Is Micron Technology Stock Built to Withstand More Downside?

-31.87%
Downside
379
Market
258
Trefis
MU: Micron Technology logo
MU
Micron Technology

Micron Technology (MU) stock is down 9.5% in a day. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around memory chip supply chains and AMD’s China sales jitters, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?

Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Micron Technology stands today.

  • Size: Micron Technology is a $427 Bil company with $42 Bil in revenue currently trading at $379.40.
  • Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 45.4% and operating margin of 32.5%.
  • Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.03 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.12
  • Valuation: Micron Technology stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 35.8 and P/EBIT multiple of 30.5
  • Has returned (median) 23.6% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See MU Dip Buy Analysis.

These metrics point to a Strong operational performance, alongside Very High valuation – making the stock Relatively Expensive. For details, see Buy or Sell MU Stock

That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is MU stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose MU stock falls another 20-30% to $266 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared much worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.

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2022 Inflation Shock

  • MU stock fell 49.8% from a high of $97.36 on 14 January 2022 to $48.88 on 26 September 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 7 March 2024
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $437.80 on 2 February 2026 , and currently trades at $379.40

  MU S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -49.8% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 528 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • MU stock fell 42.5% from a high of $59.99 on 19 February 2020 to $34.47 on 16 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 16 November 2020

  MU S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -42.5% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 245 days 148 days

 
2018 Correction

  • MU stock fell 53.7% from a high of $62.62 on 29 May 2018 to $29.02 on 24 December 2018 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 23 November 2020

  MU S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -53.7% -19.8%
Time to Full Recovery 700 days 120 days

 
2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • MU stock fell 88.1% from a high of $14.23 on 12 January 2007 to $1.69 on 20 November 2008 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 27 June 2013

  MU S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -88.1% -56.8%
Time to Full Recovery 1,680 days 1,480 days

 
Feeling jittery about MU stock? Consider portfolio approach.

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