Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $6.17 | Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders
Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $6.17Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 138% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. | Key risksAQN key risks include [1] adverse outcomes from its complex multi-jurisdictional regulatory environment, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 138% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.4% |
| Key risksAQN key risks include [1] adverse outcomes from its complex multi-jurisdictional regulatory environment, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results. Algonquin Power & Utilities reported robust financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 on March 6, 2026. The company's fourth-quarter adjusted net earnings of $0.06 per common share surpassed the consensus estimate of $0.05 per share by $0.01. Revenue for the quarter reached $630.7 million, exceeding analysts' expectations of $625.77 million. Full-year adjusted net earnings for 2025 increased by approximately 17% compared to 2024, demonstrating measurable improvements in underlying fundamentals.
2. Reaffirmed 2026 Earnings Guidance and Disciplined Capital Plan. The company reaffirmed its 2026 Adjusted Net EPS outlook in the range of $0.35 to $0.37. Additionally, Algonquin outlined a growth-oriented capital plan totaling approximately $3.2 billion for the period of 2026 through 2028. This plan projects the rate base to grow to about $9.7 billion by 2028, with approximately 65% to 70% of capital expenditures expected to be internally funded, thereby supporting organic regulated utility growth without the need for new equity issuance through 2027. This commitment to internal funding addresses potential investor concerns about dilution and signals financial stability.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.9% change in AQN stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 1.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.10 | 6.15 | 0.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,388 | 2,434 | 1.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.0 | 1.9 | -1.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 768 | 768 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AQN | 0.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 21.8% |
| Sector (XLU) | 1.4% | 31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.5% change in AQN stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.67 | 6.15 | 8.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,378 | 2,434 | 2.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.8 | 1.9 | 6.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 768 | 768 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.5% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AQN | 8.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 19.0% |
| Sector (XLU) | 9.7% | 32.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.8% change in AQN stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.56 | 6.15 | 34.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,320 | 2,434 | 4.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.5 | 1.9 | 28.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 767 | 768 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AQN | 34.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 29.1% |
| Sector (XLU) | 18.4% | 42.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.8% change in AQN stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -76.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.32 | 6.15 | -2.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,601 | 2,434 | -6.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.5% | 7.4% | 408.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 112.9 | 26.1 | -76.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 679 | 768 | -11.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AQN | -2.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 30.7% |
| Sector (XLU) | 53.8% | 49.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AQN Return | -8% | -52% | 3% | -24% | 45% | 1% | -49% |
| Peers Return | 14% | -7% | -8% | 11% | 16% | 8% | 35% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AQN Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 75% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 52% | 53% | 55% | 62% | 73% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AQN Max Drawdown | -16% | -53% | -20% | -27% | -4% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -21% | -20% | -10% | -5% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WTRG, FTS, D, DUK, XEL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AQN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 253.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 290 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 257 days | 120 days |
Compare to WTRG, FTS, D, DUK, XEL
In The Past
Algonquin Power & Utilities's stock fell -71.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -71.7% loss requires a 253.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN)
AI Analysis | Feedback
AQN is like a smaller, internationally-focused NextEra Energy, combining regulated utility services with renewable power generation.
AQN is like a diversified regional utility such as Duke Energy, but with water services and an international footprint.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Electricity Generation & Sales: Generating and selling electrical energy from diverse sources, including renewable (hydroelectric, wind, solar) and thermal facilities.
- Electricity Distribution & Transmission: Operating utility assets for the distribution and transmission of electricity to various connections.
- Natural Gas Distribution: Providing regulated natural gas distribution services to residential and commercial customers.
- Water Distribution: Operating regulated water distribution utility systems to supply water to customers.
- Wastewater Collection: Managing and operating wastewater collection utility systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) primarily serves a wide range of end-users through its regulated electric, natural gas, water distribution, and wastewater collection utility systems. Based on the description, its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Residential Customers: Individual households that use electricity, natural gas, water, and wastewater services provided by Algonquin's utility systems.
- Commercial Customers: Businesses and other non-residential establishments, such as offices, retail stores, and small enterprises, that subscribe to Algonquin's utility services.
