Barings BDC (BBDC)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $8.29 | Market Cap: $868.0 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Barings BDC (BBDC)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $8.29Market Cap: $868.0 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%, FCF Yield is 27% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 232%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 232% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 154% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.5x Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -35% Key risksBBDC key risks include [1] the potential unsustainability of its dividend due to reliance on volatile, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%, FCF Yield is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 232%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 232% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 154% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.5x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -35% |
| Key risksBBDC key risks include [1] the potential unsustainability of its dividend due to reliance on volatile, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Barings BDC (BBDC) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Consistent and High Dividend Yield.
Barings BDC maintained its quarterly cash dividend at $0.26 per share for the second quarter of 2026, equating to an attractive annualized yield of approximately 11.7% to 12.01%. This consistency is particularly appealing to income-focused investors and is supported by approximately $0.79 per share in spillover income.
2. Net Investment Income (NII) Met Expectations.
For the first quarter of 2026, Barings BDC reported net investment income of $0.25 per share, which met analysts' consensus estimates. This performance in core earnings, despite a reported revenue of $54.66 million falling below analysts' expectations of $62.54 million, helped to stabilize investor confidence.
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Barings BDC (BBDC) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Consistent and High Dividend Yield.
Barings BDC maintained its quarterly cash dividend at $0.26 per share for the second quarter of 2026, equating to an attractive annualized yield of approximately 11.7% to 12.01%. This consistency is particularly appealing to income-focused investors and is supported by approximately $0.79 per share in spillover income.
2. Net Investment Income (NII) Met Expectations.
For the first quarter of 2026, Barings BDC reported net investment income of $0.25 per share, which met analysts' consensus estimates. This performance in core earnings, despite a reported revenue of $54.66 million falling below analysts' expectations of $62.54 million, helped to stabilize investor confidence.
3. Strategic Portfolio Management and Resilience.
The company highlighted its solid operating performance and the resilience of its predominantly senior secured portfolio, with a weighted average yield of 9.4% on performing debt investments as of March 31, 2026. Barings BDC also continued its strategy of rotating out of legacy holdings, exiting approximately $19 million of such positions during the first quarter. Additionally, the valuation of the Sierra Credit Support Agreement (CSA) increased by $5.3 million to $65.8 million, providing further insulation to net asset value.
4. Positive Analyst Outlook and Price Targets.
Analyst ratings for Barings BDC generally range from "Hold" to "Buy" with an average 12-month price target between $9.50 and $9.63. This forecast suggests a potential upside of approximately 9.38% to 11.20% from recent prices, contributing to a positive market sentiment regarding the stock's future performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.4% change in BBDC stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.94 | 8.29 | 4.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 114 | 102 | -10.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 89.7% | 87.9% | -2.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.2 | 9.7 | 18.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 105 | 105 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BBDC | 4.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 47.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 47.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.8% change in BBDC stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.36 | 8.29 | -0.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 114 | 102 | -11.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 88.9% | 87.9% | -1.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.7 | 9.7 | 12.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 105 | 105 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BBDC | -0.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 38.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 43.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.1% change in BBDC stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.96 | 8.29 | 4.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 111 | 102 | -8.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 88.8% | 87.9% | -1.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.5 | 9.7 | 14.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 105 | 105 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BBDC | 4.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 37.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 43.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 52.8% change in BBDC stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 189.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.42 | 8.29 | 52.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 35 | 102 | 189.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 66.3% | 87.9% | 32.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.1 | 9.7 | -61.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 105 | 3.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 52.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BBDC | 52.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 46.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 50.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BBDC Return | 29% | -19% | 19% | 24% | 9% | -5% | 60% |
| Peers Return | 36% | -9% | 32% | 24% | -1% | -15% | 70% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BBDC Win Rate | 83% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 75% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 45% | 68% | 75% | 55% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BBDC Max Drawdown | -6% | -23% | -17% | -9% | -25% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -26% | -11% | -10% | -22% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ARCC, FSK, OBDC, MAIN, TSLX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BBDC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 141 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -14.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -21.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -48.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 348 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -12.5% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 88 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -14.7% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.2% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Barings BDC's stock fell -22.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.6% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | BBDC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 141 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -21.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -48.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 348 days | 140 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3167 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -21.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.6% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 59 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -44.8% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Barings BDC's stock fell -22.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Barings BDC (BBDC)
Barings BDC (BBDC) is a publicly traded, externally managed investment company that operates as a Business Development Company (BDC). Its primary function is to provide capital to private middle-market companies. As an investment company, it pools investor funds to make debt and equity investments, aiming to generate income and capital appreciation.
