Arrive AI (ARAI)


Market Price (11/5/2026): $0.105 | Market Cap: $7.2 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

Arrive AI (ARAI)


Market Price (11/5/2026): $0.105
Market Cap: $7.2 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include AI Software Platforms, IoT for Buildings, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -181%

Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.1

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29630%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 96x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -84%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 4443%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20540%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22241%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -557%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 144%

Key risks
ARAI key risks include [1] significant cash burn and reliance on dilutive financing amid production inefficiencies, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include AI Software Platforms, IoT for Buildings, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -181%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.1
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29630%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 96x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -84%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 4443%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20540%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22241%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -557%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 144%
10 Key risks
ARAI key risks include [1] significant cash burn and reliance on dilutive financing amid production inefficiencies, Show more.

ARAI in ETFs

Weight = ARAI's share of each fund

VTI0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

Arrive AI (ARAI) stock has lost about 55% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weak Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance and Deteriorating Financial Health. Arrive AI (ARAI) reported fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 12, 2026, showing flat revenue at $14.7 million and a widened net loss of $14.1 million, compared to a $3.7 million net loss year-over-year, which included $9.7 million in non-cash charges. Following these results, InvestingPro rated the company's financial health as 'WEAK' with a score of 0.63, reflecting concerns over its financial standing.

2. Significant Cash Burn and Liquidity Concerns with Potential for Dilution. As of its fiscal Q2 2026 report, Arrive AI held $5.1 million in cash while experiencing a monthly cash burn of approximately $1.1 million, raising substantial liquidity concerns. The company's current ratio was 0.78, and its Return on Assets (ROA) was -146%, further indicating financial strain. The availability of a $100 million S-3 shelf registration and an October 28, 2026, S-3 filing, which stated that shareholder resales would not provide cash to the company, pointed to a high potential for future shareholder dilution.

Show more
Updated on 11/1/2026

Arrive AI (ARAI) stock has lost about 55% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weak Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance and Deteriorating Financial Health. Arrive AI (ARAI) reported fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 12, 2026, showing flat revenue at $14.7 million and a widened net loss of $14.1 million, compared to a $3.7 million net loss year-over-year, which included $9.7 million in non-cash charges. Following these results, InvestingPro rated the company's financial health as 'WEAK' with a score of 0.63, reflecting concerns over its financial standing.

2. Significant Cash Burn and Liquidity Concerns with Potential for Dilution. As of its fiscal Q2 2026 report, Arrive AI held $5.1 million in cash while experiencing a monthly cash burn of approximately $1.1 million, raising substantial liquidity concerns. The company's current ratio was 0.78, and its Return on Assets (ROA) was -146%, further indicating financial strain. The availability of a $100 million S-3 shelf registration and an October 28, 2026, S-3 filing, which stated that shareholder resales would not provide cash to the company, pointed to a high potential for future shareholder dilution.

3. Negative Technical Indicators and High-Risk Investment Profile. Technical analysis revealed a significant shift in market sentiment, with Tickeron's A.I.dvisor noting that ARAI's Momentum Indicator turned negative on September 25, 2026, signaling a new downward trend with a 90% probability of further decline. Additionally, Tickeron assigned Arrive AI a "worst" Profit vs. Risk Rating of 100, indicating that the potential returns do not adequately compensate for the inherent risks, and highlighting unstable profits that have led to considerable stock drawdowns over the past five years.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -55.7% change in ARAI stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)731202611042026Change
Stock Price ($)0.230.10-55.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)00-59.3%
P/S Multiple66.399.850.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3650-27.7%
Cumulative Contribution-55.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARAI-55.7% 
Market (SPY)2.6%22.6%
Sector (XLK)0.7%17.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -85.1% change in ARAI stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/4/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611042026Change
Stock Price ($)0.700.10-85.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)009.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple∞99.8 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2950-41.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARAI-85.1% 
Market (SPY)7.0%31.9%
Sector (XLK)10.8%36.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -97.9% change in ARAI stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -94.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511042026Change
Stock Price ($)5.010.10-97.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)00-42.5%
P/S Multiple1,741.999.8-94.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3250-37.0%
Cumulative Contribution-97.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARAI-97.9% 
Market (SPY)13.4%30.0%
Sector (XLK)17.9%25.1%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARAI  
Market (SPY)89.7%24.8%
Sector (XLK)119.1%22.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ARAI Return-----80%-96%-99%
Peers Return7%-34%44%17%6%25%58%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARAI Win Rate----25%9% 
Peers Win Rate43%40%63%53%55%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%36% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARAI Max Drawdown------97% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-47%-25%-23%-33%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMZN, UPS, FDX, PBI, ROCK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/4/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