- Industrial Customers: Larger manufacturing facilities and industrial operations that require significant amounts of electricity, natural gas, water, and wastewater services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Rod West, Chief Executive Officer
Rod West was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. effective March 7, 2025. Prior to joining Algonquin, Mr. West had a 25-year career at Entergy Corporation. From 2017, he served as Entergy's Group President of Utility Operations, overseeing the operational and financial performance of its five operating companies. His roles at Entergy also included Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer from 2010 to 2017, where he managed shared services functions including finance, supply chain, customer service, IT, and regulatory affairs. From 2007 to 2010, he was President and CEO of Entergy New Orleans, leading the company out of post-Hurricane Katrina bankruptcy and back to profitability. This is Mr. West's first CEO role.
Robert Stefani, Chief Financial Officer
Robert J. Stefani was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp., effective January 5, 2026. Before joining Algonquin, he served as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. for three years. During his tenure at Southwest Gas, he led the $1.5 billion divestiture of the MountainWest pipeline and the initial public offering of Centuri Holdings, Inc., followed by sell-downs and private placements of Centuri stock leading to Southwest Gas Holdings' full exit from Centuri. Previously, Mr. Stefani was Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer at PECO Energy, a subsidiary of Exelon Corporation, for four years. His career also includes leadership roles in corporate development and M&A at Exelon, where he executed transactions such as the $6.8 billion acquisition of Pepco Holdings. He also held strategic investment roles at Caterpillar Inc. and investment banking positions at Marathon Capital and Citigroup, specializing in the energy and industrial sectors. He began his career as an officer in the United States Navy.
Jennifer Tindale, Chief Legal Officer
Jennifer Tindale serves as the Chief Legal Officer of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. In addition to her role as CLO, she also holds the position of Corporate Secretary.
Peter Norgeot, Chief Operating Officer
Peter Norgeot serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Noel Black, Chief Regulatory and External Affairs Officer
Noel Black holds the title of Chief Regulatory and External Affairs Officer at Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) primarily revolve around its regulatory environment and financial leverage, stemming from its operations as a diversified utility company with regulated assets and a strategic shift towards a pure-play regulated utility model.
- Regulatory Challenges and Lag: Algonquin Power & Utilities operates across numerous jurisdictions, including 13 U.S. states, one Canadian province, Bermuda, and Chile, subjecting it to the oversight of 17 different regulatory agencies. A significant risk is "regulatory lag," which is the delay between when AQN incurs costs for necessary infrastructure upgrades and when regulatory bodies approve new rates to recover those costs. Negative regulatory decisions, customer service issues, and billing investigations in specific regions can lead to fines, credits, or sustained operational overhang, impacting earnings and the ability to achieve expected revenue from rate cases.
- High Debt Load and Financial Leverage: The company carries a substantial long-term debt, reported to be approximately $6.48 billion to $6.49 billion. While AQN has implemented strategies, such as divesting its renewable energy assets (excluding hydroelectric power), to reduce debt by about $1.6 billion, its debt-to-equity ratio of around 1.39 indicates a high level of leverage. This significant debt impacts financial flexibility and necessitates careful debt management strategies, posing a challenge to the company's financial health.
- Volatile Energy Market and Operational Expenses: Algonquin Power & Utilities has faced challenges from rising operational expenses and volatile energy market conditions, which have impacted its earnings more than anticipated. Despite its strategic focus on a stable regulated utility base, the company must contend with resource allocation challenges and adapt to energy price fluctuations to maintain profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing proliferation of distributed energy resources (DERs), particularly customer-sited rooftop solar combined with battery storage, represents an emerging threat to Algonquin Power & Utilities' regulated electric distribution business. As these technologies become more affordable and widespread, they enable consumers to generate and store their own electricity, thereby reducing their reliance on the traditional grid and decreasing the volume of electricity purchased from AQN's distribution utilities. This shift challenges the foundational utility business model of centralized generation and distribution, potentially leading to declining demand and necessitating significant adjustments to revenue recovery mechanisms.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) operates in the regulated utilities and renewable energy sectors across Canada, the United States, Chile, and Bermuda. The addressable markets for its main products and services vary by region and service type.
Renewable Energy Generation (Electricity)
- United States: The U.S. renewable energy market size is estimated to rise from 481.5 Gigawatt (GW) in 2025 to 893.2 GW in 2032 in terms of installed base (Electricity/Power). Another estimate values the U.S. renewable energy market at USD 260.4 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 579.9 billion by 2034. The broader U.S. power market was valued at USD 380.33 billion in 2025, with renewable energy accounting for 23.1% of this market in 2024.
