Arrive AI (ARAI)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $0.7537 | Market Cap: $25.1 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Arrive AI (ARAI)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $0.7537Market Cap: $25.1 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -79% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.8 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include AI Software Platforms, IoT for Buildings, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9669% | |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 271x | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 3711% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5478%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5568% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 145% | ||
| Key risksARAI key risks include [1] significant cash burn and reliance on dilutive financing amid production inefficiencies, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -79% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include AI Software Platforms, IoT for Buildings, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.8 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9669% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 271x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 3711% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5478%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5568% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 145% |
| Key risksARAI key risks include [1] significant cash burn and reliance on dilutive financing amid production inefficiencies, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Arrive AI (ARAI) stock has lost about 80% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Mounting Financial Losses and Significant Cash Burn: Arrive AI reported a widened net loss of $2.2 million in Q3 2025, announced on November 14, 2025, which increased from $0.8 million year-over-year, coupled with minimal revenue primarily from subscriptions. Subsequent financial disclosures indicated substantial losses across key metrics, including a net income loss from continuing operations of $2.24 million, negative EBITDA of $1.56 million, and negative EBIT of $1.66 million, reflecting profound operational challenges. The company also experienced a consistent operating cash flow deficit exceeding $1.24 million, exacerbating its liquidity crunch.
2. Heavy Reliance on Dilutive Equity Financing: The company has continued to depend on dilutive equity financing to sustain operations, notably securing a $10 million equity-linked note financing as of January 30, 2026. The financing structure, particularly with investor Streeterville Capital, includes conditions tied to market capitalization and ownership percentages. This creates ongoing dilution risk for existing shareholders and restricts the company's access to additional capital if its market capitalization falls below certain thresholds, as it has to approximately $32-36 million by March 2026, well below a $100 million threshold noted in previous financing arrangements.
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1. Mounting Financial Losses and Significant Cash Burn: Arrive AI reported a widened net loss of $2.2 million in Q3 2025, announced on November 14, 2025, which increased from $0.8 million year-over-year, coupled with minimal revenue primarily from subscriptions. Subsequent financial disclosures indicated substantial losses across key metrics, including a net income loss from continuing operations of $2.24 million, negative EBITDA of $1.56 million, and negative EBIT of $1.66 million, reflecting profound operational challenges. The company also experienced a consistent operating cash flow deficit exceeding $1.24 million, exacerbating its liquidity crunch.
2. Heavy Reliance on Dilutive Equity Financing: The company has continued to depend on dilutive equity financing to sustain operations, notably securing a $10 million equity-linked note financing as of January 30, 2026. The financing structure, particularly with investor Streeterville Capital, includes conditions tied to market capitalization and ownership percentages. This creates ongoing dilution risk for existing shareholders and restricts the company's access to additional capital if its market capitalization falls below certain thresholds, as it has to approximately $32-36 million by March 2026, well below a $100 million threshold noted in previous financing arrangements.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -80.1% change in ARAI stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -80.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.00 | 0.80 | -80.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 1,354.4 | 269.7 | -80.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 33 | 33 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -80.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARAI | -80.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 46.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | -9.1% | 41.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -83.8% change in ARAI stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.92 | 0.80 | -83.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | 269.7 | |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 29 | 33 | -12.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARAI | -83.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 35.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | -0.7% | 30.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARAI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 23.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 15.9% | 24.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARAI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 23.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 94.5% | 24.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARAI Return | - | - | - | - | -80% | -67% | -93% |
| Peers Return | 7% | -34% | 44% | 17% | 6% | -0% | 27% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARAI Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 25% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 40% | 63% | 53% | 55% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARAI Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -80% | -70% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -45% | -9% | -14% | -22% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMZN, UPS, FDX, PBI, ROCK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
ARAI has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,183 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AMZN, UPS, FDX, PBI, ROCK
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.