The company's main products and services revolve around various forms of debt financing and equity co-investments. This includes senior secured loans, first lien debt, unitranche, second lien debt, subordinated debt, and senior secured private debt investments. These financial solutions are tailored to support a wide range of corporate activities such as leveraged buyouts, management buyouts, ESOPs, change of control transactions, acquisition financings, growth financing, and recapitalizations.
Barings BDC primarily serves private middle-market companies located in the United States. These target companies typically have EBITDA ranging from $10 million to $75 million and are often backed by private equity sponsors. The firm invests across a diverse set of industries, including manufacturing and distribution, business services and technology, transportation and logistics, and consumer products and services, focusing on lower middle market, mature, and later stage businesses.
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Blackstone for private middle-market company loans.
JPMorgan Chase for private middle-market business loans.
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- Senior Secured Debt: Barings BDC provides capital through senior secured loans, first lien debt, and other senior secured private debt investments, typically collateralized with the highest repayment priority.
- Unitranche Debt: Barings BDC offers unitranche debt, which combines senior and junior debt into a single, often covenant-light, loan facility.
- Second Lien Debt: Barings BDC invests in second lien debt, which is secured by collateral but has a junior claim to first lien debt.
- Subordinated Debt: Barings BDC provides subordinated debt, an unsecured loan that ranks below other debt types in terms of repayment priority during liquidation.
- Equity Co-investments: Barings BDC makes equity co-investments, taking direct ownership stakes in private middle-market companies, often alongside private equity sponsors.
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Barings BDC (BBDC) provides financing, including loans and equity co-investments, to private middle-market companies. As such, its major customers are these private companies that receive capital from BBDC. Specific names of these customer companies are not provided in the general company description, as they are typically private entities.
Based on the description, these customer companies generally exhibit the following characteristics:
- They are private middle-market companies.
- They typically have EBITDA ranging from $10 million to $75 million.
- They are often backed by private equity sponsors.
- They operate across various industries, including manufacturing and distribution; business services and technology; transportation and logistics; and consumer products and services.
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Thomas Q. McDonnell, Chief Executive Officer
Thomas Q. McDonnell became Chief Executive Officer of Barings BDC effective January 1, 2026. He brings over 30 years of experience in global finance and previously spent nearly two decades at Barings, where he was a Managing Director and a member of various credit investment committees, managing global loan portfolios and helping raise over $15 billion in funding. His career also includes positions at Patriarch Partners, Bank of America, and JP Morgan Chase, with a focus on credit risk management and portfolio strategy. While his background doesn't explicitly state he founded companies, his extensive experience in managing global loan portfolios and strategic roles at major financial institutions indicates significant management responsibilities. His involvement in credit risk management and portfolio strategy, particularly within a BDC that invests in private equity sponsor-backed companies, suggests a pattern of managing companies that are frequently backed by private equity firms.
Elizabeth Murray, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer
Elizabeth Murray serves as the Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer of Barings BDC, Inc. She also holds these dual roles for Barings Capital Investment Corporation and Barings Private Credit Corporation. Additionally, she is a board member for Rocade LLC, a specialty finance company. Before these roles, Ms. Murray was the Chief Accounting Officer for these companies and served as the Vice President of Financial Reporting at Triangle Capital Corporation prior to its externalization of investment management to Barings LLC. Her prior involvement with Triangle Capital Corporation, a predecessor to Barings BDC that underwent a significant change in management, demonstrates experience with companies involved in such transitions. Her continuous roles within BDCs suggest a pattern of involvement with companies that often engage with private equity.
Eric Lloyd, Executive Chairman of the Board
Eric Lloyd is the Executive Chairman of the Board of Barings BDC, Inc. Prior to January 1, 2026, he served as the Chief Executive Officer of the company. He is also the President of Barings LLC, the investment adviser. With over 30 years of experience, his background spans investment management, investment banking, leveraged finance, and risk management. Before joining Barings in 2013, he was the Head of Market and Institutional Risk for Wells Fargo, where he was also on Wells Fargo's Management Committee and a member of the Board of Directors of Wells Fargo Securities. Previously, before the acquisition of Wachovia, he held various leadership positions in Wachovia's Global Markets Investment Banking division, including Head of Wachovia's Global Leveraged Finance Group. His experience at Wachovia during its acquisition by Wells Fargo indicates involvement with a company that was sold to an acquirer. His extensive background in leveraged finance and investment banking, particularly leading a global leveraged finance group, demonstrates a strong pattern of managing or advising companies backed by private equity firms.
