Tearsheet

Herc (HRI)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $156.03 | Market Cap: $5.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Herc (HRI)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $156.03
Market Cap: $5.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 187%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9%
3   Key risks
HRI key risks include [1] its high levels of indebtedness and [2] challenges associated with integrating acquisitions.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 187%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9%
6 Key risks
HRI key risks include [1] its high levels of indebtedness and [2] challenges associated with integrating acquisitions.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HRI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

The provided search results contain information about Herc (HRI) for the requested period of August 31, 2025, to December 25, 2025, including Q3 2025 earnings and other news and forecasts. While it does not explicitly state a 20.1% stock movement for *this exact period*, I can extract key events that would influence stock performance. I will focus on the actual events and reported results within the specified timeframe. Here are the key points for Herc (HRI) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 25, 2025: 1. Herc Holdings reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 28, 2025, with equipment rental revenue increasing by 30% to $1,122 million and total revenues rising by 35% to $1,304 million compared to the prior-year period.

2. The company successfully completed the full IT integration of the H&E Equipment Services acquisition, migrating all acquired branches onto Herc's systems and network infrastructure within a best-in-class timeline, which is expected to drive efficiencies and market-share expansion.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.9% change in HRI stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 29.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)122.26156.3827.90%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3536.003876.009.62%
P/S Multiple1.041.3429.13%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)30.0033.20-10.67%
Cumulative Contribution26.45%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
HRI27.9% 
Market (SPY)4.4%44.3%
Sector (XLI)3.4%48.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.9% change in HRI stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 28.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)125.21156.3824.89%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3431.003876.0012.97%
P/S Multiple1.041.3428.78%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)28.5033.20-16.49%
Cumulative Contribution21.49%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
HRI24.9% 
Market (SPY)14.0%35.2%
Sector (XLI)10.0%45.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.7% change in HRI stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -16.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)187.77156.38-16.72%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3449.003876.0012.38%
P/S Multiple1.551.34-13.37%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)28.4033.20-16.90%
Cumulative Contribution-19.10%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
HRI-16.7% 
Market (SPY)15.8%51.5%
Sector (XLI)18.6%57.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.8% change in HRI stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 53.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)122.32156.3827.84%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2530.903876.0053.15%
P/S Multiple1.441.34-6.69%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)29.7033.20-11.78%
Cumulative Contribution26.06%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
HRI9.9% 
Market (SPY)48.9%49.5%
Sector (XLI)42.7%58.3%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HRI Return36%136%-14%16%29%-16%245%
Peers Return27%30%6%29%5%30%209%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HRI Win Rate67%67%50%42%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate65%63%45%48%55%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HRI Max Drawdown-74%-5%-44%-28%-15%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-1%-28%-12%-11%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: URI, CAT, DE, OSK, TEX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHRIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-55.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven852 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-74.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven287.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven237 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven188.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven750 days120 days

Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FAST, FERG

In The Past

Herc's stock fell -55.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -55.9% loss requires a 127.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Herc (HRI)

Herc Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an equipment rental supplier in the United States and internationally. It rents aerial, earthmoving, material handling, trucks and trailers, air compressors, compaction, and lighting equipment. The company also provides ProSolutions, an industry specific solution-based services, which include power generation, climate control, remediation and restoration, pump, trench shoring, and studio and production equipment; and ProContractor professional grade tools. In addition, it offers various services, including repair, maintenance, equipment management, and safety training; and equipment re-rental and on-site support services, as well as ancillary services, such as equipment transport, rental protection, cleaning, refueling, and labor. Further, the company sells used equipment and contractor supplies, such as construction consumables, tools, small equipment, and safety supplies. It serves non-residential and residential construction, specialty trade, restoration, remediation and environment, and facility maintenance contractors; industrial manufacturing industries, including automotive and aerospace, power, metals and mining, agriculture, pulp, paper and wood, food and beverage, and refineries and petrochemical industries; infrastructure and government sectors; and commercial facilities, hospitality, healthcare, recreation, entertainment production, and special event management customers. The company sells its products through its sales team and industry catalogs, as well as through participation and sponsorship of industry events, trade shows, and Internet. Herc Holdings Inc. was founded in 1965 and is based in Bonita Springs, Florida.

