLD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $448.01 | Market Cap: $12.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

TopBuild (BLD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $448.01
Market Cap: $12.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 7.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 7.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BLD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 6.9% stock movement for TopBuild (BLD) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings and Raised Guidance. TopBuild reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, 2025, with sales of $1.39 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.8%, reflecting a 1.4% increase in sales, including acquisitions. The company surpassed analysts' consensus estimates, reporting $5.36 earnings per share against an expected $5.22, and revenue of $1.39 billion, slightly above the $1.38 billion anticipated. This positive performance led management to raise its full-year 2025 guidance for sales to $5.35–$5.45 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $1.01–$1.06 billion, signaling strong financial health and confidence.

2. Strategic Acquisition of Specialty Products and Insulation (SPI). On October 7, 2025, TopBuild completed a significant all-cash acquisition of Specialty Products and Insulation (SPI) for $1.0 billion. This acquisition is projected to add approximately $700 million in annual revenue and generate $35–$40 million in annual run-rate cost synergies within two years. The deal is expected to be immediately accretive to earnings per share and strategically enhances TopBuild's fabrication capabilities, expands its geographic footprint across North America, and strengthens its exposure to commercial and industrial end markets, increasing non-cyclical recurring revenue.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BLD Return79%50%-43%139%-17%44%334%
Peers Return20%28%-5%56%-10%18%142%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BLD Win Rate67%67%33%75%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%45%52%52%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BLD Max Drawdown-43%-2%-49%0%-17%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-6%-28%-12%-18%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLPC, SLND, DHI, LEN, PHM. See BLD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBLDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven109.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven72 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven221 days120 days

Compare to PLPC, SLND, DHI, LEN, PHM


In The Past

TopBuild's stock fell -49.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -49.4% loss requires a 97.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About TopBuild (BLD)

Better Bets than TopBuild (BLD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
BLD_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BLDTopBuildDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
60.0%58.0%-0.8%
BLD_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022BLDTopBuildDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%59.1%-15.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
BLD_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BLDTopBuildDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
60.0%58.0%-0.8%
BLD_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022BLDTopBuildDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%59.1%-15.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TopBuild

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BLDPLPCSLNDDHILENPHMMedian
NameTopBuild Preforme.SouthlandD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
Mkt Price449.83214.353.24165.00133.13130.33149.06
Mkt Cap12.61.10.250.234.025.619.1
Rev LTM5,23666389534,57534,76617,62311,430
Op Inc LTM83061-724,8923,4703,3952,112
FCF LTM79142-162,785-7131,552417
FCF 3Y Avg72349-32,7072,7831,8751,299
CFO LTM84676-82,911-5681,668461
CFO 3Y Avg7888152,8562,9181,9831,386

Growth & Margins

BLDPLPCSLNDDHILENPHMMedian
NameTopBuild Preforme.SouthlandD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.3%15.9%-23.4%-7.3%-4.7%1.8%-3.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.0%4.8%-8.9%2.9%3.0%5.4%3.0%
Rev Chg Q1.4%21.2%-14.4%-7.4%-6.4%-1.6%-4.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%4.9%-3.9%-2.1%-1.7%-0.4%-1.1%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%9.2%-8.0%14.2%10.0%19.3%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.4%10.3%-3.0%16.3%13.6%20.6%15.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.0%5.6%-1.0%-1.5%-0.7%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM16.2%11.4%-0.9%8.4%-1.6%9.5%8.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.1%12.5%0.4%8.1%8.4%11.6%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM15.1%6.4%-1.8%8.1%-2.1%8.8%7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.8%7.7%-0.4%7.7%8.0%10.9%7.9%

Valuation

BLDPLPCSLNDDHILENPHMMedian
NameTopBuild Preforme.SouthlandD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
Mkt Cap12.61.10.250.234.025.619.1
P/S2.11.50.31.10.91.51.3
P/EBIT13.018.5-3.38.09.37.68.6
P/E19.325.8-3.19.912.09.910.9
P/CFO12.912.8-27.613.5-56.715.612.9
Total Yield5.2%4.3%-32.7%11.3%10.0%10.8%7.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.4%0.0%1.2%1.6%0.7%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.2%6.4%-1.4%6.5%7.3%9.2%6.8%
D/E0.30.01.30.20.20.10.2
Net D/E0.2-0.01.10.10.10.00.1

Returns

BLDPLPCSLNDDHILENPHMMedian
NameTopBuild Preforme.SouthlandD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
1M Rtn6.5%1.4%-28.3%14.1%10.4%9.7%8.1%
3M Rtn7.7%13.1%-19.0%-3.9%-0.3%-2.1%-1.2%
6M Rtn55.6%52.7%-15.6%34.3%21.8%28.4%31.4%
12M Rtn14.6%57.0%6.2%0.0%-22.0%-2.0%3.1%
3Y Rtn187.3%143.0%-67.9%96.8%57.4%199.8%119.9%
1M Excs Rtn6.5%1.5%-28.3%14.1%10.4%9.8%8.1%
3M Excs Rtn-0.6%6.8%-26.1%-11.7%-8.5%-10.5%-9.5%
6M Excs Rtn40.9%38.0%-30.3%19.6%7.1%13.7%16.7%
12M Excs Rtn1.6%44.9%-14.8%-14.6%-35.9%-16.4%-14.7%
3Y Excs Rtn133.8%76.0%-140.5%31.7%-9.9%132.2%53.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Installation3,1882,9702,3781,9431,907
Specialty Distribution2,2682,2781,287926862
Elimination of intercompany net sales-262-239-179-152-145
Total5,1955,0093,4862,7182,624


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Installation644549384295253
Specialty Distribution33132616911590
Elimination of intercompany net sales-44-40-30-24-24
General corporate expense, net-52-38-47-31-30
Total879797476355290


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Installation2,2082,1292,0241,7221,669
Specialty Distribution2,0602,1762,081731716
Corporate895302153363219
Total5,1634,6074,2592,8152,604


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,545,306
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202514.7%
Average Daily Volume391,441
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.95
Basic Shares Quantity28,019,746
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021