Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)


Market Price (7/25/2026): $521.61 | Market Cap: $850.7 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)


Market Price (7/25/2026): $521.61
Market Cap: $850.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 9.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.6 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.0 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 168x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 88x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 170x

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 101%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 222%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 138%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7%

Key risks
AMD key risks include [1] fierce competition from NVIDIA, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 9.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.6 Bil
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.0 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 168x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 88x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 170x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 101%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 222%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 138%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7%
8 Key risks
AMD key risks include [1] fierce competition from NVIDIA, Show more.

AMD in ETFs

Weight = AMD's share of each fund

SPY1.3%
VOO1.5%
IVV1.4%
VTI1.3%
ITOT1.1%
QQQ3.7%
QQQM3.6%
IWB1.2%
+44 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/24/2026

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock has gained about 155% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Robust Fiscal Q2 2026 Outlook.

Advanced Micro Devices reported strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 5, 2026, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.37, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.29 by $0.08. Quarterly revenue increased by 37.8% year-over-year to $10.25 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $9.90 billion. Notably, the Data Center segment's revenue soared by 57% year-over-year to $5.8 billion, establishing it as the primary growth driver. For fiscal Q2 2026, AMD provided strong guidance, projecting revenue of approximately $11.2 billion, plus or minus $300 million, which implies a 46% year-over-year growth. This guidance, along with a projected non-GAAP gross margin of approximately 56%, exceeded the then-prevailing consensus of $10.52 billion and led to multiple analyst upgrades, including KeyCorp raising its fiscal Q2 2026 EPS forecast to $1.47.

2. Significant Expansion of AI Product Portfolio and Major Customer Commitments.

The "Advancing AI 2026" event on July 23, 2026, served as a pivotal moment, with AMD launching its next-generation AI infrastructure, including the 6th Gen AMD EPYC™ CPUs, AMD Instinct™ MI400 Series GPUs, and AMD Helios™ AI rack-scale solutions. The AMD Helios platform is positioned to offer up to 30% more inference tokens per dollar than competitors. Crucially, the company announced major customer commitments, including Anthropic's plan to deploy up to two gigawatts of AMD's MI455X GPUs through Helios systems, and OpenAI's partnership to optimize GPT models on Helios, with deployments starting in fiscal Q4 2026. Microsoft also committed to deploying the Helios platform in its Azure data centers, along with new Venice CPUs, for agentic AI workloads. Meta Platforms is validating AMD's latest processors and testing Helios systems for broader deployments.

Show more
Updated on 7/24/2026

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock has gained about 155% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Robust Fiscal Q2 2026 Outlook.

Advanced Micro Devices reported strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 5, 2026, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.37, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.29 by $0.08. Quarterly revenue increased by 37.8% year-over-year to $10.25 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $9.90 billion. Notably, the Data Center segment's revenue soared by 57% year-over-year to $5.8 billion, establishing it as the primary growth driver. For fiscal Q2 2026, AMD provided strong guidance, projecting revenue of approximately $11.2 billion, plus or minus $300 million, which implies a 46% year-over-year growth. This guidance, along with a projected non-GAAP gross margin of approximately 56%, exceeded the then-prevailing consensus of $10.52 billion and led to multiple analyst upgrades, including KeyCorp raising its fiscal Q2 2026 EPS forecast to $1.47.

2. Significant Expansion of AI Product Portfolio and Major Customer Commitments.

The "Advancing AI 2026" event on July 23, 2026, served as a pivotal moment, with AMD launching its next-generation AI infrastructure, including the 6th Gen AMD EPYC™ CPUs, AMD Instinct™ MI400 Series GPUs, and AMD Helios™ AI rack-scale solutions. The AMD Helios platform is positioned to offer up to 30% more inference tokens per dollar than competitors. Crucially, the company announced major customer commitments, including Anthropic's plan to deploy up to two gigawatts of AMD's MI455X GPUs through Helios systems, and OpenAI's partnership to optimize GPT models on Helios, with deployments starting in fiscal Q4 2026. Microsoft also committed to deploying the Helios platform in its Azure data centers, along with new Venice CPUs, for agentic AI workloads. Meta Platforms is validating AMD's latest processors and testing Helios systems for broader deployments.

3. Upward Revision of Long-Term AI Market Forecast and AMD's Strategic Ambition.

AMD CEO Lisa Su significantly raised the company's outlook for the AI chip market at the "Advancing AI 2026" conference, predicting the global AI chip market will reach approximately $1.4 trillion by 2030, a substantial increase from previous forecasts of $500 billion by 2028. Furthermore, AMD updated its CPU market total addressable market (TAM) to over $200 billion by 2030 and reiterated its goal to capture more than 50% of this market over the next three to four years. This expanded market opportunity, combined with AMD's aggressive market share targets, has fueled investor confidence in its long-term growth trajectory in AI and high-performance computing.

4. Robust Semiconductor Industry Growth Driven by AI Infrastructure Demand.

The broader semiconductor industry experienced strong momentum during fiscal Q2 2026, largely propelled by escalating demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure. The semiconductor sector is projected to account for a record 48% of the S&P 500's earnings growth in fiscal Q2 2026, a 17 percentage point increase from fiscal Q1 2026, with an anticipated 133% year-over-year earnings growth for semiconductor firms in the quarter. This significant macroeconomic tailwind, driven by accelerated deployment of AI servers, hyperscale data centers, and advanced networking equipment, has created a favorable environment for AMD as a key player in providing AI-optimized CPUs, GPUs, and full-stack AI solutions.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 156.6% change in AMD stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 122.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267242026Change
Stock Price ($)203.43521.95156.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)34,63937,4548.1%
Net Income Margin (%)12.5%13.4%6.9%
P/E Multiple76.4170.0122.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,6271,631-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution156.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AMD156.6% 
Market (SPY)13.6%67.4%
Sector (XLK)32.3%81.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 143.7% change in AMD stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257242026Change
Stock Price ($)214.16521.95143.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)32,02737,45416.9%
Net Income Margin (%)10.3%13.4%29.6%
P/E Multiple105.3170.061.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,6261,631-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution143.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AMD143.7% 
Market (SPY)8.7%60.6%
Sector (XLK)22.3%75.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 267.8% change in AMD stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 66.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020257242026Change
Stock Price ($)141.90521.95267.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)27,75037,45435.0%
Net Income Margin (%)8.0%13.4%66.6%
P/E Multiple103.2170.064.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,6201,631-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution267.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AMD267.8% 
Market (SPY)20.6%55.2%
Sector (XLK)39.5%69.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 358.2% change in AMD stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 681.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020237242026Change
Stock Price ($)113.91521.95358.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23,06737,45462.4%
Net Income Margin (%)1.7%13.4%681.0%
P/E Multiple464.6170.0-63.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,6111,631-1.2%
Cumulative Contribution358.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AMD358.2% 
Market (SPY)72.6%60.9%
Sector (XLK)106.1%71.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AMD Return57%-55%128%-18%77%152%488%
Peers Return59%-41%107%63%33%69%609%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMD Win Rate50%33%58%42%42%71% 
Peers Win Rate63%40%68%60%57%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMD Max Drawdown-25%-63%-27%-44%-40%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-51%-20%-36%-40%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: INTC, NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL. See AMD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/24/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAMDS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-31.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven36 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-30.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven371 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-17.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven12 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-62.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven168.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven459 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-34.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven128 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-41.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days

