Tearsheet

California BanCorp (BCAL)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $19.76 | Market Cap: $640.7 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

California BanCorp (BCAL)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $19.76
Market Cap: $640.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 12%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
 
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BCAL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the movement of California BanCorp (BCAL) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: California BanCorp reported a net income of $15.7 million for the third quarter of 2025, a significant increase from the previous quarter, along with robust deposit growth and loan originations. This financial performance exceeded analyst expectations.

2. Continued De-risking of the Balance Sheet: The company made substantial progress in derisking its consolidated balance sheet, evidenced by a decrease in non-performing assets to total assets ratio and a reduction in exposure to its Sponsor Finance portfolio.

3. Strategic Capital Allocation and Shareholder Value Enhancement: California BanCorp actively managed its capital by executing a share repurchase program and paying off high-cost subordinated notes, demonstrating a commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

4. Positive Analyst Outlook and Ratings: Analysts maintained "Buy" ratings for BCAL, with an average price target of $20.33, indicating a forecasted upside. Spark, TipRanks' AI Analyst, rated BCAL as "Outperform" based on its strong financial performance.

5. Improved Operating Trends and Efficiency: The company showed improved core operating trends, with a decrease in the efficiency ratio and an increase in return on average assets (ROAA) in Q3 2025, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BCAL Return-31%0%0%98%-5%19%55%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%21%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BCAL Win Rate0%0%0%42%17%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BCAL Max Drawdown-31%0%0%0%-26%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBCALS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-14.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven43 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1144 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1362 days120 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

California BanCorp's stock fell -14.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/9/2023. A -14.3% loss requires a 16.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About California BanCorp (BCAL)

Better Bets than California BanCorp (BCAL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BCAL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for California BanCorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BCALNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameCaliforn.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price19.7511.2322.1016.6915.0217.6517.17
Mkt Cap0.60.30.2--85.20.5
Rev LTM1732696090268,967132
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM62-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg37-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM62-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg38-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

BCALNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameCaliforn.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM90.6%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg42.6%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%31.6%
Rev Chg Q99.5%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM14.7%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM36.1%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.0%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM35.8%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg28.6%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

BCALNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameCaliforn.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.60.30.2--85.20.5
P/S3.01.12.7--7.42.8
P/EBIT-------
P/E16.34.911.6--28.814.0
P/CFO8.2-0.67.9--16.88.0
Total Yield6.1%20.2%13.5%--3.5%9.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.6%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.12.60.2--0.00.2
Net D/E-0.01.8-4.5---0.4-0.2

Returns

BCALNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameCaliforn.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn6.1%7.1%6.9%10.6%6.1%11.7%7.0%
3M Rtn15.6%-7.4%11.0%8.1%14.1%18.7%12.5%
6M Rtn35.9%9.8%29.9%--45.7%32.9%
12M Rtn11.1%-15.4%31.8%--47.1%21.4%
3Y Rtn125.5%-25.5%11.1%--334.7%68.3%
1M Excs Rtn4.8%5.8%5.7%9.3%4.9%10.4%5.7%
3M Excs Rtn9.7%-10.8%4.8%4.8%8.8%13.9%6.8%
6M Excs Rtn20.5%-5.6%14.5%--30.3%17.5%
12M Excs Rtn-3.0%-30.1%18.5%--33.7%7.7%
3Y Excs Rtn52.2%-96.9%-60.7%--241.1%-4.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial banking98926948 
Single Segment    33
Total9892694833


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity312,791
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.2%
Average Daily Volume160,213
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.95
Basic Shares Quantity32,423,935
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024401202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023620202310-Q 3/31/2023