Ampco-Pittsburgh (AP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.73 | Market Cap: $54.9 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Ampco-Pittsburgh (AP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.73Market Cap: $54.9 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Offshore Wind Development, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 218% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Offshore Wind Development, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 218% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, several key factors contributed to movements in Ampco-Pittsburgh's (AP) stock, including a reported 0.7% increase above its daily low on December 3, 2025.
1. Positive Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Ampco-Pittsburgh announced its Q3 2025 earnings around November 12-13, 2025, reporting an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.04, a significant improvement of $0.14 per share compared to the prior year's quarter. The company also saw a 35% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reaching $9.2 million.
2. Increase in Net Sales: Net sales for the third quarter of 2025 rose to $108.0 million, up from $96.2 million in the same period of 2024. This growth was primarily fueled by higher shipment volumes within the Air and Liquid Processing segment and increased pricing in the Forged and Cast Engineered Products segment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AP Return | 82% | -9% | -50% | 9% | -23% | 31% | -9% |
| Peers Return | 17% | 14% | -9% | 52% | 40% | 11% | 186% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AP Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 33% | 58% | 25% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 58% | 38% | 62% | 60% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AP Max Drawdown | -36% | -24% | -51% | -13% | -73% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -11% | -29% | -2% | -5% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, PH, ITW, GWW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -74.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 298.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -83.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 520.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 569.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to GGG, GHM, PH, ITW, GWW
In The Past
Ampco-Pittsburgh's stock fell -74.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -74.9% loss requires a 298.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Ampco-Pittsburgh Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ampco-Pittsburgh
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 166.51 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.1 |
| Rev LTM | 9,038 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,538 |
| FCF LTM | 928 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,003 |
| CFO LTM | 1,360 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,331 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.1 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | 19.3 |
| P/E | 26.3 |
| P/CFO | 22.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -13.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -26.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forged and Cast Engineered Products | 304 | 299 | 260 | 238 | 306 |
| Air and Liquid Processing | 119 | 91 | 85 | 91 | 92 |
| Corporate costs, including other (expense) income | 0 | ||||
| Total | 422 | 390 | 345 | 329 | 398 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forged and Cast Engineered Products | 8 | ||||
| Unallocated corporate costs | -13 | ||||
| Air and Liquid Processing | -29 | ||||
| Total | -35 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forged and Cast Engineered Products | 309 | 327 | 332 | 298 | 326 |
| Air and Liquid Processing | 248 | 169 | 162 | 156 | 173 |
| Corporate | 9 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 8 |
| Total | 566 | 503 | 506 | 463 | 507 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3172025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3252024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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