Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $18.95 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $18.95Market Cap: $-Sector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Drone Technology, Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73% | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 148% Key risksAADX key risks include [1] a high dependence on sole- or single-source contracts, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Drone Technology, Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 148% |
| Key risksAADX key risks include [1] a high dependence on sole- or single-source contracts, Show more. |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AADX Return | - | - | - | - | - | 6% | 6% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 11% | 32% | 46% | 47% | 18% | 312% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AADX Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 47% | 58% | 72% | 63% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AADX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -21% | -15% | -14% | -18% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HEI, TDG, HWM, LHX, CW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
AADX has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 45 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -20.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 62 days |
In The Past
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
AADX has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -20.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -22.5% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 700 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX)
Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) is a premier provider of advanced design, engineering, and vertically integrated manufacturing solutions for leading space and defense technology companies. The company specializes in building complex, mission-critical subsystems engineered for extreme operating environments. Leveraging proprietary material science and process expertise, AADX excels in rapid prototyping, new product development, and responsively scaling production. It serves as a crucial engineering-integrated advanced manufacturing partner, filling a structural need in the U.S. and allied industrial base for scaled, technically differentiated mid-tier suppliers capable of delivering mission-critical systems at production scale.
AADX's core business involves designing, engineering, and manufacturing high-consequence subsystems and assemblies. Its products enable critical functions such as power and propulsion, battlefield connectivity, and survivability in demanding environments. Specific examples include reusable landing systems for launch vehicles, control surfaces for next-generation fixed-wing aircraft, and solid rocket motor cases for missile platforms. The company provides comprehensive lifecycle support, encompassing design, prototyping, production, and aftermarket sustainment, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from long-term aftermarket services.
The company operates across three large and growing end markets: Space and Launch Systems, Defense Aviation and Airborne Systems, and Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Cyber, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (“C5ISR”) and Precision Strike Systems. AADX maintains decades-long relationships with both blue-chip aerospace and defense prime contractors and next-generation technology innovators. As a critical supply chain partner, it frequently holds sole- or single-source positions for highly-engineered systems that support vital U.S. and allied defense priorities.
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AADX is like TSMC for aerospace and defense hardware, providing the specialized manufacturing and engineering for mission-critical components.
AADX is like Intel for next-generation space and defense subsystems, building the specialized, high-consequence parts that enable advanced platforms.
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- Reusable Landing Systems: Mission-critical subsystems engineered for launch vehicles to enable their repeated use.
- Control Surfaces: High-consequence components for next-generation fixed-wing aircraft that are essential for flight control and performance.
- Solid Rocket Motor Cases: Structural components for missile platforms, designed to house solid propellants and withstand extreme environments.
- Aftermarket and Sustainment Services: Provides long-term support, maintenance, and upgrades for the company's manufactured systems throughout their operational lifecycle.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) primarily sells its advanced design, engineering, and manufacturing solutions to other companies. The provided information indicates that AADX's major customers fall into the following categories:
- Blue-chip aerospace and defense prime contractors: These are established, large-scale companies in the aerospace and defense industry that rely on AADX as a critical supply chain partner for highly-engineered, mission-critical subsystems.
- Next-generation technology innovators: These are companies focused on developing cutting-edge space and defense technologies, for whom AADX provides rapid prototyping and product development support.
While specific customer company names are not listed in the provided text, AADX maintains decades-long relationships with these partners within the U.S. and allied industrial base, serving as a critical supplier for their most important platforms.
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James William “Trip” Ferguson, III, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Mr. Ferguson has served as Chief Executive Officer since November 2025 and as a director since 2026. Before joining Applied Aerospace & Defense, he was President, Space, Cyber and Directed Energy at AeroVironment, Inc. from May 2025 to October 2025. From September 2022 to May 2025, he served as Chief Operations Officer of Blue Halo prior to its acquisition by AeroVironment, Inc. Earlier, from November 2018 to September 2022, Mr. Ferguson was Chief Operations Officer of Dynetics, Inc., an applied science and information technology company that was acquired by Leidos, Inc. His career includes operational leadership roles across multidisciplinary industries, and he is a veteran of the United States Marine Corps. Applied Aerospace & Defense itself was formed in December 2025 through the merger of two suppliers by private equity firm Greenbriar Equity Group.
