Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
Key risks
BFC key risks include [1] credit exposure from its substantial real estate loan portfolio and [2] intense competition in its key markets of Oklahoma and North Texas.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -21%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -21%
6 Key risks
BFC key risks include [1] credit exposure from its substantial real estate loan portfolio and [2] intense competition in its key markets of Oklahoma and North Texas.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BFC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period, from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of why Bank First (BFC) stock moved by 4.6% during this prospective period, as such movements and their underlying causes have not yet occurred.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BFC Return-6%13%30%-5%16%43%117%
Peers Return-12%41%1%2%21%24%91%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BFC Win Rate42%67%67%58%67%83% 
Peers Win Rate50%72%47%45%53%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BFC Max Drawdown-35%0%-5%-28%-12%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-1%-15%-33%-12%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ASB, NIC, WTFC, FBIZ, WSBF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBFCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven561 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven557 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-67.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven209.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1716 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Bank First's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/25/2022. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Bank First (BFC)

Better Bets than Bank First (BFC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BFC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.9%13.9%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.3%-3.3%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.2%-9.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.9%13.9%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.3%-3.3%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.2%-9.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Bank First

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BFCASBNICWTFCFBIZWSBFMedian
NameBank Fir.Associat.Nicolet .Wintrust.First Bu.Watersto. 
Mkt Price135.4226.76131.53141.1357.5017.0094.52
Mkt Cap1.34.42.09.40.50.31.6
Rev LTM1661,1533792,650168134273
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM525631541,1136743110
FCF 3Y Avg47464119760523786
CFO LTM646051601,1506844114
CFO 3Y Avg57515133815543895

Growth & Margins

BFCASBNICWTFCFBIZWSBFMedian
NameBank Fir.Associat.Nicolet .Wintrust.First Bu.Watersto. 
Rev Chg LTM17.0%5.8%9.3%11.2%12.5%3.7%10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.4%1.1%10.9%13.2%11.3%-8.5%11.1%
Rev Chg Q8.0%17.7%13.4%13.3%17.0%8.9%13.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%5.3%3.3%3.2%4.0%2.3%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM38.8%52.5%42.2%43.4%40.3%33.2%41.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg38.2%43.5%39.7%33.2%35.2%28.6%36.7%
FCF/Rev LTM31.5%48.8%40.5%42.0%39.9%32.5%40.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg31.3%39.2%35.4%30.9%33.9%27.9%32.6%

Valuation

BFCASBNICWTFCFBIZWSBFMedian
NameBank Fir.Associat.Nicolet .Wintrust.First Bu.Watersto. 
Mkt Cap1.34.42.09.40.50.31.6
P/S7.23.75.33.32.52.13.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E16.824.113.811.38.111.512.6
P/CFO18.57.012.57.76.26.27.4
Total Yield6.7%7.8%8.2%8.9%14.5%12.6%8.5%
Dividend Yield0.7%3.6%0.9%0.0%2.2%4.0%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%14.1%8.1%11.6%15.4%14.8%12.9%
D/E0.20.90.10.50.71.70.6
Net D/E-0.00.6-0.6-0.5-0.40.9-0.2

Returns

BFCASBNICWTFCFBIZWSBFMedian
NameBank Fir.Associat.Nicolet .Wintrust.First Bu.Watersto. 
1M Rtn8.5%6.7%5.7%10.0%10.6%8.9%8.7%
3M Rtn9.3%5.3%-0.4%6.7%13.4%14.2%8.0%
6M Rtn22.4%20.4%13.1%21.3%24.4%30.7%21.9%
12M Rtn31.6%8.0%17.1%9.0%20.0%21.2%18.5%
3Y Rtn61.8%37.5%73.7%85.7%67.2%19.2%64.5%
1M Excs Rtn7.6%5.8%4.8%9.0%9.7%7.9%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn4.4%1.2%-3.7%2.7%9.7%11.4%3.6%
6M Excs Rtn8.8%6.7%-0.6%7.6%10.7%17.0%8.2%
12M Excs Rtn20.0%-5.0%6.2%-4.7%6.3%6.9%6.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-20.9%-40.2%-2.7%1.6%-7.3%-56.4%-14.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking operations13711810810378
Total13711810810378


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity347,186
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-4.2%
Average Daily Volume53,653
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.47
Basic Shares Quantity9,787,275
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20254.0%2.6%-5.0%
7/18/20250.3%1.9%-3.7%
4/15/20254.2%8.8%17.3%
1/21/2025-0.7%1.7%2.7%
10/15/20243.1%2.5%13.3%
7/16/20240.5%3.8%-7.9%
4/16/2024-2.6%1.2%7.1%
1/16/20244.5%12.5%6.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141616
# Negative1088
Median Positive2.5%2.2%4.9%
Median Negative-0.9%-2.0%-5.3%
Max Positive6.6%12.5%17.3%
Max Negative-6.5%-8.4%-7.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Stayer-Suprick Michael S8202025Buy122.6741050,295486,387Form
1MCCONEGHY DANIEL C3192025Buy105.7238040,174211,440Form
2Stayer-Suprick Michael S2192025Buy102.071,000102,070309,782Form
3Johnson Stephen E12032024Sell106.282,400255,0722,844,372Form