ARAI has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

EventXLKS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven65 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-17.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven92 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-10.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven15 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-33.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven246 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-31.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven78 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days

Compare to AMZN, UPS, FDX, PBI, ROCK

In The Past

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

ARAI has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

EventXLKS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven65 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-33.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven246 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-31.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven78 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-51.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven106.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven797 days1085 days

Compare to AMZN, UPS, FDX, PBI, ROCK

In The Past

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Arrive AI (ARAI)

Arrive AI (ARAI) is a developmental technology company focused on creating a smart, secure platform for the exchange of packages and goods. Its primary offering is a commercially viable smart mailbox system designed to facilitate seamless transfers of various items, including general packages, food, medical supplies, and medications. This innovative system is engineered to integrate with and support multiple delivery methods, such as traditional couriers, ground robots, and aerial drones.

The company's core product is not merely a physical mailbox, but an integrated platform for automated, secure exchange. A significant aspect of its technology relies on an exclusive patent license for secured drone delivery ALM mailboxes, acquired from its CEO. Arrive AI is currently in a pre-commercial phase, having not yet generated revenue, and is focused on the design and implementation of its platform to meet future logistical demands.

Arrive AI aims to serve a diverse market, including individual consumers, businesses, and potentially sectors like healthcare, all requiring efficient and secure points for package delivery and retrieval. Its technology is designed to address the increasing need for automated and protected last-mile solutions, positioning it for the evolving landscape of e-commerce, autonomous deliveries, and smart urban infrastructure.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Imagine an Amazon Locker designed for your home, optimized for receiving packages from drones and robots.

The ChargePoint for autonomous package receiving, acting as a smart hub for drone and robot drop-offs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Smart Mailbox System: A physical device designed for the secure and seamless exchange of packages, goods, food, and medications, utilizing robots and drones.
  • Platform System: The underlying technology and software enabling the smart mailbox system to function, facilitating autonomous and secure deliveries and exchanges.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Based on the provided background information, Arrive AI (ARAI) is a developmental technology company that has not yet started conducting commercial operations. The company reported no revenues for fiscal years 2022, 2023, or 2024.

Therefore, Arrive AI currently has no major customers, as it has not yet launched its product or generated sales.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Dan O'Toole

Chief Executive Officer, Founder, Chairman

Dan O'Toole is a seasoned entrepreneur with over 37 years of experience in building and scaling successful businesses. He is the Founder, CEO, and Chairman of Arrive AI, a company he started in 2014, securing crucial patents for autonomous delivery technology. Prior to Arrive AI, O'Toole founded and successfully exited three companies, most recently Facility Maintenance USA, a provider to Fortune 500 clients. He sold his facilities business to one of its vendors to help finance Arrive AI.

Todd Pepmeier

Chief Financial Officer

Todd Pepmeier serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Arrive AI, bringing 28 years of financial expertise. Since joining in May 2023, he has been instrumental in building robust financial operations and guiding the company through its direct listing on NASDAQ. Previously, Pepmeier provided interim CFO support to early-stage technology firms and led Ascension Health's shared services division. As CFO of Agilify, a robotic process automation startup, he managed a strategic acquisition that resulted in a successful exit. He began his career in the finance leadership program at Ford Motor Company and spent 15 years in finance at Rolls-Royce.

Mark Hamm

Chief Operating Officer

Mark Hamm is the Chief Operating Officer and a Director at Arrive AI. He has a strong background in innovation and previously served as VP of innovation at FedEx.

Neerav Shah

Chief Strategy Officer

Neerav Shah holds the position of Chief Strategy Officer and Director at Arrive AI. He exited his own drone company to join Arrive AI.

