Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
Market Price (4/28/2026): $76.19 | Market Cap: $9.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Research & Consulting Services
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
Market Price (4/28/2026): $76.19Market Cap: $9.2 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Research & Consulting Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 10% Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.8 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% Key risksBAH key risks include [1] its near-total reliance on U.S. Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.8 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% |
| Key risksBAH key risks include [1] its near-total reliance on U.S. Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Overall Defense Sector Weakness.
The broader defense sector has experienced a "choppy stretch" since late 2025, as evidenced by the Invesco Aerospace and Defense ETF (ITA) declining. This general market sentiment, influenced by macroeconomic factors such as supply chain concerns and rising Treasury yields, has exerted downward pressure on companies like Booz Allen Hamilton. This environment contributed to BAH's stock declining by approximately 10.7% from around $88.42 in late December 2025/early January 2026 to about $78.95 by late March 2026.
2. Cautious Analyst Outlook on Future Growth.
Analysts maintained a cautious outlook for Booz Allen Hamilton's future performance during the period. As of March 26, 2026, forecasts project a decline in earnings of approximately 3.9% per year over the next three years. Additionally, annual revenue growth is anticipated to be 3%, which is slower than the projected 10.3% annual growth for the broader U.S. market. These subdued projections for both earnings and revenue growth likely contributed to investor hesitation and the stock's negative trend.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.8% change in BAH stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 83.72 | 76.35 | -8.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,706 | 11,409 | -2.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.4 | 11.0 | -11.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 123 | 121 | 1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.8% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BAH | -8.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 10.5% | 3.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.5% change in BAH stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 98.55 | 76.35 | -22.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,962 | 11,409 | -4.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.7% | 7.4% | -15.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.7 | 11.0 | -6.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 124 | 121 | 2.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BAH | -22.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 11.6% | 12.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.2% change in BAH stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 102.04 | 76.35 | -25.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,776 | 11,409 | -3.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.4% | 7.4% | -0.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.9 | 11.0 | -26.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 127 | 121 | 5.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BAH | -25.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 29.3% | 12.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 32.2% | 17.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.0% change in BAH stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 87.73 | 76.35 | -13.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9,064 | 11,409 | 25.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.8% | 7.4% | 54.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.9 | 11.0 | -59.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 132 | 121 | 9.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BAH | -13.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.5% | 18.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 76.7% | 24.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BAH Return | -1% | 26% | 24% | 2% | -33% | -9% | -4% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 12% | -14% | 57% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 91% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BAH Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 42% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 55% | 60% | 67% | 53% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BAH Max Drawdown | -12% | -16% | -15% | -3% | -37% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -12% | -14% | -7% | -19% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LDOS, CACI, SAIC, ACN, GD. See BAH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/28/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BAH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 173 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -27.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 120 days |
Compare to LDOS, CACI, SAIC, ACN, GD
In The Past
Booz Allen Hamilton's stock fell -28.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2021. A -28.0% loss requires a 38.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Booz Allen Hamilton:
- Accenture for the government sector.
- A McKinsey & Company specializing in national security and advanced technology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Services of Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
- Management & Technology Consulting: Provides strategic advice and operational support across various business domains, human capital, and technology challenges.
- Analytics & Artificial Intelligence: Delivers transformational solutions leveraging AI, machine learning, data science, automation, and quantum computing for data-driven insights.
- Digital Solutions: Focuses on designing, developing, and implementing modern digital solutions built on contemporary methodologies and architectures.
- Engineering Services: Offers expertise in defining, developing, implementing, sustaining, and modernizing complex physical systems.
- Cyber Solutions: Provides comprehensive cyber risk management, including prevention, detection, and enhancing the cost-effectiveness of cybersecurity measures.
- Mission Operations: Supports critical client missions with operational expertise and execution.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Booz Allen Hamilton's (BAH) major customer is the U.S. federal government. A substantial majority of the company's revenue is derived from contracts with various U.S. government agencies and departments.
