Vicor Stock To $114?

VICR: Vicor logo
VICR
Vicor

Vicor (VICR) stock has fallen by 22.2% in less than a month, from $209.19 on 2nd Mar, 2026 to $162.67 now. What comes next? We think that the stock could fall even more. The current correction, when put in context of stock’s Very High valuation, suggest possibility of further downside. A price of $114 is not out of question, especially considering that the stock has seen this level in the last 5 years. Read Buy or Sell Vicor Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.

So should you wait before buying this dip? Perhaps. There is no perfect way to time the dips. Nevertheless, here is another perspective on VICR stock to help you make the decision. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 12%, with median peak return reaching 65%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.

Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.

Trefis: VICR Stock Insights

 
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
 

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Period Past Median Return
1M -1.6%
3M 0.0%
6M 0.8%
12M 11.7%

 
Historical Dip-Wise Details
 
VICR had 21 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered

  • 65% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
  • 190 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
  • -22% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

30 Day Dip VICR Subsequent Performance
Date VICR SPY 1Y Peak
Return
Max
Drop
# Days
to Peak
Median     12% 65% -22% 190
4042025 -34% -16% 286% 397% -6% 332
4022024 -20% 4% 19% 73% -15% 330
9072023 -32% -2% -46% 0% -50% 0
2242023 -29% 0% -7% 133% -13% 153
9222022 -21% -11% -3% 59% -32% 308
6162022 -22% -15% 4% 56% -22% 61
12102021 -22% 3% -53% 10% -62% 17
3062020 -21% -10% 106% 136% -25% 343
6172019 -20% -2% 127% 127% -12% 365
2272019 -21% 8% 30% 66% -21% 352
9212018 -23% 3% -39% 0% -45% 0
1312018 -21% 6% 113% 248% -7% 190
1192016 -20% -8% 102% 115% -3% 343
5292015 -20% 0% -25% 5% -47% 12
4072014 -23% 0% 74% 80% -20% 345
2052014 -22% -4% 12% 33% -30% 268
11132012 -21% -4% 71% 77% -10% 350
5082012 -20% -4% -19% 11% -28% 56
11222011 -21% -0% -31% 34% -34% 73
8052011 -23% -6% -42% 0% -51% 0
5262010 -22% -12% 38% 65% -6% 152

 
Vicor Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks

Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Quality Metrics Value Quality Check
Revenue Growth (LTM) 24.2% Pass
Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) 6.0% Pass
Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) 30.3% Pass

Not sure if you can take a call on VICR stock? Consider portfolio approach

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