Is Tyler Technologies Stock Built to Withstand More Downside?

TYL: Tyler Technologies logo
TYL
Tyler Technologies

Tyler Technologies (TYL) stock is down 15.4% in a day. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around slower government software spending and project overruns, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?

Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Tyler Technologies stands today.

  • Size: Tyler Technologies is a $12 Bil company with $2.3 Bil in revenue currently trading at $287.04.
  • Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 10.6% and operating margin of 15.4%.
  • Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.05 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.17
  • Valuation: Tyler Technologies stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 39.3 and P/EBIT multiple of 32.0

These metrics point to a Strong operational performance, alongside High valuation – making the stock Fairly Priced. For details, see Buy or Sell TYL Stock

That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is TYL stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose TYL stock falls another 20-30% to $201 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock saw an impact slightly better than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.

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Trefis

2022 Inflation Shock

  • TYL stock fell 47.9% from a high of $552.14 on 16 November 2021 to $287.93 on 4 November 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 25 July 2024
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $646.74 on 13 February 2025 , and currently trades at $287.04

  TYL S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -47.9% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 629 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • TYL stock fell 23.0% from a high of $338.43 on 12 February 2020 to $260.76 on 20 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 15 May 2020

  TYL S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -23.0% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 56 days 148 days

 
2018 Correction

  • TYL stock fell 30.7% from a high of $250.80 on 4 September 2018 to $173.85 on 24 December 2018 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 8 August 2019

  TYL S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -30.7% -19.8%
Time to Full Recovery 227 days 120 days

 
2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • TYL stock fell 35.9% from a high of $17.17 on 28 July 2008 to $11.01 on 20 November 2008 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 22 July 2009

  TYL S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -35.9% -56.8%
Time to Full Recovery 244 days 1,480 days

 
Feeling jittery about TYL stock? Consider portfolio approach.

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