Tearsheet

Business First Bancshares (BFST)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.04 | Market Cap: $828.4 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Business First Bancshares (BFST)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.04
Market Cap: $828.4 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10.0%, FCF Yield is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
Key risks
BFST key risks include [1] substantial commercial real estate (CRE) loan portfolio exposure and [2] a material weakness in IT internal controls for financial reporting.
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10.0%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37%
7 Key risks
BFST key risks include [1] substantial commercial real estate (CRE) loan portfolio exposure and [2] a material weakness in IT internal controls for financial reporting.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BFST Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate 12.9% stock movement for Business First Bancshares (BFST) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat.

Business First Bancshares reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 23, 2025, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.72, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.69 per share. The company also exceeded revenue expectations, reporting $80.95 million against an estimate of $80.50 million, indicating strong financial performance. 2. Announcement of Stock Repurchase Program.

On October 28, 2025, Business First Bancshares, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors had approved a stock repurchase program. Such programs often signal management's confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects, which can positively influence investor sentiment and stock price.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BFST Return-16%42%-20%14%7%11%28%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BFST Win Rate67%67%33%58%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BFST Max Drawdown-61%-1%-27%-38%-19%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBFSTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven552 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven174.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven585 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1122 days120 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Business First Bancshares's stock fell -53.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2022. A -53.3% loss requires a 114.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Business First Bancshares (BFST)

Better Bets than Business First Bancshares (BFST)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BFST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Business First Bancshares

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BFSTNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBusiness.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price28.0612.0823.7117.2714.7215.8616.56
Mkt Cap0.80.30.20.30.177.50.3
Rev LTM3142696396279,600182
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM91-520193593,66627
FCF 3Y Avg75-22916-51,96816
CFO LTM92-519203994,04030
CFO 3Y Avg80-22818-52,18818

Growth & Margins

BFSTNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBusiness.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM23.7%21.8%18.0%-10.2%22.3%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.0%31.6%0.3%-1.2%62.1%15.0%
Rev Chg Q21.4%20.7%22.9%26.1%20.2%30.2%22.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%4.7%5.2%6.3%4.8%7.1%5.0%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM29.4%-193.4%31.5%41.2%34.3%42.1%32.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.4%-91.8%31.1%-20.2%21.7%21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM28.9%-193.4%30.8%36.8%32.1%38.2%31.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.3%-91.9%27.1%-18.9%18.7%18.9%

Valuation

BFSTNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBusiness.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.80.30.20.30.177.50.3
P/S2.21.12.92.94.08.12.9
P/EBIT-------
P/E8.54.911.2-54.116.030.69.9
P/CFO7.5-0.69.17.011.819.28.3
Total Yield14.1%20.2%12.9%-1.8%7.5%3.3%10.2%
Dividend Yield2.4%0.0%4.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.7%-76.1%-----31.7%
D/E0.72.6--0.0-0.7
Net D/E0.01.8---1.2-0.0

Returns

BFSTNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBusiness.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn15.7%23.4%14.5%15.6%3.2%1.7%15.0%
3M Rtn17.8%2.2%17.2%9.7%13.5%-0.6%11.6%
6M Rtn22.9%19.4%40.0%--29.6%26.2%
12M Rtn6.2%-2.1%49.7%--35.6%20.9%
3Y Rtn43.2%-21.9%21.2%--306.7%32.2%
1M Excs Rtn15.0%22.7%13.8%14.9%2.5%0.9%14.3%
3M Excs Rtn13.3%-3.3%14.5%7.1%11.7%-2.2%9.4%
6M Excs Rtn10.5%7.0%27.6%--17.2%13.8%
12M Excs Rtn-8.1%-19.5%37.0%--21.8%6.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-37.4%-87.9%-50.4%--226.1%-43.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community banking24722818714991
Total24722818714991


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity247,140
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.2%
Average Daily Volume157,632
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.57
Basic Shares Quantity29,544,425
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20256.9%4.9%10.6%
7/28/2025-2.4%-9.8%-0.4%
4/24/2025-3.8%-2.3%0.4%
1/23/20258.8%6.8%2.4%
10/24/20243.7%4.6%13.9%
7/25/20244.0%-4.2%-3.7%
4/25/2024-5.1%-4.0%-2.8%
1/23/2024-1.6%1.3%-6.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121416
# Negative12108
Median Positive3.2%4.5%9.1%
Median Negative-2.1%-3.5%-4.2%
Max Positive23.2%22.1%19.1%
Max Negative-5.1%-13.4%-8.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024307202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023301202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021