Warby Parker Stock To $16?

Warby Parker (WRBY) stock has fallen by 23.9% in less than a month, from $28.56 on 9/22/2025 to $21.73 now. What comes next? As it turns out, the stock could fall even more. The current correction, when put in context of our Unattractive opinion of the stock, suggest possibility of further downside. A price of $16 is not out of question, especially considering that the stock has seen this level in the last 5 years.

So should you wait before buying this dip? Perhaps. There is no perfect way to time the dips. Nevertheless, here is another perspective on WRBY stock to help you make the decision. The stock has returned (median) -21% in one year, and 21% as peak return following sharp dips (>30% in 30 days) historically. For quick background, WRBY provides eyewear products including eyeglasses, sunglasses, light-responsive and blue-light-filtering lenses, and contact lenses, with 160 retail stores across the United States and Canada.

For details on stock fundamentals and assessment: Read Buy or Sell Warby Parker Stock to see the full picture.

WRBY stock has fallen meaningfully recently and we currently find it unattractive. This may feel like a caution, and there is significant risk in relying on a single stock. However, there is a huge value to a broader diversified approach we take with Trefis High Quality Portfolio. Should you buy one stock you like or build a portfolio designed to win across cycles? Our numbers show that High Quality Portfolio has turned stock-picking uncertainty into market-beating consistency. This portfolio is incorporated in asset allocation strategy of Empirical Asset Management – a Boston area wealth manager and Trefis partner – whose asset allocation framework yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%.

Historical Median Returns Post Dips

Historical Dip-Wise Details

WRBY had 4 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered

• 21% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
• 103 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
• -39% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

Warby Parker Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks

Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Dip buying, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.