Ian Geise

Head of Commercialization

Ian Geise was appointed as Head of Commercialization for Arrive AI in January 2026. In this role, he is responsible for spearheading the company's transition from product innovation to market adoption and accelerating revenue scalability. Geise brings decades of experience from leadership roles at DIRECTV, Sirius Satellite Radio, and VOXX International, where he focused on go-to-market execution, partnerships, and national product launches in consumer technology, subscription media, and connected hardware ecosystems.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The key risks for Arrive AI are:

  1. Developmental Stage and Lack of Commercial Operations/Revenue: Arrive AI is a developmental technology company that has not commenced commercial operations and has reported no revenues for fiscal years 2022, 2023, or 2024. This indicates a significant risk regarding its ability to successfully transition from development to commercialization and generate sustainable income.
  2. Heavy Reliance on CEO's Patented Technology and License Agreement: The company is heavily reliant on an exclusive patent license agreement with its CEO, Mr. O’Toole. This agreement, amended in December 2024 and March 2025, grants Arrive AI rights to use, sell, manufacture, and commercialize critical technologies for secured drone delivery ALM mailboxes. This dependency on a single individual and a specific licensing arrangement poses a risk should the agreement terms change unfavorably, the technology become outdated, or the relationship with the CEO be disrupted.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

The potential for well-capitalized, established e-commerce and logistics giants (such as Amazon, Walmart, UPS, and FedEx) to develop and widely implement their own proprietary or industry-standard smart mailbox and integrated drone/robot delivery platform systems represents a clear emerging threat. Given their vast resources, existing logistics infrastructure, and active investments in advanced delivery technologies, these companies could quickly establish a dominant market standard for automated package exchange, making it exceedingly challenging for Arrive AI, a developmental company, to achieve significant market penetration or commercial viability with its own system. This scenario parallels historical instances where dominant players or new, well-resourced entrants define emerging markets, marginalizing smaller innovators before they can scale.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Arrive AI's main products and services are as follows:

  • Intelligent Mailbox (Smart Mailbox) Market:
    • The global intelligent mailbox market was valued at USD 600 million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 2.5 billion by 2032.
    • North America accounts for approximately 35% of the global intelligent mailbox market.
  • Drone Logistics and Transportation Market:
    • The global drone logistics and transportation market size was valued at USD 1.45 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 53.18 billion by 2033.
  • Autonomous Mobile Delivery Robots Market:
    • The global autonomous mobile delivery robots market size was valued at USD 1.48 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 8.44 billion by 2033.
    • North America dominated this market with a 39.1% revenue share in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Arrive AI (ARAI)

Arrive AI (ARAI), a developmental technology company focused on its patented smart mailbox and platform system, is positioning itself for initial revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies. Having reported minimal revenue in Q3 2025 and no revenues in prior fiscal years, the company's future financial performance is intrinsically tied to the successful commercialization and scaling of its autonomous logistics ecosystem. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
  1. Successful Commercialization and Market Adoption of Arrive Points™ and MaaS Platform: A primary driver for Arrive AI will be the transition from product development to widespread market adoption of its Arrive Points™ and Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform. The company has recently appointed a Head of Commercialization, effective January 21, 2026, specifically tasked with accelerating revenue scalability and aligning sales and marketing efforts. Revenue streams are expected from MaaS subscriptions, data/AI monetization, and operational platform fees as these hardware-enabled access points become integrated into various logistics networks.
  2. Expansion into New Markets and Use Cases: Arrive AI is actively pursuing expansion into new markets and diverse applications for its smart delivery system. While its initial focus is on medical operations, plans include extending its solutions to assisted living, retail, and residential sectors. Recent initiatives include a global expansion, highlighted by a multimodal collaboration in India and the deployment of a hospital-grade medical delivery system in Indiana. The company showcased its Arrive Point™ Network at the HIMSS Global Health Conference & Exhibition in March 2026, aiming to enable continuous autonomous deliveries for healthcare facilities.
  3. Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Development: Forging and expanding strategic partnerships will be critical for integrating Arrive AI's technology into the broader autonomous delivery landscape. The company has already expanded its partnership with Skye Air Mobility in India and entered into new agreements with partners like Synoptek and Ottonomy. These collaborations are essential for embedding Arrive AI's technology into partners' operations and for demonstrating end-to-end ground-based robot and drone autonomous package delivery.
  4. Leveraging Patented Autonomous Last Mile (ALM) Technology: Arrive AI's revenue growth will also be driven by its extensive intellectual property, centered around its patented Arrive Points™ and ALM platform. The company reports having over 200 patent claims filed or awarded, with a strategy to systematically capture patent opportunities during product development. This proprietary technology forms the foundation for its secure, efficient, and frictionless exchange of goods between people, robots, and drones, enabling subscription and platform fees.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Arrive AI announced a share repurchase program authorized by its board of directors for up to $10 million of its common stock, set to run through March 31, 2026.