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About Arrive AI (ARAI)
We were incorporated on April 30, 2020, in the State of Delaware under the name of Dronedek Corporation. The Company changed its name to Arrive Technology Inc. on July 27, 2023. The Company changed its name to Arrive AI Inc. on September 30, 2024. We are a developmental technology company with a focus on designing and implementing a commercially viable smart mailbox and platform system for smart, secure, and seamless exchange of packages, goods, supplies, food, and medications between people, through the use of robots, and drones. We have not started conducting commercial operations and we had no revenues for fiscal years 2022, 2023 or 2024. Arrive executed an exclusive patent license agreement on May 26, 2020 with its CEO, Mr. O’Toole and amended in December 2024 and March 2025, whereby Mr. O’Toole granted Arrive rights to use, sell, manufacture and otherwise commercialize certain technologies relating to secured drone delivery ALM mailboxes in exchange for license fees. Such technologies helped jumpstart our business operations and will continue to play such a critical role in our growth that we became heavily reliant on the right to use them. Our corporate address is in Fishers, Indiana.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Imagine an Amazon Locker designed for your home, optimized for receiving packages from drones and robots.
The ChargePoint for autonomous package receiving, acting as a smart hub for drone and robot drop-offs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Smart Mailbox System: A physical device designed for the secure and seamless exchange of packages, goods, food, and medications, utilizing robots and drones.
- Platform System: The underlying technology and software enabling the smart mailbox system to function, facilitating autonomous and secure deliveries and exchanges.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlBased on the provided background information, Arrive AI (ARAI) is a developmental technology company that has not yet started conducting commercial operations. The company reported no revenues for fiscal years 2022, 2023, or 2024.
Therefore, Arrive AI currently has no major customers, as it has not yet launched its product or generated sales.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Dan O'Toole
Chief Executive Officer, Founder, Chairman
Dan O'Toole is a seasoned entrepreneur with over 37 years of experience in building and scaling successful businesses. He is the Founder, CEO, and Chairman of Arrive AI, a company he started in 2014, securing crucial patents for autonomous delivery technology. Prior to Arrive AI, O'Toole founded and successfully exited three companies, most recently Facility Maintenance USA, a provider to Fortune 500 clients. He sold his facilities business to one of its vendors to help finance Arrive AI.
Todd Pepmeier
Chief Financial Officer
Todd Pepmeier serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Arrive AI, bringing 28 years of financial expertise. Since joining in May 2023, he has been instrumental in building robust financial operations and guiding the company through its direct listing on NASDAQ. Previously, Pepmeier provided interim CFO support to early-stage technology firms and led Ascension Health's shared services division. As CFO of Agilify, a robotic process automation startup, he managed a strategic acquisition that resulted in a successful exit. He began his career in the finance leadership program at Ford Motor Company and spent 15 years in finance at Rolls-Royce.
Mark Hamm
Chief Operating Officer
Mark Hamm is the Chief Operating Officer and a Director at Arrive AI. He has a strong background in innovation and previously served as VP of innovation at FedEx.
Neerav Shah
Chief Strategy Officer
Neerav Shah holds the position of Chief Strategy Officer and Director at Arrive AI. He exited his own drone company to join Arrive AI.
Ian Geise
Head of Commercialization
Ian Geise was appointed as Head of Commercialization for Arrive AI in January 2026. In this role, he is responsible for spearheading the company's transition from product innovation to market adoption and accelerating revenue scalability. Geise brings decades of experience from leadership roles at DIRECTV, Sirius Satellite Radio, and VOXX International, where he focused on go-to-market execution, partnerships, and national product launches in consumer technology, subscription media, and connected hardware ecosystems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlThe key risks for Arrive AI are:
- Developmental Stage and Lack of Commercial Operations/Revenue: Arrive AI is a developmental technology company that has not commenced commercial operations and has reported no revenues for fiscal years 2022, 2023, or 2024. This indicates a significant risk regarding its ability to successfully transition from development to commercialization and generate sustainable income.
