American Integrity Insurance (AII)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $21.035 | Market Cap: $411.8 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
American Integrity Insurance (AII)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $21.035Market Cap: $411.8 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 27%, Dividend Yield is 6.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22%, FCF Yield is 17% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -85% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Climate Change Adaptation & Risk Management. Themes include Catastrophe Risk Underwriting, Coastal Property Insurance, and Climate Data Analytics for Insurance. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% | Key risksAII key risks include [1] severe catastrophe exposure from its heavy concentration in Florida, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 27%, Dividend Yield is 6.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22%, FCF Yield is 17% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -85% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Climate Change Adaptation & Risk Management. Themes include Catastrophe Risk Underwriting, Coastal Property Insurance, and Climate Data Analytics for Insurance. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% |
| Key risksAII key risks include [1] severe catastrophe exposure from its heavy concentration in Florida, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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American Integrity Insurance (AII) stock has gained about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceeded Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Expectations.
American Integrity Insurance Group reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026 on May 12, 2026, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.03, surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of $0.94 by $0.09. This 9.57% earnings beat demonstrated stronger-than-expected profitability and positively influenced investor sentiment during the period.
2. Strategic Expansion into the High-Value Home Market.
In May 2026, American Integrity Insurance Group expanded its capacity for high-value home insurance, increasing the maximum Total Insured Value (TIV) per property from $12 million to $15 million. This strategic move aims to capture a larger share of the high-net-worth market across Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina, signaling growth potential and a broadened revenue base.
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American Integrity Insurance (AII) stock has gained about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceeded Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Expectations.
American Integrity Insurance Group reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026 on May 12, 2026, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.03, surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of $0.94 by $0.09. This 9.57% earnings beat demonstrated stronger-than-expected profitability and positively influenced investor sentiment during the period.
2. Strategic Expansion into the High-Value Home Market.
In May 2026, American Integrity Insurance Group expanded its capacity for high-value home insurance, increasing the maximum Total Insured Value (TIV) per property from $12 million to $15 million. This strategic move aims to capture a larger share of the high-net-worth market across Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina, signaling growth potential and a broadened revenue base.
3. Favorable Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Adjustments.
During this period, analysts maintained a positive outlook on American Integrity Insurance Group. The stock holds a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from Wall Street analysts, with an average price target of $25.75 as of late July 2026, representing a significant potential upside of 26.91% from the stock's price of $20.29. This was reinforced by actions such as Piper Sandler raising its price target to $23 from $20 in July 2026, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating.
4. Successful Placement of Catastrophe Reinsurance Program.
American Integrity Insurance Group announced the full placement of its 2026-2027 Catastrophe Excess of Loss (XOL) Reinsurance Program in June 2026. This critical development enhances the company's financial resilience by significantly mitigating its exposure to potential catastrophe losses, a vital factor for a property and casualty insurer operating in the hurricane-prone Southeastern United States.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.1% change in AII stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 30.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.60 | 21.00 | 7.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 276 | 296 | 6.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 36.0% | 27.6% | -23.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 3.9 | 5.0 | 30.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 20 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AII | 7.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | -30.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 10.5% | 22.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.6% change in AII stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.70 | 21.00 | 18.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 296 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 5.0 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 20 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AII | 18.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | -3.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.3% | 33.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.8% change in AII stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.68 | 21.00 | 18.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 296 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 5.0 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 20 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AII | 18.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.4% | 6.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 11.3% | 29.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AII | ||
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 5.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 70.4% | 27.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AII Return | - | - | - | - | 23% | 7% | 32% |
| Peers Return | 14% | -51% | 149% | 53% | 91% | 17% | 371% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AII Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 62% | 62% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 44% | 72% | 58% | 75% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AII Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -67% | -31% | -33% | -22% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HCI, UVE, HRTG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
AII has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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AII has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About American Integrity Insurance (AII)
American Integrity Insurance (AII) is a specialty residential property insurance company headquartered in Tampa, Florida. The company primarily provides insurance coverage for single-family homeowners, condominium owners, vacant dwellings, and investment properties, with approximately 98.6% of its direct premiums written concentrated in Florida. Founded in 2006 to address market dislocations after severe hurricane seasons, AII has grown to become the seventh largest writer of residential property insurance in Florida, specializing in this complex and high-risk market.