Key components of their government client base include:
- The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD)
- Various agencies within the U.S. Intelligence Community
- A wide range of U.S. civil agencies (e.g., Department of Homeland Security, Department of Veterans Affairs, NASA)
While Booz Allen Hamilton also provides solutions to corporations and not-for-profit organizations, these represent a smaller portion of their overall revenue compared to their extensive government work. Due to client confidentiality, specific names of major corporate customers are generally not publicly disclosed by the company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Horacio D. Rozanski Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and President Horacio D. Rozanski joined Booz Allen Hamilton as an intern in 1991 and became a full-time strategy consultant in 1992. He advanced through various leadership roles, including chief personnel officer, chief strategy and talent officer, and president and chief operating officer, before being appointed CEO in 2015. In 2024, he also became the Chairman of the Board of Directors. Throughout his tenure, Mr. Rozanski has been instrumental in significant strategic initiatives, such as the 2008 spin-off of the commercial consulting business and the firm's successful initial public offering in 2010. He is also credited with leading Booz Allen's transformation into a technology company. Mr. Rozanski serves as a director on the board of Marriott International, Inc. and is Chairman of the Board for Children's National Hospital. Matthew A. Calderone Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President Matthew A. Calderone served as Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President of Booz Allen Hamilton from 2022 until his planned resignation in early 2026. He will be joining S&P Global's Mobility business as CFO, a unit that plans to spin off into a standalone company. Mr. Calderone has a bachelor's degree in economics from the University of Maryland and an MBA from Yale School of Management. During his extensive career at Booz Allen, he led the corporate development team, overseeing over $1.4 billion in M&A transactions. He also held the role of chief strategy officer, where he developed and implemented the firm's VoLT (velocity, leadership, technology) growth strategy. Earlier in his career, Mr. Calderone spent three years as a principal at Boston Consulting Group, focusing on organization and retail practices. Kristine Martin Anderson Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer Kristine Martin Anderson is an Executive Vice President and the Chief Operating Officer at Booz Allen Hamilton. Following the departure of Matthew Calderone, she will assume the responsibilities of Chief Financial Officer on an interim basis. Andrew Turner Executive Vice President, Global Commercial Business Lead Andrew Turner is the Executive Vice President and Global Commercial Business Lead at Booz Allen Hamilton, a role he took on in February 2023, having initially joined in December 2020 as executive vice president and market strategy leader for the global commercial business. He is also listed as the chief technology officer and market strategy lead for the Global Commercial business. Mr. Turner brings over 20 years of experience in cybersecurity and threat intelligence to his role. Prior to joining Booz Allen, he served as chief security officer at Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) and Worldpay. He also held significant cybersecurity leadership positions at Visa and Microsoft. Susan L. Penfield Chief Innovation Officer and Executive Vice President Susan L. Penfield serves as the Chief Innovation Officer and an Executive Vice President at Booz Allen Hamilton. She has held various leadership roles within the firm, including leading the analytics and data science business, and was instrumental in establishing and leading the firm's Strategic Innovation Group as its first chief innovation officer. Ms. Penfield's experience includes developing and delivering data and AI solutions for both commercial and public sector clients.AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Booz Allen Hamilton's business are:-
Heavy Reliance on U.S. Government Contracts: Booz Allen Hamilton derives a substantial majority, approximately 98%, of its revenue from contracts with the U.S. government. This exposes the company to significant risks associated with changes in government spending, budget priorities, and overall budgetary constraints, including potential government shutdowns or debt ceiling issues. Policy shifts, such as initiatives to insource work previously performed by contractors, could also adversely impact revenue and growth prospects.
-
Reputational and Operational Risks from Data Breaches and Non-Compliance: The company faces considerable risks related to its reputation and operations due to potential data breaches, cybersecurity incidents, and non-compliance with complex government laws and regulations. A recent example includes the U.S. Treasury Department's cancellation of all its contracts with Booz Allen Hamilton in January 2026, citing the firm's alleged failure to adequately protect sensitive taxpayer information following a former employee's leak of tax returns. Such incidents can lead to financial penalties, contract terminations, and damage to the company's crucial relationships with government clients.