- Heavy Reliance on CEO's Patented Technology and License Agreement: The company is heavily reliant on an exclusive patent license agreement with its CEO, Mr. O’Toole. This agreement, amended in December 2024 and March 2025, grants Arrive AI rights to use, sell, manufacture, and commercialize critical technologies for secured drone delivery ALM mailboxes. This dependency on a single individual and a specific licensing arrangement poses a risk should the agreement terms change unfavorably, the technology become outdated, or the relationship with the CEO be disrupted.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The potential for well-capitalized, established e-commerce and logistics giants (such as Amazon, Walmart, UPS, and FedEx) to develop and widely implement their own proprietary or industry-standard smart mailbox and integrated drone/robot delivery platform systems represents a clear emerging threat. Given their vast resources, existing logistics infrastructure, and active investments in advanced delivery technologies, these companies could quickly establish a dominant market standard for automated package exchange, making it exceedingly challenging for Arrive AI, a developmental company, to achieve significant market penetration or commercial viability with its own system. This scenario parallels historical instances where dominant players or new, well-resourced entrants define emerging markets, marginalizing smaller innovators before they can scale.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Arrive AI's main products and services are as follows:
-
Intelligent Mailbox (Smart Mailbox) Market:
- The global intelligent mailbox market was valued at USD 600 million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 2.5 billion by 2032.
- North America accounts for approximately 35% of the global intelligent mailbox market.
-
Drone Logistics and Transportation Market:
- The global drone logistics and transportation market size was valued at USD 1.45 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 53.18 billion by 2033.
-
Autonomous Mobile Delivery Robots Market:
- The global autonomous mobile delivery robots market size was valued at USD 1.48 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 8.44 billion by 2033.
- North America dominated this market with a 39.1% revenue share in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Arrive AI (ARAI)
Arrive AI (ARAI), a developmental technology company focused on its patented smart mailbox and platform system, is positioning itself for initial revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies. Having reported minimal revenue in Q3 2025 and no revenues in prior fiscal years, the company's future financial performance is intrinsically tied to the successful commercialization and scaling of its autonomous logistics ecosystem. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:- Successful Commercialization and Market Adoption of Arrive Points™ and MaaS Platform: A primary driver for Arrive AI will be the transition from product development to widespread market adoption of its Arrive Points™ and Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform. The company has recently appointed a Head of Commercialization, effective January 21, 2026, specifically tasked with accelerating revenue scalability and aligning sales and marketing efforts. Revenue streams are expected from MaaS subscriptions, data/AI monetization, and operational platform fees as these hardware-enabled access points become integrated into various logistics networks.
- Expansion into New Markets and Use Cases: Arrive AI is actively pursuing expansion into new markets and diverse applications for its smart delivery system. While its initial focus is on medical operations, plans include extending its solutions to assisted living, retail, and residential sectors. Recent initiatives include a global expansion, highlighted by a multimodal collaboration in India and the deployment of a hospital-grade medical delivery system in Indiana. The company showcased its Arrive Point™ Network at the HIMSS Global Health Conference & Exhibition in March 2026, aiming to enable continuous autonomous deliveries for healthcare facilities.
- Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Development: Forging and expanding strategic partnerships will be critical for integrating Arrive AI's technology into the broader autonomous delivery landscape. The company has already expanded its partnership with Skye Air Mobility in India and entered into new agreements with partners like Synoptek and Ottonomy. These collaborations are essential for embedding Arrive AI's technology into partners' operations and for demonstrating end-to-end ground-based robot and drone autonomous package delivery.
- Leveraging Patented Autonomous Last Mile (ALM) Technology: Arrive AI's revenue growth will also be driven by its extensive intellectual property, centered around its patented Arrive Points™ and ALM platform. The company reports having over 200 patent claims filed or awarded, with a strategy to systematically capture patent opportunities during product development. This proprietary technology forms the foundation for its secure, efficient, and frictionless exchange of goods between people, robots, and drones, enabling subscription and platform fees.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Arrive AI announced a share repurchase program authorized by its board of directors for up to $10 million of its common stock, set to run through March 31, 2026.
