Tearsheet

Bakkt (BKKT)


Market Price (2/20/2026): $10.4 | Market Cap: $135.4 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Bakkt (BKKT)


Market Price (2/20/2026): $10.4
Market Cap: $135.4 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -38%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -76 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 105%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 164%
4   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%
5   Key risks
BKKT key risks include [1] a projected massive revenue collapse due to a catastrophic loss of key clients, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -38%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 105%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -76 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.9%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 164%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%
10 Key risks
BKKT key risks include [1] a projected massive revenue collapse due to a catastrophic loss of key clients, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bakkt (BKKT) stock has lost about 60% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Decline in Cash Holdings and Poor Preliminary Q4 2025 Financials.

Bakkt's available cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash were estimated to be between $26 million and $28 million as of December 31, 2025, a substantial decrease from $64.4 million on September 30, 2025. This rapid decline in cash, coupled with preliminary Q4 2025 results released on January 20, 2026, showing gross digital asset revenues of $298 million to $300 million against nearly equivalent total digital asset costs and execution, clearing, and brokerage fees of $297 million to $299 million, indicated extremely thin operating margins or even losses in its core business, raising significant concerns about liquidity and profitability.

2. Announcement of a Potential $300 Million At-The-Market (ATM) Equity Program.

On January 20, 2026, Bakkt announced plans to establish an ATM equity program, allowing it to raise up to $300 million through the sale of common stock. While intended to enhance financial flexibility and accelerate growth, this move typically signals potential significant dilution for existing shareholders, which often leads to downward pressure on a company's stock price as the market anticipates an increase in the number of outstanding shares.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -62.4% change in BKKT stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -47.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120252192026Change
Stock Price ($)27.6710.40-62.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,8053,8902.3%
P/S Multiple0.00.0-29.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)713-47.6%
Cumulative Contribution-62.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BKKT-62.4% 
Market (SPY)0.4%47.3%
Sector (XLK)-6.7%39.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.1% change in BKKT stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 101.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252192026Change
Stock Price ($)9.9010.405.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,7373,8904.1%
P/S Multiple0.00.0101.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)713-49.8%
Cumulative Contribution5.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BKKT5.1% 
Market (SPY)8.6%37.1%
Sector (XLK)6.9%32.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -40.8% change in BKKT stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120252192026Change
Stock Price ($)17.5610.40-40.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,8953,890105.3%
P/S Multiple0.10.0-41.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)613-51.1%
Cumulative Contribution-40.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BKKT-40.8% 
Market (SPY)14.7%36.2%
Sector (XLK)22.1%36.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -73.5% change in BKKT stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -84.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120232192026Change
Stock Price ($)39.2510.40-73.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)�3,8900.0%
P/S Multiple�0.00.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)213-84.6%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BKKT-73.5% 
Market (SPY)74.7%29.0%
Sector (XLK)110.5%26.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BKKT Return-16%-86%87%-56%-59%3%-96%
Peers Return-16%-56%116%72%36%-20%50%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BKKT Win Rate42%25%50%25%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate40%38%60%54%57%20% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BKKT Max Drawdown-20%-86%-46%-89%-72%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-59%-9%-16%-20%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COIN, HOOD, CME, PYPL, CRCL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/19/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBKKTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven6530.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-12.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven14.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days148 days

Compare to COIN, HOOD, CME, PYPL, CRCL

In The Past

Bakkt's stock fell -98.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/29/2021. A -98.5% loss requires a 6530.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Bakkt (BKKT)

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. operates a digital asset platform. The company's platform enables consumers to buy, sell, convert, and spend digital assets. Its customers include merchants, retailers, and financial institutions. The company was formerly known as VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings and changed its name to Bakkt Holdings, Inc. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia. Bakkt Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of Intercontinental Exchange Holdings, Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. It's like **Coinbase**, but also a universal wallet for your loyalty points and gift cards, allowing you to manage and convert them alongside your crypto.