-
Intense Competition and Talent Acquisition/Retention Challenges: Booz Allen Hamilton operates in a highly competitive environment within the government and defense consulting sectors. It competes with other large contractors like Leidos, SAIC, and CACI International, as well as specialized firms. This competition is particularly acute in high-growth areas such as artificial intelligence and cybersecurity. A critical risk is the challenge of attracting and retaining highly skilled employees, especially those possessing the necessary security clearances and specialized technical expertise, which are essential for fulfilling government contracts.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid development and adoption of highly autonomous, specialized AI-driven platforms and services that automate complex analytical, strategic, and solution design tasks, potentially reducing the demand for traditional human-led consulting engagements in areas such as data science, cyber solutions, and digital transformation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Booz Allen Hamilton (symbol: BAH) operates within several significant addressable markets, primarily serving the U.S. government and public sector. The key addressable markets for their main products and services are detailed below:
- Cyber Solutions: The U.S. federal cybersecurity market is a substantial addressable market for Booz Allen Hamilton. It is projected to increase from $17.4 billion in fiscal year 2024 to $21.5 billion in fiscal year 2028. More broadly, the U.S. cyber defense market, which includes the government and defense sector, was valued at $65.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $150.6 billion by 2032. The government and defense sector constituted 30% of this market in 2024. Globally, spending on cybersecurity products and services is predicted to reach $454 billion annually in 2025.
- Management and Technology Consulting: The United States public sector consulting and advisory services market is estimated at $13.57 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to grow to $18.03 billion by 2030. North America holds approximately 45% of the global market share for public sector consulting and advisory services. For overall IT consulting in the U.S., the market size was $745.6 billion in 2024 and $759.6 billion in 2025.
- Analytics (Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Data Science): The global AI in government and public services market was estimated at $22.41 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $98.13 billion by 2033. North America dominated this market in 2024 with a 32.0% revenue share. Another estimate values the global AI in government and public services market at $25.08 billion in 2025, with a projection to reach $109.44 billion by 2035, and North America leading this market.
- Engineering Services: The United States engineering services market was valued at $387.42 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $533.33 billion by 2031. Globally, the engineering services market was valued at $2.34 trillion in 2025 and is projected to reach $5.37 trillion by 2034.
- Digital Solutions (Digital Transformation): The United States digital transformation market was valued at an estimated $0.66 trillion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $1.96 trillion by 2031. Another source indicates the U.S. digital transformation market is estimated at $0.55 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach $1.38 trillion by 2029.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key areas:
- Growth in Advanced Technologies (Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, Digital, and Engineering): Booz Allen Hamilton is strategically investing in and focusing on advanced technologies such as cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, and other digital and engineering solutions. These areas are consistently highlighted as key growth vectors for the company.
- Expansion within National Security and Defense Markets: The company's core business in national security and defense continues to be a robust driver. Booz Allen Hamilton has shown strong performance in these segments, and a proposed increase in the U.S. defense budget is expected to further bolster demand and accelerate growth in these critical markets.
- Focus on Federal Health Agencies: The company has identified federal health agencies as a significant opportunity for future growth, indicating a targeted expansion or increased penetration in this specific government sector.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Booz Allen Hamilton anticipates that strategic acquisitions will play a role in accelerating future profitability and overall revenue expansion. Acquisitions can broaden their capabilities, client base, and market reach.
- Shift to Outcome-Based Contracting and Product Sales: Booz Allen Hamilton is actively transitioning towards outcome-based contracting and increasing its product sales. This strategic evolution in its business model is aimed at strengthening near-term financial performance and expanding its leadership in the market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions for Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
Share Repurchases
- Booz Allen Hamilton repurchased $149 million of shares at an average price of $157.74 per share, accounting for 2.3% of outstanding shares since the start of the fiscal year.
- The company's Board of Directors authorized an additional $500 million for future share repurchases.
- Booz Allen is executing a long-running share repurchase program totaling $3.56 billion.
Share Issuance
- There is no information indicating share issuances; instead, the company's shares outstanding have seen a decline due to repurchases. For example, shares outstanding in 2025 were 0.128 billion, a 1.93% decline from 2024, and 0.121 billion for the quarter ending December 31, 2025, marking a 5.15% year-over-year decrease.
Inbound Investments
- Booz Allen Hamilton formed a new collaboration with Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) to become the first a16z Technology Acceleration Partner for Governments, aiming to strengthen technical supremacy in areas like artificial intelligence, autonomy, and electronic warfare.
Outbound Investments
- Booz Allen Hamilton is tripling its venture capital commitment for Booz Allen Ventures from $100 million to $300 million, with plans to make 20-25 new investments in early-stage technology companies over the next five years.
- The company entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Defy Security to expand its global commercial business and scale advanced cybersecurity solutions.
- In June 2024, Booz Allen Hamilton acquired PAR Government, a cloud-based software solutions provider for government and organizations.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were approximately $98 million, with an expectation of around $100 million for fiscal year 2026.