The company's core offering is residential property insurance tailored to Florida's distinct regulatory environment and elevated threat of catastrophic weather events, such as hurricanes. AII leverages specialized expertise, localized market knowledge, granular underwriting, and advanced technology to manage risk and maintain profitability in this challenging market. Their technology-forward platform enhances data access, underwriting decisions, and claims handling, enabling them to adapt to changing market conditions effectively.
AII serves the growing population and property insurance market in Florida, targeting policyholders seeking reliable coverage from a disciplined provider. The company believes recent legislative reforms enacted in Florida, including Assignment of Benefits (AOB) reform and other measures in late 2022, are proving effective in combating historical legal system abuse and claims fraud. This creates a more stable and resilient property insurance market, presenting significant opportunities for AII to profitably underwrite residential property insurance in the state, with potential for their expertise to be transferable to other Southeastern coastal states.
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They are like Progressive or GEICO for Florida homeowners, but highly specialized in that unique market's risks, leveraging advanced technology and deep local expertise to succeed where national carriers have struggled.
Consider them a State Farm or Allstate for Florida properties, but one that laser-focuses on and profits from the market's specific challenges and risks, filling the void left when many larger insurers retreated.
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- Single-Family Homeowners Insurance: Provides residential property insurance coverage for single-family homes.
- Condominium Owners Insurance: Offers residential property insurance coverage specifically for condominium units.
- Vacant Dwelling Insurance: Supplies property insurance coverage for unoccupied residential properties.
- Investment Property Insurance: Delivers property insurance coverage for residential properties held for investment purposes.
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American Integrity Insurance (AII) sells primarily to individuals and property owners. Its major customer categories include:
- Single-family homeowners: Individuals who own and reside in single-family homes in Florida.
- Condominium owners: Individuals who own condominium units in Florida.
- Owners of vacant dwellings and investment properties: Individuals or entities who own non-owner-occupied properties, such as rental homes or unoccupied dwellings, primarily in Florida.
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Bob Ritchie, Chief Executive Officer, Founder, Director
Bob Ritchie is the Founder of American Integrity Insurance, establishing the company in 2006 to address a shortage of reliable home insurance options in Florida following the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons. He possesses over 35 years of experience in the insurance industry, having built and transformed various businesses ranging from startups to large national insurance companies, including American Modern, AIG, CNA, and conglomerates like GE Insurance Solutions.
Ben Lurie, Chief Financial Officer, Secretary and Treasurer
Ben Lurie joined American Integrity in 2017 and has held various positions within the company, most recently being appointed Chief Financial Officer in December 2024. He has also served as a Director, Vice President, and Secretary of American Integrity Insurance Group, LLC since 2017.
Jon Ritchie, President
Jon Ritchie has been with American Integrity since 2009. He previously served as Chief Operating Officer (COO) from 2019, overseeing daily operations in areas such as risk, claims, underwriting, client services, actuarial services, and IT, and holding full profit and loss responsibilities. He was promoted to President in November 2024.
Steve Biggs, Chief Accounting Officer
Steve Biggs is responsible for leading American Integrity's accounting and finance functions, which include accounting operations, reinsurance accounting, and financial reporting. He brings over 20 years of experience in the property and casualty insurance industry, with prior leadership roles including Division Chief Financial Officer at Horace Mann Educators Corporation and leading strategy and business development at Embark MGA.
Dick Dowd, Executive Vice President of Sales and Marketing
Dick Dowd is an insurance industry veteran. His previous executive roles include Senior Vice President of Property for Aegis Security Insurance Company, Executive Vice President of Sales for American Modern Insurance Company, and Senior Vice President of Personal Lines for Harleysville Insurance Company.
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Key Risks for American Integrity Insurance (AII)
Exposure to Catastrophic Weather Events: American Integrity Insurance operates predominantly in Florida, a region highly susceptible to severe weather events, including hurricanes. The company's business model is inherently exposed to the elevated threat of property damage from such catastrophes, which can lead to significant insured losses and impact profitability.