Share Issuance

  • The company registered the resale of up to 10,000,000 shares of common stock for a selling stockholder, Streeterville Capital, LLC.
  • Arrive AI filed an S-1/A registration for a direct listing of nearly 30 million shares on the Nasdaq Global Market.
  • As part of a $10 million pre-paid financing agreement with Streeterville Capital, LLC on January 26, 2026, the investor has the discretion to convert outstanding amounts from an unsecured promissory note into common shares.

Inbound Investments

  • Arrive AI secured up to $40 million in financial backing from Streeterville Capital, LLC, which coincided with its Nasdaq debut on May 15, 2025. This funding is designated for production and company growth.
  • Prior to its public listing, Arrive AI raised nearly $12 million, primarily through crowdfunding from approximately 5,000 private investors.
  • On January 26, 2026, the company secured an additional $10 million through a pre-paid share purchase financing with Streeterville Capital, LLC, supported by an unsecured promissory note.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital is being deployed to build a scalable business model, with a near-term focus on productizing AP3 units (patented Arrive Points) and the ongoing development of AP5 to enhance scalability and cost efficiency.
  • The company has acquired complementary technology to refine its "Arrive Points" smart mailbox devices.
  • Arrive AI reported a negative free cash flow of -$20.8 million, which may indicate significant reinvestment in its operations and development.

Peer Outperformance in Electronic Equipment & Instruments

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Share of Electronic Equipment & Instruments constituents that ARAI has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
3%
of 30 industry peers · -97.9% return
3Y
—
insufficient peer history
5Y
—
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Information Technology sector, ranked by 5Y. Electronic Equipment & Instruments is ARAI's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Electronic Manufacturing Services 10 17.2%109.4%187.6% FLEX 488% · TTMI 419% · JBL 311%
Technology Distributors 9 52.3%67.5%72.9% AVT 148% · SNX 123% · CNXN 99%
Electronic Components 24 16.4%69.6%35.2% CLS 2134% · BELFA 1016% · APH 318%
Communications Equipment 36 8.7%75.7%31.6% LITE 609% · AAOI 586% · ANET 445%
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment 28 42.7%55.4%31.5% AXTI 418% · LRCX 289% · KLAC 284%
Electronic Equipment & Instruments ← 27 -2.2%28.0%4.3% PI 130% · OSIS 116% · CXT 71%
Semiconductors 55 2.3%45.5%1.3% MU 1027% · NVDA 575% · AVGO 548%
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 21 7.9%85.9%-14.2% WDC 691% · DELL 652% · STX 574%
Internet Services & Infrastructure 6 3.5%45.5%-20.9% GDDY 58% · VRSN 40% · DOCN -20%
IT Consulting & Other Services 30 -18.2%1.2%-26.5% APLD 303% · IBM 155% · GIB -8%
Application Software 126 -9.9%-6.3%-50.0% PLTR 549% · AGYS 157% · FROG 144%
Systems Software 70 -8.4%24.1%-51.9% ZETA 255% · CRWD 245% · CVLT 146%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARAIAMZNUPSFDXPBIROCKMedian
NameArrive AIAmazon.c.United P.FedEx Pitney B.Gibralta. 
Mkt Price0.10270.93113.96330.3016.1034.0073.98
Mkt Cap0.02,925.297.078.02.21.040.1
Rev LTM0797,45591,36895,3311,8631,44546,615
Op Inc LTM-15104,3666,5166,3924281103,410
FCF LTM-12-46,8926,351-5054343
FCF 3Y Avg-2,2075,035-2811091,244
CFO LTM-11168,3009,288-57071570
CFO 3Y Avg-137,2328,990-3521364,671

Growth & Margins

ARAIAMZNUPSFDXPBIROCKMedian
NameArrive AIAmazon.c.United P.FedEx Pitney B.Gibralta. 
Rev Chg LTM-42.5%15.4%2.1%7.6%-3.5%35.8%4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.9%-0.6%2.5%-1.7%5.8%2.5%
Rev Chg Q-83.8%12.1%6.7%2.7%-0.8%64.6%4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-59.3%2.8%1.6%0.6%-0.2%16.1%1.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM-95.7%37.0%-20.7%4.4%12.2%-23.1%-8.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-64.1%-12.3%3.9%17.7%-6.7%3.9%
Op Mgn LTM-29,630.0%13.1%7.1%6.7%23.0%7.6%7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-11.3%8.4%6.8%18.4%11.3%11.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-18,067.5%1.0%-0.2%-0.3%0.0%0.4%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-20,540.2%21.1%10.2%-30.6%4.9%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-19.4%9.9%-18.4%12.9%15.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-22,241.1%-5.9%7.0%-27.1%3.0%3.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.9%5.6%-14.8%10.5%8.0%