- Annual capital expenditures have varied over the last few years, reaching $128 million in 2025, $89 million in 2024, $78 million in 2023, and $54 million in 2022.
- The focus of these capital expenditures aligns with the company's strategic emphasis on critical technology areas such as artificial intelligence, cyber, and quantum computing, as well as advancing national security and deep tech partnerships.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to BAH.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | NSP | Insperity | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | TNC | Tennant | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | HURN | Huron Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TRU | TransUnion | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | BAH | Booz Allen Hamilton | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.2% | -9.2% | -13.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 162.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.8 |
| Rev LTM | 14,292 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,572 |
| FCF LTM | 1,279 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 991 |
| CFO LTM | 1,385 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,113 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 10.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.8 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 9.3 |
| P/EBIT | 9.5 |
| P/E | 13.5 |
| P/CFO | 9.9 |
| Total Yield | 9.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -10.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -50.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $76.24 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 9.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/17/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -39.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $79.19 | $90.99 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -3.7% | -16.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 44.7% | 40.2% |
| Downside Capture | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| Upside Capture | -6.81 | 22.30 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -2.7% | 9.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.84 | 0.10 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| Up Beta | -1.71 | 1.55 | 0.91 | -0.18 | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| Down Beta | -1.23 | -1.21 | 0.07 | 0.24 | 0.07 | 0.33 |
| Up Capture | -63% | 12% | 43% | 24% | 33% | 24% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 19 | 34 | 60 | 127 | 393 |
| Down Capture | -49% | 62% | 58% | 79% | 89% | 88% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 29 | 66 | 125 | 357 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BAH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAH | -34.8% | 40.2% | -0.96 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 34.5% | 15.1% | 1.75 | 14.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.5% | 12.5% | 1.92 | 9.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 38.6% | 27.2% | 1.18 | -3.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.9% | 18.0% | 1.95 | 6.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.4% | 13.4% | 0.75 | 20.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 42.1% | -0.39 | 18.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BAH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAH | -0.1% | 30.6% | 0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.8% | 17.3% | 0.58 | 31.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 25.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.2% | 17.8% | 0.92 | 1.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.8% | 19.1% | 0.63 | 9.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 25.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.3% | 56.2% | 0.35 | 11.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BAH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAH | 12.6% | 28.5% | 0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.7% | 19.9% | 0.61 | 39.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 38.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 1.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.9% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 11.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 34.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 8.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/23/2026 | 6.8% | -7.3% | -21.9% |
| 10/24/2025 | -8.9% | -17.4% | -18.9% |
| 5/23/2025 | -16.5% | -17.7% | -22.0% |
| 1/31/2025 | 0.1% | 0.2% | -20.0% |
| 10/25/2024 | 9.2% | 9.1% | -10.1% |
| 5/24/2024 | 4.0% | -0.1% | 3.6% |
| 1/26/2024 | 13.6% | 10.3% | 15.0% |
| 10/27/2023 | -3.3% | 1.1% | 5.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -7.3% | -16.4% |
| Max Positive | 13.6% | 15.4% | 21.9% |
| Max Negative | -16.5% | -17.7% | -22.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 01/23/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/23/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 01/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/24/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/26/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 01/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/29/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/20/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 1/23/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 11.30 Bil | 11.35 Bil | 11.40 Bil | -0.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 11.40 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | -6.0% | -5.5% | -5.0% | 10.0% | -0.5% | Lowered | Guidance: -5.0% for 2026 |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.20 Bil | 1.21 Bil | 1.22 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.21 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS | 5.95 | 6.05 | 6.15 | 9.0% | Raised | Guidance: 5.55 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 825.00 Mil | 862.50 Mil | 900.00 Mil | -4.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 900.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 10/24/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 11.30 Bil | 11.40 Bil | 11.50 Bil | -6.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 12.25 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | -6.0% | -5.0% | -4.0% | -350.0% | -7.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.0% for 2026 |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.19 Bil | 1.21 Bil | 1.22 Bil | -10.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.34 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin on Revenue | 10.0% | -9.1% | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 11.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS | 5.45 | 5.55 | 5.65 | -12.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 6.38 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 850.00 Mil | 900.00 Mil | 950.00 Mil | -5.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 950.00 Mil for 2026 | |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.