- Canada: The Canada Renewable Energy Market is expected to reach 114.06 GW in 2025 and grow to 127.91 GW by 2030 in terms of installed base. In terms of revenue, the Canadian renewable energy market generated USD 100.4 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 276.9 billion by 2033. An average annual investment of $14 billion to $20 billion is expected in wind, solar, and storage across Canada between 2025 and 2035, totaling an investment opportunity of $143 billion to $205 billion over this decade.
- Chile: The Chile Renewable Energy Market size is estimated at 36.18 GW in 2026, projected to reach 80.04 GW by 2031. Another projection indicates Chile's renewable energy market will reach 25.77 GW in 2025, expanding to 42 GW by 2030. Chilean renewable energy generation is projected to hit 46 terawatt-hours by 2028, climbing from approximately 32 terawatt-hours in 2023. Wind and solar generated 33% of Chile's electricity in 2024.
Electric Distribution Utility Systems
- United States: The U.S. power market, encompassing generation, transmission, and distribution, was valued at USD 380.33 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 568.13 billion by 2034. U.S. retail electricity sales to end-use customers generated $491 billion in revenue in 2023. The US power distribution market size was USD 441 million in 2025 and is predicted to attain around USD 1,109.73 million by 2034.
- Canada: The Canada Electricity Generation market had a market share of USD 103.40 million in 2024. More specific data for electric distribution market size in Canada was not readily available.
- Chile: While the electricity sector is privatized, with regulated and free markets, specific market sizing for electricity distribution in Chile was not available in the search results.
Natural Gas Distribution Utility Systems
- United States: The Natural Gas Distribution in the US market size is $225.5 billion in 2026. Another report valued the U.S. natural gas distribution market at USD 170.0 billion in 2024, expected to increase to USD 186.0 billion by 2032. The broader U.S. natural gas market size is estimated to be US$473.4 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach US$601.8 billion by 2032.
- Canada: The natural gas distribution sector contributed over $5.1 billion to Canada's GDP in 2022. Canadian gas delivery companies invested over $2.3 billion in 2022 on new capital projects and the operation and maintenance of existing systems.
Water Distribution and Wastewater Collection Utility Systems
- United States: The U.S. water utilities industry recorded revenues of $563.7 billion in 2024. The U.S. water and wastewater treatment market size was accounted for USD 121.85 billion in 2024 and is predicted to increase from USD 130.31 billion in 2025 to approximately USD 238.36 billion by 2034. The U.S. water infrastructure and management market size was USD 120.2 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 179.6 billion by 2032. The U.S. sewage treatment market was valued at USD 38.8 billion in 2024, expected to increase to USD 81.3 billion by 2032.
- Canada: The Canadian water supply industry reached an estimated $7.8 billion in revenue in 2025. The Canada water and wastewater treatment market is anticipated to hold a significant share by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 6.5% from 2023 to 2033. In 2017, the Canadian water treatment market was estimated at nearly $2.51 billion.
Specific addressable market sizes for Bermuda across these product and service categories were not available in the provided information.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN)
Over the next 2-3 years, Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) is expected to drive future revenue growth primarily through its strategic transition to a pure-play regulated utility model. The key drivers include:
- Regulated Capital Expenditures and Rate Base Growth: Algonquin Power & Utilities has outlined an ambitious capital investment program, projecting approximately $3.2 billion in regulated capital expenditures from 2026 through 2028. This investment is expected to accelerate, ramping from approximately $0.8 billion in 2026 to $1.3 billion by 2028. This substantial capital deployment is anticipated to support a 5% to 6% compound annual growth rate in the company's rate base, increasing it from $8.2 billion in 2025 to an estimated $9.7 billion by 2028. Growth in the rate base directly translates to increased revenue for regulated utilities as they earn a return on these invested assets.
- Favorable Regulatory Outcomes and Rate Implementations: The company expects continued revenue growth from constructive regulatory outcomes and the implementation of new rates across its diverse utility portfolio, which includes electric, natural gas, and water systems. Recent achievements in securing approved rate increases, such as settlements in Missouri (authorizing a $97 million revenue increase), CalPeco (proposed decision for $48.6 million), New England Gas (settlement for $45.3 million), and a filed Arizona Litchfield Park settlement for $15.3 million, provide a clear line of sight for future revenue enhancements. These regulatory successes allow AQN to recover and earn a return on its ongoing investments in infrastructure.