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Hertz for construction and industrial equipment.

The Home Depot's tool rental, but for large-scale construction sites and industrial businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Equipment Rentals: Provides a broad range of construction, industrial, and material handling equipment for rent to various industries.
  • ProSolutions Services: Offers specialized solutions including power generation, climate control, pump and trench safety, and remediation services, often integrated with equipment rentals.
  • Used Equipment Sales: Sells pre-owned equipment from its rental fleet directly to customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) primarily sells equipment rental services to other companies rather than directly to individuals. The company serves a highly diversified customer base, and as such, no single customer typically accounts for a material portion of its revenues (e.g., 10% or more) that would necessitate specific disclosure in its financial filings.

Therefore, Herc does not have "major customers" in the sense of specific named companies contributing a significant percentage of its overall revenue. Instead, its customer base is broadly categorized across various business sectors:

  • Construction Sector: This broad category includes a wide range of customers involved in residential, non-residential, heavy civil, and infrastructure construction projects. Examples include general contractors, specialized subcontractors (e.g., HVAC, electrical, plumbing, masonry), and road builders needing equipment for site preparation, building, and finishing work.
  • Industrial and Manufacturing Sectors: Customers in this category typically operate in manufacturing facilities, petrochemical plants, power generation, utilities, mining, and oil & gas operations. They rent equipment for maintenance, plant turnarounds, new construction within facilities, and various operational support needs.
  • Government, Commercial, and Other Businesses: This diverse group encompasses federal, state, and local government agencies, municipalities, various commercial enterprises (e.g., property management, landscaping, warehousing, retail), and those in the entertainment industry for film, television, and special events.

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  • Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT)
  • Deere & Company (NYSE: DE)
  • Terex Corporation (NYSE: TEX)
  • Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE: OSK)
  • United Rentals, Inc. (NYSE: URI)
  • Volvo Group (OTC: VOLVY)
  • Komatsu Ltd. (OTC: KMTUY)
  • Kubota Corporation (OTC: KUBTY)
  • HD Hyundai Infracore Co., Ltd. (KRX: 035200)
  • Doosan Bobcat Inc. (KRX: 241560)
  • Linamar Corporation (TSX: LNR)

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Lawrence H. Silber, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Silber joined Herc Rentals Inc. in May 2015. Prior to Herc, he served as an executive advisor at Court Square Capital Partners, LLP, a private equity firm, from 2014 to 2015. He led Hayward Industries, one of the world's largest swimming pool equipment manufacturers, as Chief Operating Officer from 2008 to 2012, successfully transitioning the company through a recession and returning it to profitability. From 1978 to 2008, Mr. Silber held various leadership roles at Ingersoll-Rand plc, including leading major business groups such as Utility Equipment, Rental and Remarketing, and Equipment and Services. He also previously served as interim President and CEO of SMTC Corporation from 2013 to 2014.

W. Mark Humphrey, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Humphrey was promoted to Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer effective March 2023. He joined Herc Holdings in April 2017, initially serving as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer from 2017 to 2023. Before Herc, he was Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer for Alico, Inc., a publicly traded agribusiness and resource-management company. His nearly 30-year career also includes a role as Chief Financial Officer for Compass Management Group and nearly ten years in public accounting with PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.

Aaron Birnbaum, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Birnbaum possesses over 30 years of experience in the equipment rental industry, all of which have been with Herc Rentals Inc. and its predecessor business. He has overseen regions including Western, Northwest, North Central, and Canada, as well as Herc Entertainment Services®, and has held responsibilities in strategic planning, operational execution, and M&A activities.