Valuation

ARAIAMZNUPSFDXPBIROCKMedian
NameArrive AIAmazon.c.United P.FedEx Pitney B.Gibralta. 
Mkt Cap0.02,925.297.078.02.21.040.1
P/S96.93.71.10.81.20.71.1
P/Op Inc-0.328.014.912.25.19.210.7
P/EBIT-0.216.414.011.96.19.210.6
P/E-0.221.721.920.011.7-6.715.9
P/CFO-0.517.410.4-3.914.210.4
Total Yield-551.5%4.7%10.1%6.3%11.1%-11.6%5.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%5.6%1.3%2.5%0.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.3%6.0%-14.3%5.9%5.9%
D/E1.10.10.30.40.91.40.7
Net D/E0.10.10.20.30.81.30.3

Returns

ARAIAMZNUPSFDXPBIROCKMedian
NameArrive AIAmazon.c.United P.FedEx Pitney B.Gibralta. 
1M Rtn-49.4%7.8%22.4%14.2%-4.2%-15.7%1.8%
3M Rtn-56.3%-0.6%7.5%6.7%-11.5%-38.0%-6.1%
6M Rtn-85.3%-1.5%17.9%10.2%8.4%-10.3%3.5%
12M Rtn-97.8%8.7%30.2%66.5%73.2%-44.1%19.5%
3Y Rtn-99.2%95.5%-5.3%77.2%332.7%-48.7%36.0%
1M Excs Rtn-44.6%9.0%25.6%17.5%0.4%-14.2%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn-55.3%1.4%14.0%6.8%-7.9%-31.6%-3.3%
6M Excs Rtn-88.1%-4.3%15.1%7.4%5.6%-12.4%0.7%
12M Excs Rtn-108.3%-4.0%18.6%55.3%58.3%-52.9%7.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-181.6%21.0%-83.9%3.1%384.3%-107.4%-40.4%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment00000
Total00000


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment1133
Total1133


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$0.10 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date05/15/2025 
Distance from 52W High-97.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$0.19$0.63
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-44.3%-83.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility84.6%143.7%
Downside Capture288.26585.84
Upside Capture-280.4655.66
Correlation (S&P 500)16.6%29.8%
ARAI Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.831.611.452.103.320.14
Up Beta-9.803.141.803.524.63-0.63
Down Beta3.625.475.702.411.81-0.08
Up Capture-378%-221%-132%-61%44%6%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days514234598148
Down Capture529%324%246%266%192%113%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days16284080149213

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARAI
ARAI-97.8%143.7%-2.04-
Sector ETF (XLK)17.5%27.3%0.5625.2%
Equity (SPY)13.2%12.9%0.6830.0%
Gold (GLD)1.0%28.8%0.0325.0%
Commodities (DBC)35.9%21.2%1.340.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.3%14.1%0.707.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.2%43.4%-0.6520.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARAI
ARAI-62.4%156.4%-1.46-
Sector ETF (XLK)18.1%26.2%0.6222.5%
Equity (SPY)12.5%17.2%0.5525.0%
Gold (GLD)17.3%19.1%0.7317.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%19.6%0.29-2.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.8%18.9%-0.016.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.5%51.5%0.2916.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARAI
ARAI-38.7%156.4%-1.46-
Sector ETF (XLK)23.4%25.2%0.8522.5%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.7325.0%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.5917.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.1%0.33-2.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.236.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.0%66.2%1.0116.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302026-71.4%
Average Daily Volume21.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity50.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
12/31/202504/15/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202506/05/202510-Q
12/31/202405/15/2025424B4
09/30/202412/23/2024S-1
06/30/202404/15/202610-Q/A
09/30/202301/29/2024F-4
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
12/31/202504/15/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202506/05/202510-Q
12/31/202405/15/2025424B4
09/30/202412/23/2024S-1
06/30/202404/15/202610-Q/A
09/30/202301/29/2024F-4

Insider Activity

Updated 10/9/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Shah, Neerav DilipChief Strategy OfficerDirectBuy111920253.531,3904,912270,051Form
2O'Toole, Daniel StevenChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy111920253.5011,14238,95580,954,689Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Shah, Neerav DilipChief Strategy OfficerDirectBuy111920253.531,3904,912270,051Form
2O'Toole, Daniel StevenChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy111920253.5011,14238,95580,954,689Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/4/2026