Amerant Bancorp (AMTB)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $20.21 | Market Cap: $840.5 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Amerant Bancorp (AMTB)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $20.21Market Cap: $840.5 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 21% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% | Key risksAMTB key risks include [1] a geographical concentration in Florida, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 167% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 21% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 167% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% |
| Key risksAMTB key risks include [1] a geographical concentration in Florida, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AMTB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Amerant Bancorp's Q3 2025 earnings significantly missed analyst expectations.
Amerant Bancorp reported its third-quarter 2025 results on October 28, revealing earnings per share of $0.35, which fell substantially short of the anticipated $0.51. This earnings miss overshadowed a slight beat in revenue. The stock experienced a decline of 3.77% during regular trading hours, following a 9.64% drop in pre-market trading, as investors reacted negatively to the reported figures.
2. The company experienced a decline in net income for Q3 2025.
For the third quarter of 2025, Amerant Bancorp's net income was reported at $14.8 million, a decrease from $23.0 million in the second quarter of 2025. This reduction was primarily attributed to higher provisions for credit losses and various asset-quality actions taken by the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMTB Return | -30% | 128% | -21% | -7% | -7% | -6% | 1% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMTB Win Rate | 33% | 75% | 17% | 50% | 33% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMTB Max Drawdown | -57% | -7% | -28% | -39% | -22% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, CBC, CBK, HYNE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMTB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 226 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -64.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 178.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,057 days | 120 days |
Compare to NEWT, ATLO, CBC, CBK, HYNE
In The Past
Amerant Bancorp's stock fell -54.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2022. A -54.8% loss requires a 121.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMTB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Amerant Bancorp
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 89 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 19 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 16 |
| CFO LTM | 20 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 18 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 31.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 22.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 12.6 |
| P/CFO | 4.7 |
| Total Yield | 11.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -13.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 12.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -90.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | -0.9% | 1.5% | 12.2% |
| 7/23/2025 | 0.6% | -2.6% | -0.4% |
| 4/23/2025 | -13.1% | -13.6% | -11.3% |
| 1/22/2025 | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 7/24/2024 | -8.0% | -14.7% | -21.1% |
| 4/24/2024 | -2.8% | -1.6% | -2.2% |
| 1/24/2024 | 1.0% | -6.5% | -9.6% |
| 10/19/2023 | -8.6% | -4.9% | 12.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| # Negative | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 1.6% | 4.1% | 12.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -4.9% | -5.0% |
| Max Positive | 8.3% | 17.0% | 43.9% |
| Max Negative | -13.1% | -14.7% | -21.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3042022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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