Geographic Concentration in Florida: With 98.6% of its direct premiums written and 97.6% of its policies in-force in Florida as of December 31, 2024, American Integrity Insurance faces significant geographic concentration risk. Any adverse economic, environmental, or market conditions specific to Florida could disproportionately affect the company's financial performance and operational stability.
Florida's Complex Regulatory and Legal Environment: The Florida property insurance market is characterized by a distinct and complex regulatory environment, as well as historical challenges related to a general tort environment that led to increased litigation and claims fraud. While recent legislative reforms are believed to be effective in combating these issues, any future changes to regulations or a resurgence of legal system abuse could negatively impact the company's ability to profitably underwrite residential property insurance.
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- Voluntary Policy Growth and Customer Expansion: American Integrity Insurance anticipates continued revenue growth through an increase in new and renewal policies written in the voluntary market. The company reported a 19% increase in its customer base, reaching nearly 422,000, with voluntary policies growing 16% to 327,000 in 2025. This focus on organic, voluntary growth, supported by strong agency relationships and disciplined underwriting, is expected to be a significant driver as the company shifts away from large Citizens takeouts.
- Geographic Expansion into New Markets: The company is actively pursuing geographic diversification beyond its core Florida market. This includes reentry into Florida's Tri-County region, which is expected to be a multi-year growth opportunity through 2026, and expansion into other Southeastern coastal states like North Carolina, where it began offering homeowners insurance products in January 2026.
- Launch of New Commercial Residential Products: American Integrity Insurance launched a new commercial residential property program in October 2025. This program is designed to provide comprehensive protection for condominium associations, townhome associations, and residential homeowners associations in Florida, diversifying its product offerings and opening new revenue streams.
- Favorable Florida Legislative and Market Conditions: The legislative reforms enacted in Florida in late 2022, including Assignment of Benefits (AOB) reform, are creating a more stable and resilient property insurance market. These improved market conditions allow American Integrity to pursue additional new business opportunities, including underwriting older properties and middle-aged homes, which previously did not meet its underwriting and profitability criteria.
- Optimized Reinsurance Strategy: The company's strategy to reduce its non-catastrophe quota share from a 40% cession rate to 25% and secure improved treaty pricing for its reinsurance program is expected to directly increase net revenue. Management projects this change will drive additional revenue and reduce reinsurance costs by approximately 50% during 2026, positively impacting net income.
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Share Issuances
- American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in May 2025, with shares commencing trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "AII" on May 8, 2025.
- The company issued 6,250,000 shares of common stock as part of the IPO, while existing stockholders sold an additional 625,000 shares.
- The IPO was priced at $16.00 per share, and the offering targeted to raise $126.5 million in total.
Inbound Investments
- Through its IPO in May 2025, American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. received net proceeds, which it intends to use for general corporate purposes, including contributing capital to its insurance subsidiary to support growth.
Outbound Investments
- American Integrity Insurance Group expanded its operations into North Carolina in January 2026 as part of its regional growth strategy.
- The company has also reached 15,000 policies in South Carolina, indicating an expansion of its presence in the Southeast.
Capital Expenditures
- The company utilizes a technology-forward platform and advanced technology solutions across its insurance processes, from risk selection to claims handling, indicating ongoing investments in technology infrastructure.
