Tearsheet

Bakkt (BKKT)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $13.95 | Market Cap: $181.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Bakkt (BKKT)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $13.95
Market Cap: $181.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -120%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -76 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 105%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 643%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 160%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 105%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -120%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -76 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.9%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 643%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 160%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BKKT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Bakkt (BKKT) has experienced significant fluctuations in its stock price, with key movements driven by strategic shifts, financial performance, and market conditions. While pinpointing an exact 59.6% increase within the specific future timeframe of August 31, 2025, to December 8, 2025, is not directly available, an analysis of the most recent available information up to late 2025 highlights several factors that have influenced significant upward movements in Bakkt's stock.

1. Significant Revenue Growth and Increased Crypto Trading Volume in Q4 2024. In its fourth quarter 2024 results, announced on March 20, 2025, Bakkt reported a substantial increase in revenue to $1.79 billion, marking a 737.9% year-over-year surge. This growth was primarily fueled by a 778% year-over-year increase in notional crypto trading volume, reaching $1.78 billion. This strong financial performance likely contributed to investor confidence and a notable stock jump of 33.1% following the announcement.

2. Strategic Leadership Changes and Partnerships. Concurrent with its strong Q4 2024 results, Bakkt announced Akshay Naheta would join as co-CEO alongside Andy Main. Additionally, the company entered into a strategic partnership with Distributed Technologies Research to integrate stablecoin payment technology. These developments signaled new leadership and strategic initiatives aimed at expanding Bakkt's offerings and market presence, which can positively influence stock performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BKKT Return--16%-86%87%-56%-37%-94%
Peers Return9%6%-31%39%-9%4%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BKKT Win Rate100%42%25%50%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate12%27%20%38%33%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BKKT Max Drawdown--20%-86%-46%-89%-72% 
Peers Max Drawdown0%-1%-34%-10%-22%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBKKTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven6530.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-12.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven14.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days148 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

Bakkt's stock fell -98.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/29/2021. A -98.5% loss requires a 6530.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Bakkt (BKKT)

Better Bets than Bakkt (BKKT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BKKT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.3%8.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.7%14.7%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.3%8.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.7%14.7%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Bakkt

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BKKTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameBakkt Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Price14.0027.0918.6714.529.4820.7316.59
Mkt Cap0.216.710.04.8--7.4
Rev LTM3,8904,4731,497907--2,694
Op Inc LTM-761,697-46-328---61
FCF LTM-1151,30031017--163
FCF 3Y Avg-911,463268-44--112
CFO LTM-1111,32433541--188
CFO 3Y Avg-831,480282-22--130

Growth & Margins

BKKTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameBakkt Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Rev Chg LTM105.3%16.2%8.3%25.4%--20.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg455.2%16.5%14.6%45.6%--31.0%
Rev Chg Q27.1%25.3%14.4%21.7%--23.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%5.8%3.1%5.0%--4.1%
Op Mgn LTM-1.9%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%---2.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-10.5%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%---11.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.9%29.6%22.4%4.5%--13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.4%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.0%29.1%20.7%1.8%--11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.5%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--6.1%

Valuation

BKKTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameBakkt Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Cap0.216.710.04.8--7.4
P/S0.03.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT-2.310.9-148.1-19.8---11.1
P/E-4.430.7340.3-14.1--13.1
P/CFO-1.613.220.5148.8--16.9
Total Yield-22.6%5.0%0.3%-7.1%---3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-72.8%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--1.3%
D/E0.10.50.00.0--0.0
Net D/E-0.30.5-0.2-0.1---0.2

Returns

BKKTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameBakkt Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
1M Rtn-40.8%5.6%30.6%-14.2%-2.9%-7.1%-5.0%
3M Rtn64.3%-7.7%62.5%-22.5%--27.4%
6M Rtn0.6%-6.8%41.3%-20.9%---3.1%
12M Rtn-45.5%-11.5%26.1%-43.7%---27.6%
3Y Rtn-67.1%26.7%42.5%-4.7%--11.0%
1M Excs Rtn-42.4%4.2%27.2%-14.5%15.1%-9.9%-2.8%
3M Excs Rtn50.5%-14.8%52.4%-27.0%--17.8%
6M Excs Rtn-13.9%-21.3%26.8%-35.4%---17.6%
12M Excs Rtn-55.1%-24.2%16.3%-60.9%---39.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-136.7%-42.7%-18.7%-68.2%---55.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,502,058
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.0%
Average Daily Volume2,038,826
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.23
Basic Shares Quantity13,015,011
Short % of Basic Shares19.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-14.3%-21.4% 
7/28/2025-41.8%-45.6%-48.2%
3/19/202513.0%17.5%-8.6%
11/14/2024-6.5%156.8%167.9%
8/14/2024-20.6%-11.9%-25.9%
5/15/2024-13.9%25.6%53.2%
2/29/2024-43.1%-36.1%-54.9%
3/9/2023-10.7%-2.5%41.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive244
# Negative1088
Median Positive8.2%54.6%47.1%
Median Negative-12.3%-17.4%-25.9%
Max Positive13.0%156.8%167.9%
Max Negative-43.1%-45.6%-54.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023325202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021