Share Issuance
- The company registered the resale of up to 10,000,000 shares of common stock for a selling stockholder, Streeterville Capital, LLC.
- Arrive AI filed an S-1/A registration for a direct listing of nearly 30 million shares on the Nasdaq Global Market.
- As part of a $10 million pre-paid financing agreement with Streeterville Capital, LLC on January 26, 2026, the investor has the discretion to convert outstanding amounts from an unsecured promissory note into common shares.
Inbound Investments
- Arrive AI secured up to $40 million in financial backing from Streeterville Capital, LLC, which coincided with its Nasdaq debut on May 15, 2025. This funding is designated for production and company growth.
- Prior to its public listing, Arrive AI raised nearly $12 million, primarily through crowdfunding from approximately 5,000 private investors.
- On January 26, 2026, the company secured an additional $10 million through a pre-paid share purchase financing with Streeterville Capital, LLC, supported by an unsecured promissory note.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital is being deployed to build a scalable business model, with a near-term focus on productizing AP3 units (patented Arrive Points) and the ongoing development of AP5 to enhance scalability and cost efficiency.
- The company has acquired complementary technology to refine its "Arrive Points" smart mailbox devices.
- Arrive AI reported a negative free cash flow of -$20.8 million, which may indicate significant reinvestment in its operations and development.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Arrive AI Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| 02282026 | BMI | Badger Meter | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02282026 | VRNS | Varonis Systems | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | ITRI | Itron | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | FSLR | First Solar | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | PEGA | Pegasystems | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 67.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 41.1 |
| Rev LTM | 45,277 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,357 |
| FCF LTM | 2,332 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,698 |
| CFO LTM | 4,291 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,246 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 41.1 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 9.9 |
| P/E | 13.1 |
| P/CFO | 8.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -34.2% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.80 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/15/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -94.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.02 | $7.02 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -88.7% | -88.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 92.4% | 145.6% |
| Downside Capture | 4.52 | 3.35 |
| Upside Capture | 142.92 | 87.03 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 47.1% |
ARAI Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 5.36 | 4.49 | 4.44 | 3.81 | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| Up Beta | -0.65 | 2.67 | 1.78 | 2.97 | 1.87 | 1.26 |
| Down Beta | 4.19 | 3.85 | 2.83 | 5.11 | 0.06 | -0.73 |
| Up Capture | 319% | 116% | 191% | 103% | 31% | 4% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 26 | 55 | 84 | 84 |
| Down Capture | 863% | 631% | 564% | 319% | 168% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 34 | 68 | 110 | 110 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARAI | -94.3% | 145.9% | -1.63 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.4% | 26.8% | 0.73 | 24.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 24.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 11.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 23.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARAI | -43.5% | 145.9% | -1.63 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 15.4% | 24.6% | 0.56 | 24.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 24.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 11.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 23.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARAI | -24.8% | 145.9% | -1.63 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 20.8% | 24.3% | 0.79 | 24.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 24.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 11.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 23.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O'Toole, Daniel Steven | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 11192025 | 3.50 | 11,142 | 38,955 | 80,954,689 | Form |
| 2 | Shah, Neerav Dilip | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Buy | 11192025 | 3.53 | 1,390 | 4,912 | 270,051 | Form |
| 3 | O'Toole, Daniel Steven | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 6122025 | 13.85 | 434,672 | 6,020,207 | 320,543,140 | Form |
| 4 | Ritchison, John David | Direct | Sell | 6122025 | 13.85 | 72,500 | 1,004,125 | 18,039,625 | Form | |
| 5 | Shah, Neerav Dilip | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 6122025 | 13.85 | 65,000 | 900,250 | 1,039,096 | Form |
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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