Tearsheet

BIO-key International (BKYI)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $0.6853 | Market Cap: $4.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Alarm Services

BIO-key International (BKYI)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $0.6853
Market Cap: $4.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.7
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Identity Management.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -61%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -94%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 145%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Identity Management.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.7
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -61%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -94%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 145%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BKYI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. BIO-key International (BKYI) reported a Q3 2025 earnings miss on November 14, 2025. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.15, which was below analysts' expectations of -$0.12. Additionally, quarterly revenue came in at $1.55 million, missing analyst estimates of $1.80 million and representing a decrease from $2.14 million in Q3 2024.

2. The company experienced an increased net loss in Q3 2025. BIO-key reported a net loss of $964,849 for the third quarter of 2025, an increase compared to a net loss of $738,959 in the same period last year.

3. Bearish technical signals and forecasts indicate a negative sentiment for the stock. As of December 2025, several analyses highlighted a bearish moving average trend with multiple negative signals for BKYI. Technical indicators and expert forecasts suggested a continued downtrend and sell signals for the stock.

4. Significant stock volatility and price declines were observed in the short term. The stock price decreased by -5.08% on December 11, 2025, and had declined in 6 of the preceding 10 days, resulting in a total change of -15.93% during that period. A sell signal from a pivot top point on November 18, 2025, preceded a -33.46% fall.

5. The exercise of warrants led to an increase in outstanding shares. On October 27, 2025, BIO-key secured $3.1 million in gross proceeds from a warrant exercise agreement. However, this transaction involved the issuance of 3,091,668 shares, which can lead to dilution of existing shareholders.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BKYI Return-12%-37%-74%-72%-43%-60%-99%
Peers Return-41%8%19%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BKYI Win Rate50%33%33%33%33%33% 
Peers Win Rate50%30%45%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BKYI Max Drawdown-27%-39%-76%-74%-80%-63% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-25%-21%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OKTA, YOU, OSPN, MITK, AWRE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBKYIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3231.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven227.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-88.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven747.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven700.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1631 days1480 days

Compare to BCO, MG, NL, CIX, ADT


In The Past

BIO-key International's stock fell -97.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -97.0% loss requires a 3231.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BIO-key International (BKYI)

Better Bets than BIO-key International (BKYI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BKYI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BIO-key International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BKYIOKTAYOUOSPNMITKAWREMedian
NameBIO-key .Okta Clear Se.OneSpan Mitek Sy.Aware  
Mkt Price0.6990.1841.0812.9610.062.1111.51
Mkt Cap0.016.24.00.50.40.00.5
Rev LTM62,84086624118017211
Op Inc LTM-41221674918-734
FCF LTM-38952905154-653
FCF 3Y Avg-46342362338-331
CFO LTM-39123115955-657
CFO 3Y Avg-46552583340-336

Growth & Margins

BKYIOKTAYOUOSPNMITKAWREMedian
NameBIO-key .Okta Clear Se.OneSpan Mitek Sy.Aware  
Rev Chg LTM-13.4%12.1%17.8%-1.4%4.4%2.7%3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.8%18.1%31.0%3.0%7.8%3.3%5.5%
Rev Chg Q-27.7%11.6%15.5%1.4%3.6%33.3%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-8.6%2.8%3.7%0.3%0.9%7.9%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM-61.5%4.3%19.2%20.5%9.8%-37.8%7.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-86.6%-8.8%9.6%9.7%7.5%-37.1%-0.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-9.8%1.3%1.4%-1.3%-1.8%4.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-53.1%32.1%35.9%24.6%30.8%-33.1%27.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-53.7%25.5%35.7%13.6%22.5%-15.8%18.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-53.2%31.5%33.4%21.2%30.2%-33.3%25.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-54.1%24.6%32.5%9.4%21.8%-17.0%15.6%

Valuation

BKYIOKTAYOUOSPNMITKAWREMedian
NameBIO-key .Okta Clear Se.OneSpan Mitek Sy.Aware  
Mkt Cap0.016.24.00.50.40.00.5
P/S0.75.73.72.52.52.92.7
P/EBIT-1.1-19.312.3--7.85.6
P/E-1.183.017.710.451.1-9.114.1
P/CFO-1.417.710.410.28.1-8.99.2
Total Yield-93.6%1.2%8.5%9.6%2.0%-11.0%1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-121.6%-9.1%3.3%--7.1%-1.9%
D/E0.3-0.00.0-0.10.1
Net D/E-0.1--0.1-0.1--0.4-0.1

Returns

BKYIOKTAYOUOSPNMITKAWREMedian
NameBIO-key .Okta Clear Se.OneSpan Mitek Sy.Aware  
1M Rtn-26.6%7.4%12.5%2.3%12.2%-12.1%4.9%
3M Rtn-9.9%-0.2%10.4%-14.6%-1.8%-26.7%-5.8%
6M Rtn-10.8%-7.5%69.5%-14.8%3.5%19.9%-2.0%
12M Rtn-28.1%10.0%60.1%-25.9%14.6%38.8%12.3%
3Y Rtn-95.2%32.7%54.3%13.1%-4.3%17.2%15.2%
1M Excs Rtn-23.7%6.8%8.4%1.2%6.8%-12.8%4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-16.3%-4.0%5.8%-19.0%-2.3%-31.4%-10.2%
6M Excs Rtn-25.0%-21.7%55.3%-29.0%-10.7%5.7%-16.2%
12M Excs Rtn-48.2%-4.2%38.8%-41.6%-3.1%27.5%-3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-169.1%-27.3%-13.8%-61.5%-72.4%-56.3%-58.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity391,579
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-87.5%
Average Daily Volume732,032
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity6,587,534
Short % of Basic Shares5.9%