Christian J. Cunningham, Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Mr. Cunningham joined Herc in September 2014. Prior to Herc, he served as Vice President, Corporate HR and HR Services at DFC Global Corporation from 2013. His previous experience includes human resources leadership roles at Sunoco Inc. and Sunoco Logistics, ARAMARK, Scholastic Inc., and Pep Boys. He was involved in an IPO and the establishment of a joint venture with a private equity firm during his time at Sunoco.

Tamir Peres, Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer

Mr. Peres serves as Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer. He was previously Director of Worldwide Financial Systems for Kulicke & Soffa Industries, Inc. and worked as a Senior Auditor for Ernst & Young.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) include its high levels of indebtedness, the cyclical nature of the equipment rental industry, and challenges associated with integrating acquisitions.

  1. High Levels of Indebtedness and Sensitivity to Interest Rates: Herc Holdings carries substantial debt, which leads to significant interest expenses. This financial leverage could restrict the company's operational flexibility and heighten its vulnerability to economic downturns. Additionally, rising interest rates increase the cost of servicing this debt, impacting profitability.
  2. Cyclical Industry Risks and Economic Fluctuations: The demand for Herc's equipment rental services is closely tied to the health of the construction and industrial sectors. As such, the company operates in a highly cyclical industry, making it susceptible to economic fluctuations. Slower local construction activity, potentially influenced by interest rates, or delays in large government-funded projects, can significantly affect rental volumes and pricing.
  3. Integration Challenges of Acquisitions: Herc Holdings has pursued growth through strategic acquisitions, notably the pending H&E Equipment Services deal. Such integrations present operational and cultural challenges, carrying potential risks like the loss of key personnel, customer attrition, and unforeseen liabilities if not managed efficiently.

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The emergence and rapid expansion of digitally native equipment rental companies that leverage integrated software platforms, telematics, and data analytics to offer a more streamlined, efficient, and transparent customer experience. These technology-driven competitors aim to disrupt traditional operational models by setting new industry standards for convenience and data-driven insights, compelling incumbents to accelerate their digital transformation or risk market share erosion.

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Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) primarily operates in the equipment rental and services industry, with its main addressable market being North America, specifically the United States and Canada. The company offers a comprehensive range of equipment for rent, including aerial lifts, earthmoving machinery, material handling equipment, trucks, trailers, power generation systems, climate control solutions, and specialized equipment for various sectors such as construction, industrial, government, and events. Herc also engages in equipment sales, maintenance, and ancillary services.

The addressable markets for Herc's main products and services are sized as follows:

  • North American Equipment Rental Market:
    • Following Herc's acquisition of H&E Equipment Services, the North American equipment rental market is described as a "$50 billion+" market as of June 2, 2025.
    • The North America construction equipment rental market generated approximately USD 60.38 billion in revenue in 2023, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8% from 2024 to 2030.
    • Another estimate values the North America construction equipment rental market at USD 36.76 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 45.16 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 4.20%.
    • The North America construction equipment rental market was valued at USD 67.86 billion in 2024, is anticipated to reach USD 71.89 billion in 2025, and is projected to grow to USD 113.95 billion by 2033, demonstrating a CAGR of 5.93% from 2025 to 2033.
    • The U.S. construction equipment rental market alone reached USD 30.33 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 45.70 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 4.66%.
    • The heavy equipment rental market in the U.S. reached an estimated $55.5 billion in 2025.
  • Global Equipment Rental Market:
    • The global equipment rental market was valued at approximately $145 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $250 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.1%.
    • Other estimates indicate the global equipment rental market was valued at USD 485 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 820.94 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 6.8%.
    • The global construction equipment rental market was estimated at USD 204.06 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 280.13 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.6%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies and market dynamics:

