TJX Stock Falls -6.1% With A 7-day Losing Spree On Retail Sector Fears
TJX Companies (TJX) – a discount retailer operating multiple off-price apparel and home goods stores – hit 7-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to a -6.1%. The company market cap has crashed by about $11 Bil over the last 7 days, and currently stands at $164 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 3.8% compared to 1.9% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] Broad Retail Sector Headwinds
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- Forecast for slower US retail sales growth in 2026
- Reports of mounting consumer financial strain in January 2026
- Impact: Increased selling pressure on consumer stocks, Negative investor sentiment
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is a near-equal mix of good and bad in TJX stock given its overall Moderate operating performance and financial condition. But keeping in mind its High valuation, we think that the stock is Unattractive (For details, see Buy or Sell TJX).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -6.1% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for TJX stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | TJX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -0.1% | -0.0% |
| 7D (Current Streak) | -6.1% | 0.5% |
| 1M (21D) | -5.9% | 0.7% |
| 3M (63D) | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| YTD 2026 | -3.8% | 1.9% |
| 2025 | 28.7% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 30.6% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 19.7% | 24.2% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: TJX Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 55 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 80 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 36 | 38 |
| 4D | 7 | 24 |
| 5D | 4 | 15 |
| 6D | 6 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 2 | 3 |
| Total >=3 D | 55 | 80 |
Key Financials for TJX Companies (TJX)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $54.2 Bil | $56.4 Bil |
| Operating Income | $5.8 Bil | $6.3 Bil |
| Net Income | $4.5 Bil | $4.9 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2026 FQ2 | 2026 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $14.4 Bil | $15.1 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.6 Bil | $1.9 Bil |
| Net Income | $1.2 Bil | $1.4 Bil |
The losing streak TJX stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.