Pay Less, Gain More: BKNG Tops Airbnb Stock

ABNB: Airbnb logo
ABNB
Airbnb

BKNG is Airbnb’s peer in Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines industry that has:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to Airbnb stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying BKNG stock vs. ABNB stock

Equities is not the only thing we do. Is a portfolio of 10% commodities, 10% gold, and 2% crypto in addition to equities and bonds – likely to return more and protect you better? We have crunched the numbers.

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Key Metrics Compared

Metric ABNB BKNG
P/OpInc* 27.5x 15.0x
LTM OpInc Growth -0.4% 39.6%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 16.0% 26.3%
LTM Revenue Growth 10.3% 13.0%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 13.4% 17.8%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell ABNB Stock to see if Airbnb still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, Airbnb (ABNB) provides a platform connecting hosts and guests worldwide to book stays and experiences online or via mobile devices.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if Airbnb stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Airbnb in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Airbnb would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric ABNB BKNG
P/OpInc* 31.9x 19.7x
LTM OpInc Growth 66.3% 29.3%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 22.8% 27.6%
LTM Revenue Growth 10.2% 11.7%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 14.2% 19.9%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric ABNB BKNG
P/S 5.7x 5.2x
Market Cap (Current) $ 70.0 Bil $ 134.7 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 12.24 Bil $ 26.04 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 2.54 Bil $ 8.98 Bil
LTM Op Margin 20.8% 34.5%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index.