Compare to INTC, NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL

In The Past

Advanced Micro Devices's stock fell -31.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 46.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAMDS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-31.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven36 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-30.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven371 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-62.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven168.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven459 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-34.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven128 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-41.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-61.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven157.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven302 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-41.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.1%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven162 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-29.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.6%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven2347 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-76.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven331.7%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven373 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-24.2%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.0%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven3947 days47 days

Compare to INTC, NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL

In The Past

Advanced Micro Devices's stock fell -31.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 46.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a global semiconductor company that specializes in designing and producing a wide range of high-performance microprocessors and graphics processing units (GPUs). The company operates primarily through two segments: Computing and Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. AMD is a critical provider of the foundational computing technology that powers everything from personal computers to advanced data centers.

AMD's main product categories include central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs). For desktop and notebook personal computers, it offers CPUs under brands like AMD Ryzen and Athlon, and discrete GPUs under AMD Radeon graphics. Its powerful AMD EPYC microprocessors are designed for servers, while professional graphics products include AMD Radeon Pro and AMD FirePro. Furthermore, AMD provides high-performance accelerators like Radeon Instinct and AMD Instinct for data centers and AI applications, and is a key supplier of semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products, notably for leading game consoles.

The company serves a diverse global customer base that includes major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for PCs and servers, public cloud service providers, and original design manufacturers (ODMs). AMD's technology is also integral to game console manufacturers. It reaches its markets through a combination of direct sales, independent distributors, sales representatives, system integrators, online retailers, and add-in-board manufacturers, ensuring its products are widely adopted across various computing and entertainment industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AMD is a semiconductor company that directly challenges Intel for computer processors (CPUs) and NVIDIA for graphics cards and AI accelerators (GPUs).

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • x86 Microprocessors (APUs): Processors designed for desktop and notebook personal computers, often integrating CPU and GPU cores.
  • Chipsets: Components that facilitate communication between the processor, memory, and other peripherals within a system.
  • Graphics Processing Units (GPUs): Discrete and integrated graphics cards for a range of applications, including consumer PCs, professional workstations, and data centers.
  • Server and Embedded Processors: High-performance processors specifically designed for use in servers, data centers, and specialized embedded computing systems.
  • Semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) Products: Integrated circuits tailored to customer specifications, often combining CPU, GPU, and multimedia technologies, such as those used in game consoles.
  • Development Services: Services that assist with the design and integration of AMD's CPU, GPU, and multimedia technologies into customer-specific solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) primarily operates on a Business-to-Business (B2B) model, selling its processors, graphics cards, and semi-custom solutions to other companies that integrate them into their final products or services.

The company's major customers include:

  • Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): A significant customer for AMD's custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products used in Xbox game consoles, as well as for server processors (EPYC) and accelerators in its Azure cloud computing services.
  • Sony Group Corp. (SONY): Another major customer for AMD's custom SoC products powering the PlayStation series of game consoles.
  • Hewlett-Packard (HP) Inc. (HPQ): A leading Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) that incorporates AMD CPUs and GPUs into its desktop and notebook personal computers.
  • Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL): A prominent OEM for personal computers and servers, utilizing AMD processors and graphics solutions in its product lines.
  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): The parent company of Google Cloud, which deploys AMD EPYC server processors in its data centers to power its cloud computing services.
  • Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN): Through its Amazon Web Services (AWS) division, Amazon utilizes AMD EPYC server processors to deliver cloud infrastructure services.
  • Lenovo Group Ltd. (HKG: 0992): A major global OEM for personal computers, workstations, and servers that integrates AMD's CPUs and GPUs into a wide range of its products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)
  • GlobalFoundries (GFS)
  • ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (ASX)
  • Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lisa Su, Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Lisa Su joined AMD in 2012 and became President and CEO in October 2014, leading a significant turnaround of the company. Before AMD, she held senior leadership roles at Freescale Semiconductor, Inc., including Senior Vice President and General Manager of Networking and Multimedia, and Chief Technology Officer. Prior to Freescale, she spent 13 years at IBM in various engineering and business leadership positions, including Vice President of the Semiconductor Research and Development Center. At IBM, she was involved in developing silicon-on-insulator semiconductor manufacturing technologies and more efficient semiconductor chips, and she formed IBM's Emerging Products group, helping to transform industry standards by replacing aluminum interconnects with copper ones.

Jean Hu, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer

Jean Hu joined AMD in January 2023. Before joining AMD, she served as CFO of Marvell Technology Group Ltd. from August 2016 to January 2023. She also held CFO roles at QLogic Corporation from April 2011 to August 2016 and served as acting CEO of QLogic from May 2013 to February 2014 and from August 2015 to August 2016. Additionally, she was CFO and Senior Vice President, Business Development at Conexant Systems, Inc. from 2004 to 2011. She serves on the board of directors at Fortinet.

Mark Papermaster, Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer

Mark Papermaster joined AMD in October 2011 and is responsible for the company's technical direction and product development, including leading the development of the "Zen" CPU architecture. Before AMD, he was the leader of Cisco's Silicon Engineering Group (2010-2011), Senior Vice President of Devices Hardware Engineering at Apple Inc. for iPod and iPhone products (2008-2010), and held multiple leadership roles at IBM for 26 years (1982-2008), involved in PowerPC technology development and the blade server division.

Rick Bergman, Executive Vice President of Computing and Graphics

Rick Bergman is currently AMD's Executive Vice President of Computing and Graphics, a role he returned to in 2019. He initially joined AMD in 2006 following its acquisition of ATI Technologies. From 2011 to 2019, he served as President and CEO of Synaptics. Before ATI, he held senior management positions at S3 Graphics, Texas Instruments, and IBM. He also served on the board of Maxwell Technologies from 2015 until its acquisition by Tesla in 2019 and was President and CEO of Kymeta Corporation from April 2024 to November 2025.

