Time To Buy The Dip In Tutor Perini Stock?
Tutor Perini (TPC) stock has fallen by 15.8% in less than a month, from $97.31 on 5th May, 2026 to $81.96 now. Should you buy this dip?
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, TPC stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 13% , with median peak return reaching 34%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
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| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | -2.7% |
| 3M | 2.6% |
| 6M | 5.5% |
| 12M | 13.1% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
TPC had 25 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 34% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 182 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -31% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | TPC Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | TPC | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 13% | 34% | -31% | 182 | ||||
| 4112025 | -29% | -10% | 304% | 328% | -5% | 321 | ||
| 12202024 | -23% | -0% | 165% | 175% | -23% | 356 | ||
| 8022024 | -21% | -2% | 217% | 193% | 0% | 349 | ||
| 3132023 | -21% | -5% | 76% | 79% | -30% | 364 | ||
| 8092022 | -22% | 6% | 23% | 34% | -29% | 182 | ||
| 2282022 | -20% | -6% | -15% | 10% | -44% | 31 | ||
| 12282021 | -21% | 2% | -39% | 3% | -55% | 7 | ||
| 5122021 | -20% | 3% | -38% | 6% | -40% | 20 | ||
| 3132020 | -26% | -18% | 136% | 141% | -65% | 364 | ||
| 12172019 | -22% | 4% | 0% | 12% | -78% | 78 | ||
| 8062019 | -20% | -2% | 21% | 80% | -73% | 97 | ||
| 5282019 | -20% | -3% | -26% | 27% | -81% | 167 | ||
| 10232018 | -20% | -5% | 3% | 25% | -43% | 195 | ||
| 2272018 | -21% | -1% | -14% | 11% | -31% | 1 | ||
| 11162017 | -21% | 2% | -24% | 19% | -35% | 26 | ||
| 1122016 | -22% | -7% | 97% | 106% | -26% | 358 | ||
| 8072015 | -24% | -1% | 39% | 51% | -37% | 355 | ||
| 12122014 | -23% | 1% | -26% | 24% | -26% | 73 | ||
| 10092014 | -20% | -3% | -28% | 16% | -33% | 22 | ||
| 8152012 | -20% | 3% | 81% | 104% | -2% | 352 | ||
| 5072012 | -21% | -2% | 43% | 57% | -19% | 325 | ||
| 12192011 | -21% | -4% | 14% | 40% | -19% | 59 | ||
| 8032011 | -22% | -3% | -28% | 15% | -29% | 197 | ||
| 5202011 | -22% | 0% | -41% | 2% | -47% | 11 | ||
| 6042010 | -23% | -12% | 13% | 52% | -13% | 329 | ||
1Y Refers to 1 year or time since recent dip, whichever is smaller
Tutor Perini Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 28.1% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 14.0% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 13.5% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 5.1 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 14.6 |
Not sure if you can take a call on TPC stock? Consider portfolio approach
Smart Investing Begins With Portfolios
Stocks can jump or crash, but long-term success comes from staying invested. The right portfolio helps you ride gains and cushion single stock drops.
Why settle for average market returns? The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio invests in a diverse group of 30 stocks that have collectively delivered stronger upside with reduced volatility compared to the broader indices. Discover the methodology behind these smoother, higher returns by checking the HQ Portfolio performance data.