Tearsheet

AppFolio (APPF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $233.66 | Market Cap: $8.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

AppFolio (APPF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $233.66
Market Cap: $8.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 75x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Building Management Systems, Show more.
  Key risks
APPF key risks include [1] intense competition from larger, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Building Management Systems, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 75x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%
6 Key risks
APPF key risks include [1] intense competition from larger, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

APPF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why AppFolio (APPF) stock moved by -15.7% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. AppFolio missed analyst estimates for Earnings Per Share (EPS) in its Third Quarter 2025 financial results. On October 30, 2025, the company announced Q3 2025 EPS of $1.31, which fell short of the consensus analyst estimate of $1.45. This represented a negative surprise of 10.27%.

2. The company experienced a decline in operating income margins during Q3 2025. AppFolio's GAAP operating income as a percentage of revenue decreased to 14.1% in Q3 2025 from 20.7% in Q3 2024. Similarly, non-GAAP operating income as a percentage of revenue also saw a decline, from 28.7% in Q3 2024 to 23.5% in Q3 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
APPF Return64%-33%-13%64%42%-6%110%
Peers Return623%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
APPF Win Rate58%58%33%75%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
APPF Max Drawdown-23%-36%-32%0%-5%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, SPOK, HIT, BMR, BTTC. See APPF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAPPFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven427 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven71 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven174 days120 days

Compare to ADSK, SPOK, HIT, BMR, BTTC


In The Past

AppFolio's stock fell -54.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -54.7% loss requires a 120.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AppFolio (APPF)

Better Bets than AppFolio (APPF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to APPF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AppFolio

Peers to compare with:

Financials

APPFADSKSPOKHITBMRBTTCMedian
NameAppFolio Autodesk Spok Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Mkt Price233.83292.9713.431.331.942.207.81
Mkt Cap8.467.70.30.1-0.00.3
Rev LTM9066,88814031-2140
Op Inc LTM1321,644211--021
FCF LTM2082,08323-1--115
FCF 3Y Avg1341,69023---134
CFO LTM2142,155262--120
CFO 3Y Avg1441,76526---144

Growth & Margins

APPFADSKSPOKHITBMRBTTCMedian
NameAppFolio Autodesk Spok Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Rev Chg LTM18.9%15.6%1.5%55.1%--17.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg27.1%12.1%1.0%---12.1%
Rev Chg Q21.2%18.0%-2.9%90.4%--19.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.1%4.3%-0.7%15.1%--4.7%
Op Mgn LTM14.6%23.9%14.8%4.5%--3.8%14.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.3%22.0%14.8%---14.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.6%0.9%-0.4%-0.5%---0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM23.6%31.3%18.5%7.0%--21.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.9%29.1%19.0%---19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM23.0%30.2%16.2%-2.6%--19.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.4%27.9%16.4%---16.4%

Valuation

APPFADSKSPOKHITBMRBTTCMedian
NameAppFolio Autodesk Spok Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Mkt Cap8.467.70.30.1-0.00.3
P/S10.99.82.52.4-8.98.9
P/EBIT74.8-17.237.4-510.456.1
P/E48.660.921.452.2--2,950.848.6
P/CFO46.331.413.834.9--33.1
Total Yield2.1%1.6%12.3%1.9%--0.0%1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%7.7%0.0%-0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.5%-7.2%---4.4%
D/E0.0-0.00.0-0.00.0
Net D/E-0.0--0.0-0.1--0.0-0.0

Returns

APPFADSKSPOKHITBMRBTTCMedian
NameAppFolio Autodesk Spok Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
1M Rtn-1.9%0.3%0.4%-9.5%-1.3%-28.1%-1.6%
3M Rtn-15.5%-8.2%-21.3%-53.8%-32.6%-45.0%-26.9%
6M Rtn4.5%-0.8%-15.5%121.7%-37.8%-45.0%-8.1%
12M Rtn-10.6%-3.3%-12.7%--52.2%3,572.8%-10.6%
3Y Rtn119.7%52.3%120.4%--3,042.9%120.1%
1M Excs Rtn-2.6%-0.4%-0.3%-10.3%-2.0%-28.8%-2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-17.8%-10.7%-23.2%-63.7%-37.1%-46.3%-30.1%
6M Excs Rtn-7.9%-13.1%-27.8%109.3%-50.2%-57.4%-20.5%
12M Excs Rtn-20.9%-14.6%-23.9%--58.8%3,059.0%-20.9%
3Y Excs Rtn46.0%-21.9%43.6%--2,581.6%44.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment620    
Core solutions 13310510189
Other 12131413
Value Added Services 328241195154
Total620472359310256


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,383,755
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.6%
Average Daily Volume211,655
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.54
Basic Shares Quantity35,889,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20257.9%6.2%-1.9%
7/31/202519.4%12.3%3.7%
4/24/2025-18.2%-11.9%-10.6%
1/30/2025-7.8%-10.7%-15.7%
10/24/202410.6%8.2%26.2%
7/25/2024-10.9%-16.7%-11.4%
4/25/202412.0%9.0%6.3%
1/25/202428.3%30.0%37.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121214
# Negative11119
Median Positive8.2%7.3%9.5%
Median Negative-7.8%-10.0%-10.1%
Max Positive28.3%30.0%37.2%
Max Negative-18.2%-16.7%-15.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023201202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021