  1. Integration and Synergies from H&E Equipment Services Acquisition: The successful integration of H&E Equipment Services is a primary driver. This acquisition, the largest in the industry, is expected to accelerate Herc's strategy by providing geographic and customer diversification, a substantially expanded footprint in key regions with economies of scale, and a larger fleet. The company anticipates achieving approximately $125 million in cost synergies and approximately $175 million EBITDA impact from revenue synergies by the end of year three following the transaction close.
  2. Growth in Mega Projects and Specialty Solutions: Herc continues to see robust activity across "mega projects," such as data centers, infrastructure, and manufacturing onshoring, which are often supported by federal funding. The company is focusing on capitalizing on these large-scale projects and enhancing value through its higher-margin Specialty Solutions offerings.
  3. Organic Growth Initiatives and Market Share Expansion: Herc aims to increase its market share by investing in and optimizing its fleet, capitalizing on greenfield opportunities (new locations), and cross-selling a diversified product portfolio. The company is also benefiting from the secular shift from equipment ownership to rental.
  4. Improved Pricing and Fleet Utilization: Commentary from earnings calls suggests that pricing has been a contributor to revenue growth. As local market headwinds ease, Herc anticipates further improvements in pricing and fleet utilization, which will continue to support top-line expansion.

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Share Repurchases

  • Herc Holdings repurchased approximately 1.1 million shares of its common stock for $120 million in 2023.
  • As of December 31, 2023, approximately $161 million remained available under the share repurchase program.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2023, common stock repurchases amounted to approximately 119,000 shares.

Share Issuance

  • In its acquisition of H&E Equipment Services, Herc Holdings issued 0.1287 shares of Herc for every share outstanding in H&E, as part of a deal valued at $104.89 per share.
  • The number of outstanding shares was 28.2 million in 2023 and 28.4 million in 2024, increasing to 30 million as of October 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • Herc Holdings completed the acquisition of H&E Equipment Services, which significantly impacted its financial performance and strategic positioning.
  • The company increased its branch network by 14% in 2024 through nine acquisitions, including its largest transaction to date, and 23 greenfield facilities.
  • In the second quarter of 2024, Herc spent $142 million in net cash on two acquisitions in the northeast and southeast regions, adding 10 locations to its network.

Capital Expenditures

  • Herc Holdings' gross capital expenditures are projected to be between $900 million and $1.1 billion for fiscal year 2025, with net rental equipment capital expenditures expected to range from $400 million to $600 million.
  • For the full year 2024, the company's net rental equipment capital expenditures were guided between $500 million and $700 million after gross capex of $750 million to $1 billion.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investing in its fleet, optimizing its existing fleet, expanding its specialty equipment offerings, capitalizing on acquisitions and greenfield opportunities, and supporting growth in construction and industrial sectors.

Better Bets than Herc (HRI)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to HRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.7%18.7%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.9%6.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.0%6.0%-0.4%
HRI_2282025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02282025HRIHercDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%10.7%-28.7%
HRI_10312023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312023HRIHercDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
35.2%100.8%-0.4%
HRI_4302023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302023HRIHercDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.6%56.0%-5.7%
HRI_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022HRIHercDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
47.7%54.8%-0.2%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Herc

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HRIURICATDEOSKTEXMedian
NameHerc United R.Caterpil.Deere Oshkosh Terex  
Mkt Price156.38824.77583.76467.44130.4354.63311.91
Mkt Cap5.252.9273.5126.38.43.630.6
Rev LTM3,87615,98664,67144,66410,3325,34413,159
Op Inc LTM4624,00911,4158,4159573912,483
FCF LTM-1864507,5603,231755279602
FCF 3Y Avg-2064468,6163,927316266381
CFO LTM1,1014,98211,5417,4599744123,042
CFO 3Y Avg1,1254,81211,9368,4265993922,968

Growth & Margins

HRIURICATDEOSKTEXMedian
NameHerc United R.Caterpil.Deere Oshkosh Terex  
Rev Chg LTM12.4%6.7%-1.5%-11.6%-2.5%4.6%1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.6%13.2%4.9%-3.4%9.9%8.9%9.4%
Rev Chg Q35.2%5.9%9.5%11.7%-1.9%14.4%10.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.6%1.5%2.4%2.9%-0.5%3.4%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM11.9%25.1%17.7%18.8%9.3%7.3%14.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.7%26.5%18.9%21.9%9.2%10.4%18.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.8%-0.4%-0.6%-1.1%-0.0%0.1%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM28.4%31.2%17.8%16.7%9.4%7.7%17.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.1%32.2%18.2%16.4%6.0%7.5%17.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.8%2.8%11.7%7.2%7.3%5.2%6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.1%2.9%13.1%7.6%3.1%5.1%4.1%

