Anavex Life Sciences (AVXL)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.45 | Market Cap: $379.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Anavex Life Sciences (AVXL)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.45Market Cap: $379.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 34% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 34% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AVXL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Anavex Life Sciences (AVXL) experienced a significant downturn in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Negative Regulatory Opinion for Blarcamesine.
On November 14, 2025, the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) issued a negative trend vote on the Marketing Authorisation Application (MAA) for blarcamesine (ANAVEX2-73) for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease. This regulatory setback was a major blow to the company, leading to a significant stock drop. The company has stated its intent to request a re-examination of this opinion.
2. Concerns Regarding Clinical Trial Efficacy.
Analysts highlighted concerns that the Phase 2B/3 trial for blarcamesine in Alzheimer's disease failed to achieve statistical significance on both primary endpoints, which could severely impact regulatory pathways in both Europe and the U.S. Reports indicated that a statement regarding the statistical significance for the ADCS-ADL endpoint, initially reported, was later removed.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AVXL Return | 108% | 221% | -47% | 1% | 15% | -59% | 72% |
| Peers Return | 5% | -16% | -29% | 36% | -22% | 22% | -19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AVXL Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 31% | 40% | 25% | 37% | 31% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AVXL Max Drawdown | -8% | -4% | -58% | -46% | -64% | -71% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -23% | -38% | -27% | -38% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HII, MDXG, TENX, ACSB, AIXC. See AVXL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AVXL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 472.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -59.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 144.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 225 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -80.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 404.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 678 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 220.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2394 days | 1480 days |
Compare to HII, MDXG, TENX, ACSB, AIXC
In The Past
Anavex Life Sciences's stock fell -82.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/28/2021. A -82.5% loss requires a 472.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AVXL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Anavex Life Sciences
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.86 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -5 |
| FCF LTM | -6 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -10 |
| CFO LTM | -6 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -10 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 4.2 |
| P/E | 7.2 |
| P/CFO | -0.2 |
| Total Yield | -1.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -5.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -74.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12232024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11272023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11282022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11242021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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