California BanCorp (BCAL)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $19.7 | Market Cap: $637.4 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
California BanCorp (BCAL)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $19.7Market Cap: $637.4 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 9.1% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9% Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -28% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3% Key risksBCAL key risks include [1] a heavy concentration in commercial real estate loans, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 9.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -28% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3% |
| Key risksBCAL key risks include [1] a heavy concentration in commercial real estate loans, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
California BanCorp (BCAL) stock has gained about 10% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Q1 2026 Earnings Beat.
California BanCorp reported first-quarter 2026 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.42 on May 8, 2026, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.40-$0.41 by $0.01-$0.02. This performance reflected consistent operational execution and the bank's strategic focus on relationship banking and regional market penetration.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets.
As of May 30, 2026, California BanCorp held a "Buy" consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, with 3 out of 5 analysts issuing "Buy" ratings and one a "Strong Buy". The average price target of $20.67 suggested a potential upside of 8.89% from the stock's then-current price of $18.98. Analysts anticipate continued solid loan and deposit growth, along with improving asset quality and net interest margin.
Show more
California BanCorp (BCAL) stock has gained about 10% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Q1 2026 Earnings Beat.
California BanCorp reported first-quarter 2026 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.42 on May 8, 2026, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.40-$0.41 by $0.01-$0.02. This performance reflected consistent operational execution and the bank's strategic focus on relationship banking and regional market penetration.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets.
As of May 30, 2026, California BanCorp held a "Buy" consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, with 3 out of 5 analysts issuing "Buy" ratings and one a "Strong Buy". The average price target of $20.67 suggested a potential upside of 8.89% from the stock's then-current price of $18.98. Analysts anticipate continued solid loan and deposit growth, along with improving asset quality and net interest margin.
3. Sound Credit Quality and Balance Sheet.
The bank's Q1 2026 results indicated sound credit quality with non-performing assets at manageable levels. Furthermore, an analyst highlighted that the payoff of two large nonaccrual loans helped reduce perceived credit risk, contributing to the bank's balance sheet strength derived from its merger-driven scale.
4. Quarterly Cash Dividend Declaration.
California BanCorp declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share on May 28, 2026, payable on July 15, 2026. This dividend announcement signals confidence in the company's financial stability and future prospects.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.4% change in BCAL stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.21 | 19.74 | 8.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 180 | 180 | -0.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 35.3% | 33.4% | -5.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.3 | 10.6 | 14.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 32 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BCAL | 8.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 35.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 52.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.8% change in BCAL stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.20 | 19.74 | 2.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 180 | 180 | -0.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 35.3% | 33.4% | -5.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.8 | 10.6 | 8.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 32 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BCAL | 2.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 30.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 45.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.6% change in BCAL stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 190.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.78 | 19.74 | 33.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 151 | 180 | 19.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.5% | 33.4% | 190.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.5 | 10.6 | -61.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 32 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.6% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BCAL | 33.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 37.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 51.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 45.8% change in BCAL stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 94.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.54 | 19.74 | 45.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 92 | 180 | 94.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 17.5% | 33.4% | 91.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.0 | 10.6 | -29.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 32 | -44.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 45.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BCAL | 45.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 41.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 53.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BCAL Return | 0% | 0% | 98% | -5% | 13% | 5% | 125% |
| Peers Return | 25% | -19% | 22% | 6% | 42% | 12% | 106% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BCAL Win Rate | 0% | 0% | 42% | 17% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 52% | 53% | 50% | 67% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BCAL Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | -14% | -26% | -27% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -32% | -32% | -23% | -21% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, CBC, NU, FITB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BCAL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 24 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -27.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1144 days | 140 days |
In The Past
California BanCorp's stock fell -25.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | BCAL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 79 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -27.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1144 days | 140 days |
In The Past
California BanCorp's stock fell -25.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About California BanCorp (BCAL)
California BanCorp (BCAL) operates as the holding company for Bank of Southern California, N.A., a regional bank offering a comprehensive suite of financial products and services. The company primarily caters to individuals, professionals, and small-to medium-sized businesses, acting as a local financial partner within its operational footprint.
Its core offerings include a variety of deposit accounts such as checking, personal and business savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. On the lending side, BCAL provides home equity lines of credit, business loans and lines of credit, commercial real estate and construction loans, Small Business Administration (SBA) loans, and both personal and business credit cards. The bank also extends beyond traditional services with specialized business offerings like cash vault management, sweep accounts, remote deposit capture, lockbox services, and merchant services, all supported by modern online and mobile banking platforms.
Geographically, California BanCorp maintains a concentrated presence across several key Southern California regions. It operates branches and serves clients in San Diego, Orange, Ventura, Los Angeles, and Riverside counties, as well as the Inland Empire, reinforcing its commitment to these specific communities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for California BanCorp (BCAL):
- It's like a Southern California version of Wells Fargo.