- Operational Efficiencies and Cost Savings: While primarily impacting profitability, Algonquin's focus on improving operational discipline and driving efficiencies through initiatives like reducing operating expenses as a percentage of gross revenue is an important indirect driver of revenue growth. By optimizing operations and achieving cost savings (operating expense as a percent of gross revenue fell from ~38% to ~36% in 2025), the company can enhance its earned return on equity and free up capital for further strategic regulated investments. This, in turn, supports the expansion of the rate base, which is a fundamental driver for a regulated utility's top-line growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Algonquin Power & Utilities' shares outstanding increased by 6.27% to 0.734 billion in 2024 from 2023, and by 1.9% to 0.691 billion in 2023 from 2022.
- Shares outstanding further increased by 7.78% in 2022 to 0.678 billion from 2021, and for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, they were 0.773 billion, marking a 0.44% year-over-year increase.
- The company anticipates no equity issuance through 2027.
Outbound Investments
- Algonquin Power's Liberty Utilities unit completed the acquisition of New York American Water Company, Inc. from American Water Works Company, Inc. for $608 million in January 2022.
- Algonquin Power acquired Kentucky Power in October 2021.
- The company also made acquisitions of BELCO and Essal in 2020.
Capital Expenditures
- Algonquin Power & Utilities plans a capital expenditure budget of approximately $3.2 billion for its utility operations from 2026 through 2028, with approximately $0.8 billion in 2026, $1.1 billion in 2027, and $1.3 billion in 2028. This capital plan focuses on investments in safety, reliability, and service across electric, gas, and water systems.
- The company had an earlier capital expenditure plan of $12.4 billion for 2022 through 2026, with roughly 70% ($8.8 billion) allocated to its Regulated Services Group and 30% ($3.6 billion) to its Renewable Energy Group, focusing on renewable-energy development.
- Capital expenditures totaled approximately $603.5 million in 2025, a decrease from approximately $757.2 million in 2024, primarily due to the completion of investment in the company's integrated customer solution platform. Historically, capital expenditures peaked at $1.345 billion in 2021 and decreased in subsequent years to $1.089 billion in 2022, $1.026 billion in 2023, and $872.4 million in 2024.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can Algonquin Power & Utilities Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| AQN Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 05/15/2025 | |
| Algonquin Power & Utilities Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -17.3% in 2024 and -18.2% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Time To Buy Algonquin Power & Utilities Stock? | 02/28/2025 | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | 06/19/2024 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 02/12/2026 |
Trade Ideas
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12122025 | CTRI | Centuri | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 16.6% | 16.6% | -5.5% |
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.8% | 6.8% | -4.0% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.5% | 27.5% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 36.9% | 36.9% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 58.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 37.4 |
| Rev LTM | 13,420 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,186 |
| FCF LTM | -1,933 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,417 |
| CFO LTM | 4,072 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,257 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -17.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -16.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 37.4 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 9.7 |
| P/E | 19.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.0 |
| Total Yield | 8.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -7.0% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 28.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -28.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $6.15 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/04/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -11.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.53 | $5.96 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -5.8% | 3.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.8% | 33.6% |
| Downside Capture | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| Upside Capture | 68.20 | 66.22 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 23.4% | 29.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.34 | -0.26 | -0.13 | 0.15 | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| Up Beta | -0.63 | -0.66 | -0.15 | -0.11 | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| Down Beta | -0.10 | -0.52 | -0.30 | -0.14 | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| Up Capture | 7% | 49% | 38% | 59% | 55% | 31% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 20 | 30 | 56 | 124 | 361 |
| Down Capture | -81% | -61% | -54% | 10% | 37% | 90% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 19 | 28 | 59 | 113 | 356 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AQN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQN | 25.0% | 33.4% | 0.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 20.4% | 15.8% | 0.98 | 42.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 29.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 11.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 11.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 40.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 16.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AQN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQN | -12.1% | 30.6% | -0.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 11.3% | 17.2% | 0.51 | 51.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 34.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 16.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 10.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 49.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 16.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AQN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQN | 2.1% | 28.5% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 9.9% | 19.2% | 0.44 | 56.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 45.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 14.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 18.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 56.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 14.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/06/2026 | 40-F |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/07/2025 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/08/2024 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/17/2023 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/04/2022 | 40-F |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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