2. Think of it as **PayPal or Venmo**, but designed to manage and spend all your digital assets, from cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum to your airline miles and gift cards.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Cryptocurrency Trading & Management Platform: A service enabling users to buy, sell, and hold various cryptocurrencies.
  • Institutional Digital Asset Custody: A service providing secure and regulated storage solutions for institutional clients' digital assets.
  • Loyalty & Rewards Program Services: A service helping businesses modernize loyalty programs by enabling the conversion of points into digital assets or cash, and facilitating digital asset redemption.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bakkt (symbol: BKKT) primarily sells its digital asset technology, infrastructure, and custody solutions to other companies, enabling them to offer cryptocurrency services to their own customers. Its business model has a strong focus on enterprise and B2B partnerships rather than direct-to-consumer sales for its primary revenue drivers.

Its major customers and strategic partners include:

  • Fiserv (symbol: FI): Bakkt partners with Fiserv, a global leader in financial services technology. This partnership enables thousands of banks and credit unions that use Fiserv's platforms to offer cryptocurrency buying, selling, and holding capabilities to their customers. Bakkt provides the underlying crypto trading and custody infrastructure for these financial institutions.
  • Mastercard (symbol: MA): Bakkt has a strategic partnership with Mastercard, a global payments technology company. This collaboration aims to integrate crypto solutions into Mastercard's network, allowing financial institutions, fintechs, and merchants leveraging Mastercard's infrastructure to offer crypto-related services (such as crypto rewards and crypto debit cards) to their respective customer bases.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Visa Inc. (V)
  • Mastercard Incorporated (MA)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Akshay Naheta, Chief Executive Officer

Akshay Naheta was appointed Bakkt's sole Chief Executive Officer and President in August 2025. Prior to this, in January 2023, he founded Distributed Technologies Research (DTR), a company focused on programmable finance, and Bakkt and DTR entered into a cooperation agreement in March 2025. Between January 2017 and May 2022, Naheta held various executive roles at Softbank Group, including Senior Vice President, Investments, where he oversaw significant technology investments such as ARM, Auto1, and Nvidia. In 2011, he founded Knight Assets & Co., an investment management firm. He began his professional career at Deutsche Bank AG, serving as Head of Principal Strategies from 2005 to 2010, responsible for managing proprietary trading and structured transactions across global asset classes.

Karen Alexander, Chief Financial Officer

Karen Alexander has served as Bakkt's Chief Financial Officer since August 2022. She initially joined Bakkt in June 2021 as the Chief Accounting Officer. Before joining Bakkt, Ms. Alexander worked at GE Capital from October 2004 to April 2021, holding various finance and accounting roles, most recently as Global Technical Controller from January 2017 to April 2021. Her career began as an external auditor with Arthur Andersen LLP and Ernst & Young LLP.

Nicholas Baes, Chief Operating Officer

Nicholas Baes is Bakkt's Chief Operating Officer. He brings over 20 years of experience in the TradFi, FinTech, and crypto market segments, having built platforms across various areas of capital markets. Throughout his career, Mr. Baes has held leadership roles at both public and private firms, including Intercontinental Exchange Group and PEAK6 Investments.

Marc D'Annunzio, General Counsel and Secretary

Marc D'Annunzio has served as General Counsel and Secretary of Bakkt since its public listing. Prior to this role, he was General Counsel and Secretary for Opco since May 2019. Mr. D'Annunzio joined Opco from Alston & Bird LLP, an international law firm, where he practiced in its Payments group.

Ankit Khemka, Chief Product Officer

Ankit Khemka, Chief Product Officer, is an executive with extensive experience in scaling hyper-growth technology companies globally. He previously served as Global GM and Head of Marketing at Revolut, where he led the company's growth, brand, and global expansion strategies. Mr. Khemka also held the position of Chief Marketing & Product Officer at Kape Technologies, driving product strategy and growth for brands like ExpressVPN, and worked with Rocket Internet, leading growth ventures across multiple regions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Bakkt's business operations include its historical overreliance on a limited number of clients, persistent profitability challenges and cash burn, and the inherent volatility and regulatory uncertainty of the digital asset market.