- A new aii.com website was launched in December 2025, further strengthening its digital presence.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 38.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 859 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 269 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 276 |
| CFO LTM | 275 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 281 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $21.00 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/08/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -15.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $18.40 | $17.60 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 14.1% | 19.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.9% | 39.2% |
| Downside Capture | -148.42 | -8.11 |
| Upside Capture | -89.88 | 19.69 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -31.7% | 6.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.93 | -1.17 | -1.10 | -0.11 | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| Up Beta | -1.89 | -0.76 | -0.52 | 0.17 | 0.55 | -0.45 |
| Down Beta | -1.05 | -1.29 | -1.42 | -0.38 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| Up Capture | -3% | -49% | -78% | 2% | 10% | 1% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 24 | 33 | 62 | 124 | 149 |
| Down Capture | -128% | -233% | -170% | -41% | -2% | -13% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 30 | 61 | 123 | 150 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AII | 22.0% | 39.2% | 0.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.3% | 14.6% | 0.57 | 30.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 6.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | -9.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | -9.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 27.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.2% | 42.9% | -1.23 | 3.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AII | 5.6% | 37.9% | 0.66 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 11.4% | 18.4% | 0.48 | 27.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 5.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | -9.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | -8.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 24.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.8% | 53.0% | 0.35 | 3.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AII | 2.8% | 37.9% | 0.66 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.6% | 22.1% | 0.56 | 27.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 5.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | -9.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | -8.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 24.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 3.7% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/14/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | -13.9% | -15.5% | -14.0% |
| 2/24/2026 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% |
| 11/12/2025 | -6.5% | -11.5% | -22.7% |
| 8/12/2025 | -1.0% | 3.1% | 12.8% |
| 6/9/2025 | -3.5% | -2.7% | 2.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 10.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -11.5% | -18.3% |
| Max Positive | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Max Negative | -13.9% | -15.5% | -22.7% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | -13.9% | -15.5% | -14.0% |
| 2/24/2026 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% |
| 11/12/2025 | -6.5% | -11.5% | -22.7% |
| 8/12/2025 | -1.0% | 3.1% | 12.8% |
| 6/9/2025 | -3.5% | -2.7% | 2.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 10.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -11.5% | -18.3% |
| Max Positive | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Max Negative | -13.9% | -15.5% | -22.7% |
Insider Activity
Updated 8/5/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ritchie, Robert C | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 20.85 | 30,000 | 625,500 | 49,435,287 | Form |
| 2 | Ritchie, Robert C | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 20.68 | 33,000 | 682,440 | 49,652,618 | Form |
| 3 | Sowell, James E | See Footnotes | Buy | 6112026 | 16.85 | 79,497 | 1,339,524 | 77,681,533 | Form | |
| 4 | Sowell, James E | See Footnotes | Buy | 6112026 | 16.91 | 33,628 | 568,649 | 76,613,850 | Form | |
| 5 | Sowell, James E | See Footnotes | Buy | 6112026 | 16.92 | 23,231 | 393,069 | 76,090,171 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ritchie, Robert C | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 20.85 | 30,000 | 625,500 | 49,435,287 | Form |
| 2 | Ritchie, Robert C | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 20.68 | 33,000 | 682,440 | 49,652,618 | Form |
| 3 | Sowell, James E | See Footnotes | Buy | 6112026 | 16.85 | 79,497 | 1,339,524 | 77,681,533 | Form | |
| 4 | Sowell, James E | See Footnotes | Buy | 6112026 | 16.91 | 33,628 | 568,649 | 76,613,850 | Form | |
| 5 | Sowell, James E | See Footnotes | Buy | 6112026 | 16.92 | 23,231 | 393,069 | 76,090,171 | Form | |
| 6 | Mathis, Steven B | Direct | Buy | 5272026 | 16.82 | 3,000 | 50,460 | 103,039 | Form | |
| 7 | Smathers, Steven E | Direct | Buy | 5272026 | 16.99 | 2,900 | 49,271 | 3,021,281 | Form | |
| 8 | Clark, David Lewis | Chairman | Direct | Buy | 5262026 | 17.15 | 5,830 | 99,984 | 401,756 | Form |
| 9 | Sowell, James E | See Footnotes | Sell | 12052025 | 19.00 | 295,037 | 5,605,703 | 85,002,656 | Form | |
| 10 | Ritchie, Robert C | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 19.00 | 59,554 | 1,131,526 | 45,927,028 | Form |
| 11 | Ritchie, Robert C | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 19.00 | 475,000 | 9,025,000 | 46,635,500 | Form |
| 12 | Sowell, James E | See Footnotes | Sell | 11212025 | 19.00 | 2,353,200 | 44,710,800 | 90,608,359 | Form | |
| 13 | Smathers, Steven E | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 19.00 | 171,800 | 3,264,200 | 3,294,866 | Form |
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