How Low Can Centene Stock Go In A Market Crash

CNC: Centene logo
CNC
Centene

Centene has historically underperformed relative to the S&P 500 during major market crashes, with an average decline of 34%. For instance, it dropped 37% during the Inflation Shock while the S&P fell 25%, and plummeted 42% in the 2018 Correction compared to a 20% decline in the index. Although it occasionally outperformed, such as during the covid pandemic, Centene’s performance generally indicates vulnerability to market downturns. It often takes considerable time to find a bottom, ranging from 2 to 13 months, and recovery periods vary significantly, with the company yet to return to pre-crisis levels post-Inflation Shock. This pattern reflects sensitivity to adverse market conditions rather than resilience, casting doubt on its stability during economic turbulence.

Centene Stock Performance In Market Crashes:

CNC S&P 500
   
Dot-Com Bubble    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -4% -37%
# of Months for Full Recovery 0 69
   
Global Financial Crisis    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -53% -57%
# of Months for Full Recovery 34 49
   
2018 Correction    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -42% -20%
# of Months for Full Recovery 20 4
   
Covid Pandemic    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -33% -34%
# of Months for Full Recovery 1 5
   
Inflation Shock    
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -37% -25%
# of Months for Full Recovery Yet to Recover 15

Worried that CNC is yet to hit the bottom? You could take a look at the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming the S&P 500 over the last 4-year period. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.

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