Alta Equipment (ALTG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.95 | Market Cap: $160.0 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Alta Equipment (ALTG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.95Market Cap: $160.0 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 512% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Industrial Robotics, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.8% | |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -36% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.5% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 512% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.8% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -36% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ALTG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For Alta Equipment (symbol: ALTG), the approximate -40.8% stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:
1. Significant Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: Alta Equipment reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 6, 2025, disclosing an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$1.31, which substantially missed the analysts' consensus estimate of -$0.27 by $1.04. The company's quarterly revenue also fell short, coming in at $422.60 million against an estimated $456.68 million. This considerable miss on both top and bottom lines disappointed investors.
2. Revenue Decline, Particularly in the Construction Segment: Total revenues decreased by 5.8% year-over-year to $422.6 million in Q3 2025. The Construction segment experienced the most significant decline, with a $20.7 million reduction in revenue. This decline was largely driven by a strategic decision to optimize the rental fleet, aiming to align supply with demand for lightly used rental equipment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALTG Return | -1% | 48% | -9% | -5% | -46% | -27% | -49% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 36% | -10% | 40% | 9% | 6% | 148% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALTG Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 50% | 28% | 50% | 48% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALTG Max Drawdown | -63% | -4% | -40% | -30% | -54% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -2% | -25% | -6% | -8% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALTG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 116.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 182.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST
In The Past
Alta Equipment's stock fell -53.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2023. A -53.9% loss requires a 116.8% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Alta Equipment Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALTG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Alta Equipment
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 153.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.4 |
| Rev LTM | 7,706 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,175 |
| FCF LTM | 484 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 493 |
| CFO LTM | 1,415 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,406 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.4 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | 17.2 |
| P/E | 26.8 |
| P/CFO | 17.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -15.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -28.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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