Tearsheet

Barings BDC (BBDC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.725 | Market Cap: $917.5 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Barings BDC (BBDC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.725
Market Cap: $917.5 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 25%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 168%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.1x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 25%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 168%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.1x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BBDC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Net Asset Value (NAV) Decline. Despite reporting strong Q3 2025 earnings, Barings BDC experienced a slight decrease in its Net Asset Value per share, moving from $11.18 as of June 30, 2025, to $11.10 as of September 30, 2025. This decline was primarily attributed to net unrealized depreciation on the investment portfolio, including factors related to a credit support agreement and foreign exchange.

2. Analyst Price Target Reductions. In November 2025, some analysts, including those from Wells Fargo and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, reduced their price objectives for Barings BDC from $10.00 to $9.50. Such downward revisions in price targets from financial institutions can indicate concerns about future performance and contribute to negative stock movement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BBDC Return-3%29%-19%19%24%3%54%
Peers Return23%18%-13%10%1%1%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BBDC Win Rate58%83%50%50%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%35%56%48%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BBDC Max Drawdown-47%-4%-22%-9%0%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-13%-31%-11%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBBDCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven426 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven142.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven361 days1480 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

Barings BDC's stock fell -37.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2021. A -37.3% loss requires a 59.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Barings BDC (BBDC)

Better Bets than Barings BDC (BBDC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BBDC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Barings BDC

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BBDCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameBarings .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Price8.73163.1616.02116.902.60-16.02
Mkt Cap0.91.10.90.30.1-0.9
Rev LTM11487410015216-114
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM-8970104-35-9--9
FCF 3Y Avg4412513816-10-44
CFO LTM-8977104-32-9--9
CFO 3Y Avg4413213817-9-44

Growth & Margins

BBDCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameBarings .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.7%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%--6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg87.5%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%-13.5%
Rev Chg Q5.1%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%--2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%--0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-78.1%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%--21.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.9%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-15.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-78.1%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%--23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg26.9%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-14.7%

Valuation

BBDCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameBarings .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Cap0.91.10.90.30.1-0.9
P/S8.11.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E9.19.49.38.14.3-9.1
P/CFO-10.316.68.0-11.8-6.1--6.1
Total Yield24.6%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-21.5%
Dividend Yield13.6%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.6%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-3.6%
D/E1.82.01.40.01.1-1.4
Net D/E1.71.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.9

Returns

BBDCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameBarings .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
1M Rtn-0.1%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-1.8%
3M Rtn-4.3%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%--14.0%
6M Rtn4.8%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%-0.7%
12M Rtn-0.6%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--0.6%
3Y Rtn38.5%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-31.3%
1M Excs Rtn-0.1%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-9.8%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%--18.7%
6M Excs Rtn-10.0%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--14.1%
12M Excs Rtn-14.3%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-32.6%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--43.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Lending and investment289109154 104
Total289109154 104


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Lending and investment   1,677 
Total   1,677 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity971,952
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202518.5%
Average Daily Volume513,275
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.89
Basic Shares Quantity105,158,938
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021