Victor Peng, President, Adaptive and Embedded Computing Group

Victor Peng rejoined AMD in 2022 as President, Adaptive and Embedded Computing Group, following AMD's acquisition of Xilinx. He previously served as President and CEO of Xilinx from 2018 to 2022, and prior to that, was COO and Executive Vice President & General Manager of Products at Xilinx. Before joining Xilinx in 2008, Peng worked at AMD as Corporate Vice President of the graphics products group silicon engineering. He has held executive and engineering leadership roles at TZero Technologies, MIPS Technologies, Silicon Graphics (SGI), and Digital Equipment Corporation. He announced his retirement from his presidential role at AMD effective August 30, 2024, continuing in an advisory capacity. In February 2025, he joined the Board of Directors of Microchip Technology, and he has also served on the Board of Directors of KLA Corporation since 2019.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from the highly competitive nature of the semiconductor industry, cyclical demand for certain products, and its manufacturing model.

  1. Intense Competition and Rapid Technological Obsolescence: AMD operates in highly competitive markets for microprocessors (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs), where it directly competes with established giants like Intel and NVIDIA. AMD's success relies heavily on its ability to continuously innovate and introduce new products with superior features and performance on a timely basis. Failure to keep pace with technological advancements, particularly in critical areas like AI accelerators where NVIDIA holds a dominant position with its CUDA software ecosystem, could lead to a loss of market share and reduced revenue. Intel's aggressive product roadmaps also pose a constant threat in the client and server CPU segments.
  2. Decline in Gaming Segment Revenue due to Maturing Console Cycles and Customer Concentration: A significant portion of AMD's semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) revenue is derived from providing processors for game consoles such as the Sony PlayStation and Microsoft Xbox. These console markets are cyclical, and as current console generations mature, demand for these SoCs naturally declines, leading to a contraction in AMD's gaming segment revenue. AMD's reliance on a limited number of key customers for these high-volume semi-custom products makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in console sales and potential shifts in supplier choices by these manufacturers. For instance, the gaming segment experienced a significant year-over-year decline in revenue in early 2024 due to waning demand as consoles entered their fifth year in the market.
  3. Dependence on Third-Party Manufacturing and Supply Chain Disruptions: Advanced Micro Devices operates a fabless business model, meaning it relies on third-party foundries, primarily Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), for the manufacturing of its chips. This dependence exposes AMD to risks related to manufacturing capacity constraints, potential production issues at these foundries, and broader global supply chain disruptions. Such issues can lead to product shortages, delays in bringing new products to market, increased costs, and ultimately, an inability to meet customer demand, thereby negatively impacting revenue and profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threats for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) are:

  • The increasing trend among major customers, particularly public cloud service providers, to design and develop their own custom silicon (CPUs and AI accelerators) for their data centers. This strategic shift directly threatens AMD's market share and revenue from its EPYC server processors and Instinct accelerators by reducing reliance on external vendors for these critical components.
  • The growing adoption and performance capabilities of ARM-based processors in core AMD markets, specifically for desktop personal computers, notebooks, and servers. The success of ARM-based solutions like Apple Silicon and the push by other companies into Windows on ARM, alongside the increasing use of ARM server processors by cloud providers, presents a fundamental architectural challenge to AMD's predominant x86 offerings in these segments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) participates in several large and growing addressable markets for its main products and services:

  • Computing and Graphics Segment:
    • Processors for Desktop and Notebook Personal Computers (CPUs): The global PC Processor Market was valued at approximately USD 120.15 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 168.26 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.3%.
    • Discrete and Integrated Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) for PCs: The global discrete GPU market was valued at USD 11.71 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 18.67 billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 6.5%. The broader global Graphics Card Market, which includes both discrete and integrated, was valued at USD 23.57 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 97.4 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 17.0%. The overall global GPU market is projected to expand from USD 82.99 billion in 2025 to USD 325.96 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 25.61%.
  • Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom Segment:
    • Data Center and Professional GPUs (Accelerators): AMD projects the overall data center total addressable market (TAM) to reach USD 1 trillion by 2030 globally, growing from an estimated USD 200 billion in 2025 at a CAGR of over 40%. Specifically for AI accelerators, AMD estimates this market will exceed USD 526 billion by 2028 globally. Other reports suggest the global data center accelerator market was estimated at USD 68.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 393.8 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 34.0%.
    • Server and Embedded Processors: The global CPU for Server market was valued at USD 21.45 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 33.26 billion by 2031, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.2%. Another estimate for the global Server Microprocessor Market is USD 24.0 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 43.0 billion by 2035 at a CAGR of 6.0%. For embedded solutions, AMD has secured over USD 50 billion in design wins since 2022 for its adaptive and embedded portfolio, which also includes semi-custom solutions.
    • Semi-Custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products (Game Consoles): AMD provides custom chips for leading game consoles such as the Sony PlayStation and Microsoft Xbox. AMD has powered over one billion gaming devices, including game consoles, with its processors and graphics from 2008 to 2025. The value of AMD's secured semi-custom designs for various customers, including those in gaming, has been reported as $15 billion since 2022.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:

  1. Accelerated Demand for Data Center AI Processors (Instinct GPUs): AMD anticipates significant growth from its Instinct MI300 series GPUs, including the MI350, MI450, and future MI500 series, which are designed for artificial intelligence and high-performance computing. The company expects its data center AI revenues to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 80% in the next 3-5 years. This growth is fueled by substantial multi-year deals with major hyperscalers, such as Meta Platforms, which is poised to deploy up to 6 gigawatts (GW) of Instinct GPUs, and a partnership with OpenAI to deploy 6 GW of chips starting in the second half of 2026. AMD's strategy to foster an open software ecosystem with ROCm 7 is also aimed at reducing developer switching costs from competitors.
  2. Expansion and Market Share Gains in Server CPUs (EPYC Processors): AMD's EPYC server processors are a crucial driver, benefiting from strong demand and an expanding market. The company aims to achieve more than 50% server CPU revenue market share. The overall server CPU market is projected to grow by strong double digits in 2026, with AI-driven CPU workloads contributing significantly to this expansion, projected to fuel an 18% annual growth rate by 2030. Next-generation EPYC CPUs, such as "Turin" (based on Zen 5 architecture) and "Venice" (2nm), are expected to further bolster market share gains in cloud and enterprise environments.
  3. Growth in the Client and Gaming Segments: AMD expects to achieve a greater than 10% revenue CAGR across its Client and Gaming businesses. The client business, driven by AMD Ryzen processors, experienced 34% year-over-year growth in Q4 2025. AMD projects it will exceed 40% client revenue market share. The introduction of new Ryzen processors featuring integrated AI accelerators, such as the Ryzen 8000 series and upcoming "Strix Point," is set to capitalize on the emerging "AI PC" market, contributing to continued growth in 2026 despite potential broader market contractions.
  4. Diversification and Expansion in the Embedded Segment: The Embedded segment, encompassing adaptive SoCs, FPGAs, embedded x86 processors, and semi-custom silicon, returned to growth in Q4 2025. AMD anticipates a greater than 10% revenue CAGR for this segment and aims to exceed 70% revenue market share. The company plans to expand opportunities by growing its embedded x86 and semi-custom silicon markets, with automotive AI identified as a multi-billion dollar growth opportunity.

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Share Repurchases

  • In May 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) authorized a new $6 billion share repurchase program. This increased the total repurchase authority to approximately $10 billion, adding to the remaining balance of its existing program.
  • AMD repurchased $1.3 billion in stock in 2025. As of December 27, 2025, approximately $9.4 billion remained available for future stock repurchases under the program.
  • In February 2022, AMD approved a new $8 billion share repurchase program, building on a $4 billion program announced in May 2021. Under the May 2021 program, approximately $3 billion of shares had been repurchased.

Share Issuance

  • As part of the ZT Systems acquisition in March and October 2025, AMD issued 9.1 million shares of its common stock.
  • In February 2026, AMD issued Meta Platforms a performance-based warrant for up to 160 million shares of AMD common stock, structured to vest as specific milestones associated with Instinct GPU shipments are achieved under their strategic partnership.
  • AMD issued a warrant to OpenAI in October 2025 to purchase up to an aggregate of 160 million shares of AMD's common stock at an exercise price of $0.01 per share, contingent on certain GPU purchase milestones and stock performance.

Outbound Investments

  • AMD completed the acquisition of ZT Systems in March and October 2025, which involved a total of $2.0 billion in cash (net of cash acquired) and the issuance of 9.1 million shares of common stock, aimed at strengthening AI infrastructure.
  • In February 2026, AMD announced a strategic investment of $150 million in Nutanix common stock and up to $100 million for joint engineering initiatives, as part of a multi-year strategic partnership to develop an open and scalable platform for enterprise AI.
  • AMD made several acquisitions to bolster its AI capabilities, including Nod.ai (October 2023) for open-source AI software, Silo AI (July 2024, for $665 million) for AI model development, and Mipsology (August 2023) for AI inference software.

Capital Expenditures

  • AMD's capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 reached $974 million, marking a peak in the last five years.
  • The average capital expenditures for fiscal years 2021 to 2025 was $581.4 million. Capital expenditures increased annually from $301 million in 2021 to $974 million in 2025.
  • Expected capital expenditures for the upcoming fiscal year (2026) are projected to be approximately $1,371.6 million, supporting increased investments in product development, AI solutions, and go-to-market strategies.

Better Bets vs. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMDINTCNVDAAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameAdvanced.Intel NVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Mkt Price521.9592.32206.84381.92166.97194.23200.53
Mkt Cap851.3471.25,023.31,813.0178.0171.3661.3
Rev LTM37,45457,032253,49175,46544,4878,71750,760
Op Inc LTM4,3644,308162,28533,25311,3941,4307,879
FCF LTM8,5742,831119,07632,76212,5021,66210,538
FCF 3Y Avg4,166-6,89976,82524,64012,1541,3938,160
CFO LTM9,72514,936125,64833,62214,2852,05614,610
CFO 3Y Avg4,96212,17880,77725,26613,4581,74412,818

Growth & Margins

AMDINTCNVDAAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameAdvanced.Intel NVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Rev Chg LTM35.0%7.5%70.7%32.3%5.2%34.1%33.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.5%1.9%121.7%29.3%3.3%16.0%17.2%
Rev Chg Q37.8%25.4%85.2%47.9%-3.5%27.6%32.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.1%6.1%17.4%10.5%-0.8%6.4%7.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM52.8%198.0%88.3%55.5%-2.3%3,466.6%71.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg230.0%-214.9%376.9%31.7%-0.8%1,056.4%130.9%
Op Mgn LTM11.7%7.6%64.0%44.1%25.6%16.4%21.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.2%0.1%60.6%38.4%26.0%2.8%17.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%5.6%3.6%2.6%-1.6%0.1%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM26.0%26.2%49.6%44.6%32.1%23.6%29.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.3%22.0%50.5%43.2%33.0%25.8%29.4%
FCF/Rev LTM22.9%5.0%47.0%43.4%28.1%19.1%25.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.7%-12.8%48.3%42.2%29.8%20.5%25.2%

Valuation

AMDINTCNVDAAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameAdvanced.Intel NVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Mkt Cap851.3471.25,023.31,813.0178.0171.3661.3
P/S22.78.319.824.04.019.719.7
P/Op Inc195.1109.431.054.515.6119.881.9
P/EBIT168.0-54.126.553.914.451.539.0
P/E170.0-41.731.561.817.967.846.7
P/CFO87.531.540.053.912.583.347.0
Total Yield0.6%-2.4%3.2%2.3%7.7%1.6%1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.1%0.1%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.8%-6.8%1.9%2.0%6.2%1.5%1.7%
D/E0.00.10.00.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.0

Returns

AMDINTCNVDAAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameAdvanced.Intel NVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
1M Rtn0.4%-29.9%3.9%-0.0%-15.4%-29.8%-7.7%
3M Rtn50.1%11.8%-0.6%-9.5%12.6%18.2%12.2%
6M Rtn101.0%104.8%10.3%19.8%8.2%142.3%60.4%
12M Rtn222.0%308.0%19.2%33.3%7.3%162.9%98.1%
3Y Rtn361.9%176.3%353.7%331.3%42.5%206.8%269.1%
1M Excs Rtn-0.3%-30.6%3.2%-0.8%-16.2%-30.5%-8.5%
3M Excs Rtn66.7%34.0%-0.5%-13.2%20.8%13.1%17.0%
6M Excs Rtn98.5%62.7%4.8%10.6%-0.3%126.7%36.6%
12M Excs Rtn212.4%276.5%4.7%19.1%-9.9%149.1%84.1%
3Y Excs Rtn286.0%111.0%277.9%276.9%-19.1%136.4%206.6%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Data Center16,63512,5796,4966,0433,694
Client10,6407,0544,6516,2016,887
Gaming3,9102,5956,2126,8055,607
Embedded3,4543,5575,3214,552246
Total34,63925,78522,68023,60116,434


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Data Center3,6033,4821,2671,848991
Client and Gaming2,8551,187   
Embedded1,2431,4212,6282,25244
All Other-4,007-4,190-4,419-4,979-409
Client  -461,1902,088
Gaming  971953934
Total3,6941,9004011,2643,648


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2002200120001998
Core products5,6195,647  
Core Products  5,506 
AMD   4,118
Vantis   135
Total5,6195,6475,5064,253


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$521.95 
Market Cap ($ Bil)851.3 
First Trading Date03/21/1983 
Distance from 52W High-10.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$500.63$303.68
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA4.3%71.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility82.8%69.5%
Downside Capture421.71291.14
Upside Capture556.13378.88
Correlation (SPY)73.8%56.1%
AMD Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.654.633.453.132.922.25
Up Beta3.125.462.292.782.282.21
Down Beta3.953.083.692.452.901.92
Up Capture557%941%961%1068%1578%6599%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days12234271138389
Down Capture263%329%256%200%171%112%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days9182154113360

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AMD
AMD230.6%69.4%2.00-
Sector ETF (XLK)35.9%24.8%1.1970.0%
Equity (SPY)17.6%12.7%1.0055.9%
Gold (GLD)19.2%28.1%0.6128.9%
Commodities (DBC)34.7%19.1%1.421.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.8%14.1%0.69-4.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.4%42.9%-1.2935.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AMD
AMD44.3%56.5%0.86-
Sector ETF (XLK)19.4%25.6%0.6873.9%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5864.7%
Gold (GLD)17.0%18.4%0.7516.5%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%19.5%0.389.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.0%18.9%0.0629.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)15.7%53.4%0.4730.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AMD
AMD59.1%57.1%1.05-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.1%24.8%0.8864.6%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7156.0%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.5711.8%
Commodities (DBC)7.2%17.9%0.3213.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2128.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.3%66.2%0.9817.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity39.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-4.4%
Average Daily Volume25.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,631.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/7/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/202618.6%26.2%47.3%
2/3/2026-17.3%-11.8%-17.6%
11/4/20252.5%-5.0%-12.8%
8/5/2025-6.4%0.4%-7.2%
5/6/20251.8%14.0%17.3%
2/4/2025-6.3%-7.0%-17.3%
10/29/2024-10.6%-14.8%-18.1%
7/30/20244.4%-6.0%5.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101013
# Negative141411
Median Positive8.3%14.2%19.0%
Median Negative-6.3%-6.1%-12.8%
Max Positive18.6%26.2%47.3%
Max Negative-17.3%-14.8%-18.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/202618.6%26.2%47.3%
2/3/2026-17.3%-11.8%-17.6%
11/4/20252.5%-5.0%-12.8%
8/5/2025-6.4%0.4%-7.2%
5/6/20251.8%14.0%17.3%
2/4/2025-6.3%-7.0%-17.3%
10/29/2024-10.6%-14.8%-18.1%
7/30/20244.4%-6.0%5.7%
4/30/2024-8.9%-2.5%5.3%
1/30/2024-2.5%-2.4%11.9%
10/31/20239.7%15.2%23.0%
8/1/2023-7.0%-3.7%-9.4%
5/2/2023-9.2%5.7%32.9%
1/31/202312.6%14.3%7.0%
10/6/2022-13.9%-13.1%-8.3%
8/2/2022-1.2%-3.8%-14.5%
5/3/20229.1%-2.6%19.2%
2/1/20225.1%9.8%-4.1%
10/26/2021-0.5%3.8%28.4%
7/27/20217.6%23.7%19.0%
4/27/2021-1.4%-7.7%-8.1%
1/26/2021-6.2%-6.2%-13.0%
10/27/2020-4.1%-9.2%3.5%
7/28/202012.5%25.8%27.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101013
# Negative141411
Median Positive8.3%14.2%19.0%
Median Negative-6.3%-6.1%-12.8%
Max Positive18.6%26.2%47.3%
Max Negative-17.3%-14.8%-18.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/05/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202301/31/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/05/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202301/31/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/03/202210-K
09/30/202110/27/202110-Q
06/30/202107/28/202110-Q
03/31/202104/28/202110-Q
12/31/202001/29/202110-K
09/30/202010/28/202010-Q
06/30/202007/29/202010-Q
03/31/202004/29/202010-Q
12/31/201902/04/202010-K
09/30/201910/30/201910-Q
06/30/201907/31/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/8/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue10.90 Bil11.20 Bil11.50 Bil14.3% Higher NewGuidance: 9.80 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin 56.0%  1.0%Higher NewGuidance: 55.0% for Q1 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue9.50 Bil9.80 Bil10.10 Bil2.1% Higher NewGuidance: 9.60 Bil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin 55.0%  0.5%Higher NewGuidance: 54.5% for Q4 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue9.30 Bil9.60 Bil9.90 Bil10.3% Higher NewActual: 8.70 Bil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Non-GAAP Gross Margin 54.5%  0.5%Higher NewActual: 54.0% for Q3 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/17/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell7162026556.436,0003,338,580686,460,457Form
2Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell6172026536.336,0003,217,980661,663,349Form
3Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell6122026460.69125,00057,585,7151,334,559,991Form
4Denzel, Nora DirectSell6022026522.008,6264,502,77245,504,306Form
5Denzel, Nora DirectSell6022026522.001,821950,56250,007,078Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell7162026556.436,0003,338,580686,460,457Form
2Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell6172026536.336,0003,217,980661,663,349Form
3Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell6122026460.69125,00057,585,7151,334,559,991Form
4Denzel, Nora DirectSell6022026522.008,6264,502,77245,504,306Form
5Denzel, Nora DirectSell6022026522.001,821950,56250,007,078Form
6Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell5212026431.4019,4878,406,784140,002,483Form
7Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell5192026433.796,0002,602,740535,161,084Form
8Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell5152026445.51125,00055,688,3591,346,276,778Form
9Grasby, Paul DarrenEVP & CSODirectSell5112026444.3924,37610,832,45146,759,605Form
10Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell4282026350.0031,32010,962,000432,612,950Form
11Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell4162026275.0027,1097,454,975348,523,175Form
12Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell4162026255.546,0001,533,240330,787,842Form
13Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell4082026225.003,293740,925291,254,850Form
14Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell3162026198.7785,00016,895,157625,320,780Form
15Grasby, Paul DarrenEVP & CSODirectSell3122026204.877,5001,536,52526,550,742Form
16Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell3052026200.003,034606,800259,551,800Form
17Hahn, AvaSVP, GC & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell2192026198.6528656,8143,419,958Form
18Hu, Jean XEVP, CFO and TreasurerDirectSell2182026201.6219,9564,023,5815,030,081Form
19Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell2122026216.8119,4504,216,96962,679,548Form
20Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell2122026214.36125,00026,794,875675,761,605Form
21Hahn, AvaSVP, GC & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell1202026234.422,442572,4543,834,877Form
22Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell12122025215.14125,00026,891,905705,100,585Form
23Grasby, Paul DarrenEVP & CSODirectSell12082025218.7710,0002,187,70029,171,667Form
24Hu, Jean XEVP, CFO and TreasurerDirectSell11252025209.9614,5063,045,7415,360,806Form
25Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell11212025229.3719,4504,461,29668,891,587Form
26Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell11172025240.1217,1084,107,935411,683,151Form
27Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell10162025224.2816,8003,767,863384,524,964Form
28Hahn, AvaSVP, GC & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell10072025226.012,868648,1972,041,548Form
29Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell9252025165.012,250371,27251,416,786Form
30Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell9162025159.2016,8002,674,513272,944,412Form
31Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell9112025160.9317,2002,768,02150,508,021Form
32Hahn, AvaSVP, GC & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell9042025158.1014322,6081,881,548Form
33Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell8232025163.97225,00036,893,351550,899,394Form
34Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell8192025178.1116,8002,992,244306,592,843Form
35Grasby, Paul DarrenEVP & CSODirectSell8122025173.2110,0001,732,10021,738,721Form
36Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell7162025155.0317,9982,790,187265,672,383Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 25, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Ossiam$808.3 Mil14.2%388ADD +39.7%13F
Dream Peak Capital Ltd$91.5 Mil13.6%6New13F
Light Street Capital Management, LLC$44.6 Mil9.0%23Hold13F
Once Capital Management, LLC$25.5 Mil6.8%22Hold13F
ADAPT Investment Managers SA$19.0 Mil6.5%34New13F
Columbus Hill Capital Management, L.P.$36.5 Mil6.2%21ADD +42.8%13F
Soma Equity Partners LP$79.1 Mil5.8%20TRIM -25.3%13F
Estuary Capital Management LP$34.5 Mil5.8%22Hold13F
Eminence Capital, LP$239.4 Mil5.5%33ADD +21.5%13F
Firetrail Investments PTY LTD$15.5 Mil5.3%28Hold13F
Nepsis Inc.$15.7 Mil5.3%29Hold13F
Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne$28.5 Mil5.0%28Hold13F
Vienna Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A. Vienna Insurance Group$12.4 Mil4.7%28TRIM -42.0%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$183.1 Mil3.8%41ADD +50.0%13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$132.4 Mil3.6%41ADD +65.1%13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$32.6 Mil3.5%44New13F
California First Leasing Corp$11.0 Mil3.5%39Hold13F
Ithaka Group LLC$15.9 Mil3.3%38Hold13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$293.5 Mil3.1%29TRIM -11.8%13F
FengHe Fund Management Pte. Ltd.$21.6 Mil3.0%31New13F
Bender Robert & Associates$12.4 Mil3.0%45Hold13F
Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda.$10.4 Mil2.7%17ADD +15.6%13F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$19.0 Mil2.7%39New13F
KADENSA CAPITAL Ltd$18.9 Mil2.6%39New13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$47.0 Mil2.6%49ADD +133.8%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$107.2 Mil2.5%40New13F
Dream Peak Capital Ltd$91.5 Mil13.6%6New13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$32.6 Mil3.5%44New13F
CTC LLC$32.2 Mil2.6%25New13F
FengHe Fund Management Pte. Ltd.$21.6 Mil3.0%31New13F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$19.0 Mil2.7%39New13F
ADAPT Investment Managers SA$19.0 Mil6.5%34New13F
KADENSA CAPITAL Ltd$18.9 Mil2.6%39New13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$47.0 Mil2.6%49ADD +133.8%13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$132.4 Mil3.6%41ADD +65.1%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$183.1 Mil3.8%41ADD +50.0%13F
Columbus Hill Capital Management, L.P.$36.5 Mil6.2%21ADD +42.8%13F
Ossiam$808.3 Mil14.2%388ADD +39.7%13F
Eminence Capital, LP$239.4 Mil5.5%33ADD +21.5%13F
Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda.$10.4 Mil2.7%17ADD +15.6%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
RK Capital Management, LLC/FL$77.1 Mil4.8%20ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Appaloosa LP$69.6 Mil1.0%38ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Long Walk Management LP$28.8 Mil6.4%10ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Fund 1 Investments, LLC$18.7 Mil2.7%49ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Nationale-Nederlanden Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A.$10.9 Mil1.0%48ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Benchstone Capital Management LP$10.0 Mil1.1%43ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Proem Advisors LLC$7.5 Mil2.5%28ExitedDec 31, 202513F
M & L Capital Management Ltd$5.5 Mil1.2%25ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Paloma Partners Management Co$5.0 Mil1.7%47ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Vienna Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A. Vienna Insurance Group$12.4 Mil4.7%28TRIM -42.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Boothe Investment Group, Inc.$6.2 Mil2.0%40TRIM -39.5%Mar 31, 202613F
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$51.8 Mil2.4%41TRIM -33.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Soma Equity Partners LP$79.1 Mil5.8%20TRIM -25.3%Mar 31, 202613F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$293.5 Mil3.1%29TRIM -11.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Ratan Capital Management LP$5.4 Mil2.0%37TRIM -11.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Ossiam$808.3 Mil14.2%388ADD +39.7%13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$293.5 Mil3.1%29TRIM -11.8%13F
Eminence Capital, LP$239.4 Mil5.5%33ADD +21.5%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$183.1 Mil3.8%41ADD +50.0%13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$132.4 Mil3.6%41ADD +65.1%13F
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$107.2 Mil2.5%40New13F
Dream Peak Capital Ltd$91.5 Mil13.6%6New13F
Soma Equity Partners LP$79.1 Mil5.8%20TRIM -25.3%13F
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$51.8 Mil2.4%41TRIM -33.5%13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$47.0 Mil2.6%49ADD +133.8%13F
Light Street Capital Management, LLC$44.6 Mil9.0%23Hold13F
Columbus Hill Capital Management, L.P.$36.5 Mil6.2%21ADD +42.8%13F
Estuary Capital Management LP$34.5 Mil5.8%22Hold13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$32.6 Mil3.5%44New13F
CTC LLC$32.2 Mil2.6%25New13F
Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne$28.5 Mil5.0%28Hold13F
Once Capital Management, LLC$25.5 Mil6.8%22Hold13F
FengHe Fund Management Pte. Ltd.$21.6 Mil3.0%31New13F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$19.0 Mil2.7%39New13F
ADAPT Investment Managers SA$19.0 Mil6.5%34New13F
KADENSA CAPITAL Ltd$18.9 Mil2.6%39New13F
Ithaka Group LLC$15.9 Mil3.3%38Hold13F
Nepsis Inc.$15.7 Mil5.3%29Hold13F
Firetrail Investments PTY LTD$15.5 Mil5.3%28Hold13F
Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd$14.2 Mil1.4%41Hold13F

AMD Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Conviction is high. Data Center revenue growth is accelerating, hitting 57% year-over-year, driven by AI demand. Management more than doubled its server CPU market forecast to over $120 billion. Multi-gigawatt GPU commitments from major AI firms provide strong visibility into a durable growth cycle, with key product ramps on track for H2 2026.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
High-Performance Component Supplier

(Number of Units Sold) x (Average Selling Price), driven by volume growth and mix shift to higher-value products. Mix shift towards the higher-margin Data Center segment, driven by the AI infrastructure build-out.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can AMD become a primary arms dealer for the AI build-out, not just a CPU share-taker?

Evidence suggests yes. Accelerating Data Center growth and multi-gigawatt AI accelerator deals with OpenAI and Meta signal a structural shift beyond just competing with Intel in CPUs.

Mechanism: The investment case is driven by accelerating, high-margin Data Center revenue. This segment's growth inflected to 57% YoY, and Q2 guidance implies 46% total company growth. The server CPU market forecast was raised to over $120 billion by 2030, providing a massive runway. Successful H2 2026 product ramps should drive significant earnings expansion.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Data Center revenue growth accelerated to 57% year-over-year in Q1 2026.
  • Management raised its server CPU market forecast to over $120 billion by 2030.
  • The company secured agreements to deploy 6 gigawatts of GPUs each with OpenAI and Meta.
  • Q2 2026 revenue is guided to grow 46% year-over-year at the midpoint.
  • The production ramp of the Helios platform is on track for the second half of the year.
PRIMARY RISK
Execution Risk and Formidable Competition

The second half ramp of the complex Helios platform is a critical execution test. NVIDIA, with an entrenched software ecosystem, remains the dominant AI player. A new partnership between NVIDIA and Intel could increase pricing pressure and competition across data center and client products, limiting AMD's ultimate share.

Mechanism: A delay in the stated H2 2026 Helios production ramp or negative commentary from launch partners.
Supporting Evidence:
  • NVIDIA's TTM revenue is $253.5 billion versus AMD's $37.5 billion.
  • NVIDIA leverages a proprietary software ecosystem, creating high switching costs for customers.
  • A partnership between Nvidia and Intel was announced in September 2025.
  • Management plans for lower PC and Gaming shipments in H2 2026 due to component costs.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Data Center Segment Revenue Growth57% year-over-year growth in Q1 2026 - AcceleratingThe year-over-year growth in the Data Center segment has shown powerful and consistent acceleration over the last three quarters, nearly tripling from 22% to 57%. This indicates a structural inflection in demand, which management attributes to AI infrastructure build-outs for both its EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs. Sequential growth remains positive but has moderated.
Client and Gaming Segment Revenue Growth23% year-over-year growth in Q1 2026 - DeceleratingThe Client and Gaming segment's year-over-year growth is decelerating from a very high base in late 2025, though it remains robust at 23%. Management attributes the recent sequential declines to seasonality and lower semi-custom revenue at this stage of the console cycle. The company still expects the client business to outperform the market.
EPYC-powered cloud instancesnearly 1,600 (Q1 2026)Indicates the adoption and market penetration of AMD's server CPUs within the major global cloud providers, a key growth vector.
Embedded Design Wins (Annual)$17 billion (FY2025)Represents future revenue potential in the Embedded segment, indicating long-term customer commitment and adoption of AMD's embedded product portfolio.
Core Investment Debate

AI Inflection vs. Consumer Slowdown

BULL VIEW

Bulls focus on the accelerating Data Center, where growth hit 57% YoY. They believe the massive server CPU TAM revision to over $120 billion and huge AI deals with Meta and OpenAI signal a durable, high-margin growth cycle.

CORE TENSION

Can accelerating 57% Data Center growth overcome the planned slowdown in PC and Gaming shipments for the second half of 2026?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The market is rewarding the AI inflection. The stock rose 23% on the Data Center acceleration, signaling that this structural trend currently outweighs the cyclical consumer weakness.

BEAR VIEW

Bears see the consumer headwind, with management planning for lower PC and gaming shipments in H2 2026 due to rising component costs. They worry this cyclical drag will offset some of the AI-driven gains and disappoint high expectations.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
8/20/2026
Peer Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Marvell Technology (MRVL) is scheduled to report earnings.
9/2/2026
Peer Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Broadcom (AVGO) is scheduled to report earnings.
10/21/2026
Competitive Read-Through
Watch: Competitor data center revenue and guidance, particularly commentary on market share, pricing, and AI accelerator demand.
11/2/2026
Company Earnings Report
Watch: Company is scheduled to report its next earnings.
in the second half of the year
Meta Custom GPU Shipments
Watch: Shipments of custom GPU accelerator for Meta are on track to begin.
in the second half of the year
Helios Platform Production Ramp
Watch: Company plans to ramp Helios production shipments.
later this year
Venice Processor Launch
Watch: Launch of 6th Gen EPYC 'Venice' processor is on track.
in the second half of 2026
OpenAI Capacity Deployment
Watch: First gigawatt of MI450 series accelerators for OpenAI scheduled to start coming online.
in the second half of the year
Consumer Demand Slowdown
Watch: Weakness in PC or gaming results from peers or component suppliers, or downward guidance revisions on those segments.
in the second half of the year
AI Platform Execution
Watch: Any announced delays in the Helios or MI450 ramp, or negative commentary from launch partners like Supermicro.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-07-21
Major GPU Agreement with Meta
Details: The company amended a purchase agreement with Meta, which 'agreed to deploy up to 6 gigawatts of AMD GPUs' and received a warrant to purchase up to 160 million shares.
+8.1%
$503.57 -> $544.43
2026-07-16
Exclusive Gaming CPU Launch
Details: Partner Newegg launched the AMD Ryzen 7 7700X3D processor, a new gaming chip available exclusively in North America through the e-tailer.
-6.3%
$529.14 -> $495.76
2026-06-02
Helios Platform Showcase
Details: Partner Supermicro showcased the next-generation AMD Helios rack-scale platform at the Computex trade show, highlighting a 72-GPU double-width rack powered by AMD Instinct MI455X GPUs.
+6.3%
$510.13 -> $542.52
2026-05-21
Venice CPU Production Ramp
Details: AMD announced it began the production ramp of its 6th Gen EPYC CPUs, codenamed 'Venice,' on TSMC's 2nm process technology.
+4.5%
$447.58 -> $467.51
2026-05-05
Strong Q1 Earnings and Guidance
Details: The company reported strong Q1 2026 results and raised Q2 revenue guidance by 14.3%, leading to a positive two-day stock reaction of 23.0%.
+23.4%
$341.54 -> $421.39
2026-02-03
Stock Falls After Earnings
Details: Following the Q4 2025 earnings report, the stock had a two-day reaction of -19.0% as 'Wall Street Adjusts AI Revenue Expectations'.
-18.7%
$246.27 -> $200.19
2026-01-29
Analyst Upgrades Stock
Details: An analyst upgraded AMD to 'Buy' ahead of Q4 earnings, citing robust AI accelerator demand and hyperscaler CapEx momentum.
-6.3%
$252.74 -> $236.73
Risk Management
Position Sizing

1% - 2%

MINIMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: AMD trades at roughly 82% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 15% for the S&P 500 (5.5x the market), around the 100th percentile of its own trailing year. A 1% - 2% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
NVDA - NVIDIA Corporation
Dominant AI Incumbent

NVIDIA offers dominant exposure to the AI accelerator market with 74.1% gross margins and an entrenched proprietary software ecosystem, representing a more established, scaled, and profitable play on AI infrastructure.

Core Thesis: Investing in the undisputed market share leader and platform incumbent for large-scale AI compute.
INTC - Intel Corporation
Value Turnaround Play

Intel provides exposure to the x86 CPU market with a much larger revenue base of $53.8 billion and an integrated manufacturing model, offering a value-oriented turnaround story if it can regain technological leadership.

Core Thesis: A bet on the incumbent regaining its footing in the data center and client computing markets.
How Is The Market Pricing AMD?

AMD is a primary arms dealer for the AI infrastructure build-out, leveraging its leadership in high-performance server CPUs and a rapidly scaling AI accelerator business to capture a significant share of the data center market.

AMD's growth trajectory has inflected, driven by its Data Center segment. The company is capitalizing on the AI boom with both its EPYC CPUs, which are critical for orchestrating AI workloads, and its Instinct GPUs. This dual-pronged strategy, combined with share gains in the PC market, positions AMD as a key beneficiary of the increasing demand for high-performance compute across cloud, enterprise, and consumer markets.

What will confirm the thesis

Announcements of large-scale, multi-gigawatt deployments of Instinct GPUs with major AI players like OpenAI or Meta, or data showing continued market share gains for EPYC server CPUs.

What will damage the thesis

Evidence of competitors' next-generation products significantly outperforming AMD's offerings, major supply disruptions from manufacturing partners like TSMC, or a sharp downturn in data center capital expenditures.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Minor desktop CPU product launches or news related to 'wet AMD' (age-related macular degeneration), which is an unrelated medical condition.

Repricing Catalyst

The successful ramp of the next-generation MI450 series GPUs and Helios rack-scale solutions in the second half of 2026, which is expected to significantly scale the Data Center AI business.

What AMD Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on fiscal year 2025 filings (the latest reported segment data)
Data Center
$16.6B TTM (48% of Total) · 22% Margin
What It Is

Sells server-class CPUs (EPYC), GPUs and AI accelerators (Instinct), DPUs, AI NICs, and FPGAs to hyperscale data centers, OEMs, ODMs, and system integrators.

Who Pays & How

Hyperscale cloud providers and enterprises pay for these components to meet the growing computational demands of AI, cloud computing, and large-scale data analysis, driven by the products' performance and efficiency.

Unit sales based on purchase orders.
Competition
Intel (for CPUs) and NVIDIA (for GPUs).
NVIDIA is the discrete GPU market share leader and leverages its proprietary software ecosystem. Intel uses its microprocessor market position to price aggressively.
Leadership product performance and total cost of ownership (TCO) in server CPUs, a broad portfolio spanning CPUs and GPUs, and the ability to deliver integrated rack-scale AI solutions like Helios.
Client and Gaming
$10.6B TTM (31% of Total) · 27% Margin
What It Is

Sells CPUs and APUs (Ryzen) for desktops and notebooks, discrete GPUs (Radeon), and semi-custom SoCs for game consoles to PC OEMs, distributors, and game console manufacturers like Sony and Microsoft.

Who Pays & How

PC OEMs (like Dell, HP, a business partner) and consumers (via distributors) pay for processors for consumer and commercial PCs. Game console manufacturers pay for semi-custom chips that power their platforms.

Unit sales based on purchase orders.
Competition
Intel (for CPUs) and NVIDIA (for discrete GPUs).
Intel is the primary competitor in CPUs. NVIDIA is the market share leader in discrete GPUs.
Leadership performance of Ryzen CPUs, including specialized X3D processors for gaming, and being the market share leader in semi-custom game console products.
Embedded
$3.5B TTM (10% of Total) · 36% Margin
What It Is

Sells embedded CPUs, APUs, FPGAs, and adaptive SoCs to a wide range of markets including automotive, industrial, aerospace and defense, and communications infrastructure.

Who Pays & How

Manufacturers in various industrial and high-tech sectors pay for these components for applications requiring high performance, low power, and long lifecycles, such as automation systems and networking equipment.

Unit sales directly to customers or through distributors and OEM partners.
Competition
Intel (for embedded CPUs) and Altera, Lattice Semiconductor, and Microsemi (for FPGAs).
Competition comes from established FPGA competitors and a wide range of ASSP vendors like Broadcom and Qualcomm.
A broad portfolio of high-performance, scalable solutions including CPUs, APUs, FPGAs, and adaptive SoCs, enabling customized solutions for diverse embedded markets.
AMD Evolution: Price Return by Era
Pre-2023 · Client & Gaming Focus
+130%
Prior to 2023, the business was more heavily weighted towards the Client and Gaming segments, which combined represented a larger portion of revenue than the Data Center segment.
2023-2025 · Data Center Inflection
+235%
The Data Center segment's revenue grew dramatically, from $6,496 to $16,635 in 2025, becoming the company's largest and most profitable segment, driven by the success of EPYC server CPUs and the emergence of the AI accelerator business.
2025-Present · AI-Driven Growth
+347%
Beginning in 2025, the company realigned its reporting to combine the Client and Gaming segments, reflecting a strategic focus on accelerating growth in the Data Center segment as the primary driver, fueled by massive demand for AI infrastructure.
Market Appears To Be Aligned With Core Thesis
Price structure is strongly bullish. The regime, trend, and proximity to highs all point towards intact institutional trend. Relative to SPY: Strong 63D outperformance but 'relative strength' momentum is fading, indicating that money rotation may be maturing. Volume and momentum show mild distribution. The selling pressure is present but not overwhelming. Earnings history is strongly validating. The market rewarded the print and institutional follow-through confirms thesis re-rating is underway.
① Structure
+4
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
-1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
+4
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
7 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Trending Up · -
2 Momentum Pausing
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Neutral Relative Strength
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Neutral / Mixed
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Flat
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/24/2026