Braemar Hotels & Resorts (BHR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.8 | Market Cap: $191.0 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Braemar Hotels & Resorts (BHR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.8Market Cap: $191.0 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 20% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 557% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Luxury Hospitality, and Sustainable Hospitality. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.3% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.9% | ||
| Key risksBHR key risks include [1] a substantial debt load with significant floating-rate exposure creating liquidity and refinancing challenges and [2] persistent unprofitability with sharply declining earnings projections and a high probability of bankruptcy. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Luxury Hospitality, and Sustainable Hospitality. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 557% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.3% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.9% |
| Key risksBHR key risks include [1] a substantial debt load with significant floating-rate exposure creating liquidity and refinancing challenges and [2] persistent unprofitability with sharply declining earnings projections and a high probability of bankruptcy. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BHR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points regarding Braemar Hotels & Resorts (BHR) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Comparable Hotel EBITDA and Revenue Growth: Braemar Hotels & Resorts reported a 3.7% comparable hotel EBITDA growth in the second quarter of 2025, marking a third consecutive quarter of improvement. The company also achieved a 3.9% increase in total comparable hotel revenue in Q3 2025, demonstrating resilience in the luxury segment.
2. Outperforming Q3 2025 Earnings Expectations: For the third quarter of 2025, Braemar Hotels & Resorts reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.12, significantly outperforming the forecasted -$0.66. The revenue for the quarter also reached $143.56 million, slightly above expectations.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BHR Return | -48% | 11% | -18% | -35% | 30% | 3% | -59% |
| Peers Return | -25% | 14% | -22% | 25% | -1% | -8% | -24% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BHR Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 48% | 43% | 53% | 42% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BHR Max Drawdown | -87% | -9% | -32% | -50% | -26% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -68% | -6% | -28% | -9% | -16% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HST, PK, PEB, SHO, DRH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BHR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 271.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -87.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 687.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to HST, SHO, INN, IHT, VICI
In The Past
Braemar Hotels & Resorts's stock fell -73.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -73.1% loss requires a 271.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BHR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Braemar Hotels & Resorts
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,295 |
| Op Inc LTM | 115 |
| FCF LTM | 156 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 184 |
| CFO LTM | 270 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 240 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 12.2 |
| P/E | 1.1 |
| P/CFO | 6.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| D/E | 1.3 |
| Net D/E | 1.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -16.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 3.2% | 12.8% | 6.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | -5.5% | -1.4% | 25.5% |
| 5/7/2025 | 3.7% | 6.3% | 25.5% |
| 2/26/2025 | 0.4% | 16.6% | 3.9% |
| 11/6/2024 | 5.8% | 27.5% | 19.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | -7.9% | -19.4% | -13.5% |
| 2/29/2024 | -6.1% | -10.5% | -9.1% |
| 11/8/2023 | -22.8% | -14.2% | -14.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 10.7% | 20.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -7.7% | -11.3% |
| Max Positive | 9.1% | 40.5% | 105.3% |
| Max Negative | -22.8% | -19.4% | -19.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |