Tearsheet

AlphaTON Capital (ATON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.6 | Market Cap: $1.7 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

AlphaTON Capital (ATON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.6
Market Cap: $1.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -145%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1137%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 265%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -145%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1137%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 265%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ATON Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

AlphaTON Capital (ATON) experienced a significant stock decline of -77.9% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Significant Stock Price Drops and Volatility: The company's stock experienced multiple substantial drops during the period. On November 7, 2025, ATON stock was trending down by -16.12% amid concerns of export restrictions and market uncertainties. It further declined by -7.53% on November 24, 2025, due to strategic restructuring and global market tensions. By November 26, 2025, AlphaTON Capital's stock was down by -11.63%, and another -12.09% on the same day, spurred by a significant leadership departure. The closing price on November 26, 2025, was approximately $1.90, a continuous drop from its weekly high of $2.86 on November 19, 2025, with volatility pulling prices from heights of $4.75 earlier in the month. As of December 3, 2025, the stock price was $1.59.

2. Financial Instability and Underperformance: AlphaTON Capital's financials reveal a concerning picture, with total liabilities surpassing total assets, indicating the company may be over-leveraged and in a risky financial standing. Key financial metrics showed a negative book value per share and a return on assets hitting -37.71%. The company has shown continuing losses, with negative net profit, and its profitability measures suggest ineffective asset utilization. A notably negative book value per share points to an urgent need for strategic shifts, and high debt levels with insufficient cash flow indicators raise concerns over liquidity risks.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ATON Return108%-45%-51%-66%-86%-68%-99%
Peers Return18%14%-11%8%1%1%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ATON Win Rate58%50%17%33%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%40%28%45%38%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ATON Max Drawdown-10%-45%-59%-79%-94%-64% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-10%-25%-9%-9%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, FGNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventATONS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3827.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven74 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-100.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven617900.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven193 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1400.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven530 days1480 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, FGNX


In The Past

AlphaTON Capital's stock fell -97.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/17/2021. A -97.5% loss requires a 3827.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AlphaTON Capital (ATON)

Better Bets than AlphaTON Capital (ATON)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ATON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AlphaTON Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ATONVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameAlphaTON.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Price1.59163.1616.02116.902.603.179.59
Mkt Cap0.01.10.90.30.1-0.3
Rev LTM0874100152161258
Op Inc LTM-12179-44-8-18
FCF LTM-1070104-35-9-4-6
FCF 3Y Avg-1112513816-10-65
CFO LTM-1077104-32-9-4-6
CFO 3Y Avg-1113213817-9-66

Growth & Margins

ATONVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameAlphaTON.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Rev Chg LTM--1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%-41.5%-6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%80.0%13.5%
Rev Chg Q--4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%73.2%-2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%47.7%-0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%-33.1%-21.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-34.5%11.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%-33.5%-23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-35.0%11.0%

Valuation

ATONVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameAlphaTON.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Cap0.01.10.90.30.1-0.3
P/S-1.58.32.53.4-2.9
P/EBIT-0.13.6-8.72.8-3.2
P/E-0.19.49.38.14.3-8.1
P/CFO-0.616.68.0-11.8-6.1--0.6
Total Yield-1,132.7%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-16.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-4.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-193.4%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-2.9%
D/E0.02.01.40.01.1-1.1
Net D/E-0.31.60.9-0.1-0.9--0.1

Returns

ATONVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameAlphaTON.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
1M Rtn-66.7%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-12.2%-1.8%
3M Rtn-76.7%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%-72.2%-15.0%
6M Rtn-81.7%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%--1.2%
12M Rtn-60.1%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--24.3%
3Y Rtn-98.9%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%--7.0%
1M Excs Rtn-66.6%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-12.2%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-76.2%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%-74.5%-21.1%
6M Excs Rtn-96.4%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-75.6%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--37.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-171.5%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--75.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Operating Income by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment   -12 
Total   -12 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment899195 173
Total899195 173


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity119,875
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-24.8%
Average Daily Volume236,341
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity1,076,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
3312025725202520-F 3/31/2025
9302024112620246-K 9/30/2024
630202482720246-K 6/30/2024
3312024814202420-F 3/31/2024
1231202322820246-K 12/31/2023
9302023112820236-K 9/30/2023
630202383020236-K 6/30/2023
3312023731202320-F 3/31/2023
1231202230120236-K 12/31/2022
9302022112920226-K 9/30/2022
630202282920226-K 6/30/2022
3312022801202220-F 3/31/2022
1231202122520226-K 12/31/2021
9302021112320216-K 9/30/2021
630202183020216-K 6/30/2021
3312021729202120-F 3/31/2021