  1. Client Concentration and Significant Revenue Loss: Bakkt has historically been heavily dependent on a few key clients for a substantial portion of its revenue. For instance, 74% of its 2023 crypto services revenue stemmed from a single contract with Webull. The termination of contracts with major partners like Webull and Bank of America in early 2025 is projected to result in a massive 73% decline in top-line revenue. This significant client concentration risk led to investor lawsuits and a substantial drop in Bakkt's stock price.
  2. Persistent Profitability Issues and Cash Burn: Bakkt has a history of unprofitability, marked by persistent net losses and negative free cash flow. Despite strategic efforts to pivot its business model, the company continues to face challenges in achieving sustainable profitability, with a very thin gross profit margin (e.g., 0.35% in Q3 2025). Concerns about Bakkt's ability to continue as a going concern due to historical operating losses and limited cash reserves have been highlighted, with the company reportedly having less than a year of cash runway. The need to frequently raise additional capital has also led to substantial equity dilution for shareholders.
  3. Digital Asset Market Volatility and Regulatory Uncertainty: As a company focused on crypto infrastructure and services, Bakkt's revenue growth is directly tied to the highly volatile digital asset market. Downturns in the crypto market can quickly reduce trading volumes and the value of assets under custody, directly impacting Bakkt's revenue. Furthermore, the regulatory landscape for blockchain technologies and digital assets is uncertain, evolving, and subject to change. Potential regulatory shifts, such as the reclassification of Bitcoin as a security, could trigger significant compliance challenges and materially impact Bakkt's operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerating entry and expansion of traditional financial institutions (TradFi) into the digital asset space. Major players like Fidelity, BlackRock, JPMorgan, and BNY Mellon are increasingly offering direct institutional-grade crypto custody, trading, and asset management services, leveraging their existing vast client networks, deep capital, and established regulatory trust. This directly challenges Bakkt's position as a bridge between TradFi and crypto by allowing incumbents to build their own comprehensive digital asset infrastructure.

The ongoing maturation and increasing adoption of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols and robust self-custody solutions. As DeFi platforms become more user-friendly, liquid, and secure, and as technologies for individuals and institutions to manage their own digital assets without intermediaries improve, the demand for centralized platforms like Bakkt for trading, lending, and custody services could diminish for certain user segments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. (BKKT) primarily focuses on crypto solutions, encompassing institutional-grade custody, trading, and on-ramp capabilities for digital assets. The company's prior involvement in loyalty programs was discontinued with the sale of its Loyalty business in July 2025, effective from Q3 2025.

Addressable Markets for Main Products and Services:

  • Crypto Asset Management: The global crypto asset management market, which includes services like custody and wallet management, was valued at approximately between USD 0.9 billion and USD 2 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated USD 4.5 billion to USD 9.3 billion by 2030-2032. North America is a dominant region in this market, holding a substantial revenue share.
  • Digital Asset Exchange and Cryptocurrency Trading: The global digital asset exchange market was valued at approximately between USD 5.7 billion and USD 12.5 billion in 2024. Projections indicate robust growth, with the market expected to reach between USD 11.7 billion and USD 45.2 billion by 2030-2032. The broader global cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at $3.57 trillion as of November 2025. North America represents a significant portion of the cryptocurrency market, with the U.S. market anticipated to grow at a notable Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). Fiat-to-crypto on-ramp services are integral to the crypto trading ecosystem, facilitating the conversion of traditional currencies into digital assets, with institutional flows in the U.S. for Bitcoin on-ramps alone reaching $4.6 trillion between July 2024 and June 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Bakkt (BKKT) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Growth in Gross Crypto Services Revenue and Notional Traded Volume: Bakkt's strategic shift to become a pure-play crypto infrastructure company means that its future revenue will largely depend on the expansion of its core crypto offerings. The company has already demonstrated significant year-over-year increases in gross crypto services revenue and notional crypto traded volume, fueled by increased crypto market activity and rising prices. This trend is expected to continue as the company further focuses on its crypto business.
  2. Enhancements and Expansion of the "Brokerage-in-a-Box" Solution: Bakkt is actively upgrading its "brokerage-in-a-box" solution, including plans to roll out "brokerage in a box 2.0" in the second half of 2025. These technological advancements are designed to offer clients faster market entry with advanced trading capabilities, improve user experience, and create new monetization opportunities. The platform's capacity to support over 200 cryptocurrencies, up from approximately 50, is also a key growth factor.
  3. Launch of Stablecoin Payments Solution (Bakkt Agent) and AI-enabled Finance: A significant driver of future revenue growth is the launch of Bakkt Agent, a stablecoin payments solution. This initiative, supported by a strategic partnership with Distributed Technologies Research (DTR), aims to provide AI-enabled consumer finance and cross-border payment capabilities, tapping into the expanding stablecoin payments ecosystem.
  4. Expansion of Product Offerings (New Cryptocurrencies) and Client Network: Bakkt has demonstrated a strategy of enhancing its crypto solutions platform by introducing new cryptocurrencies and onboarding new institutional clients onto its brokerage infrastructure. This expansion of both available assets and its client base is expected to contribute to increased trading volumes and associated revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • On July 30, 2025, Bakkt completed an underwritten public offering of Class A common stock and pre-funded warrants, which generated gross proceeds of approximately $75 million. The company intends to use the net proceeds for the purchase of Bitcoin and other digital assets, working capital, and general corporate purposes.
  • In June 2025, Bakkt announced plans to raise up to $1 billion through equity and debt offerings to fund a Bitcoin acquisition strategy.
  • On November 4, 2025, Bakkt completed a reorganization to eliminate its Up-C structure and transition to a single class of common stock, which simplifies its capital structure and aligns economic and governance rights for all shareholders.