- Think of it as a local Bank of America for Southern California communities and businesses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Deposit Products
- Checking Accounts: Accounts designed for day-to-day transactions and payments.
- Savings Accounts: Accounts for individuals and businesses to save money and earn interest.
- Money Market Accounts: Interest-bearing accounts that typically offer higher rates than savings accounts with check-writing privileges.
- Certificates of Deposit (CDs): Time deposits that earn a fixed interest rate for a specified period.
Lending Products
- Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs): Revolving lines of credit secured by a borrower's home equity.
- Business Loans and Lines of Credit: Financing options for businesses to fund operations, expansion, or working capital needs.
- Commercial Real Estate and Construction Loans: Loans specifically for the acquisition, development, or construction of commercial properties.
- Small Business Administration (SBA) Loans: Government-backed loans designed to support small businesses.
- Letters of Credit: Financial instruments guaranteeing payment to a seller, often used in commercial transactions.
- Credit Cards: Personal and business cards for making purchases and accessing revolving credit.
Business Banking Services
- Cash Vault Services: Secure handling and processing of cash deposits for businesses.
- Sweep Accounts: Accounts that automatically transfer excess funds into an interest-bearing investment or to cover shortfalls.
- Remote Deposit Capture: Technology allowing businesses to deposit checks electronically from their own location.
- Lockbox Services: Services where customer payments are sent directly to a bank-managed post office box, speeding up collection.
- Merchant Services: Solutions for businesses to process credit and debit card payments from customers.
- Courier Service: Physical transport of banking documents or deposits for business clients.
Digital Banking
- Online and Mobile Banking: Electronic platforms for customers to manage their accounts, pay bills, and conduct other banking transactions remotely.
AI Analysis | Feedback
California BanCorp (BCAL) serves the following major customer categories:
- Individuals
- Professionals
- Small-to medium-sized businesses
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
David Rainer, Executive Chairman & CEO
David Rainer was appointed Chief Executive Officer of California BanCorp, in addition to serving as Chairman, effective December 31, 2025. Prior to the merger that formed California BanCorp, Mr. Rainer served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Southern California Bancorp and Bank of Southern California, N.A. since September 2022. His contract as Chairman and CEO has been extended until March 1, 2029.
Thomas Dolan, Executive Vice President & CFO, Chief Strategy Officer
Thomas Dolan serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of California BanCorp and Chief Strategy Officer of California Bank of Commerce, N.A. He possesses 40 years of experience in strategic and operational leadership within growth-oriented financial institutions. Mr. Dolan held senior roles at the predecessor Southern California Bancorp since 2020, including Chief Financial Officer and later Chief Operating Officer. He also served as Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at Los Alamos National Bank from 2017 to 2020, and as Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer at Anchor Bancorp Wisconsin/Old National Bank from 2011 to 2016. He led finance and strategy through growth and merger integration with California BanCorp while at Southern California Bancorp.
Richard Hernandez, President
Richard Hernandez is the President of California BanCorp and California Bank of Commerce, N.A., bringing more than 25 years of industry experience to the California market.
Michele Wirfel, Executive Vice President & COO
Michele Wirfel serves as the Chief Operating Officer of California BanCorp.
Joann Yeung, Executive Vice President & Principal Accounting Officer
Joann Yeung is the Executive Vice President and Principal Accounting Officer of California BanCorp and Chief Accounting Officer of California Bank of Commerce, N.A.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to California BanCorp (symbol: BCAL):
- Interest Rate and Liquidity Risk: California BanCorp, like other financial institutions, is significantly exposed to fluctuations in interest rates, which can impact its earnings and the fair value of its assets. Changes in interest rates can lead to unrealized losses on investments and affect the bank's net interest margin. Furthermore, the banking industry faces elevated liquidity risk, partly due to evolving depositor behavior. Banks with a substantial portion of uninsured deposits are particularly vulnerable to rapid withdrawals, which could trigger solvency issues if not managed effectively.
- Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Concentration Risk: A significant portion of California BanCorp's loan portfolio is concentrated in commercial real estate (CRE). This heavy weighting makes the company particularly susceptible to downturns or fluctuations in the commercial real estate market, especially within California where its operations are concentrated. A decline in real estate values could adversely affect the collateral supporting these loans, potentially leading to increased loan losses.