Jeffrey McRae, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. McRae serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Applied Aerospace & Defense. The available information primarily details his current role and compensation, but specific prior roles related to founding or selling companies, or a pattern of managing private equity-backed companies, are not detailed in the provided search results.
Kevin Bidlack, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Bidlack serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Applied Aerospace & Defense. The search results do not provide a detailed background for Mr. Bidlack regarding previous companies founded or managed, sales to acquirers, or a pattern of managing private equity-backed firms.
Christopher Rogers, Chief Growth Officer
Mr. Rogers is responsible for leading Applied's core growth-related functions, including corporate strategy, business development, mergers and acquisitions, government relations, and communications. Prior to joining Applied, he spent over 20 years at Harris Williams, where he served as a Managing Director and Head of the Aerospace, Defense & Government Services (ADG) Group. Earlier in his career, Mr. Rogers served as an officer in the United States Marine Corps.
Joe Maisto, Chief Administrative Officer
Mr. Maisto is responsible for overseeing Applied's administrative and shared services functions, including contracts, acquisition integration, facilities, and enterprise risk management. Prior to his current role, he served as Chief Financial Officer for one of Applied's predecessor companies and as Chief Financial Officer of Whitcraft/Pursuit Aerospace. He began his career in public accounting, including a tenure at PwC.
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Key Risks to Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX)
- High Dependence on Sole- or Single-Source Contracts: Applied Aerospace & Defense explicitly states that approximately 87% of its revenue and 86% of its pro forma revenue for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, are derived from sole- or single-source positions. This creates a significant vulnerability, as the loss of a major contract or a customer in one of these critical positions could have a substantial adverse impact on the company's financial performance.
- Reliance on U.S. and Allied Defense Spending and Priorities: The company operates within the space and defense sectors, providing mission-critical subsystems for government and military platforms. Its business is therefore highly susceptible to changes in U.S. and allied defense budgets, strategic priorities, and overall geopolitical dynamics. Any shifts in funding, program cancellations, or altered defense strategies could reduce demand for its products and services.
- Potential for Increased Competition or Resolution of Supply Chain Constraints: Applied Aerospace & Defense benefits from a market where "decades of underinvestment in scaled, technically differentiated mid-tier manufacturing companies" have led to a "constrained" supply chain. If new competitors emerge, existing players expand their capabilities, or prime contractors decide to insource more manufacturing, the company's competitive advantage could diminish, potentially impacting its ability to secure and retain contracts.
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Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) operates within three primary addressable markets, each experiencing significant growth globally and in the U.S.
Space and Launch Systems
The global space launch services market was estimated at approximately USD 22.28 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 92.51 billion by 2035, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.30% during this period. North America held a significant market revenue share of 50.6% in 2023 for space launch services. The U.S. space launch services market alone is projected to reach USD 7.48 billion by 2030.
Defense Aviation and Airborne Systems
The global aerospace and defense market was valued at approximately USD 885.20 billion in 2024 and is predicted to grow to around USD 2027.39 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of roughly 8.64% between 2025 and 2034. More broadly, global defense spending surpassed USD 2.2 trillion in 2024. Within the United States, the aerospace and defense market size is projected to be USD 463.06 billion in 2026 and reach USD 610.15 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5.67%. Aerial platforms commanded 31.25% of the U.S. aerospace and defense market revenue share in 2025.
Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Cyber, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance ("C5ISR") and Precision Strike Systems
The global C5ISR market size was estimated at USD 144.23 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 189.00 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.7% from 2025 to 2030. North America accounted for over 40% of the C5ISR market revenue share in 2024. The U.S. C5ISR market is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 13% from 2025 to 2030. For Precision Strike Systems, the global precision guided munition market was valued at USD 37.9 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 64.7 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 5.5% from 2025 to 2034. Another estimate places the global precision guided munition market at USD 43.99 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 82.62 billion by 2035 with a CAGR of 6.51%. North America's precision guided munition market is expected to exceed USD 22.5 billion by 2034.
