Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -62%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -96%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -62%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.8%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -96%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AYTU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Decrease in Q1 Fiscal 2026 Net Revenue
Aytu BioPharma reported a year-over-year decrease in net revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which fell to $13.9 million from $16.6 million in the prior year period. This decline in top-line performance could signal a slowdown in sales or market demand for some of its products, potentially dampening investor confidence.

2. Decline in Q1 Fiscal 2026 Gross Margin
For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, the company's gross profit percentage declined to 66% from 72% in the same period a year ago. A reduced gross margin indicates that the cost of goods sold increased relative to revenue, which can negatively impact profitability and investor perception of operational efficiency.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AYTU Return-39%-77%-86%-25%-40%21%-99%
Peers Return7%30%20%-3%7%16%99%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AYTU Win Rate25%17%17%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate47%55%63%38%47%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AYTU Max Drawdown-64%-77%-89%-61%-53%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-7%-11%-23%-10%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAYTUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven13161.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven242.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-99.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16780.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY


In The Past

Aytu BioPharma's stock fell -99.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/18/2021. A -99.2% loss requires a 13161.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Aytu BioPharma (AYTU)

Better Bets than Aytu BioPharma (AYTU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Aytu BioPharma Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AYTU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Aytu BioPharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AYTULLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAytu Bio.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price2.131,033.56205.33102.2725.5750.9676.61
Mkt Cap0.0928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
Rev LTM6653,25892,14964,23562,78648,03458,022
Op Inc LTM322,88224,14622,39115,41711,42018,904
FCF LTM-5-5018,67913,04910,37615,30211,712
FCF 3Y Avg-4-15617,81413,6858,92713,59811,262
CFO LTM-210,93824,20417,06513,07716,62114,849
CFO 3Y Avg-37,23023,20917,50612,12714,84613,487

Growth & Margins

AYTULLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAytu Bio.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM1.8%36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%1.3%2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.8%23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%1.0%2.0%
Rev Chg Q3.7%37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%2.8%3.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%0.7%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM3.8%43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%23.8%25.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.3%35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%19.0%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%2.9%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.9%20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%34.6%23.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3.3%17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%31.7%22.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.8%-0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%31.9%18.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.9%0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%29.0%17.1%

Valuation

AYTULLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAytu Bio.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap0.0928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
P/S0.212.94.83.32.31.92.8
P/EBIT-1.538.613.89.112.29.210.7
P/E-1.149.617.811.014.715.215.0
P/CFO-7.662.618.412.311.15.511.7
Total Yield-91.7%2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%12.0%10.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%5.4%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-40.8%0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%13.2%4.9%
D/E1.50.10.10.20.40.60.3
Net D/E-0.60.10.10.10.30.40.1

Returns

AYTULLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAytu Bio.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn-3.6%15.5%10.9%24.0%3.7%10.7%10.8%
3M Rtn-9.0%40.3%16.1%22.7%5.0%8.8%12.4%
6M Rtn34.0%35.5%35.9%33.3%13.2%9.2%33.6%
12M Rtn34.4%28.0%38.9%4.1%7.3%-8.9%17.7%
3Y Rtn-52.7%182.4%25.7%1.6%-40.3%-28.3%-13.3%
1M Excs Rtn-3.6%15.5%11.0%24.0%3.7%10.8%10.9%
3M Excs Rtn-11.1%34.0%10.2%17.5%0.7%5.3%7.8%
6M Excs Rtn19.2%20.7%21.1%18.6%-1.6%-5.6%18.9%
12M Excs Rtn18.7%17.4%23.0%-9.2%-8.9%-23.2%4.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-115.2%116.6%-46.0%-69.7%-111.4%-99.3%-84.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity487,373
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.5%
Average Daily Volume62,874
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.75
Basic Shares Quantity6,784,326
Short % of Basic Shares7.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025923202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024926202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
63020231012202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022927202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Disbrow JarrettChief Business Officer6102025Buy1.5016,66624,99944,193Form
1Disbrow Joshua R.Chief Executive Officer6102025Buy1.5066,66699,999229,886Form
2Disbrow Joshua R.Chief Executive Officer3032025Buy1.3015,00019,500112,568Form