- Credit Risk and Loan Portfolio Quality: The bank faces inherent credit risk within its overall loan portfolio, which includes commercial and industrial (C&I) lending in addition to commercial real estate. While credit quality may appear strong, industry trends indicate increased risk in loan portfolios due to eased underwriting standards and risk layering. California BanCorp's 10-K reports detail credit risk assessments and track loan restructurings, which could signal borrower distress and negatively impact future earnings and asset quality metrics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Clear emerging threats for California BanCorp (BCAL) include the increasing competition from digital-native challenger banks and financial technology (fintech) companies that offer streamlined, often lower-cost, and digitally superior banking experiences without the overhead of physical branches. Additionally, the expansion of major technology companies ("Big Tech") into financial services, leveraging their extensive user bases and platforms for payments, lending, and other financial products, presents a significant threat by disintermediating traditional banking services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for California BanCorp's main products and services, within its operating region of San Diego, Orange, Ventura, Los Angeles, and Riverside counties, as well as the Inland Empire, are identified below:
- Home Equity Lines of Credit and Home Equity Loans: The tappable home equity in Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and San Diego counties was $1.645 trillion as of June 2025. This represents a significant potential market for home equity products within the Southern California region.
- Commercial Real Estate and Construction Loans: The market size of the Real Estate Loans and Collateralized Debt industry in California is projected to be $62.3 billion in 2026. This figure encompasses the broader California market, as more granular data for the specific Southern California counties was not available.
- Small Business Administration (SBA) Loans: In Orange County, the total dollar volume for SBA lending in 2024 was $265.3 million. For San Diego County, approximately $90.60 per resident in 7(a) SBA loans was approved in 2023. These provide insights into the annual volume within specific parts of the company's operating region.
- Personal Loans: The outstanding personal loan debt in California is approximately $30 billion, with Los Angeles, Orange County, and San Diego accounting for nearly half of these loans. This suggests an addressable market of roughly $15 billion for personal loans in these Southern California counties.
- Deposits (Checking, Savings, Money Market Accounts, Certificates of Deposit), Business Loans and Lines of Credit (General), and Personal and Business Credit Cards: null
AI Analysis | Feedback
California BanCorp (NASDAQ: BCAL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies and market dynamics:
- Expanded Market Footprint and Cross-Selling Opportunities from Merger: The all-stock merger completed on July 31, 2024, between Southern California Bancorp (the former name of the current California BanCorp) and the predecessor California BanCorp significantly expanded the company's geographic reach into Northern California, including the Bay Area and Sacramento metropolitan statistical areas. This expansion offers increased opportunities for growth in various lending verticals, broader product offerings, and higher lending limits to an expanded client base.
- Organic Growth in Loans and Deposits through Relationship-Based Banking: California BanCorp is focused on driving organic growth in both loans and deposits by leveraging its relationship-based business model across its expanded markets. The company aims to attract full banking relationships with commercial clients, providing operating deposit accounts and high-quality lending opportunities. This strategy is supported by the active recruitment of experienced commercial bankers, particularly in Northern California.
- Increased Noninterest Income: The company has demonstrated a focus on growing its noninterest income. This was evident in 2025, with a notable increase attributed to factors such as income from bank-owned life insurance (BOLI), various fees, and other equity income. Continued diversification of revenue streams beyond traditional interest income is expected to contribute to future growth.
- Strategic Market Penetration in Under-banked Regions: California BanCorp operates in a large and attractive banking market within California, particularly targeting small to medium-sized businesses. The perceived scarcity of community banks in these regions presents a substantial opportunity for California BanCorp to capture market share and deepen its penetration, further supporting revenue growth.
- Favorable Net Interest Margin Expansion: The company has shown an ability to improve its net interest margin, with a reported increase from 4.28% in 2024 to 4.55% in 2025. This improvement is partly due to the company's strategy of restructuring its balance sheet, reducing reliance on high-cost brokered deposits, and growing core deposits, which has helped lower its cost of funds. Continued prudent balance sheet management and a potentially favorable interest rate environment could further support net interest income growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In May 2025, California BanCorp increased its authorized share repurchase program to 1.6 million shares from 550,000 shares, representing approximately 4.9% of its outstanding common stock.
- As of May 2, 2025, the company had not yet purchased any shares under this increased program.
- The company repurchased 122,428 shares at an average price of $16.37 in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Share Issuance
- California BanCorp's outstanding shares increased significantly in 2024 due to an all-stock merger with California BanCorp (CALB) on July 31, 2024.
- Outstanding shares increased by 75.45% from 18.38 million in 2023 to 32.25 million in 2024.
Outbound Investments
- California BanCorp completed an all-stock merger with California BanCorp (CALB) on July 31, 2024.
- The merger involved a total consideration of $216.6 million, which generated $73.1 million of goodwill.
- This strategic investment expanded the company's franchise into Northern California, adding branches and offices.
Capital Expenditures
- Net cash provided by investing activities was $524.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, a notable increase from net cash used in investing activities of $78.9 million in 2023.