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Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) is positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:
- Conversion of Robust Backlog and Pipeline: Applied Aerospace & Defense boasts a substantial contract backlog, approaching $1.1 billion as of March 31, 2026, and an opportunity pipeline exceeding $3 billion. The conversion of these contracted and prospective projects into revenue is expected to be a significant driver of growth.
- Growth in Core Space and Defense Markets: The company operates in three expanding end markets: Space and Launch Systems; Defense Aviation and Airborne Systems; and Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Cyber, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (C5ISR) and Precision Strike Systems. These sectors are experiencing accelerated demand due to factors such as the adoption of reusable launch architectures, the development of next-generation airborne capabilities, and the prioritization of networked battlefield systems.
- Increased Defense Spending and Modernization Initiatives: Heightened geopolitical tensions and ongoing military modernization efforts are leading to robust investment across the aerospace and defense sector, including missile-defense initiatives and space infrastructure. This environment creates a "generational demand cycle" that directly benefits AADX's offerings.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Manufacturing Capacity Expansion: Applied Aerospace & Defense has a history of disciplined strategic acquisitions aimed at enhancing its technical capabilities and expanding its manufacturing expertise. The company's nationwide network of advanced manufacturing facilities is designed to scale with customer demand, with ongoing expansion opportunities identified and in process to meet future production requirements.
- Long-Term Aftermarket and Sustainment Contracts: A significant portion of AADX's revenue, approximately 33% (27% on a pro forma basis for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025), is derived from aftermarket and sustainment systems. These long-duration platform service lives provide consistent, long-term revenue visibility.
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Share Repurchases
- Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) has a 0.00% 3-Year and 5-Year Share Buyback Ratio as of March 2026, indicating no share repurchases in these periods.
Share Issuance
- The company completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) on June 3, 2026, issuing 32,500,000 shares of common stock at a price of $20.00 per share.
- The IPO raised approximately $650 million, with net proceeds intended for repayment of certain indebtedness and general corporate purposes.
- Applied Aerospace & Defense plans to use $588.9 million of the IPO's net proceeds to repay debt, specifically $56.1 million for its revolving credit facility and $532.8 million for term loan borrowings.
Inbound Investments
- Applied Aerospace & Defense was formed in December 2025 through the merger of Applied Aerospace and PCX Aerosystems, backed by private equity firm Greenbriar Equity Group.
- Investors, including AA&D Holdings, an entity by Greenbriar Equity Group, have invested $312.6 million into Applied.
Outbound Investments
- The company has completed 13 acquisitions since 2021 to add complementary technical capabilities, expand manufacturing expertise, and deepen customer relationships.
- Recent acquisitions include Vestigo Aerospace in February 2026 for its Spinnaker deorbit systems and Ultracor for specialized honeycomb core materials.
- In March 2026, Applied Aerospace & Defense acquired Consolidated Boring Inc. (CBI), adding approximately $171.1 million of incremental backlog.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the 12 months ended March 31, 2026, were approximately -$19.66 million.
- In the most recent quarter ended March 2026, capital expenditures totaled -$7.14 million USD.
- The company opened a new Radio Frequency (RF) test range at its Alabama facility, representing an investment in expanding capabilities.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 316.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 55.2 |
| Rev LTM | 8,623 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,233 |
| FCF LTM | 1,656 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,163 |
| CFO LTM | 2,084 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,504 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 16.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 21.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | ||||||
| Up Beta | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Down Beta | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Up Capture | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | ||||||
| Down Capture | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AADX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AADX | -1.0% | 148.2% | 0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 28.7% | 16.2% | 1.38 | 45.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 35.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 54.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 11.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | -3.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.4% | -1.08 | 52.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AADX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AADX | -0.2% | 148.2% | 0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.5% | 17.5% | 0.61 | 45.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 35.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 54.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 11.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | -3.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 52.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AADX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AADX | -0.1% | 148.2% | 0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.2% | 20.0% | 0.62 | 45.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 35.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 54.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 11.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | -3.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 52.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | S-1 |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | S-1 |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Aerospace & Defense Resources |
| Defense News |
| FlightGlobal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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