Matthew Freund, President
Matthew Freund serves as the President of Barings BDC, Inc., as well as President of Barings Capital Investment Corporation and Barings Private Credit Corporation. He is a key member of Barings’ Global Private Finance Group and the North America Private Finance Investment Committee. Mr. Freund also serves as a board member for Eclipse Business Credit. Prior to joining Barings in 2015, he worked for US Bank, where he focused on structuring bank loans to support leveraged buyouts for private equity sponsors. His past role specifically structuring loans for leveraged buyouts clearly indicates a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
Bryan High, Co-Portfolio Manager & Head of Global Private Finance Group
Bryan High is the Head of Barings' Global Private Finance Group and serves as Co-Portfolio Manager of Barings BDC, Inc. He leads a team responsible for originating, underwriting, and managing global private finance investments and is a member of the North America Private Finance and Europe Private Finance Investment Committees. He also holds the titles of Chief Executive Officer for Barings Capital Investment Corporation and Barings Private Credit Corporation. Mr. High joined Barings in 2007 and has extensive experience in public and private credit, distressed debt/special situations, and private equity. Before joining Barings, he was an investment banker at a boutique M&A firm, providing advice on middle-market transactions, and worked in the restructuring advisory group at Bank of America Securities LLC. His background in investment banking and advising on middle-market transactions, along with his current role in global private finance, demonstrates a pattern of involvement with companies often backed by private equity firms.
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Key Risks to Barings BDC (BBDC)
- Credit Risk and Deterioration in Portfolio Company Performance: As a business development company (BDC) specializing in senior secured loans, various forms of debt, and equity co-investments in private middle-market companies, Barings BDC is highly exposed to the credit quality and financial health of its portfolio companies. Many of these investments involve leveraged transactions, such as leveraged buyouts and recapitalizations. A general economic downturn, industry-specific challenges, or a prolonged period of high interest rates could severely impact the ability of these portfolio companies to service their debt, leading to increased defaults, non-accruals, and impairments on BBDC's investments. This risk is amplified by its allocation to subordinated debt and equity investments, which carry higher risk than senior debt.
- Interest Rate Risk: Fluctuations in interest rates pose a significant risk to Barings BDC. While a substantial portion of BBDC's debt portfolio investments bear interest at variable rates, which may benefit from rising rates, a rapid or sustained increase in benchmark interest rates can materially increase the interest expense for its often highly-leveraged portfolio companies. This can strain their cash flows, hinder their ability to service debt, and increase the likelihood of default, thereby impacting BBDC's asset quality and profitability. Conversely, declining base rates could lead to a reduction in BBDC's net investment income and potentially impact its dividend sustainability.
- Competition and Sourcing of Attractive Investments: The market for private middle-market debt and equity investments is highly competitive. Barings BDC competes with numerous other BDCs, private debt funds, and financial institutions for investment opportunities. Intense competition can lead to pressure on investment pricing (resulting in lower yields), less favorable investment terms, and a reduction in the availability of attractive new investment opportunities. This competition could adversely affect BBDC's ability to deploy capital effectively, generate target returns, and grow its investment portfolio, ultimately impacting its financial performance.
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Share Repurchases
- Barings BDC repurchased over 700,000 shares during 2025, which contributed $0.02 per share to its Net Asset Value (NAV).
- On February 20, 2025, a new 12-month share repurchase program was authorized to buy back up to $30.0 million of outstanding common stock at prices below the then-current NAV per share, commencing March 1, 2025.
- A new $30 million share repurchase plan for 2026 was authorized, commencing March 1, 2026, and valid until March 1, 2027.
Share Issuance
- No significant primary share issuances by Barings BDC have been prominently reported for the 2021-2025 period.
Inbound Investments
- Barings BDC received a one-time $23 million payment in 2025 due to the early termination of the MVC Credit Support Agreement, aimed at simplifying the structure and strengthening the balance sheet.
- The company's portfolio has been diversified and market presence strengthened through accretive mergers, notably with MVC Capital and Sierra Income Corporation.
Outbound Investments
- During the second quarter of 2025, Barings BDC made 19 new investments totaling $137.3 million and additional investments in existing portfolio companies amounting to $61.7 million.
- In the third quarter of 2025, the company made 14 new investments totaling $78.6 million and invested $70.2 million in existing portfolio companies.
- As of December 31, 2025, the fair value of Barings BDC's investment portfolio was $2.40 billion.