- The substantial increase in cash from investing activities in 2024 was primarily due to the cash acquired of $336.3 million from the merger.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| California BanCorp Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.1 |
| Rev LTM | 636 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 258 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 43 |
| CFO LTM | 275 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 44 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 25.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $19.74 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/22/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $18.94 | $18.26 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 4.2% | 8.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 19.2% | 21.8% |
| Downside Capture | 47.59 | 59.26 |
| Upside Capture | 68.73 | 79.72 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 36.8% | 36.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.77 | 0.90 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| Up Beta | 1.95 | 1.06 | 0.77 | 0.85 | 1.11 | 0.75 |
| Down Beta | 0.95 | 0.54 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.38 | 0.77 |
| Up Capture | 31% | 61% | 54% | 41% | 70% | 33% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 37 | 62 | 130 | 342 |
| Down Capture | 36% | 121% | 68% | 68% | 76% | 86% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 15 | 26 | 61 | 119 | 376 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BCAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCAL | 40.6% | 21.9% | 1.47 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | 50.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 36.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 6.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -20.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 26.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.4% | -1.08 | 19.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BCAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCAL | 8.1% | 25.7% | 0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | 53.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 41.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 3.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | -1.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 37.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 22.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BCAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCAL | 2.2% | 25.7% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 50.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 42.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 3.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 39.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 25.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/28/2026 | 0.4% | -1.1% | 1.1% |
| 1/28/2026 | -0.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% |
| 10/28/2025 | 2.8% | 7.6% | 13.3% |
| 7/28/2025 | 0.2% | -9.0% | 3.4% |
| 4/24/2025 | 3.2% | 7.0% | 14.1% |
| 2/12/2025 | 2.6% | 0.1% | -7.2% |
| 10/29/2024 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 24.9% |
| 7/29/2024 | -1.4% | 0.0% | -2.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| # Negative | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 1.9% | 9.6% |
| Median Negative | -0.6% | -3.1% | -2.4% |
| Max Positive | 3.2% | 7.6% | 24.9% |
| Max Negative | -1.4% | -9.0% | -9.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/28/2026 | 0.4% | -1.1% | 1.1% |
| 1/28/2026 | -0.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% |
| 10/28/2025 | 2.8% | 7.6% | 13.3% |
| 7/28/2025 | 0.2% | -9.0% | 3.4% |
| 4/24/2025 | 3.2% | 7.0% | 14.1% |
| 2/12/2025 | 2.6% | 0.1% | -7.2% |
| 10/29/2024 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 24.9% |
| 7/29/2024 | -1.4% | 0.0% | -2.1% |
| 4/29/2024 | -0.8% | 0.4% | -1.0% |
| 1/30/2024 | -0.2% | -4.0% | -9.2% |
| 10/26/2023 | 1.9% | -2.1% | 9.6% |
| 7/25/2023 | 0.0% | 3.6% | -2.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| # Negative | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 1.9% | 9.6% |
| Median Negative | -0.6% | -3.1% | -2.4% |
| Max Positive | 3.2% | 7.6% | 24.9% |
| Max Negative | -1.4% | -9.0% | -9.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 04/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 04/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/20/2023 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/8/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hernandez, Richard | President | Direct | Sell | 5122026 | 19.12 | 17,000 | 325,040 | 1,394,521 | Form |
| 2 | Rainer, David I | Executive Chairman | DAVID AND ANNE RAINER TRUST U/A DTD 05/07/1997 | Sell | 5082026 | 19.00 | 75,000 | 1,425,000 | 6,770,593 | Form |
| 3 | Carandang, Jean | Bank Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 17.90 | 8,000 | 143,200 | 665,417 | Form |
| 4 | Volk, David J | Direct | Buy | 2052026 | 18.64 | 27,000 | 503,280 | 525,555 | Form | |
| 5 | Volk, David J | Castle Creek Advisors IV LLC and Castle Creek Capital Partners VI LP | Sell | 2052026 | 18.95 | 2,346,104 | 44,458,671 | 70,665 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hernandez, Richard | President | Direct | Sell | 5122026 | 19.12 | 17,000 | 325,040 | 1,394,521 | Form |
| 2 | Rainer, David I | Executive Chairman | DAVID AND ANNE RAINER TRUST U/A DTD 05/07/1997 | Sell | 5082026 | 19.00 | 75,000 | 1,425,000 | 6,770,593 | Form |
| 3 | Carandang, Jean | Bank Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 17.90 | 8,000 | 143,200 | 665,417 | Form |
| 4 | Volk, David J | Direct | Buy | 2052026 | 18.64 | 27,000 | 503,280 | 525,555 | Form | |
| 5 | Volk, David J | Castle Creek Advisors IV LLC and Castle Creek Capital Partners VI LP | Sell | 2052026 | 18.95 | 2,346,104 | 44,458,671 | 70,665 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.