Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 167%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 22%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 167%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMTB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Amerant Bancorp (AMTB) for the approximate time period from late August 2025 to early December 2025: 1. Amerant Bancorp's stock experienced a significant drop after rescheduling its Q3 2025 earnings release. On October 22, 2025, the company announced a delay in its third-quarter earnings release from October 23 to October 28, 2025, to complete its "customary review process and quarter-end procedures". This announcement led to a 3.1% decline in the stock during after-hours trading and fueled market speculation about potential negative developments or "credit hiccups".

2. The company reported a substantial earnings per share (EPS) miss for Q3 2025. On October 28, 2025, Amerant Bancorp announced Q3 2025 earnings of $0.35 per share, significantly missing analyst expectations of $0.51 per share by 31.37%. Despite a slight revenue beat, this substantial earnings shortfall caused the stock to drop 3.77% during regular trading hours, following a 9.64% decline in pre-market trading.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMTB Return-30%128%-21%-7%-7%-14%-8%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMTB Win Rate33%75%17%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMTB Max Drawdown-57%-7%-28%-39%-22%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMTBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven121.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven226 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-64.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven178.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1057 days120 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Amerant Bancorp's stock fell -54.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2022. A -54.8% loss requires a 121.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Amerant Bancorp (AMTB)

Better Bets than Amerant Bancorp (AMTB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMTB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amerant Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMTBNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAmerant .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price19.4111.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap0.80.30.2--84.20.5
Rev LTM5532696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM174-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg56-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM178-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg64-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

AMTBNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAmerant .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM167.0%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg49.4%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%31.6%
Rev Chg Q228.1%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM19.2%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM32.2%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%24.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%19.2%
FCF/Rev LTM31.4%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%23.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.6%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%17.8%

Valuation

AMTBNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAmerant .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.80.30.2--84.20.5
P/S1.41.12.7--7.42.0
P/EBIT-------
P/E12.04.911.6--28.811.8
P/CFO4.5-0.67.9--16.86.2
Total Yield9.7%20.2%13.5%--3.5%11.6%
Dividend Yield1.4%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.1%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%5.7%
D/E1.32.60.2--0.00.7
Net D/E0.51.8-4.5---0.40.1

Returns

AMTBNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAmerant .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn14.0%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.6%
3M Rtn-7.9%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn14.3%10.7%29.3%--46.1%21.8%
12M Rtn-21.1%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%9.1%
3Y Rtn-31.3%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%-8.0%
1M Excs Rtn14.0%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-15.2%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-0.4%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%7.1%
12M Excs Rtn-34.1%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%-4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-102.9%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-77.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment329315265263271
Total329315265263271


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,309,767
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202561.5%
Average Daily Volume364,729
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.59
Basic Shares Quantity41,590,201
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021304202210-K 12/31/2021