US Physical Therapy Stock Has Fallen 25%, Time to Enter?

USPH: US Physical Therapy logo
USPH
US Physical Therapy

US Physical Therapy (USPH) stock has fallen by 24.7% in less than a month, from $78.34 on 13th Apr, 2026 to $59.00 now. Should you buy this dip?

Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, USPH stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 4% , with median peak return reaching 35%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.

Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.

Trefis: USPH Stock Insights

 
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
 

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Period Past Median Return
1M 1.8%
3M -0.9%
6M 6.7%
12M 4.0%

 
Historical Dip-Wise Details
 
USPH had 10 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered

  • 35% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
  • 202 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
  • -15% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

30 Day Dip USPH Subsequent Performance
Date USPH SPY 1Y Peak
Return
Max
Drop
# Days
to Peak
Median     4% 35% -15% 202
5072026 -21% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0
11172025 -21% -1% -15% 26% -15% 86
4072025 -24% -15% 23% 45% 0% 200
9062023 -20% -2% -11% 17% -17% 204
8162022 -23% 12% 19% 43% -14% 337
12012021 -20% -0% 7% 55% -11% 243
3242021 -22% -0% -11% 12% -21% 71
3112020 -21% -16% 29% 52% -48% 350
12172019 -20% 4% 1% 15% -59% 66
8082011 -20% -11% 43% 46% -10% 336

1Y Refers to 1 year or time since recent dip, whichever is smaller
 
US Physical Therapy Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks

Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Quality Metrics Value Quality Check
Revenue Growth (LTM) 16.3% Pass
Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) 12.2% Pass
Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) 9.6% Pass
Leverage (see below) Pass
=> Interest Coverage Ratio 9.2  
=> Cash To Interest Expense Ratio 3.8  

Not sure if you can take a call on USPH stock? Consider portfolio approach

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