BayCom (BCML)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.81 | Market Cap: $358.6 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
BayCom (BCML)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.81Market Cap: $358.6 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 8.0% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Key risksBCML key risks include [1] significant exposure to economic downturns in its key regional markets of California, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Regional Economic Development & Community Banking. Themes include Local Business Lending, Personalized Financial Services, and Digital Community Engagement. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 8.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Regional Economic Development & Community Banking. Themes include Local Business Lending, Personalized Financial Services, and Digital Community Engagement. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Key risksBCML key risks include [1] significant exposure to economic downturns in its key regional markets of California, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BCML Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate 10.7% movement in BayCom (BCML) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:
1. BayCom Corp implemented multiple increases in its quarterly cash dividend. On August 21, 2025, the company announced a 25% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.25 per share, followed by another 20% increase to $0.30 per share on November 20, 2025. These consistent dividend hikes typically signal financial strength and can attract investors seeking income, positively influencing stock valuation.
2. The company benefited from strengthening investor sentiment in the banking sector following Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Investor optimism towards bank stocks increased after the Federal Reserve's third interest-rate cut of the year, a move anticipated to stimulate loan demand and alleviate funding costs. BayCom Corp was identified as a direct beneficiary of this renewed confidence and broader sector upswing.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BCML Return | -33% | 24% | 2% | 27% | 17% | 25% | 56% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BCML Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 66% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BCML Max Drawdown | -56% | -4% | -6% | -20% | -19% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BCML | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 218 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1180 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2147 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -45.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3342 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU
In The Past
BayCom's stock fell -35.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2022. A -35.5% loss requires a 55.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BCML. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BayCom
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 97 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 24 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 16 |
| CFO LTM | 25 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 18 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 18.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 21.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 31.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 13.4 |
| P/CFO | 10.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -32.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 15.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 27.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 52.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 14.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 14.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -15.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | -0.8% | -3.0% | 2.6% |
| 7/17/2025 | -1.8% | -1.6% | 1.0% |
| 4/17/2025 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 5.5% |
| 1/23/2025 | 2.2% | 6.2% | -0.1% |
| 10/17/2024 | 0.0% | -0.4% | 11.4% |
| 7/18/2024 | 0.5% | 5.9% | -4.8% |
| 4/18/2024 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 4.2% |
| 1/25/2024 | -0.0% | -3.7% | -6.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -2.5% | -5.5% |
| Max Positive | 3.8% | 10.6% | 22.5% |
| Max Negative | -8.7% | -9.4% | -7.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |