Uber Technologies Stock To $109?

UBER: Uber Technologies logo
UBER
Uber Technologies

Uber Technologies (UBER) stock has fallen 5.5% during the past day, and is currently trading at $84.16. Our multi-factor assessment suggests that it may be time to buy more shares of UBER stock. We have, overall, a positive view of the stock, and a price of $109 may not be out of reach. We believe there is not much to fear in UBER stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Considering stock’s Moderate valuation, we think it is Attractive.

Below is our assessment:

  CONCLUSION
What you pay:
Valuation Moderate
What you get:
Growth Very Strong
Profitability Moderate
Financial Stability Very Strong
Downturn Resilience Very Weak
Operating Performance Strong
 
Stock Opinion Attractive

Individual stocks swing but a balanced asset allocation doesn’t. Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner blends strategy and discipline to smooth out market noise.

Let’s get into details of each of the assessed factors but before that, for quick background: With $175 Bil in market cap, Uber Technologies provides technology-based ride-sharing, delivery, and freight services connecting consumers with independent service providers across multiple global regions.

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[1] Valuation Looks Moderate

  UBER S&P 500
Price-to-Sales Ratio 4.1 3.2
Price-to-Earnings Ratio 12.3 23.4
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio 23.6 20.7

This table highlights how UBER is valued vs broader market. For more details see: UBER Valuation Ratios

[2] Growth Is Very Strong

  • Uber Technologies has seen its top line grow at an average rate of 19.6% over the last 3 years
  • Its revenues have grown 18% from $42 Bil to $50 Bil in the last 12 months
  • Also, its quarterly revenues grew 20.4% to $13 Bil in the most recent quarter from $11 Bil a year ago.

  UBER S&P 500
3-Year Average 19.6% 5.5%
Latest Twelve Months* 18.2% 6.0%
Most Recent Quarter (YoY)* 20.4% 7.3%

This table highlights how UBER is growing vs broader market. For more details see: UBER Revenue Comparison

[3] Profitability Appears Moderate

  • UBER last 12 month operating income was $4.6 Bil representing operating margin of 9.2%
  • With cash flow margin of 18.1%, it generated nearly $9.0 Bil in operating cash flow over this period
  • For the same period, UBER generated nearly $17 Bil in net income, suggesting net margin of about 33.5%

  UBER S&P 500
Current Operating Margin 9.2% 18.8%
Current OCF Margin 18.1% 20.4%
Current Net Income Margin 33.5% 13.1%

This table highlights how UBER profitability vs broader market. For more details see: UBER Operating Income Comparison

[4] Financial Stability Looks Very Strong

  • UBER Debt was $13 Bil at the end of the most recent quarter, while its current Market Cap is $175 Bil. This implies Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 6.5%
  • UBER Cash (including cash equivalents) makes up $9.1 Bil of $63 Bil in total Assets. This yields a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 14.3%

  UBER S&P 500
Current Debt-to-Equity Ratio 6.5% 20.4%
Current Cash-to-Assets Ratio 14.3% 7.0%

[5] Downturn Resilience Is Very Weak

UBER has fared much worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns. We assess this based on both (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered.

2022 Inflation Shock

  • UBER stock fell 67.6% from a high of $63.18 on 10 February 2021 to $20.46 on 30 June 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 27 December 2023
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $100.10 on 6 October 2025 , and currently trades at $84.16

  UBER S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -67.6% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 545 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • UBER stock fell 64.1% from a high of $41.27 on 11 February 2020 to $14.82 on 18 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 5 November 2020

  UBER S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -64.1% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 232 days 148 days

 

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, outlook changes. Read UBER Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.