Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 8.0%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Key risks
BCML key risks include [1] significant exposure to economic downturns in its key regional markets of California, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Regional Economic Development & Community Banking. Themes include Local Business Lending, Personalized Financial Services, and Digital Community Engagement.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 8.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Regional Economic Development & Community Banking. Themes include Local Business Lending, Personalized Financial Services, and Digital Community Engagement.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Key risks
BCML key risks include [1] significant exposure to economic downturns in its key regional markets of California, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BCML Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 10.7% movement in BayCom (BCML) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:



1. BayCom Corp implemented multiple increases in its quarterly cash dividend. On August 21, 2025, the company announced a 25% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.25 per share, followed by another 20% increase to $0.30 per share on November 20, 2025. These consistent dividend hikes typically signal financial strength and can attract investors seeking income, positively influencing stock valuation.

2. The company benefited from strengthening investor sentiment in the banking sector following Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Investor optimism towards bank stocks increased after the Federal Reserve's third interest-rate cut of the year, a move anticipated to stimulate loan demand and alleviate funding costs. BayCom Corp was identified as a direct beneficiary of this renewed confidence and broader sector upswing.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BCML Return-33%24%2%27%17%25%56%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BCML Win Rate50%67%50%67%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BCML Max Drawdown-56%-4%-6%-20%-19%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBCMLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-35.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven218 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1180 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2147 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-45.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3342 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

BayCom's stock fell -35.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2022. A -35.5% loss requires a 55.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BayCom (BCML)

Better Bets than BayCom (BCML)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can BayCom Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BCML. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BayCom

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BCMLNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBayCom NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price32.8912.0823.7117.2714.7215.8616.56
Mkt Cap0.40.30.20.30.177.50.3
Rev LTM992696396279,60097
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM29-520193593,66624
FCF 3Y Avg31-22916-51,96816
CFO LTM31-519203994,04025
CFO 3Y Avg33-22818-52,18818

Growth & Margins

BCMLNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBayCom NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-0.8%21.8%18.0%-10.2%22.3%18.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.4%31.6%0.3%-1.2%62.1%1.4%
Rev Chg Q2.0%20.7%22.9%26.1%20.2%30.2%21.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%4.7%5.2%6.3%4.8%7.1%5.0%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM31.4%-193.4%31.5%41.2%34.3%42.1%32.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.8%-91.8%31.1%-20.2%21.7%21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM29.3%-193.4%30.8%36.8%32.1%38.2%31.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg30.8%-91.9%27.1%-18.9%18.7%18.9%

Valuation

BCMLNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBayCom NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.40.30.20.30.177.50.3
P/S3.61.12.92.94.08.13.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E15.54.911.2-54.116.030.613.4
P/CFO11.6-0.69.17.011.819.210.3
Total Yield7.5%20.2%12.9%-1.8%7.5%3.3%7.5%
Dividend Yield1.1%0.0%4.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.0%-76.1%-----32.1%
D/E0.12.6--0.0-0.1
Net D/E-0.01.8---1.2--0.0

Returns

BCMLNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBayCom NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn19.6%23.4%14.5%15.6%3.2%1.7%15.0%
3M Rtn11.7%2.2%17.2%9.7%13.5%-0.6%10.7%
6M Rtn25.8%19.4%40.0%--29.6%27.7%
12M Rtn17.4%-2.1%49.7%--35.6%26.5%
3Y Rtn83.8%-21.9%21.2%--306.7%52.5%
1M Excs Rtn18.9%22.7%13.8%14.9%2.5%0.9%14.3%
3M Excs Rtn6.6%-3.3%14.5%7.1%11.7%-2.2%6.9%
6M Excs Rtn13.4%7.0%27.6%--17.2%15.3%
12M Excs Rtn6.5%-19.5%37.0%--21.8%14.1%
3Y Excs Rtn19.7%-87.9%-50.4%--226.1%-15.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking operations104101848677
Total104101848677


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity98,609
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.5%
Average Daily Volume14,877
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.63
Basic Shares Quantity10,929,779
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-0.8%-3.0%2.6%
7/17/2025-1.8%-1.6%1.0%
4/17/2025-0.2%-0.1%5.5%
1/23/20252.2%6.2%-0.1%
10/17/20240.0%-0.4%11.4%
7/18/20240.5%5.9%-4.8%
4/18/20240.6%1.0%4.2%
1/25/2024-0.0%-3.7%-6.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121416
# Negative12108
Median Positive1.6%3.1%5.0%
Median Negative-1.9%-2.5%-5.5%
Max Positive3.8%10.6%22.5%
Max Negative-8.7%-9.4%-7.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021