Outbound Investments

  • On August 4, 2025, Bakkt entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire approximately 30% of MHT (TSE: 8105), a Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed company, becoming its largest shareholder. This investment initiates Bakkt's Japan Bitcoin treasury strategy.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capitalized internal-use software development costs and other capital expenditures totaled $14.763 million in 2023.
  • Capitalized internal-use software development costs and other capital expenditures amounted to $8.249 million in 2022.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on internal-use software development, consistent with Bakkt's role as a crypto infrastructure company.

Better Bets vs. Bakkt (BKKT)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to BKKT.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ROP_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026ROPRoper TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.4%-13.4%-13.8%
TDC_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026TDCTeradataDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%-8.7%
CVLT_1302026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE01302026CVLTCommVault SystemsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-5.1%
NTNX_1302026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE01302026NTNXNutanixDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.2%6.2%-6.3%
FICO_1302026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01302026FICOFair IsaacMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.1%-8.1%-9.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BKKTCOINHOODCMEPYPLCRCLMedian
NameBakkt Coinbase.Robinhoo.CME PayPal Circle I. 
Mkt Price10.40165.9475.65303.9141.7361.9268.78
Mkt Cap0.144.567.3109.338.914.241.7
Rev LTM3,8907,1814,2046,39733,1722,4125,301
Op Inc LTM-761,4562,0044,1576,396-1511,730
FCF LTM-1152,4261,1194,0845,5643471,773
FCF 3Y Avg-912,0471,2193,6745,5171391,633
CFO LTM-1112,4261,1754,1616,4163991,801
CFO 3Y Avg-832,0681,2603,7566,2361711,664

Growth & Margins

BKKTCOINHOODCMEPYPLCRCLMedian
NameBakkt Coinbase.Robinhoo.CME PayPal Circle I. 
Rev Chg LTM105.3%9.4%74.6%5.8%4.3%80.7%42.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg455.2%39.3%47.5%8.9%6.4%514.0%43.4%
Rev Chg Q27.1%-21.6%100.0%-3.0%3.7%66.0%15.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%-6.4%17.9%-0.7%0.9%13.9%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM-1.9%20.3%47.7%65.0%19.3%-6.3%19.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-10.5%17.5%9.9%63.1%18.0%-39.3%13.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-8.0%5.1%-0.3%0.1%1.5%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.9%33.8%27.9%65.0%19.3%16.6%23.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.4%34.2%47.4%63.3%19.7%-24.8%27.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.0%33.8%26.6%63.8%16.8%14.4%21.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.5%33.6%45.9%61.9%17.4%-29.6%25.5%

Valuation

BKKTCOINHOODCMEPYPLCRCLMedian
NameBakkt Coinbase.Robinhoo.CME PayPal Circle I. 
Mkt Cap0.144.567.3109.338.914.241.7
P/S0.06.216.017.11.25.96.1
P/EBIT-1.727.733.621.85.8-61.513.8
P/E-3.335.330.729.07.4-71.218.2
P/CFO-1.218.457.326.36.135.622.3
Total Yield-30.4%2.8%3.3%5.8%13.5%-1.4%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-58.1%3.5%3.7%4.3%8.2%-3.7%
D/E0.10.20.20.00.30.00.1
Net D/E-0.4-0.10.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