Valuation

HRIURICATDEOSKTEXMedian
NameHerc United R.Caterpil.Deere Oshkosh Terex  
Mkt Cap5.252.9273.5126.38.43.630.6
P/S1.33.34.22.80.80.72.1
P/EBIT17.913.022.313.48.59.313.2
P/E-75.220.929.525.112.623.021.9
P/CFO4.710.623.716.98.68.79.7
Total Yield0.3%5.6%4.4%5.3%9.5%5.6%5.5%
Dividend Yield1.6%0.9%1.0%1.4%1.5%1.3%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.0%0.9%4.9%3.4%4.1%7.4%3.8%
D/E1.90.30.20.50.10.70.4
Net D/E1.90.30.10.40.10.60.4

Returns

HRIURICATDEOSKTEXMedian
NameHerc United R.Caterpil.Deere Oshkosh Terex  
1M Rtn17.7%1.7%4.3%-4.1%4.2%21.1%4.2%
3M Rtn27.9%-11.7%24.6%-0.3%1.4%5.9%3.7%
6M Rtn24.9%12.5%58.1%-7.1%19.7%19.4%19.5%
12M Rtn-16.7%14.4%61.2%9.5%40.1%22.4%18.4%
3Y Rtn27.8%139.7%156.1%11.5%56.7%31.9%44.3%
1M Excs Rtn14.3%-1.7%0.9%-7.4%0.8%17.7%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn26.4%-16.2%21.3%-4.8%-2.2%3.3%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn8.9%-1.3%41.0%-20.3%3.5%2.5%3.0%
12M Excs Rtn-31.8%-1.7%45.0%-7.3%24.6%6.2%2.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.5%60.9%82.9%-69.0%-21.4%-48.3%-34.5%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Equipment rental3,2822,5521,9101,5441,702
Sales of new equipment, parts and supplies 36302844
Sales of rental equipment 125113198243
Service and other revenues 27201110
Total3,2822,7402,0731,7811,999


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$156.38 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.2 
First Trading Date07/01/2016 
Distance from 52W High-24.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$138.15$127.95
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA13.2%22.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility47.7%60.1%
Downside Capture106.95196.87
Upside Capture201.00151.11
Correlation (SPY)44.7%51.5%
HRI Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.271.781.512.071.591.66
Up Beta2.771.652.332.971.411.61
Down Beta1.332.292.161.841.561.63
Up Capture206%218%90%183%166%509%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days11253365118389
Down Capture232%130%107%190%145%110%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days9173061131362

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of HRI With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 HRISector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-13.2%20.9%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility59.8%18.8%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.010.870.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 57.3%51.6%-5.4%11.5%35.9%24.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of HRI With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 HRISector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return22.5%14.0%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility50.6%17.2%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.590.660.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 64.9%55.2%2.8%18.4%45.7%23.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of HRI With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 HRISector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return18.8%13.4%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility55.5%19.9%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.540.600.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 68.2%58.9%1.0%28.0%48.3%18.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,547,483
Short Interest: % Change Since 1130202512.9%
Average Daily Volume471,689
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.40
Basic Shares Quantity33,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20254.0%2.3%2.4%
7/29/2025-17.5%-24.0%-13.8%
2/13/2025-6.0%-13.6%-37.6%
10/22/202417.5%26.9%27.5%
7/23/20246.3%6.1%-5.5%
4/23/20243.4%3.0%4.0%
2/13/2024-8.7%-4.4%3.0%
10/23/2023-1.3%0.5%15.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8912
# Negative12118
Median Positive3.7%3.8%15.5%
Median Negative-6.0%-6.5%-19.9%
Max Positive17.5%26.9%37.4%
Max Negative-17.5%-24.0%-38.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023420202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221020202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021