Apogee Therapeutics (APGE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $75.48 | Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Apogee Therapeutics (APGE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $75.48Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.0% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.98, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -283 Mil | |
| Key risksAPGE key risks include [1] the failure of its lead candidate APG777 to demonstrate superiority over the established competitor Dupixent and [2] supply chain disruptions from its reliance on foreign manufacturers like WuXi Biologics, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.0% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.98, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -283 Mil |
| Key risksAPGE key risks include [1] the failure of its lead candidate APG777 to demonstrate superiority over the established competitor Dupixent and [2] supply chain disruptions from its reliance on foreign manufacturers like WuXi Biologics, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
APGE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Apogee Therapeutics (APGE) has experienced significant positive stock movement, with a compound annual growth rate of over 112% since its IPO in 2023 to December 2025. This substantial appreciation can be attributed to several key factors.
**1. Positive Clinical Trial Results for APG777 and APG333**
The company announced positive interim Phase 1 results from a healthy volunteer trial of APG333, its novel half-life extended TSLP antibody, in November 2025. This followed a late-breaker presentation of positive 16-week data from Part A of the Phase 2 Apex Clinical Trial of APG777 for moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis at the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology (EADV) 2025 Congress in September 2025. Earlier, in July 2025, positive 16-week data from Part A of the Phase 2 Apex Clinical Trial of APG777 was also announced. These results have contributed to investor optimism regarding the potential of Apogee's pipeline.
**2. Successful Public Offering Strengthening Cash Reserves**
Apogee Therapeutics successfully completed a follow-on equity offering in October 2025, raising approximately $345 million. This offering included the full exercise of underwriters' options, indicating strong market confidence. The significant cash infusion provides substantial financial resources to advance its clinical-stage pipeline, including preclinical studies, clinical trials, and manufacturing, thereby de-risking future development.
**3. Strong Analyst Ratings and Price Targets**
Several financial analysts have issued positive ratings and price targets for APGE. For instance, BTIG Research reaffirmed a "buy" rating with a $115.00 price objective in October 2025, while Guggenheim set a target price of $116.0 in July 2025. The consensus among analysts is a "Strong Buy," with an average 12-month price target of $100.0, suggesting continued upside potential. This strong analyst sentiment reinforces investor confidence in the company's future prospects.
**4. Increased Institutional Investor Interest**
There has been a notable increase in institutional investor activity in Apogee Therapeutics stock. Many institutional investors added APGE shares to their portfolios in recent quarters, reflecting growing interest and confidence from major investment firms.
**5. Promising Pipeline in Inflammatory and Immunology Indications**
Apogee Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel biologics for the treatment of various inflammatory and immunology conditions, including atopic dermatitis, asthma, and eosinophilic esophagitis. The company's lead candidate, APG777, targeting atopic dermatitis, is in Phase 2 clinical trials, and analysts anticipate its clinical data to confirm a best-in-class efficacy and safety profile. The expanding market for immunology and inflammatory treatments, coupled with the potential for APG777 to offer superior efficacy and dosing compared to existing therapies, has contributed to a favorable outlook for the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| APGE Return | � | � | � | � | 62% | 65% | � |
| Peers Return | � | 27% | 6% | 20% | 17% | 42% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| APGE Win Rate | � | � | � | 60% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 58% | 58% | 52% | 53% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| APGE Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -1% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -15% | -22% | -22% | -8% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REGN, LLY, AMGN, ABBV, KYMR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
APGE has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1100 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to APGE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Apogee Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 275.16 |
| Mkt Cap | 126.5 |
| Rev LTM | 25,109 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,239 |
| FCF LTM | 1,915 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,856 |
| CFO LTM | 8,005 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,039 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 27.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 35.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 27.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 126.5 |
| P/S | 6.9 |
| P/EBIT | 13.7 |
| P/E | 17.2 |
| P/CFO | 11.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 32.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 39.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 56.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 29.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 27.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 22.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -17.0% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 3.8% | 19.7% | 39.0% |
| 8/11/2025 | -2.1% | 5.4% | 8.7% |
| 5/12/2025 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.7% |
| 3/3/2025 | -0.2% | 14.9% | 18.8% |
| 11/12/2024 | -5.1% | -25.0% | -19.3% |
| 8/12/2024 | 9.8% | 11.7% | 22.2% |
| 3/5/2024 | 42.1% | 58.6% | 43.7% |
| 11/13/2023 | 7.3% | 20.6% | 40.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| # Negative | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 7.3% | 13.3% | 22.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -25.0% | -15.9% |
| Max Positive | 42.1% | 58.6% | 43.7% |
| Max Negative | -5.1% | -25.0% | -19.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 7172023 | 424B4 12/31/2022 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |