Tutor Perini Stock To $90?

TPC: Tutor Perini logo
TPC
Tutor Perini

Tutor Perini (TPC) stock has fallen by 21.7% in less than a month, from $89.38 on 26th Feb, 2026 to $69.95 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Tutor Perini Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.

Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, TPC stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 25%, with median peak return reaching 79%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 30% or more, in less than 30 day period.

Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.

Trefis: TPC Stock Insights

 
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
 

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Period Past Median Return
1M 2.7%
3M 16.7%
6M 26.9%
12M 24.8%

 
Historical Dip-Wise Details
 
TPC had 8 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered

  • 79% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
  • 258 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
  • -32% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

30 Day Dip TPC Subsequent Performance
Date TPC SPY 1Y Peak
Return
Max
Drop
# Days
to Peak
Median     25% 79% -32% 258
3162023 -33% -4% 110% 110% -18% 361
3162020 -53% -25% 244% 277% -45% 361
12242019 -31% 5% 3% 14% -78% 71
8152019 -32% -5% 32% 96% -70% 88
6122019 -30% -2% -26% 38% -79% 152
1192016 -35% -8% 124% 141% -13% 351
8052011 -32% -6% -11% 35% -18% 195
6112010 -32% -9% 18% 62% -8% 322

 
Tutor Perini Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks

Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Quality Metrics Value Quality Check
Revenue Growth (LTM) 19.2% Pass
Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) 9.6% Pass
Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) 17.7% Pass
Leverage (see below) Pass
=> Interest Coverage Ratio 1.8  
=> Cash To Interest Expense Ratio 11.1  

Not sure if you can take a call on TPC stock? Consider portfolio approach

Smart Investing Begins With Portfolios

Individual stocks are unpredictable. A smart portfolio helps you invest, limits downside shocks, and provides upside exposure.

Why settle for average market returns? The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio invests in a diverse group of 30 stocks that have collectively delivered stronger upside with reduced volatility compared to the broader indices. Discover the methodology behind these smoother, higher returns by checking the HQ Portfolio performance data.