Capital Expenditures
- Information on significant capital expenditures for Barings BDC over the last 3-5 years is not available, which is typical for a Business Development Company whose primary activities are financial investments rather than physical asset development.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.74 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 298 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 232 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 115 |
| CFO LTM | 232 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 115 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -24.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 29.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -74.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -20.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 150.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 46.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 150.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 46.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.29 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/22/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $8.47 | $8.31 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | -2.1% | -0.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 23.1% | 18.8% |
| Downside Capture | 102.04 | 67.49 |
| Upside Capture | 70.51 | 52.75 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 51.1% | 37.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.60 | 0.85 | 0.72 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| Up Beta | 1.26 | 0.89 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| Down Beta | -0.10 | 0.38 | 0.69 | 0.76 | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| Up Capture | -12% | 58% | 72% | 45% | 41% | 28% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 20 | 29 | 60 | 122 | 392 |
| Down Capture | 156% | 146% | 87% | 70% | 72% | 79% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 29 | 58 | 115 | 326 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BBDC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBDC | 3.6% | 18.7% | 0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | 44.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 37.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -7.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 31.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 18.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BBDC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBDC | 6.2% | 19.4% | 0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | 52.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 50.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 8.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 13.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 46.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 22.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BBDC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBDC | 2.7% | 24.4% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 46.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 43.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 16.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 44.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 11.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -0.3% | -3.3% | -3.7% |
| 2/19/2026 | 1.1% | -3.3% | -7.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 2.9% |
| 8/7/2025 | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | -1.6% | 2.4% | 8.2% |
| 2/20/2025 | 2.7% | -2.6% | -5.8% |
| 11/6/2024 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% |
| 8/7/2024 | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% |
| Median Negative | -0.4% | -1.4% | -4.3% |
| Max Positive | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Max Negative | -4.8% | -5.8% | -7.7% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -0.3% | -3.3% | -3.7% |
| 2/19/2026 | 1.1% | -3.3% | -7.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 2.9% |
| 8/7/2025 | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | -1.6% | 2.4% | 8.2% |
| 2/20/2025 | 2.7% | -2.6% | -5.8% |
| 11/6/2024 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% |
| 8/7/2024 | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% |
| 5/7/2024 | -1.4% | 2.6% | 5.4% |
| 2/22/2024 | 4.9% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| 11/9/2023 | -4.8% | -5.8% | -4.3% |
| 8/9/2023 | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| 5/4/2023 | -0.7% | 1.0% | 8.8% |
| 2/23/2023 | -0.2% | -1.8% | -7.7% |
| 11/10/2022 | 0.7% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 8/9/2022 | 3.0% | 3.7% | -1.8% |
| 5/5/2022 | 3.9% | 0.5% | 3.9% |
| 2/23/2022 | -0.1% | -0.1% | -5.2% |
| 11/9/2021 | 0.5% | -0.9% | -2.8% |
| 8/5/2021 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% |
| 5/6/2021 | -0.1% | -0.7% | 2.3% |
| 2/9/2021 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 8.7% |
| 8/5/2020 | 2.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% |
| Median Negative | -0.4% | -1.4% | -4.3% |
| Max Positive | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Max Negative | -4.8% | -5.8% | -7.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/23/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/23/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/27/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/30/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/30/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/31/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Dividends | 0.26 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.26 for Q1 2026 | |||
| 2027 Share Repurchases | 30.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 30.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Dividends | 0.26 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.26 for Q4 2025 | |||
| 2026 Share Repurchases | 30.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 30.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/5/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McDonnell, Thomas | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 6052026 | 8.27 | 10,000 | 82,700 | 215,020 | Form |
| 2 | Byers, Stephen R | Direct | Buy | 12102025 | 8.97 | 6,761 | 60,644 | 630,062 | Form | |
| 3 | Byers, Stephen R | Direct | Sell | 12102025 | 8.98 | 5,671 | 50,926 | 579,860 | Form | |
| 4 | Murray, Elizabeth A | CFO and COO and PAO | Direct | Buy | 6092025 | 8.84 | 3,400 | 30,056 | 224,417 | Form |
| 5 | Byers, Stephen R | Direct | Buy | 6062025 | 8.89 | 8,700 | 77,343 | 531,032 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McDonnell, Thomas | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 6052026 | 8.27 | 10,000 | 82,700 | 215,020 | Form |
| 2 | Byers, Stephen R | Direct | Buy | 12102025 | 8.97 | 6,761 | 60,644 | 630,062 | Form | |
| 3 | Byers, Stephen R | Direct | Sell | 12102025 | 8.98 | 5,671 | 50,926 | 579,860 | Form | |
| 4 | Murray, Elizabeth A | CFO and COO and PAO | Direct | Buy | 6092025 | 8.84 | 3,400 | 30,056 | 224,417 | Form |
| 5 | Byers, Stephen R | Direct | Buy | 6062025 | 8.89 | 8,700 | 77,343 | 531,032 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
| Pensions & Investments |
| Institutional Investor |
| Ignites |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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