Returns

BKKTCOINHOODCMEPYPLCRCLMedian
NameBakkt Coinbase.Robinhoo.CME PayPal Circle I. 
1M Rtn-35.6%-27.1%-28.5%8.6%-24.2%-14.8%-25.7%
3M Rtn-29.5%-30.3%-28.8%10.9%-28.2%-7.5%-28.5%
6M Rtn30.8%-44.7%-28.8%12.2%-38.1%-53.0%-33.5%
12M Rtn-32.0%-35.8%27.7%23.5%-46.6%-25.6%-28.8%
3Y Rtn-75.2%154.5%630.9%80.2%-44.0%-25.6%27.3%
1M Excs Rtn-36.6%-28.1%-29.4%7.6%-25.2%-15.8%-26.6%
3M Excs Rtn-40.9%-40.0%-37.6%6.5%-35.4%-22.0%-36.5%
6M Excs Rtn15.2%-52.1%-36.7%6.0%-46.5%-61.2%-41.6%
12M Excs Rtn-44.0%-49.2%13.2%13.0%-58.7%-37.6%-40.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-137.7%128.4%596.7%17.7%-113.2%-91.5%-36.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Transaction revenue756307
Subscription and service revenue242721
Total7805628


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$10.40 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date11/19/2020 
Distance from 52W High-76.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$13.06$16.10
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-20.4%-35.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility138.9%165.4%
Downside Capture739.18540.89
Upside Capture355.94447.78
Correlation (SPY)52.0%36.5%
BKKT Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta8.267.085.054.982.983.19
Up Beta-0.660.91-2.00-2.021.752.06
Down Beta13.3211.199.287.322.332.63
Up Capture1012%614%269%1541%3399%62509%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days9182459110329
Down Capture361%530%468%344%174%113%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days11233665139402

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BKKT
BKKT-16.1%165.1%0.66-
Sector ETF (XLK)16.4%27.5%0.5337.3%
Equity (SPY)13.0%19.4%0.5136.6%
Gold (GLD)71.2%25.5%2.0811.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%16.9%0.2519.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.4%16.7%0.2021.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.2%44.9%-0.6642.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BKKT
BKKT-51.0%188.6%0.28-
Sector ETF (XLK)16.1%24.8%0.5924.9%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.0%0.6225.4%
Gold (GLD)22.0%17.1%1.0510.6%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.0%0.476.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1618.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.9%57.1%0.3427.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BKKT
BKKT-26.1%187.2%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLK)23.2%24.2%0.8724.6%
Equity (SPY)15.8%17.9%0.7625.2%
Gold (GLD)15.0%15.6%0.809.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%17.6%0.417.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.8%20.7%0.2917.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.7%66.7%1.0726.4%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 11520268.9%
Average Daily Volume1.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity13.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares32.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-14.3%-21.4%-50.6%
7/28/2025-41.8%-45.6%-48.2%
3/19/202513.0%17.5%-8.6%
11/14/2024-6.5%156.8%167.9%
8/14/2024-20.6%-11.9%-25.9%
5/15/2024-13.9%25.6%53.2%
2/29/2024-43.1%-36.1%-54.9%
3/9/2023-10.7%-2.5%41.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive244
# Negative1088
Median Positive8.2%54.6%47.1%
Median Negative-12.3%-17.4%-37.1%
Max Positive13.0%156.8%167.9%
Max Negative-43.1%-45.6%-54.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202403/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/14/202410-Q
03/31/202405/15/202410-Q
12/31/202303/25/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
03/31/202205/12/202210-Q
12/31/202103/31/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Henderson, Joseph Sean-WalshChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell1223202510.012,46124,635109,469Form
2Henderson, Joseph Sean-WalshChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell1113202518.75951,781254,362Form
3Henderson, Joseph Sean-WalshChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell1113202521.501693,634288,036Form
4Naheta, Akshay SudhirCEO and PresidentDirectBuy82520258.12150,0001,218,0151,310,795Form
5Naheta, Akshay SudhirCEO and PresidentDirectBuy82520258.5530,000256,3891,635,984Form